arXiv subjects

Andreas Krause

Publications and source records attributed to Andreas Krause.

At least 235 records · Page 13Linked to original sources

arXiv2020

Learning to Play Sequential Games versus Unknown Opponents

We consider a repeated sequential game between a learner, who plays first, and an opponent who responds to the chosen action. We seek to design strategies for the learner to successfully interact with the opponent. While most previous approaches consider known opponent models, we focus on the setting in which the opponent's model is unknown. To this end, we use kernel-based regularity assumptions to capture and exploit the structure in the opponent's response. We propose a novel algorithm for the learner when playing against an adversarial sequence of opponents. The algorithm combines ideas from bilevel optimization and online learning to effectively balance between exploration (learning about the opponent's model) and exploitation (selecting highly rewarding actions for the learner). Our results include algorithm's regret guarantees that depend on the regularity of the opponent's response and scale sublinearly with the number of game rounds. Moreover, we specialize our approach to repeated Stackelberg games, and empirically demonstrate its effectiveness in a traffic routing and wildlife conservation task

cs.LG↗

arXiv2020

Continuous Submodular Function Maximization

Continuous submodular functions are a category of generally non-convex/non-concave functions with a wide spectrum of applications. The celebrated property of this class of functions - continuous submodularity - enables both exact minimization and approximate maximization in poly. time. Continuous submodularity is obtained by generalizing the notion of submodularity from discrete domains to continuous domains. It intuitively captures a repulsive effect amongst different dimensions of the defined multivariate function. In this paper, we systematically study continuous submodularity and a class of non-convex optimization problems: continuous submodular function maximization. We start by a thorough characterization of the class of continuous submodular functions, and show that continuous submodularity is equivalent to a weak version of the diminishing returns (DR) property. Thus we also derive a subclass of continuous submodular functions, termed continuous DR-submodular functions, which enjoys the full DR property. Then we present operations that preserve continuous (DR-)submodularity, thus yielding general rules for composing new submodular functions. We establish intriguing properties for the problem of constrained DR-submodular maximization, such as the local-global relation. We identify several applications of continuous submodular optimization, ranging from influence maximization, MAP inference for DPPs to provable mean field inference. For these applications, continuous submodularity formalizes valuable domain knowledge relevant for optimizing this class of objectives. We present inapproximability results and provable algorithms for two problem settings: constrained monotone DR-submodular maximization and constrained non-monotone DR-submodular maximization. Finally, we extensively evaluate the effectiveness of the proposed algorithms.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2020

Structured Variational Inference in Unstable Gaussian Process State Space Models

We propose a new variational inference algorithm for learning in Gaussian Process State-Space Models (GPSSMs). Our algorithm enables learning of unstable and partially observable systems, where previous algorithms fail. Our main algorithmic contribution is a novel approximate posterior that can be calculated efficiently using a single forward and backward pass along the training trajectories. The forward-backward pass is inspired on Kalman smoothing for linear dynamical systems but generalizes to GPSSMs. Our second contribution is a modification of the conditioning step that effectively lowers the Kalman gain. This modification is crucial to attaining good test performance where no measurements are available. Finally, we show experimentally that our learning algorithm performs well in stable and unstable real systems with hidden states.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2020

From Sets to Multisets: Provable Variational Inference for Probabilistic Integer Submodular Models

Submodular functions have been studied extensively in machine learning and data mining. In particular, the optimization of submodular functions over the integer lattice (integer submodular functions) has recently attracted much interest, because this domain relates naturally to many practical problem settings, such as multilabel graph cut, budget allocation and revenue maximization with discrete assignments. In contrast, the use of these functions for probabilistic modeling has received surprisingly little attention so far. In this work, we firstly propose the Generalized Multilinear Extension, a continuous DR-submodular extension for integer submodular functions. We study central properties of this extension and formulate a new probabilistic model which is defined through integer submodular functions. Then, we introduce a block-coordinate ascent algorithm to perform approximate inference for those class of models. Finally, we demonstrate its effectiveness and viability on several real-world social connection graph datasets with integer submodular objectives.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2020

Hierarchical Image Classification using Entailment Cone Embeddings

Image classification has been studied extensively, but there has been limited work in using unconventional, external guidance other than traditional image-label pairs for training. We present a set of methods for leveraging information about the semantic hierarchy embedded in class labels. We first inject label-hierarchy knowledge into an arbitrary CNN-based classifier and empirically show that availability of such external semantic information in conjunction with the visual semantics from images boosts overall performance. Taking a step further in this direction, we model more explicitly the label-label and label-image interactions using order-preserving embeddings governed by both Euclidean and hyperbolic geometries, prevalent in natural language, and tailor them to hierarchical image classification and representation learning. We empirically validate all the models on the hierarchical ETHEC dataset.

cs.CV↗

arXiv2020

Bayesian Optimization with Safety Constraints: Safe and Automatic Parameter Tuning in Robotics

Robotic algorithms typically depend on various parameters, the choice of which significantly affects the robot's performance. While an initial guess for the parameters may be obtained from dynamic models of the robot, parameters are usually tuned manually on the real system to achieve the best performance. Optimization algorithms, such as Bayesian optimization, have been used to automate this process. However, these methods may evaluate unsafe parameters during the optimization process that lead to safety-critical system failures. Recently, a safe Bayesian optimization algorithm, called SafeOpt, has been developed, which guarantees that the performance of the system never falls below a critical value; that is, safety is defined based on the performance function. However, coupling performance and safety is often not desirable in robotics. For example, high-gain controllers might achieve low average tracking error (performance), but can overshoot and violate input constraints. In this paper, we present a generalized algorithm that allows for multiple safety constraints separate from the objective. Given an initial set of safe parameters, the algorithm maximizes performance but only evaluates parameters that satisfy safety for all constraints with high probability. To this end, it carefully explores the parameter space by exploiting regularity assumptions in terms of a Gaussian process prior. Moreover, we show how context variables can be used to safely transfer knowledge to new situations and tasks. We provide a theoretical analysis and demonstrate that the proposed algorithm enables fast, automatic, and safe optimization of tuning parameters in experiments on a quadrotor vehicle.

cs.RO↗

arXiv2020

Distributionally Robust Bayesian Optimization

Robustness to distributional shift is one of the key challenges of contemporary machine learning. Attaining such robustness is the goal of distributionally robust optimization, which seeks a solution to an optimization problem that is worst-case robust under a specified distributional shift of an uncontrolled covariate. In this paper, we study such a problem when the distributional shift is measured via the maximum mean discrepancy (MMD). For the setting of zeroth-order, noisy optimization, we present a novel distributionally robust Bayesian optimization algorithm (DRBO). Our algorithm provably obtains sub-linear robust regret in various settings that differ in how the uncertain covariate is observed. We demonstrate the robust performance of our method on both synthetic and real-world benchmarks.

stat.ML↗

arXiv2020

SLEIPNIR: Deterministic and Provably Accurate Feature Expansion for Gaussian Process Regression with Derivatives

Gaussian processes are an important regression tool with excellent analytic properties which allow for direct integration of derivative observations. However, vanilla GP methods scale cubically in the amount of observations. In this work, we propose a novel approach for scaling GP regression with derivatives based on quadrature Fourier features. We then prove deterministic, non-asymptotic and exponentially fast decaying error bounds which apply for both the approximated kernel as well as the approximated posterior. To furthermore illustrate the practical applicability of our method, we then apply it to ODIN, a recently developed algorithm for ODE parameter inference. In an extensive experiments section, all results are empirically validated, demonstrating the speed, accuracy, and practical applicability of this approach.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2020

Corruption-Tolerant Gaussian Process Bandit Optimization

We consider the problem of optimizing an unknown (typically non-convex) function with a bounded norm in some Reproducing Kernel Hilbert Space (RKHS), based on noisy bandit feedback. We consider a novel variant of this problem in which the point evaluations are not only corrupted by random noise, but also adversarial corruptions. We introduce an algorithm Fast-Slow GP-UCB based on Gaussian process methods, randomized selection between two instances labeled "fast" (but non-robust) and "slow" (but robust), enlarged confidence bounds, and the principle of optimism under uncertainty. We present a novel theoretical analysis upper bounding the cumulative regret in terms of the corruption level, the time horizon, and the underlying kernel, and we argue that certain dependencies cannot be improved. We observe that distinct algorithmic ideas are required depending on whether one is required to perform well in both the corrupted and non-corrupted settings, and whether the corruption level is known or not.

stat.ML↗

arXiv2020

Mixed Strategies for Robust Optimization of Unknown Objectives

We consider robust optimization problems, where the goal is to optimize an unknown objective function against the worst-case realization of an uncertain parameter. For this setting, we design a novel sample-efficient algorithm GP-MRO, which sequentially learns about the unknown objective from noisy point evaluations. GP-MRO seeks to discover a robust and randomized mixed strategy, that maximizes the worst-case expected objective value. To achieve this, it combines techniques from online learning with nonparametric confidence bounds from Gaussian processes. Our theoretical results characterize the number of samples required by GP-MRO to discover a robust near-optimal mixed strategy for different GP kernels of interest. We experimentally demonstrate the performance of our algorithm on synthetic datasets and on human-assisted trajectory planning tasks for autonomous vehicles. In our simulations, we show that robust deterministic strategies can be overly conservative, while the mixed strategies found by GP-MRO significantly improve the overall performance.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2020

Information Directed Sampling for Linear Partial Monitoring

Partial monitoring is a rich framework for sequential decision making under uncertainty that generalizes many well known bandit models, including linear, combinatorial and dueling bandits. We introduce information directed sampling (IDS) for stochastic partial monitoring with a linear reward and observation structure. IDS achieves adaptive worst-case regret rates that depend on precise observability conditions of the game. Moreover, we prove lower bounds that classify the minimax regret of all finite games into four possible regimes. IDS achieves the optimal rate in all cases up to logarithmic factors, without tuning any hyper-parameters. We further extend our results to the contextual and the kernelized setting, which significantly increases the range of possible applications.

stat.ML↗

arXiv2020

Noise Regularization for Conditional Density Estimation

Modelling statistical relationships beyond the conditional mean is crucial in many settings. Conditional density estimation (CDE) aims to learn the full conditional probability density from data. Though highly expressive, neural network based CDE models can suffer from severe over-fitting when trained with the maximum likelihood objective. Due to the inherent structure of such models, classical regularization approaches in the parameter space are rendered ineffective. To address this issue, we develop a model-agnostic noise regularization method for CDE that adds random perturbations to the data during training. We demonstrate that the proposed approach corresponds to a smoothness regularization and prove its asymptotic consistency. In our experiments, noise regularization significantly and consistently outperforms other regularization methods across seven data sets and three CDE models. The effectiveness of noise regularization makes neural network based CDE the preferable method over previous non- and semi-parametric approaches, even when training data is scarce.

stat.ML↗

arXiv2020

Convergence Analysis of Block Coordinate Algorithms with Determinantal Sampling

We analyze the convergence rate of the randomized Newton-like method introduced by Qu et. al. (2016) for smooth and convex objectives, which uses random coordinate blocks of a Hessian-over-approximation matrix $\bM$ instead of the true Hessian. The convergence analysis of the algorithm is challenging because of its complex dependence on the structure of $\bM$. However, we show that when the coordinate blocks are sampled with probability proportional to their determinant, the convergence rate depends solely on the eigenvalue distribution of matrix $\bM$, and has an analytically tractable form. To do so, we derive a fundamental new expectation formula for determinantal point processes. We show that determinantal sampling allows us to reason about the optimal subset size of blocks in terms of the spectrum of $\bM$. Additionally, we provide a numerical evaluation of our analysis, demonstrating cases where determinantal sampling is superior or on par with uniform sampling.

math.NA↗

arXiv2019

Log Barriers for Safe Non-convex Black-box Optimization

We address the problem of minimizing a smooth function $f^0(x)$ over a compact set $D$ defined by smooth functional constraints $f^i(x)\leq 0,~ i = 1,\ldots, m$ given noisy value measurements of $f^i(x)$. This problem arises in safety-critical applications, where certain parameters need to be adapted online in a data-driven fashion, such as in personalized medicine, robotics, manufacturing, etc. In such cases, it is important to ensure constraints are not violated while taking measurements and seeking the minimum of the cost function. We propose a new algorithm s0-LBM, which provides provably feasible iterates with high probability and applies to the challenging case of uncertain zero-th order oracle. We also analyze the convergence rate of the algorithm, and empirically demonstrate its effectiveness.

math.OC↗

arXiv2019

Safe Convex Learning under Uncertain Constraints

We address the problem of minimizing a convex smooth function $f(x)$ over a compact polyhedral set $D$ given a stochastic zeroth-order constraint feedback model. This problem arises in safety-critical machine learning applications, such as personalized medicine and robotics. In such cases, one needs to ensure constraints are satisfied while exploring the decision space to find optimum of the loss function. We propose a new variant of the Frank-Wolfe algorithm, which applies to the case of uncertain linear constraints. Using robust optimization, we provide the convergence rate of the algorithm while guaranteeing feasibility of all iterates, with high probability.

math.OC↗

arXiv2019

Mathematical Notions vs. Human Perception of Fairness: A Descriptive Approach to Fairness for Machine Learning

Fairness for Machine Learning has received considerable attention, recently. Various mathematical formulations of fairness have been proposed, and it has been shown that it is impossible to satisfy all of them simultaneously. The literature so far has dealt with these impossibility results by quantifying the tradeoffs between different formulations of fairness. Our work takes a different perspective on this issue. Rather than requiring all notions of fairness to (partially) hold at the same time, we ask which one of them is the most appropriate given the societal domain in which the decision-making model is to be deployed. We take a descriptive approach and set out to identify the notion of fairness that best captures \emph{lay people's perception of fairness}. We run adaptive experiments designed to pinpoint the most compatible notion of fairness with each participant's choices through a small number of tests. Perhaps surprisingly, we find that the most simplistic mathematical definition of fairness---namely, demographic parity---most closely matches people's idea of fairness in two distinct application scenarios. This conclusion remains intact even when we explicitly tell the participants about the alternative, more complicated definitions of fairness, and we reduce the cognitive burden of evaluating those notions for them. Our findings have important implications for the Fair ML literature and the discourse on formalizing algorithmic fairness.

cs.CY↗

arXiv2019

ODIN: ODE-Informed Regression for Parameter and State Inference in Time-Continuous Dynamical Systems

Parameter inference in ordinary differential equations is an important problem in many applied sciences and in engineering, especially in a data-scarce setting. In this work, we introduce a novel generative modeling approach based on constrained Gaussian processes and leverage it to build a computationally and data efficient algorithm for state and parameter inference. In an extensive set of experiments, our approach outperforms the current state of the art for parameter inference both in terms of accuracy and computational cost. It also shows promising results for the much more challenging problem of model selection.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2019

Stochastic Bandits with Context Distributions

We introduce a stochastic contextual bandit model where at each time step the environment chooses a distribution over a context set and samples the context from this distribution. The learner observes only the context distribution while the exact context realization remains hidden. This allows for a broad range of applications where the context is stochastic or when the learner needs to predict the context. We leverage the UCB algorithm to this setting and show that it achieves an order-optimal high-probability bound on the cumulative regret for linear and kernelized reward functions. Our results strictly generalize previous work in the sense that both our model and the algorithm reduce to the standard setting when the environment chooses only Dirac delta distributions and therefore provides the exact context to the learner. We further analyze a variant where the learner observes the realized context after choosing the action. Finally, we demonstrate the proposed method on synthetic and real-world datasets.

stat.ML↗