arXiv subjects

Andrew Gould

Publications and source records attributed to Andrew Gould.

At least 91 records · Page 5Linked to original sources

arXiv2023

KMT-2022-BLG-0475Lb and KMT-2022-BLG-1480Lb: Microlensing ice giants detected via non-caustic-crossing channel

We investigate the microlensing data collected in the 2022 season from the high-cadence microlensing surveys in order to find weak signals produced by planetary companions to lenses. From these searches, we find that two lensing events KMT-2022-BLG-0475 and KMT-2022-BLG-1480 exhibit weak short-term anomalies. From the detailed modeling of the lensing light curves, we identify that the anomalies are produced by planetary companions with a mass ratio to the primary of $q\sim 1.8\times 10^{-4}$ for KMT-2022-BLG-0475L and a ratio $q\sim 4.3\times 10^{-4}$ for KMT-2022-BLG-1480L. It is estimated that the host and planet masses and the projected planet-host separation are $(M_{\rm h}/M_\odot, M_{\rm p}/M_{\rm U}, a_\perp/{\rm au}) = (0.43^{+0.35}_{-0.23}, 1.73^{+1.42}_{-0.92}, 2.03^{+0.25}_{-0.38})$ for KMT-2022-BLG-0475L, and $(0.18^{+0.16}_{-0.09}, 1.82^{+1.60}_{-0.92}, 1.22^{+0.15}_{-0.14})$ for KMT-2022-BLG-1480L, where $M_{\rm U}$ denotes the mass of Uranus. Both planetary systems share common characteristics that the primaries of the lenses are early-mid M dwarfs lying in the Galactic bulge and the companions are ice giants lying beyond the snow lines of the planetary systems.

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arXiv2023

The Scientific Discovery Space for the Roman Galactic Bulge Time Domain Survey

Maximizing the scientific return of Roman requires focusing on the scientific discovery space opened up by Roman relative to the ground: i.e., planets in wide orbits (log s > 0.4), the smallest mass-ratio planets (log q < -4.5), and free-floating planet candidates (especially those with thetaE < 1 uas). However, capitalizing on that leverage requires not just detecting such planets but characterizing them sufficiently that they can be used in a statistical analysis. In particular, the signals from all three categories are all prone to light curve degeneracies that may lead to ambiguities in the planet mass-ratio q, separation s, and the size of the source rho (used to measure thetaE and constrain the host mass). Bound planets may also have light curves that are degenerate with models that include a second source rather than a planet. The most immediate need for designing the Roman Galactic Bulge Time Domain Survey is a detailed simulation of wide-orbit and small planetary perturbations to investigate how well the planet perturbations will be characterized. These investigations and related trade-studies must be done in order to maximize Roman's ability to take advantage of new parameter space.

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arXiv2023

KMT-2022-BLG-2397: Brown Dwarf at the Upper Shore of the Einstein Desert

We measure the Einstein radius of the single-lens microlensing event KMT-2022-BLG-2397 to be theta_E=24.8 +- 3.6 uas, placing it at the upper shore of the Einstein Desert, 9 < theta_E / uas < 25, between free-floating planets (FFPs) and bulge brown dwarfs (BDs). In contrast to the six BD (25 < theta_E < 50) events presented by Gould+22, which all had giant-star source stars, KMT-2022-BLG-2397 has a dwarf-star source, with angular radius theta_* ~ 0.9 uas. This prompts us to study the relative utility of dwarf and giant sources for characterizing FFPs and BDs from finite-source point-lens (FSPL) microlensing events. We find `dwarfs' (including main-sequence stars and subgiants) are likely to yield twice as many theta_E measurements for BDs and a comparable (but more difficult to quantify) improvement for FFPs. We show that neither current nor planned experiments will yield complete mass measurements of isolated bulge BDs, nor will any other planned experiment yield as many theta_E measurements for these objects as KMT. Thus, the currently anticipated 10-year KMT survey will remain the best way to study bulge BDs for several decades to come.

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arXiv2023

KMT-2021-BLG-1150Lb: Microlensing planet detected through a densely covered planetary-caustic signal

Recently, there have been reports of various types of degeneracies in the interpretation of planetary signals induced by planetary caustics. In this work, we check whether such degeneracies persist in the case of well-covered signals by analyzing the lensing event KMT-2021-BLG-1150, for which the light curve exhibits a densely and continuously covered short-term anomaly. In order to identify degenerate solutions, we thoroughly investigate the parameter space by conducting dense grid searches for the lensing parameters. We then check the severity of the degeneracy among the identified solutions. We identify a pair of planetary solutions resulting from the well-known inner-outer degeneracy, and find that interpreting the anomaly is not subject to any degeneracy other than the inner-outer degeneracy. The measured parameters of the planet separation (normalized to the Einstein radius) and mass ratio between the lens components are $(s, q)_{\rm in}\sim (1.297, 1.10\times 10^{-3})$ for the inner solution and $(s, q)_{\rm out}\sim (1.242, 1.15\times 10^{-3})$ for the outer solution. According to a Bayesian estimation, the lens is a planetary system consisting of a planet with a mass $M_{\rm p}=0.88^{+0.38}_{-0.36}~M_{\rm J}$ and its host with a mass $M_{\rm h}=0.73^{+0.32}_{-0.30}~M_\odot$ lying toward the Galactic center at a distance $D_{\rm L} =3.8^{+1.3}_{-1.2}$~kpc. By conducting analyses using mock data sets prepared to mimic those obtained with data gaps and under various observational cadences, it is found that gaps in data can result in various degenerate solutions, while the observational cadence does not pose a serious degeneracy problem as long as the anomaly feature can be delineated.

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arXiv2023

MOA-2020-BLG-208Lb: Cool Sub-Saturn Planet Within Predicted Desert

We analyze the MOA-2020-BLG-208 gravitational microlensing event and present the discovery and characterization of a new planet, MOA-2020-BLG-208Lb, with an estimated sub-Saturn mass. With a mass ratio $q = 3.17^{+0.28}_{-0.26} \times 10^{-4}$ and a separation $s = 1.3807^{+0.0018}_{-0.0018}$, the planet lies near the peak of the mass-ratio function derived by the MOA collaboration (Suzuki et al. 2016), near the edge of expected sample sensitivity. For these estimates we provide results using two mass law priors: one assuming that all stars have an equal planet-hosting probability, and the other assuming that planets are more likely to orbit around more massive stars. In the first scenario, we estimate that the lens system is likely to be a planet of mass $m_\mathrm{planet} = 46^{+42}_{-24} \; M_\oplus$ and a host star of mass $M_\mathrm{host} = 0.43^{+0.39}_{-0.23} \; M_\odot$, located at a distance $D_L = 7.49^{+0.99}_{-1.13} \; \mathrm{kpc}$. For the second scenario, we estimate $m_\mathrm{planet} = 69^{+37}_{-34} \; M_\oplus$, $M_\mathrm{host} = 0.66^{+0.35}_{-0.32} \; M_\odot$, and $D_L = 7.81^{+0.93}_{-0.93} \; \mathrm{kpc}$. As a cool sub-Saturn-mass planet, this planet adds to a growing collection of evidence for revised planetary formation models and qualifies for inclusion in the extended MOA-II exoplanet microlensing sample.

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arXiv2023

Probable brown dwarf companions detected in binary microlensing events during the 2018-2020 seasons of the KMTNet survey

We inspect the microlensing data of the KMTNet survey collected during the 2018--2020 seasons in order to find lensing events produced by binaries with brown-dwarf companions. In order to pick out binary-lens events with candidate BD lens companions, we conduct systematic analyses of all anomalous lensing events observed during the seasons. By applying the selection criterion with mass ratio between the lens components of $0.03\lesssim q\lesssim 0.1$, we identify four binary-lens events with candidate BD companions, including KMT-2018-BLG-0321, KMT-2018-BLG-0885, KMT-2019-BLG-0297, and KMT-2019-BLG-0335. For the individual events, we present the interpretations of the lens systems and measure the observables that can constrain the physical lens parameters. The masses of the lens companions estimated from the Bayesian analyses based on the measured observables indicate that the probabilities for the lens companions to be in the brown-dwarf mass regime are high: 59\%, 68\%, 66\%, and 66\% for the four events respectively.

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arXiv2023

KMT-2022-BLG-0440Lb: A New $q < 10^{-4}$ Microlensing Planet with the Central-Resonant Caustic Degeneracy Broken

We present the observations and analysis of a high-magnification microlensing planetary event, KMT-2022-BLG-0440, for which the weak and short-lived planetary signal was covered by both the KMTNet survey and follow-up observations. The binary-lens models with a central caustic provide the best fits, with a planet/host mass ratio, $q = 0.75$--$1.00 \times 10^{-4}$ at $1σ$. The binary-lens models with a resonant caustic and a brown-dwarf mass ratio are both excluded by $Δχ^2 > 70$. The binary-source model can fit the anomaly well but is rejected by the ``color argument'' on the second source. From Bayesian analyses, it is estimated that the host star is likely a K or M dwarf located in the Galactic disk, the planet probably has a Neptune-mass, and the projected planet-host separation is $1.9^{+0.6}_{-0.7}$ or $4.6^{+1.4}_{-1.7}$ au, subject to the close/wide degeneracy. This is the third $q < 10^{-4}$ planet from a high-magnification planetary signal ($A \gtrsim 65$). Together with another such planet, KMT-2021-BLG-0171Lb, the ongoing follow-up program for the KMTNet high-magnification events has demonstrated its ability in detecting high-magnification planetary signals for $q < 10^{-4}$ planets, which are challenging for the current microlensing surveys.

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arXiv2023

KMT-2021-BLG-2010Lb, KMT-2022-BLG-0371Lb, and KMT-2022-BLG-1013Lb: Three microlensing planets detected via partially covered signals

We inspect 4 microlensing events KMT-2021-BLG-1968, KMT-2021-BLG-2010, KMT-2022-BLG-0371, and KMT-2022-BLG-1013, for which the light curves exhibit partially covered short-term central anomalies. We conduct detailed analyses of the events with the aim of revealing the nature of the anomalies. We test various models that can give rise to the anomalies of the individual events including the binary-lens (2L1S) and binary-source (1L2S) interpretations. Under the 2L1S interpretation, we thoroughly inspect the parameter space to check the existence of degenerate solutions, and if they exist, we test the feasibility of resolving the degeneracy. We find that the anomalies in KMT-2021-BLG-2010 and KMT-2022-BLG-1013 are uniquely defined by planetary-lens interpretations with the planet-to-host mass ratios of $q\sim 2.8\times 10^{-3}$ and $\sim 1.6\times 10^{-3}$, respectively. For KMT-2022-BLG-0371, a planetary solution with a mass ratio $q\sim 4\times 10^{-4}$ is strongly favored over the other three degenerate 2L1S solutions with different mass ratios based on the $χ^2$ and relative proper motion arguments, and a 1L2S solution is clearly ruled out. For KMT-2021-BLG-1968, on the other hand, we find that the anomaly can be explained either by a planetary or a binary-source interpretation, making it difficult to firmly identify the nature of the anomaly. From the Bayesian analyses of the identified planetary events, we estimate that the masses of the planet and host are $(M_{\rm p}/M_{\rm J}, M_{\rm h}/M_\odot) = (1.07^{+1.15}_{-0.68}, 0.37^{+0.40}_{-0.23})$, $(0.26^{+0.13}_{-0.11}, 0.63^{+0.32}_{-0.28})$, and $(0.31^{+0.46}_{-0.16}, 0.18^{+0.28}_{-0.10})$ for KMT-2021-BLG-2010L, KMT-2022-BLG-0371L, and KMT-2022-BLG-1013L, respectively.

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arXiv2023

MOA-2022-BLG-249Lb: Nearby microlensing super-Earth planet detected from high-cadence surveys

We investigate the data collected by the high-cadence microlensing surveys during the 2022 season in search for planetary signals appearing in the light curves of microlensing events. From this search, we find that the lensing event MOA-2022-BLG-249 exhibits a brief positive anomaly that lasted for about 1 day with a maximum deviation of $\sim 0.2$~mag from a single-source single-lens model. We analyze the light curve under the two interpretations of the anomaly: one originated by a low-mass companion to the lens (planetary model) and the other originated by a faint companion to the source (binary-source model). It is found that the anomaly is better explained by the planetary model than the binary-source model. We identify two solutions rooted in the inner--outer degeneracy, for both of which the estimated planet-to-host mass ratio, $q\sim 8\times 10^{-5}$, is very small. With the constraints provided by the microlens parallax and the lower limit on the Einstein radius, as well as the blend-flux constraint, we find that the lens is a planetary system, in which a super-Earth planet, with a mass $(4.83\pm 1.44)~M_\oplus$, orbits a low-mass host star, with a mass $(0.18\pm 0.05)~M_\odot$, lying in the Galactic disk at a distance $(2.00\pm 0.42)$~kpc. The planet detection demonstrates the elevated microlensing sensitivity of the current high-cadence lensing surveys to low-mass planets.

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arXiv2023

Systematic KMTNet Planetary Anomaly Search. IX. Complete Sample of 2016 Prime-Field Planets

As a part of the ``Systematic KMTNet Planetary Anomaly Search" series, we report five new planets (namely, OGLE-2016-BLG-1635Lb, MOA-2016-BLG-532Lb, KMT-2016-BLG-0625Lb, OGLE-2016-BLG-1850Lb, and KMT-2016-BLG-1751Lb) and one planet candidate (KMT-2016-BLG-1855), which were found by searching $2016$ KMTNet prime fields. These $buried$ planets show a wide range of masses from Earth--class to Super--Jupiter--class, and are located in both the disk and the bulge. The ultimate goal of this series is to build a complete planet sample. Because our work provides a complementary sample to other planet detection methods, which have different detection sensitivities, our complete sample will help us to obtain a better understanding of planet demographics in our Galaxy.

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arXiv2023

OGLE-2016-BLG-1195 AO: Lens, Companion to Lens or Source, or None of the Above?

We systematically investigate the claim by Vandorou et al. (2023) to have detected the host star of the low mass-ratio ($q<10^{-4}$) microlensing planet OGLE-2016-BLG-1195Lb, via Keck adaptive optics (AO) measurements $Δt=4.12\,$yr after the peak of the event ($t_0$). If correct, this measurement would contradict the microlens parallax measurement derived from Spitzer observations in solar orbit taken near $t_0$. We show that this host identification would be in $4\,σ$ conflict with the original ground-based lens-source relative proper-motion measurements. By contrast, Gould (2022) estimated a probability $p=10\%$ that the ``other star'' resolved by single-epoch late-time AO would be a companion to the host or the microlensed source, which is much more probable than a 4$\,σ$ statistical fluctuation. In addition, independent of this proper-motion discrepancy, the kinematics of this host-identification are substantially less probable than those of the Spitzer solution. Hence, this identification should not be accepted, pending additional observations that would either confirm or contradict it, which could be taken in 2023. Motivated by this tension, we present two additional investigations. We explore the possibility that Vandorou et al. (2023) identified the wrong ``star'' (or stellar asterism) on which to conduct their analysis. We find that astrometry of KMT and Keck images favors a star (or asterism) lying about 175 mas northwest of the one that they chose. We also present event parameters from a combined fit to all survey data, which yields, in particular, a more precise mass ratio, $q=(4.6\pm 0.4)\times 10^{-5}$. Finally, we discuss the broader implications of minimizing such false positives for the first measurement of the planet mass function, which will become possible when AO on next-generation telescopes are applied to microlensing planets.

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arXiv2023

Systematic KMTNet Planetary Anomaly Search. VIII. Complete Sample of 2019 Subprime Field Planets

We complete the publication of all microlensing planets (and ``possible planets'') identified by the uniform approach of the KMT AnomalyFinder system in the 21 KMT subprime fields during the 2019 observing season, namely KMT-2019-BLG-0298, KMT-2019-BLG-1216, KMT-2019-BLG-2783, OGLE-2019-BLG-0249, and OGLE-2019-BLG-0679 (planets), as well as OGLE-2019-BLG-0344, and KMT-2019-BLG-0304 (possible planets). The five planets have mean log mass-ratio measurements of $(-2.6,-3.6,-2.5,-2.2,-2.3)$, median mass estimates of $(1.81,0.094,1.16,7.12,3.34)\, M_{\rm Jup}$, and median distance estimates of $(6.7,2.7,5.9,6.4,5.6)\, {\rm kpc}$, respectively. The main scientific interest of these planets is that they complete the AnomalyFinder sample for 2019, which has a total of 25 planets that are likely to enter the statistical sample. We find statistical consistency with the previously published 33 planets from the 2018 AnomalyFinder analysis according to an ensemble of five tests. Of the 58 planets from 2018-2019, 23 were newly discovered by AnomalyFinder. Within statistical precision, half of all the planets have caustic crossings while half do not (as predicted by Zhu et al. 2014), an equal number of detected planets result from major-image and minor-image light-curve perturbations, and an equal number come from KMT prime fields versus subprime fields.

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arXiv2023

OGLE-2017-BLG-1038: A Possible Brown-dwarf Binary Revealed by Spitzer Microlensing Parallax

We report the analysis of microlensing event OGLE-2017-BLG-1038, observed by the Optical Gravitational Lensing Experiment, Korean Microlensing Telescope Network, and Spitzer telescopes. The event is caused by a giant source star in the Galactic Bulge passing over a large resonant binary lens caustic. The availability of space-based data allows the full set of physical parameters to be calculated. However, there exists an eightfold degeneracy in the parallax measurement. The four best solutions correspond to very-low-mass binaries near ($M_1 = 170^{+40}_{-50} M_J$ and $M_2 = 110^{+20}_{-30} M_J$), or well below ($M_1 = 22.5^{+0.7}_{-0.4} M_J$ and $M_2 = 13.3^{+0.4}_{-0.3} M_J$) the boundary between stars and brown dwarfs. A conventional analysis, with scaled uncertainties for Spitzer data, implies a very-low-mass brown dwarf binary lens at a distance of 2 kpc. Compensating for systematic Spitzer errors using a Gaussian process model suggests that a higher mass M-dwarf binary at 6 kpc is equally likely. A Bayesian comparison based on a galactic model favors the larger-mass solutions. We demonstrate how this degeneracy can be resolved within the next ten years through infrared adaptive-optics imaging with a 40 m class telescope.

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arXiv2023

KMT-2021-BLG-1122L: The first microlensing triple stellar system

We systematically inspect the microlensing data acquired by the KMTNet survey during the previous seasons in order to find anomalous lensing events for which the anomalies in the lensing light curves cannot be explained by the usual binary-lens or binary-source interpretations. From the inspection, we find that interpreting the three lensing events OGLE-2018-BLG-0584, KMT-2018-BLG-2119, and KMT-2021-BLG-1122 requires four-body (lens+source) models, in which either both the lens and source are binaries (2L2S event) or the lens is a triple system (3L1S event). Following the analyses of the 2L2S events presented in \citet{Han2023}, here we present the 3L1S analysis of the KMT-2021-BLG-1122. It is found that the lens of the event KMT-2021-BLG-1122 is composed of three masses, in which the projected separations (normalized to the angular Einstein radius) and mass ratios between the lens companions and the primary are $(s_2, q_2)\sim (1.4, 0.53)$ and $(s_3, q_3) \sim (1.6, 0.24)$. By conducting a Bayesian analysis, we estimate that the masses of the individual lens components are $(M_1, M_2, M_3)\sim (0.47\,M_\odot, 0.24\,M_\odot, 0.11\,M_\odot)$. The companions are separated in projection from the primary by $(a_{\perp,2}, a_{\perp,3})\sim (3.5, 4.0)$~AU. The lens of KMT-2018-BLG-2119 is the first triple stellar system detected via microlensing.

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arXiv2023

Kepler K2 Campaign 9: II. First space-based discovery of an exoplanet using microlensing

We present K2-2016-BLG-0005Lb, a densely sampled, planetary binary caustic-crossing microlensing event found from a blind search of data gathered from Campaign 9 of the Kepler K2 mission (K2C9). K2-2016-BLG-0005Lb is the first bound microlensing exoplanet discovered from space-based data. The event has caustic entry and exit points that are resolved in the K2C9 data, enabling the lens--source relative proper motion to be measured. We have fitted a binary microlens model to the Kepler data, and to simultaneous observations from multiple ground-based surveys. Whilst the ground-based data only sparsely sample the binary caustic, they provide a clear detection of parallax that allows us to break completely the microlensing mass--position--velocity degeneracy and measure the planet's mass directly. We find a host mass of $0.58\pm0.04 ~{\rm M}_\odot$ and a planetary mass of $1.1\pm0.1 ~{\rm M_J}$. The system lies at a distance of $5.2\pm0.2~$kpc from Earth towards the Galactic bulge, more than twice the distance of the previous most distant planet found by Kepler. The sky-projected separation of the planet from its host is found to be $4.2\pm0.3~$au which, for circular orbits, deprojects to a host separation $a = 4.4^{+1.9}_{-0.4}~$au and orbital period $P = 13^{+9}_{-2}~$yr. This makes K2-2016-BLG-0005Lb a close Jupiter analogue orbiting a low-mass host star. According to current planet formation models, this system is very close to the host mass threshold below which Jupiters are not expected to form. Upcoming space-based exoplanet microlensing surveys by NASA's Nancy Grace Roman Space Telescope and, possibly, ESA's Euclid mission, will provide demanding tests of current planet formation models.

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arXiv2023

Systematic KMTNet Planetary Anomaly Search, Paper VII: Complete Sample of $q < 10^{-4}$ Planets from the First Four-Year Survey

We present the analysis of seven microlensing planetary events with planet/host mass ratios $q < 10^{-4}$: KMT-2017-BLG-1194, KMT-2017-BLG-0428, KMT-2019-BLG-1806, KMT-2017-BLG-1003, KMT-2019-BLG-1367, OGLE-2017-BLG-1806, and KMT-2016-BLG-1105. They were identified by applying the Korea Microlensing Telescope Network (KMTNet) AnomalyFinder algorithm to 2016--2019 KMTNet events. A Bayesian analysis indicates that all the lens systems consist of a cold super-Earth orbiting an M or K dwarf. Together with 17 previously published and three that will be published elsewhere, AnomalyFinder has found a total of 27 planets that have solutions with $q < 10^{-4}$ from 2016--2019 KMTNet events, which lays the foundation for the first statistical analysis of the planetary mass-ratio function based on KMTNet data. By reviewing the 27 planets, we find that the missing planetary caustics problem in the KMTNet planetary sample has been solved by AnomalyFinder. We also find a desert of high-magnification planetary signals ($A \gtrsim 65$), and a follow-up project for KMTNet high-magnification events could detect at least two more $q < 10^{-4}$ planets per year and form an independent statistical sample.

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arXiv2022

OGLE-2018-BLG-0584 and KMT-2018-BLG-2119: two microlensing events with two lens masses and two source stars

We conduct a systematic investigation of the microlensing data collected during the previous observation seasons for the purpose of reanalyzing anomalous lensing events with no suggested plausible models. We find that two anomalous lensing events OGLE-2018-BLG-0584 and KMT-2018-BLG-2119 cannot be explained with the usual models based on either a binary-lens single-source (2L1S) or a single-lens binary-source (1L2S) interpretation. We test the feasibility of explaining the light curves with more sophisticated models by adding an extra lens (3L1S model) or a source (2L2S model) component to the 2L1S lens-system configuration. We find that a 2L2S interpretation well explains the light curves of both events, for each of which there are a pair of solutions resulting from the close and wide degeneracy. For the event OGLE-2018-BLG-0584, the source is a binary composed of two K-type stars, and the lens is a binary composed of two M dwarfs. For KMT-2018-BLG-2119, the source is a binary composed of two dwarfs of G and K spectral types, and the lens is a binary composed of a low-mass M dwarf and a brown dwarf.

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arXiv2022

Mass Production of 2021 KMTNet Microlensing Planets III: Analysis of Three Giant Planets

We present the analysis of three more planets from the KMTNet 2021 microlensing season. KMT-2021-BLG-0119Lb is a $\sim 6\, M_{\rm Jup}$ planet orbiting an early M-dwarf or a K-dwarf, KMT-2021-BLG-0192Lb is a $\sim 2\, M_{\rm Nep}$ planet orbiting an M-dwarf, and KMT-2021-BLG-0192Lb is a $\sim 1.25\, M_{\rm Nep}$ planet orbiting a very--low-mass M dwarf or a brown dwarf. These by-eye planet detections provide an important comparison sample to the sample selected with the AnomalyFinder algorithm, and in particular, KMT-2021-BLG-2294, is a case of a planet detected by-eye but not by-algorithm. KMT-2021-BLG-2294Lb is part of a population of microlensing planets around very-low-mass host stars that spans the full range of planet masses, in contrast to the planet population at $\lesssim 0.1\, $ au, which shows a strong preference for small planets.

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