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Andrea Rapisarda

Publications and source records attributed to Andrea Rapisarda.

At least 37 records · Page 2Linked to original sources
arXiv2013

Agent-based simulation of pedestrian behaviour in closed spaces: a museum case study

In order to analyse the behaviour of pedestrians at the very fine scale, while moving along the streets, in open spaces or inside a building, simulation modelling becomes an essential tool. In these spatial environments, in the presence of unusual demand flows, simulation requires the ability to model the local dynamics of individual decision making and behaviour, which is strongly affected by the geometry, randomness, social preferences, local and collective behaviour of other individuals. The dynamics of people visiting and evacuating a museum offers an excellent case study along this line. In this paper we realize an agent-based simulation of the Castello Ursino museum in Catania (Italy), evaluating its carrying capacity in terms of both satisfaction of the visitors in regime of normal fruition and their safety under alarm conditions.

physics.soc-ph↗
arXiv2013

Noise, Synchrony and Correlations at the Edge of Chaos

We study the effect of a weak random additive noise in a linear chain of N locally-coupled logistic maps at the edge of chaos. Maps tend to synchronize for a strong enough coupling, but if a weak noise is added, very intermittent fluctuations in the returns time series are observed. This intermittency tends to disappear when noise is increased. Considering the pdfs of the returns, we observe the emergence of fat tails which can be satisfactorily reproduced by $q$-Gaussians curves typical of nonextensive statistical mechanics. Interoccurrence times of these extreme events are also studied in detail. Similarities with recent analysis of financial data are also discussed.

cond-mat.stat-mech↗
arXiv2013

The beneficial role of random strategies in social and financial systems

In this paper we focus on the beneficial role of random strategies in social sciences by means of simple mathematical and computational models. We briefly review recent results obtained by two of us in previous contributions for the case of the Peter principle and the efficiency of a Parliament. Then, we develop a new application of random strategies to the case of financial trading and discuss in detail our findings about forecasts of markets dynamics.

physics.soc-ph↗
arXiv2011

Efficient Promotion Strategies in Hierarchical Organizations

The Peter principle has been recently investigated by means of an agent-based simulation and its validity has been numerically corroborated. It has been confirmed that, within certain conditions, it can really influence in a negative way the efficiency of a pyramidal organization adopting meritocratic promotions. It was also found that, in order to bypass these effects, alternative promotion strategies should be adopted, as for example a random selection choice. In this paper, within the same line of research, we study promotion strategies in a more realistic hierarchical and modular organization and we show the robustness of our previous results, extending their validity to a more general context. We discuss also why the adoption of these strategies could be useful for real organizations.

physics.soc-ph↗
arXiv2009

The Peter Principle Revisited: A Computational Study

In the late sixties the Canadian psychologist Laurence J. Peter advanced an apparently paradoxical principle, named since then after him, which can be summarized as follows: {\it 'Every new member in a hierarchical organization climbs the hierarchy until he/she reaches his/her level of maximum incompetence'}. Despite its apparent unreasonableness, such a principle would realistically act in any organization where the mechanism of promotion rewards the best members and where the mechanism at their new level in the hierarchical structure does not depend on the competence they had at the previous level, usually because the tasks of the levels are very different to each other. Here we show, by means of agent based simulations, that if the latter two features actually hold in a given model of an organization with a hierarchical structure, then not only is the Peter principle unavoidable, but also it yields in turn a significant reduction of the global efficiency of the organization. Within a game theory-like approach, we explore different promotion strategies and we find, counterintuitively, that in order to avoid such an effect the best ways for improving the efficiency of a given organization are either to promote each time an agent at random or to promote randomly the best and the worst members in terms of competence.

physics.soc-ph↗
arXiv2009

Central Limit Behavior in the Kuramoto model at the 'Edge of Chaos'

We study the relationship between chaotic behavior and the Central Limit Theorem (CLT) in the Kuramoto model. We calculate sums of angles at equidistant times along deterministic trajectories of single oscillators and we show that, when chaos is sufficiently strong, the Pdfs of the sums tend to a Gaussian, consistently with the standard CLT. On the other hand, when the system is at the "edge of chaos" (i.e. in a regime with vanishing Lyapunov exponents), robust $q$-Gaussian-like attractors naturally emerge, consistently with recently proved generalizations of the CLT.

cond-mat.stat-mech↗
arXiv2008

Communities recognition in the Chesapeake Bay ecosystem by dynamical clustering algorithms based on different oscillators systems

We have recently introduced an efficient method for the detection and identification of modules in complex networks, based on the de-synchronization properties (dynamical clustering) of phase oscillators. In this paper we apply the dynamical clustering tecnique to the identification of communities of marine organisms living in the Chesapeake Bay food web. We show that our algorithm is able to perform a very reliable classification of the real communities existing in this ecosystem by using different kinds of dynamical oscillators. We compare also our results with those of other methods for the detection of community structures in complex networks.

q-bio.PE↗
arXiv2007

Nonergodicity and central limit behavior for systems with long-range interactions

In this paper we discuss the nonergodic behavior for a class of long-standing quasi-stationary states in a paradigmatic model of long-range interacting systems, i.e. the HMF model. We show that ensemble averages and time averages for velocities probability density functions (pdfs) do not coincide and in particular the latter exhibit a tendency to converge towards a q-Gaussian attractor instead of the usual Gaussian one predicted by the Central Limit Theorem, when ergodicity applies.

cond-mat.stat-mech↗
arXiv2007

Analysis of Self-Organized Criticality in the Olami-Feder-Christensen model and in real earthquakes

We perform a new analysis on the dissipative Olami-Feder-Christensen model on a small world topology considering avalanche size differences. We show that when criticality appears the Probability Density Functions (PDFs) for the avalanche size differences at different times have fat tails with a q-Gaussian shape. This behaviour does not depend on the time interval adopted and is found also when considering energy differences between real earthquakes. Such a result can be analytically understood if the sizes (released energies) of the avalanches (earthquakes) have no correlations. Our findings support the hypothesis that a self-organized criticality mechanism with long-range interactions is at the origin of seismic events and indicate that it is not possible to predict the magnitude of the next earthquake knowing those of the previous ones.

cond-mat.stat-mech↗
arXiv2007

On the non-Boltzmannian nature of quasi-stationary states in long-range interacting systems

We discuss the non-Boltzmannian nature of quasi-stationary states in the Hamiltonian Mean Field (HMF) model, a paradigmatic model for long-range interacting classical many-body systems. We present a theorem excluding the Boltzmann-Gibbs exponential weight in Gibbs $Γ$-space of microscopic configurations, and comment a paper recently published by Baldovin and Orlandini (2006). On the basis of the points here discussed, the ongoing debate on the possible application, within appropriate limits, of the generalized $q$-statistics to long-range Hamiltonian systems remains open.

cond-mat.stat-mech↗
arXiv2006

Opinion dynamics and synchronization in a network of scientific collaborations

In this paper we discuss opinion dynamics in the Opinion Changing Rate (OCR) model, recently proposed (A.Pluchino, V.Latora and A.Rapisarda Int. J. Mod. Phys. C, 16, No.4, 515-531 (2005)). The OCR model allows to study whether and how a group of social agents, with a different intrinsic tendency rate to change opinion, finds agreement. In particular, we implement the OCR model on a small graph describing the topology of a real social system. The nodes of the graph are scientists partecipating to the Tepoztlan conference, celebrating Alberto Robledo's 60th birthday, and the links are based on coauthorship in scientific papers. We study how opinions evolve in time according to the frequency rates of the nodes, to the coupling term, and also to the presence of group structures.

physics.soc-ph↗
arXiv2006

Reply to the Comment by T. Dauxois, F. Bouchet, S. Ruffo on the paper by A. Rapisarda and A. Pluchino, Europhysics News, 36 (2005) 202

In the comment by T.Dauxois et al.,(cond-mat/0605445), the authors question our application of the nonextensive statistical mechanics proposed by Tsallis, to explain the anomalous dynamics of the Hamiltonian Mean Field (HMF) model. More specifically they claim that the explanation of the metastability found in the out-of-equilibrium dynamics is only a fitting procedure and is also in contrast with a previous application. This criticism mostly relies on recent studies based on the Vlasov approach, where the authors claim to explain the anomalous behaviour of the HMF model in terms of a standard formalism. In order to reply to this comment we want to stress a few numerical facts and conclude with some final considerations. A recent paper by P-H. Chavanis (cond-mat/0604234) is also important to clarify the question here debated.

cond-mat.stat-mech↗
arXiv2006

Multifractal analysis of Mt. St. Helens seismicity as a tool for identifying eruptive activity

We present a multifractal analysis of Mount St. Helens seismic activity during 1980-2002. The seismic time distribution is studied in relation to the eruptive activity, mainly marked by the 1980 major explosive eruptions and by the 1980-1986 dome building eruptions. The spectrum of the generalized fractal dimensions, i.e. Dq vs q, extracted from the data, allows us to identify two main earthquake time-distribution patterns. The first one exhibits a multifractal clustering correlated to the intense seismic swarms of the dome building activity. The second one is characterized by an almost constant value of Dq 1, as for a random uniform distribution. The time evolution of Dq (for q=0,2) calculated on a fixed number of events window and at different depths, shows that the brittle mechanical response of the shallow layers to rapid magma intrusions, during the eruptive periods, is revealed by sharp changes, acting at a short time scale (order of days), and by the lowest values of Dq (0.3). Conversely, for deeper earthquakes, characterized by intense seismic swarms, Dq do not show obvious changes during the whole analyzed period, suggesting that the earthquakes, related to the deep magma supply system, are characterized by a minor degree of clustering, which is independent of the eruptive activity.

physics.geo-ph↗
arXiv2006

Compromise and Synchronization in Opinion Dynamics

We discuss two models of opinion dynamics. First wepresent a brief review of the Hegselmann and Krause (HK) compromise model in two dimensions, showing that it is possible to simulate the dynamics in the limit of an infinite number of agents by solving numerically a rate equation for a continuum distribution of opinions. Then, we discuss the Opinion Changing Rate (OCR) model, which allows to study under which conditions a group of agents with a different natural tendency (rate) to change opinion can find the agreement. In the context of the this model, consensus is viewed as a synchronization process.

physics.soc-ph↗
arXiv2006

Effective spin-glass Hamiltonian for the anomalous dynamics of the HMF model

We discuss an effective spin-glass Hamiltonian which can be used to study the glassy-like dynamics observed in the metastable states of the Hamiltonian Mean Field (HMF) model. By means of the Replica formalism, we were able to find a self-consistent equation for the glassy order parameter which reproduces, in a restricted energy region below the phase transition, the microcanonical simulations for the polarization order parameter recently introducted in the HMF model.

cond-mat.stat-mech↗
arXiv2005

Metastability in the Hamiltonian Mean Field model and Kuramoto model

We briefly discuss the state of the art on the anomalous dynamics of the Hamiltonian Mean Field model. We stress the important role of the initial conditions for understanding the microscopic nature of the intriguing metastable quasi stationary states observed in the model and the connections to Tsallis statistics and glassy dynamics. We also present new results on the existence of metastable states in the Kuramoto model and discuss the similarities with those found in the HMF model. The existence of metastability seem to be quite a common phenomenon in fully coupled systems, whose origin could be also interpreted as a dynamical mechanism preventing or hindering sinchronization.

cond-mat.stat-mech↗
arXiv2005

Olami-Feder-Christensen Model on different Networks

We investigate numerically the Self Organized Criticality (SOC) properties of the dissipative Olami-Feder-Christensen model on small-world and scale-free networks. We find that the small-world OFC model exhibits self-organized criticality. Indeed, in this case we observe power law behavior of earthquakes size distribution with finite size scaling for the cut-off region. In the scale-free OFC model, instead, the strength of disorder hinders synchronization and does not allow to reach a critical state.

cond-mat.stat-mech↗