arXiv subjects

Andrea Zorzi

Publications and source records attributed to Andrea Zorzi.

6 recordsLinked to original sources

arXiv2026

An Evolving Cosmic Shoreline and Sandbar Bounding the Rocky Airless Valley

Recent JWST observations challenge the traditional 'cosmic shoreline' from both sides, revealing thick volatile atmospheres on the hottest close-in 'lava worlds,' where irradiation should drive the most extreme escape, and bare rocky surfaces on cooler terrestrial planets around M dwarfs, where atmospheres would be expected to survive. Using a coupled atmosphere-interior evolution model, we show that atmosphere retention is governed not by a single escape boundary but by two: a hot, outgassing-regulated 'cosmic sandbar' and a cooler, escape-regulated 'cosmic shoreline,' separated by an 'airless valley' that may mark a graveyard of stripped sub-Neptune cores. The sandbar arises because long-lived magma oceans, sustained further by tidal heating from secular eccentricity excitation in multi-planet systems, keep most volatiles dissolved and expose only a small atmospheric reservoir to escape, whereas cooler planets solidify, sequestering volatiles in the deep solid mantle while overexposing the rest to loss. This two-regime structure recasts the single cosmic shoreline as two boundaries set by distinct physics: outgassing and escape. We provide time-evolving fits for both boundaries across G, K, and M stellar types as a function of volatile inventory, planetary mass, age, and tidal heating. Lava worlds with thick atmospheres are unlikely around stars cooler than K-type unless sustained by extreme tidal and/or other interior heating. This framework links atmosphere survival from USP lava worlds to habitable zone planets, informing target selection and interpretation for TRAPPIST-1 and JWST DDT characterization.

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arXiv2026

Coupled atmospHere Interior modeL Intercomparison (CHILI). I. Evolutionary Modelling -- Primordial Magma Oceans of Earth and Venus

Earth and Venus represent two evolutionary outcomes arising from initially molten 'magma ocean' periods, followed by lifetimes of chemical and geophysical divergence. Their physics is common to all rocky planets and is accessible to simulations that adopt coupled interior-atmosphere modelling approaches. Our understanding of planet histories and interpretation of current states is dependent on this modelling, yet existing codes vary in their approximations. Here, we present the first results from the Coupled atmospHere Interior modeL Intercomparison (CHILI) project; benchmarking planetary evolution codes in the context of Earth and Venus to identify key model sensitivities. Our 'nominal' Earth models predict magma ocean solidification timescales within 4 Myr of thermal evolution, and are consistent with empirical constraints on Earth's early history. Venus scenarios exhibit more diverse behaviours where prolonged magma ocean stages can be conditionally sustained for 50 Myr. Cooling timescales correlate with initial hydrogen and carbon budgets, but model-specific treatments of volatile partitioning and vertical energy transport introduce substantial inter-model variance. Different parametrisations of mantle geodynamics, convection, melting curves, rheological properties, and radiative transfer give rise to divergent evolutionary behaviours. Discrepancies in atmospheres generated by magma ocean outgassing underscore these differences, although C-H-O compositions with surface pressures exceeding 100 bar are favoured. This intercomparison identifies critical sensitivities in volatile partitioning, escape processes, mantle viscosity, and melting. Validating these treatments is essential for enabling deep insight into the early histories of the Solar System's terrestrial planets, and for drawing meaningful interpretations from ongoing observational exoplanet campaigns.

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arXiv2026

Coupled atmospHere Interior modeL Intercomparison (CHILI) Protocol Version 1.0: A CUISINES Intercomparison Project of Magma Ocean Models

Spectroscopic characterization of rocky exoplanets with the James Webb Space Telescope has brought the origin and evolution of their atmospheres into the focus of exoplanet science. Time-evolved models of the feedback between interior and atmosphere are critical to predict and interpret these observations and link them to the Solar System terrestrial planets. However, models differ in methodologies and input data, which can lead to significant differences in interpretation. In this paper, we present the experimental protocol of the Coupled atmospHere Interior modeL Intercomparison (CHILI) project. CHILI is an (exo-)planet model intercomparison project within the Climates Using Interactive Suites of Intercomparisons Nested for Exoplanet Studies (CUISINES) framework, which aims to support a diverse set of multi-model intercomparison projects in the exoplanet community. The present protocol includes the initial set of participating magma ocean models, divided into evolutionary and static models, and two types of test categories, one focused on Solar System planets (Earth & Venus) and the other on exoplanets orbiting low-mass M-dwarfs. Both test categories aim to quantify the evolution of key markers of the links between planetary atmospheres and interiors over geological timescales. The proposed tests would allow us to quantify and compare the differences between coupled atmosphere-interior models used by the exoplanet and planetary science communities. Results from the proposed tests will be published in dedicated follow-up papers. To encourage the community to join this comparison effort and as an example, we present initial test results for the early Earth and TRAPPIST-1 b, conducted with models differing in the treatment of energy transport in the planetary interior and atmosphere, surface boundary layer, geochemistry, and the in- and outgassing of volatile compounds.

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arXiv2025

Modeling Atmospheric Alteration on Titan: Hydrodynamics and Shock-Induced Chemistry of Meteoroid Entry

Meteoroid entry into planetary atmospheres generates bow shocks, resulting in high-temperature gas conditions that drive chemical reactions. In this paper, we perform three-dimensional hydrodynamic simulations of meteoroid entry using the Athena++ code, coupled with chemistry calculations via Cantera to model the non-equilibrium chemistry triggered by atmospheric entry. Our aerodynamical simulations reveal the formation of complex shock structures, including secondary shock waves, which influence the thermodynamic evolution of the gas medium. By tracking thermodynamic parameters along streamlines, we analyze the effects of shock heating and subsequent expansion cooling on chemical reaction pathways. Our results demonstrate that chemical quenching occurs when the cooling timescale surpasses reaction rates, leading to the formation of distinct chemical products that deviate from equilibrium predictions. We show that the efficiency of molecular synthesis depends on the object\textquotesingle s size and velocity, influencing the composition of the post-entry gas mixture. Applying our model to Titan, we demonstrate that organic matter can be synthesized in the present environment of Titan. Also, we find that nitrogen, the dominant atmospheric component, remains stable, while water vapor is efficiently removed, a result inconsistent with equilibrium chemistry assumptions. Moreover, we compare our simulation results with laser experiments and find good agreement in chemical yields. Finally, we also evaluate the impact on Titan\textquotesingle s atmosphere as a whole, showing that meteoroid entry events could have played a significant role in supplying molecules such as HCN during early Titan\textquotesingle s history.

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arXiv2024

Resilience of Snowball Earth to Stochastic Events

Earth went through at least two periods of global glaciation (i.e., ``Snowball Earth'' states) during the Neoproterozoic, the shortest of which (the Marinoan) may not have lasted sufficiently long for its termination to be explained by the gradual volcanic build-up of greenhouse gases in the atmosphere. Large asteroid impacts and supervolcanic eruptions have been suggested as stochastic geological events that could cause a sudden end to global glaciation via a runaway melting process. Here, we employ an energy balance climate model to simulate the evolution of Snowball Earth's surface temperature after such events. We find that even a large impactor (diameters of $d \sim 100\,\mathrm{km}$) and the supervolcanic Toba eruption ($74\,\mathrm{kyr}$ ago), are insufficient to terminate a Snowball state unless background CO$_2$ has already been driven to high levels by long-term outgassing. We suggest, according to our modeling framework, that Earth's Snowball states would have been resilient to termination by stochastic events.

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arXiv2023

Evolution of Neptune at Near-Infrared Wavelengths from 1994 through 2022

Using archival near-infrared observations from the Keck and Lick Observatories and the Hubble Space Telescope, we document the evolution of Neptune's cloud activity from 1994 to 2022. We calculate the fraction of Neptune's disk that contained clouds, as well as the average brightness of both cloud features and cloud-free background over the planet's disk. We observe cloud activity and brightness maxima during 2002 and 2015, and minima during 2007 and 2020, the latter of which is particularly deep. Neptune's lack of cloud activity in 2020 is characterized by a near-total loss of clouds at mid-latitudes and continued activity at the South Pole. We find that the periodic variations in Neptune's disk-averaged brightness in the near-infrared H (1.6 $μ$m), K (2.1 $μ$m), FWCH4P15 (893 nm), F953N (955 nm), FWCH4P15 (965 nm), and F845M (845 nm) bands are dominated by discrete cloud activity, rather than changes in the background haze. The clear positive correlation we find between cloud activity and Solar Lyman-Alpha (121.56 nm) irradiance lends support to the theory that the periodicity in Neptune's cloud activity results from photochemical cloud/haze production triggered by Solar ultraviolet emissions.

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