Andrea Maccaferri | Searcharxiv

arXiv2026

Correlation between active regions' spectra at high radio frequencies and solar flare occurrences

High radio frequencies observations with the Italian network of large single-dish radio telescopes resulted in ~450 solar images between 2018 and 2023 in K-band frequency range (18-26 GHz). Solar radio mapping at these frequencies allows the probing of the Active Regions (ARs) chromospheric magnetic field close to the Transition Region, where strong flares and coronal mass ejection events occur. Enhanced magnetic fields up to 1500-2000 G determine anomalous spectra in the ARs brightness compared to pure free-free emission, due to the addition of a steeper gyro-resonance component also associated with circular polarisation up to ~40%. When a significant AR spectral flattening is detected, the probability of a strong flare occurrence within ~30 hours is high (~89% in terms of statistical precision). Despite an approximate weekly cadence of our observations, only ~12% of strong flares are missed/unpredicted within this time interval. Through a correlation analysis, we assess the trade-off on the sensitivity and the robustness of this physics-based flare forecast method.

astro-ph.SR↗

arXiv2023

The Northern Cross Fast Radio Burst project -- III. The FRB-magnetar connection in a sample of nearby galaxies

Fast radio bursts (FRBs) are millisecond radio transients observed at cosmological distances. The nature of their progenitors is still a matter of debate, although magnetars are invoked by most models. The proposed FRB-magnetar connection was strengthened by the discovery of an FRB-like event from the Galactic magnetar SGR J1935+2154. In this work, we aim to investigate how prevalent magnetars such as SGR J1935+2154 are within FRB progenitors. We carried out an FRB search in a sample of seven nearby (< 12 Mpc) galaxies with the Northern Cross radio telescope for a total of 692 h. We detected one 1.8 ms burst in the direction of M101 with a fluence of $58 \pm 5$ Jy ms. Its dispersion measure of 303 pc cm$^{-3}$ places it most-likely beyond M101. Considering that no significant detection comes indisputably from the selected galaxies, we place a 38 yr$^{-1}$ upper limit on the total burst rate (i.e. including the whole sample) at the 95\% confidence level. This upper limit constrains the event rate per magnetar $λ_{\rm mag} < 0.42$ magnetar$^{-1}$ yr$^{-1}$ or, if combined with literature observations of a similar sample of nearby galaxies, it yields a joint constraint of $λ_{\rm mag} < 0.25$ magnetar$^{-1}$ yr$^{-1}$. We also provide the first constraints on the expected rate of FRBs hypothetically originating from ultraluminous X-ray (ULX) sources, since some of the galaxies observed during our observational campaign host confirmed ULXs. We obtain $< 13$ yr$^{-1}$ per ULX for the total sample of galaxies observed. Our results indicate that bursts with energies $E>10^{34}$ erg from magnetars like SGR J1935+2154 appear more rarely compared to previous observations and further disfavour them as unique progenitors for the cosmological FRB population, leaving more space open to the contribution from a population of more exotic magnetars, not born via core-collapsed supernovae.

astro-ph.HE↗