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Andrei Mesinger

Publications and source records attributed to Andrei Mesinger.

At least 55 records · Page 3Linked to original sources

Deep learning approach for identification of HII regions during reionization in 21-cm observations -- II. foreground contamination

The upcoming Square Kilometre Array Observatory (SKAO) will produce images of neutral hydrogen distribution during the epoch of reionization by observing the corresponding 21-cm signal. However, the 21-cm signal will be subject to instrumental limitations such as noise and galactic foreground contamination which pose a challenge for accurate detection. In this study, we present the SegU-Net v2 framework, an enhanced version of our convolutional neural network, built to identify neutral and ionized regions in the 21-cm signal contaminated with foreground emission. We trained our neural network on 21-cm image data processed by a foreground removal method based on Principal Component Analysis achieving an average classification accuracy of 71 per cent between redshift $z=7$ to $11$. We tested SegU-Net v2 against various foreground removal methods, including Gaussian Process Regression, Polynomial Fitting, and Foreground-Wedge Removal. Results show comparable performance, highlighting SegU-Net v2's independence on these pre-processing methods. Statistical analysis shows that a perfect classification score with $AUC=95\%$ is possible for $8 (10\, {\rm cMpc})^3$ at $z>9$, for follow-up studies with infrared/optical telescopes to detect these sources.

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Hydrogen Epoch of Reionization Array (HERA) Phase II Deployment and Commissioning

This paper presents the design and deployment of the Hydrogen Epoch of Reionization Array (HERA) phase II system. HERA is designed as a staged experiment targeting 21 cm emission measurements of the Epoch of Reionization. First results from the phase I array are published as of early 2022, and deployment of the phase II system is nearing completion. We describe the design of the phase II system and discuss progress on commissioning and future upgrades. As HERA is a designated Square Kilometer Array (SKA) pathfinder instrument, we also show a number of "case studies" that investigate systematics seen while commissioning the phase II system, which may be of use in the design and operation of future arrays. Common pathologies are likely to manifest in similar ways across instruments, and many of these sources of contamination can be mitigated once the source is identified.

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Measurements of the $z > 5$ Lyman-$α$ forest flux auto-correlation functions from the extended XQR-30 data set

Recently, the Lyman-$α$ (Ly$α$) forest flux auto-correlation function has been shown to be sensitive to the mean free path of hydrogen-ionizing photons, $λ_{\text{mfp}}$, for simulations at $z \geq 5.4$. Measuring $λ_{\text{mfp}}$ at these redshifts will give vital information on the ending of reionization. Here we present the first observational measurements of the Ly$α$ forest flux auto-correlation functions in ten redshift bins from $5.1 \leq z \leq 6.0$. We use a sample of 35 quasar sightlines at $z > 5.7$ from the extended XQR-30 data set, this data has signal-to-noise ratios of $> 20$ per spectral pixel. We carefully account for systematic errors in continuum reconstruction, instrumentation, and contamination by damped Ly$α$ systems. With these measurements, we introduce software tools to generate auto-correlation function measurements from any simulation. For an initial comparison, we show our auto-correlation measurements with simulation models for recently measured $λ_{\text{mfp}}$ values and find good agreements. Further work in modeling and understanding the covariance matrices of the data is necessary to get robust measurements of $λ_{\text{mfp}}$ from this data.

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Probing Ultra-late Reionization: Direct Measurements of the Mean Free Path over $5<z<6$

The mean free path of ionizing photons, $λ_{\rm mfp}$, is a critical parameter for modeling the intergalactic medium (IGM) both during and after reionization. We present direct measurements of $λ_{\rm mfp}$ from QSO spectra over the redshift range $5<z<6$, including the first measurements at $z\simeq5.3$ and 5.6. Our sample includes data from the XQR-30 VLT large program, as well as new Keck/ESI observations of QSOs near $z \sim 5.5$, for which we also acquire new [C II] 158$μ$m redshifts with ALMA. By measuring the Lyman continuum transmission profile in stacked QSO spectra, we find $λ_{\rm mfp} = 9.33_{-1.80}^{+2.06}$, $5.40_{-1.40}^{+1.47}$, $3.31_{-1.34}^{+2.74}$, and $0.81_{-0.48}^{+0.73}$ pMpc at $z=5.08$, 5.31, 5.65, and 5.93, respectively. Our results demonstrate that $λ_{\rm mfp}$ increases steadily and rapidly with time over $5<z<6$. Notably, we find that $λ_{\rm mfp}$ deviates significantly from predictions based on a fully ionized and relaxed IGM as late as $z=5.3$. By comparing our results to model predictions and indirect $λ_{\rm mfp}$ constraints based on IGM Ly$α$ opacity, we find that the $λ_{\rm mfp}$ evolution is consistent with scenarios wherein the IGM is still undergoing reionization and/or retains large fluctuations in the ionizing UV background well below redshift six.

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On the general nature of 21cm-Lyman-$α$ emitters cross-correlations during reionisation

We explore how the characteristics of the cross-correlation functions between the 21cm emission from the spin-flip transition of neutral hydrogen (HI) and early Lyman-$α$ (Ly$α$) radiation emitting galaxies (Ly$α$ emitters, LAEs) depend on the reionisation history and topology and the simulated volume. For this purpose, we develop an analytic expression for the 21cm-LAE cross-correlation function and compare it to results derived from different Astraeus and 21cmFAST reionisation simulations covering a physically plausible range of scenarios where either low-mass ($<10^{9.5}M_\odot$) or massive ($>10^{9.5}M_\odot$) galaxies drive reionisation. Our key findings are: (i) the negative small-scale ($<2$ cMpc) cross-correlation amplitude scales with the intergalactic medium's (IGM) average HI fraction ($\langleχ_\mathrm{HI}\rangle$) and spin-temperature weighted overdensity in neutral regions ($\langle1+δ\rangle_\mathrm{HI}$); (ii) the inversion point of the cross-correlation function traces the peak of the size distribution of ionised regions around LAEs; (iii) the cross-correlation amplitude at small scales is sensitive to the reionisation topology, with its anti-correlation or correlation decreasing the stronger the ionising emissivity of the underlying galaxy population is correlated to the cosmic web gas distribution (i.e. the more low-mass galaxies drive reionisation); (iv) the required simulation volume to not underpredict the 21cm-LAE anti-correlation amplitude when the cross-correlation is derived via the cross-power spectrum rises as the size of ionised regions and their variance increases. Our analytic expression can serve two purposes: to test whether simulation volumes are sufficiently large, and to act as a fitting function when cross-correlating future 21cm signal Square Kilometre Array and LAE galaxy observations.

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21cmfish: Fisher-matrix framework for fast parameter forecasts from the cosmic 21-cm signal

The 21-cm signal from neutral hydrogen in the early universe will provide unprecedented information about the first stars and galaxies. Extracting this information, however, requires accounting for many unknown astrophysical processes. Semi-numerical simulations are key for exploring the vast parameter space of said processes. These simulations use approximate techniques such as excursion-set and perturbation theory to model the 3D evolution of the intergalactic medium, at a fraction of the computational cost of hydrodynamic and/or radiative transfer simulations. However, exploring the enormous parameter space of the first galaxies can still be computationally expensive. Here we introduce 21cmfish, a Fisher-matrix wrapper for the semi-numerical simulation 21cmFAST. 21cmfish facilitates efficient parameter forecasts, scaling to significantly higher dimensionalities than MCMC approaches, assuming a multi-variate Gaussian posterior. Our method produces comparable parameter uncertainty forecasts to previous MCMC analyses but requires ~10$^4$x fewer simulations. This enables a rapid way to prototype analyses adding new physics and/or additional parameters. We carry out a forecast for HERA using the largest astrophysical parameter space to-date, with 10 free parameters, spanning both population II and III star formation. We find X-ray parameters for the first galaxies could be measured to sub-percent precision, and, though they are highly degenerate, the stellar-to-halo mass relation and ionizing photon escape fraction for population II and III galaxies can be constrained to ~10% precision (logarithmic quantities). Using a principal component analysis we find HERA is most sensitive to the product of the ionizing escape fraction and the stellar-to-halo mass fraction for population II galaxies.

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Exploring the likelihood of the 21-cm power spectrum with simulation-based inference

Observations of the cosmic 21-cm power spectrum (PS) are starting to enable precision Bayesian inference of galaxy properties and physical cosmology, during the first billion years of our Universe. Here we investigate the impact of common approximations about the likelihood used in such inferences, including: (i) assuming a Gaussian functional form; (ii) estimating the mean from a single realization; and (iii) estimating the (co)variance at a single point in parameter space. We compare "classical" inference that uses an explicit likelihood with simulation based inference (SBI) that estimates the likelihood from a training set. Our forward-models include: (i) realizations of the cosmic 21-cm signal computed with 21cmFAST by varying UV and X-ray galaxy parameters together with the initial conditions; (ii) realizations of the telescope noise corresponding to a 1000 h integration with SKA1-Low; (iii) the excision of Fourier modes corresponding to a foreground-dominated, horizon "wedge". We find that the 1D PS likelihood is well described by a Gaussian accounting for covariances between wavemodes and redshift bins (higher order correlations are small). However, common approaches of estimating the forward-modeled mean and (co)variance from a random realization or at a single point in parameter space result in biased and over-constrained posteriors. Our best results come from using SBI to fit a non-Gaussian likelihood with a Gaussian mixture neural density estimator. Such SBI can be performed with up to an order of magnitude fewer simulations than classical, explicit likelihood inference. Thus SBI provides accurate posteriors at a comparably low computational cost.

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The reionising bubble size distribution around galaxies

Constraining when and how reionisation began is pivotal for understanding when the first galaxies formed. Lyman-alpha (Ly$α$) emission from galaxies is currently our most promising probe of these early stages. At z>7 the majority of galaxies detected with Ly$α$ are in candidate overdensities. Here we quantify the probability of these galaxies residing in large ionised bubbles. We create (1.6 Gpc)$^3$ reionising intergalactic medium (IGM) simulations, providing sufficient volume to robustly measure bubble size distributions around UV-bright galaxies and rare overdensities. We find $M_{\rm UV} \lesssim -16$ galaxies and overdensities are $\gtrsim$10-1000x more likely to trace ionised bubbles compared to randomly selected positions. The brightest galaxies and strongest overdensities have bubble size distributions with highest characteristic size and least scatter. We compare two models: gradual reionisation driven by numerous UV-faint galaxies versus more rapid reionisation by rarer brighter galaxies, producing larger bubbles at fixed neutral fraction. We demonstrate that recently observed z~7 overdensities are highly likely to trace large ionised bubbles, corroborated by their high Ly$α$ detection rates. However, the z~8.7 association of Ly$α$ emitters in EGS and GN-z11, with Ly$α$ at z=10.6, are unlikely to trace large bubbles in our fiducial model -- 11% and 7% probability of >1 proper Mpc bubbles, respectively. Ly$α$ detections at such high redshifts could be explained by: a less neutral IGM than previously expected; larger ionised regions at fixed neutral fraction; or if intrinsic Ly$α$ flux is unusually strong in these galaxies. We discuss how to test these scenarios with JWST and the prospects for using upcoming wide-area surveys to distinguish between reionisation models.

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Characterization Of Inpaint Residuals In Interferometric Measurements of the Epoch Of Reionization

Radio Frequency Interference (RFI) is one of the systematic challenges preventing 21cm interferometric instruments from detecting the Epoch of Reionization. To mitigate the effects of RFI on data analysis pipelines, numerous inpaint techniques have been developed to restore RFI corrupted data. We examine the qualitative and quantitative errors introduced into the visibilities and power spectrum due to inpainting. We perform our analysis on simulated data as well as real data from the Hydrogen Epoch of Reionization Array (HERA) Phase 1 upper limits. We also introduce a convolutional neural network that capable of inpainting RFI corrupted data in interferometric instruments. We train our network on simulated data and show that our network is capable at inpainting real data without requiring to be retrained. We find that techniques that incorporate high wavenumbers in delay space in their modeling are best suited for inpainting over narrowband RFI. We also show that with our fiducial parameters Discrete Prolate Spheroidal Sequences (DPSS) and CLEAN provide the best performance for intermittent ``narrowband'' RFI while Gaussian Progress Regression (GPR) and Least Squares Spectral Analysis (LSSA) provide the best performance for larger RFI gaps. However we caution that these qualitative conclusions are sensitive to the chosen hyperparameters of each inpainting technique. We find these results to be consistent in both simulated and real visibilities. We show that all inpainting techniques reliably reproduce foreground dominated modes in the power spectrum. Since the inpainting techniques should not be capable of reproducing noise realizations, we find that the largest errors occur in the noise dominated delay modes. We show that in the future, as the noise level of the data comes down, CLEAN and DPSS are most capable of reproducing the fine frequency structure in the visibilities of HERA data.

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Search for the Epoch of Reionisation with HERA: Upper Limits on the Closure Phase Delay Power Spectrum

Radio interferometers aiming to measure the power spectrum of the redshifted 21 cm line during the Epoch of Reionisation (EoR) need to achieve an unprecedented dynamic range to separate the weak signal from overwhelming foreground emissions. Calibration inaccuracies can compromise the sensitivity of these measurements to the effect that a detection of the EoR is precluded. An alternative to standard analysis techniques makes use of the closure phase, which allows one to bypass antenna-based direction-independent calibration. Similarly to standard approaches, we use a delay spectrum technique to search for the EoR signal. Using 94 nights of data observed with Phase I of the Hydrogen Epoch of Reionization Array (HERA), we place approximate constraints on the 21 cm power spectrum at $z=7.7$. We find at 95% confidence that the 21 cm EoR brightness temperature is $\le$(372)$^2$ "pseudo" mK$^2$ at 1.14 "pseudo" $h$ Mpc$^{-1}$, where the "pseudo" emphasises that these limits are to be interpreted as approximations to the actual distance scales and brightness temperatures. Using a fiducial EoR model, we demonstrate the feasibility of detecting the EoR with the full array. Compared to standard methods, the closure phase processing is relatively simple, thereby providing an important independent check on results derived using visibility intensities, or related.

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Improved Constraints on the 21 cm EoR Power Spectrum and the X-Ray Heating of the IGM with HERA Phase I Observations

We report the most sensitive upper limits to date on the 21 cm epoch of reionization power spectrum using 94 nights of observing with Phase I of the Hydrogen Epoch of Reionization Array (HERA). Using similar analysis techniques as in previously reported limits (HERA Collaboration 2022a), we find at 95% confidence that $Δ^2(k = 0.34$ $h$ Mpc$^{-1}$) $\leq 457$ mK$^2$ at $z = 7.9$ and that $Δ^2 (k = 0.36$ $h$ Mpc$^{-1}) \leq 3,496$ mK$^2$ at $z = 10.4$, an improvement by a factor of 2.1 and 2.6 respectively. These limits are mostly consistent with thermal noise over a wide range of $k$ after our data quality cuts, despite performing a relatively conservative analysis designed to minimize signal loss. Our results are validated with both statistical tests on the data and end-to-end pipeline simulations. We also report updated constraints on the astrophysics of reionization and the cosmic dawn. Using multiple independent modeling and inference techniques previously employed by HERA Collaboration (2022b), we find that the intergalactic medium must have been heated above the adiabatic cooling limit at least as early as $z = 10.4$, ruling out a broad set of so-called "cold reionization" scenarios. If this heating is due to high-mass X-ray binaries during the cosmic dawn, as is generally believed, our result's 99% credible interval excludes the local relationship between soft X-ray luminosity and star formation and thus requires heating driven by evolved low-metallicity stars.

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Impact of instrument and data characteristics in the interferometric reconstruction of the 21 cm power spectrum

Combining the visibilities measured by an interferometer to form a cosmological power spectrum is a complicated process. In a delay-based analysis, the mapping between instrumental and cosmological space is not a one-to-one relation. Instead, neighbouring modes contribute to the power measured at one point, with their respective contributions encoded in the window functions. To better understand the power measured by an interferometer, we assess the impact of instrument characteristics and analysis choices on these window functions. Focusing on the Hydrogen Epoch of Reionization Array (HERA) as a case study, we find that long-baseline observations correspond to enhanced low-k tails of the window functions, which facilitate foreground leakage, whilst an informed choice of bandwidth and frequency taper can reduce said tails. With simple test cases and realistic simulations, we show that, apart from tracing mode mixing, the window functions help accurately reconstruct the power spectrum estimator of simulated visibilities. The window functions depend strongly on the beam chromaticity, and less on its spatial structure - a Gaussian approximation, ignoring side lobes, is sufficient. Finally, we investigate the potential of asymmetric window functions, down-weighting the contribution of low-k power to avoid foreground leakage. The window functions presented here correspond to the latest HERA upper limits for the full Phase I data. They allow an accurate reconstruction of the power spectrum measured by the instrument and will be used in future analyses to confront theoretical models and data directly in cylindrical space.

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HERA Phase I Limits on the Cosmic 21-cm Signal: Constraints on Astrophysics and Cosmology During the Epoch of Reionization

Recently, the Hydrogen Epoch of Reionization Array (HERA) collaboration has produced the experiment's first upper limits on the power spectrum of 21-cm fluctuations at z~8 and 10. Here, we use several independent theoretical models to infer constraints on the intergalactic medium (IGM) and galaxies during the epoch of reionization (EoR) from these limits. We find that the IGM must have been heated above the adiabatic cooling threshold by z~8, independent of uncertainties about the IGM ionization state and the nature of the radio background. Combining HERA limits with galaxy and EoR observations constrains the spin temperature of the z~8 neutral IGM to 27 K < T_S < 630 K (2.3 K < T_S < 640 K) at 68% (95%) confidence. They therefore also place a lower bound on X-ray heating, a previously unconstrained aspects of early galaxies. For example, if the CMB dominates the z~8 radio background, the new HERA limits imply that the first galaxies produced X-rays more efficiently than local ones (with soft band X-ray luminosities per star formation rate constrained to L_X/SFR = { 10^40.2, 10^41.9 } erg/s/(M_sun/yr) at 68% confidence), consistent with expectations of X-ray binaries in low-metallicity environments. The z~10 limits require even earlier heating if dark-matter interactions (e.g., through millicharges) cool down the hydrogen gas. Using a model in which an extra radio background is produced by galaxies, we rule out (at 95% confidence) the combination of high radio and low X-ray luminosities of L_{r,ν}/SFR > 3.9 x 10^24 W/Hz/(M_sun/yr) and L_X/SFR<10^40 erg/s/(M_sun/yr). The new HERA upper limits neither support nor disfavor a cosmological interpretation of the recent EDGES detection. The analysis framework described here provides a foundation for the interpretation of future HERA results.

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Direct Optimal Mapping for 21cm Cosmology: A Demonstration with the Hydrogen Epoch of Reionization Array

Motivated by the desire for wide-field images with well-defined statistical properties for 21cm cosmology, we implement an optimal mapping pipeline that computes a maximum likelihood estimator for the sky using the interferometric measurement equation. We demonstrate this direct optimal mapping with data from the Hydrogen Epoch of Reionization (HERA) Phase I observations. After validating the pipeline with simulated data, we develop a maximum likelihood figure-of-merit for comparing four sky models at 166MHz with a bandwidth of 100kHz. The HERA data agree with the GLEAM catalogs to <10%. After subtracting the GLEAM point sources, the HERA data discriminate between the different continuum sky models, providing most support for the model of Byrne et al. 2021. We report the computation cost for mapping the HERA Phase I data and project the computation for the HERA 320-antenna data; both are feasible with a modern server. The algorithm is broadly applicable to other interferometers and is valid for wide-field and non-coplanar arrays.

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Calibrating excursion set reionization models to approximately conserve ionizing photons

The excursion set reionization framework is widely used, due to its speed and accuracy in reproducing the 3D topology of reionization. However, it is known that it does not conserve photon number. Here, we introduce an efficient, on-the-fly recipe to approximately account for photon conservation. Using a flexible galaxy model shown to reproduce current high-$z$ observables, we quantify the bias in the inferred reionization history and galaxy properties resulting from the non-conservation of ionizing photons. Using a mock 21-cm observation, we perform inference with and without correcting for ionizing photon conservation. We find that ignoring photon conservation results in very modest biases in the inferred galaxy properties, for our fiducial model. The notable exception is in the power-law scaling of the ionizing escape fraction with halo mass, which can be biased from the true value by $\sim2.4σ$ (corresponding to $\sim0.2$ in the power-law index). Our scheme is implemented in the public code ${\tt 21cmFAST}$.

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A galaxy-free phenomenological model for the 21-cm power spectrum during reionization

Upper limits from the current generation of interferometers targeting the 21-cm signal from high redshifts have recently begun to rule out physically realistic, though still extreme, models of the Epoch of Reionization (EoR). While inferring the detailed properties of the first galaxies is one of the most important motivations for measuring the high-$z$ 21-cm signal, they can also provide useful constraints on the properties of the intergalactic medium (IGM). Motivated by this, we build a simple, phenomenological model for the 21-cm power spectrum that works directly in terms of IGM properties, which bypasses the computationally expensive 3-D semi-numerical modeling generally employed in inference pipelines and avoids explicit assumptions about galaxy properties. The key simplifying assumptions are that (i) the ionization field is binary, and composed of spherical bubbles with an abundance described well by a parametric bubble size distribution, and (ii) that the spin temperature of the ``bulk'' IGM outside bubbles is uniform. Despite the simplicity of the model, the mean ionized fraction and spin temperature of the IGM recovered from mock 21-cm power spectra generated with \textsc{21cmfast} are generally in good agreement with the true input values. This suggests that it is possible to obtain comparable constraints on the IGM using models with very different assumptions, parameters, and priors. Our approach will thus be complementary to semi-numerical models as upper limits continue to improve in the coming years.

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Automated Detection of Antenna Malfunctions in Large-N Interferometers: A Case Study with the Hydrogen Epoch of Reionization Array

We present a framework for identifying and flagging malfunctioning antennas in large radio interferometers. We outline two distinct categories of metrics designed to detect outliers along known failure modes of large arrays: cross-correlation metrics, based on all antenna pairs, and auto-correlation metrics, based solely on individual antennas. We define and motivate the statistical framework for all metrics used, and present tailored visualizations that aid us in clearly identifying new and existing systematics. We implement these techniques using data from 105 antennas in the Hydrogen Epoch of Reionization Array (HERA) as a case study. Finally, we provide a detailed algorithm for implementing these metrics as flagging tools on real data sets.

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The 21-cm signal from the Cosmic Dawn: metallicity dependence of high mass X-ray binaries

X-rays from High-Mass X-ray Binaries (HMXBs) are likely the main source of heating of the intergalactic medium (IGM) during Cosmic Dawn (CD), before the completion of reionization. This Epoch of Heating (EoH; $z\sim 10-15$) should soon be detected via the redshifted 21-cm line from neutral hydrogen, allowing us to indirectly study the properties of HMXBs in the unseen, first galaxies. Low-redshift observations, as well as theoretical models, imply that the integrated X-ray luminosity to star formation rate of HMXBs ($L_{\rm X}/{\rm SFR}$) should increase in metal-poor environments, typical of early galaxies. Here we study the impact of the metallicity ($Z$) dependence of $L_{\rm X}/{\rm SFR}$ during the EoH. For our fiducial models, galaxies with star formation rates of order $10^{-3} - 10^{-1}$ $M_\odot$ yr$^{-1}$ and metallicities of order $10^{-3} - 10^{-2}$ $Z_\odot$ are the dominant contributors to the X-ray background (XRB) during this period. Different $L_{\rm X}/{\rm SFR}$-$Z$ relations result in factors of $\sim$ 3 differences in these ranges, as well as in the mean IGM temperature and the large-scale 21-cm power, at a given redshift. We compute mock 21-cm observations adopting as a baseline a 1000h integration with the upcoming Square Kilometer Array (SKA), for two different $L_{\rm X}/{\rm SFR}$-$Z$ relations. We perform inference on these mock observations using the common simplification of a constant $L_{\rm X}/{\rm SFR}$, finding that constant $L_{\rm X}/{\rm SFR}$ models can recover the IGM evolution of the more complicated $L_{\rm X}/{\rm SFR}$-$Z$ simulations only during the EoH. At $z<10$, where the typical galaxies are more polluted, constant $L_{\rm X}/{\rm SFR}$ models over-predict the XRB and its relative contribution to the early stages of the reionization.

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