Andrea Fontanari | Searcharxiv

arXiv2019

Dynamical fitness models: evidence of universality classes for preferential attachment graphs

In this paper we define a family of preferential attachment models for random graphs with fitness in the following way: independently for each node, at each time step a random fitness is drawn according to the position of a moving average process with positive increments. We will define two regimes in which our graph reproduces some features of two well known preferential attachment models: the Bianconi-Barabási and the Barabási-Albert models. We will discuss a few conjectures on these models, including the convergence of the degree sequence and the appearance of Bose-Einstein condensation in the network when the drift of the fitness process has order comparable to the graph size.

math.PR↗

arXiv2017

Gini estimation under infinite variance

We study the problems related to the estimation of the Gini index in presence of a fat-tailed data generating process, i.e. one in the stable distribution class with finite mean but infinite variance (i.e. with tail index $α\in(1,2)$). We show that, in such a case, the Gini coefficient cannot be reliably estimated using conventional nonparametric methods, because of a downward bias that emerges under fat tails. This has important implications for the ongoing discussion about economic inequality. We start by discussing how the nonparametric estimator of the Gini index undergoes a phase transition in the symmetry structure of its asymptotic distribution, as the data distribution shifts from the domain of attraction of a light-tailed distribution to that of a fat-tailed one, especially in the case of infinite variance. We also show how the nonparametric Gini bias increases with lower values of $α$. We then prove that maximum likelihood estimation outperforms nonparametric methods, requiring a much smaller sample size to reach efficiency. Finally, for fat-tailed data, we provide a simple correction mechanism to the small sample bias of the nonparametric estimator based on the distance between the mode and the mean of its asymptotic distribution.

stat.ME↗