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Angela L. Jefferson

Publications and source records attributed to Angela L. Jefferson.

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Bayesian Variable Selection for High-Dimensional Predictors with Missing Psychometric Outcomes

High-dimensional, multimodal predictors and partially observed multivariate outcomes are common in psychometric research. However, existing regularization methods often do not accommodate hierarchical predictor structures and are primarily designed for univariate outcomes. We propose SHIM, a Bayesian framework for structured variable selection that combines hierarchical horseshoe shrinkage with a Bayesian treatment of missing outcomes. The framework jointly accommodates predictor hierarchies, dependence among outcomes, and incomplete multivariate responses. We establish theoretical properties of the proposed prior specification and evaluate SHIM through simulation studies. The results demonstrate that SHIM balances sensitivity with false-positive control while yielding accurate coefficient estimates and well-calibrated uncertainty quantification. We further apply SHIM to data from an Alzheimer's disease cohort to characterize associations between multimodal neuroimaging measures and multivariate neuropsychological outcomes and to generate posterior-based multiple imputations for downstream analyses of the relationships between fluid biomarkers and cognition. An R package, shim, is publicly available to facilitate implementation.

stat.ME

Gaussian Graphical Models for Functional Connectivity Analysis: A Statistical Review with Applications to Alzheimer's Disease

Functional connectivity analysis is an important tool for characterizing interactions among brain regions, particularly in studies of neurodegenerative disorders such as Alzheimer's disease (AD). Gaussian graphical models (GGMs) provide a promising statistical framework for estimating functional connectivity by capturing conditional dependence relationships among brain regions. Although a variety of regularized precision matrix estimators have been proposed to estimate sparse conditional dependency structures for GGMs, their comparative performance and practical implications for neuroimaging studies are not well understood. In this work, we present a comprehensive statistical review and empirical evaluation of widely used GGM estimation methods, including the graphical lasso (glasso), ridge-based glasso, graphical elastic net, adaptive glasso, smoothly clipped absolute deviation (SCAD), minimax concave penalty (MCP), constrained $\ell_1$ minimization for inverse matrix estimation (CLIME), and tuning-insensitive graph estimation and regression (TIGER). Their performance is evaluated through extensive data-driven simulations designed to reflect realistic neuroimaging settings, along with an application to an AD cohort study to illustrate methodological differences and their impact on downstream network analysis. In addition, a user-friendly R package, spice, is provided to facilitate implementation and enhance the reproducibility of empirical studies.

stat.ME

Brain age identification from diffusion MRI synergistically predicts neurodegenerative disease

Estimated brain age from magnetic resonance image (MRI) and its deviation from chronological age can provide early insights into potential neurodegenerative diseases, supporting early detection and implementation of prevention strategies. Diffusion MRI (dMRI) presents an opportunity to build an earlier biomarker for neurodegenerative disease prediction because it captures subtle microstructural changes that precede more perceptible macrostructural changes. However, the coexistence of macro- and micro-structural information in dMRI raises the question of whether current dMRI-based brain age estimation models are leveraging the intended microstructural information or if they inadvertently rely on the macrostructural information. To develop a microstructure-specific brain age, we propose a method for brain age identification from dMRI that mitigates the model's use of macrostructural information by non-rigidly registering all images to a standard template. Imaging data from 13,398 participants across 12 datasets were used for the training and evaluation. We compare our brain age models, trained with and without macrostructural information mitigated, with an architecturally similar T1-weighted (T1w) MRI-based brain age model and two recent, popular, openly available T1w MRI-based brain age models that primarily use macrostructural information. We observe difference between our dMRI-based brain age and T1w MRI-based brain age across stages of neurodegeneration, with dMRI-based brain age being older than T1w MRI-based brain age in participants transitioning from cognitively normal (CN) to mild cognitive impairment (MCI), but younger in participants already diagnosed with Alzheimer's disease (AD). Furthermore, dMRI-based brain age may offer advantages over T1w MRI-based brain age in predicting the transition from CN to MCI up to five years before diagnosis.

cs.CV

Evaluation of Mean Shift, ComBat, and CycleGAN for Harmonizing Brain Connectivity Matrices Across Sites

Connectivity matrices derived from diffusion MRI (dMRI) provide an interpretable and generalizable way of understanding the human brain connectome. However, dMRI suffers from inter-site and between-scanner variation, which impedes analysis across datasets to improve robustness and reproducibility of results. To evaluate different harmonization approaches on connectivity matrices, we compared graph measures derived from these matrices before and after applying three harmonization techniques: mean shift, ComBat, and CycleGAN. The sample comprises 168 age-matched, sex-matched normal subjects from two studies: the Vanderbilt Memory and Aging Project (VMAP) and the Biomarkers of Cognitive Decline Among Normal Individuals (BIOCARD). First, we plotted the graph measures and used coefficient of variation (CoV) and the Mann-Whitney U test to evaluate different methods' effectiveness in removing site effects on the matrices and the derived graph measures. ComBat effectively eliminated site effects for global efficiency and modularity and outperformed the other two methods. However, all methods exhibited poor performance when harmonizing average betweenness centrality. Second, we tested whether our harmonization methods preserved correlations between age and graph measures. All methods except for CycleGAN in one direction improved correlations between age and global efficiency and between age and modularity from insignificant to significant with p-values less than 0.05.

q-bio.NC

Predicting Age from White Matter Diffusivity with Residual Learning

Imaging findings inconsistent with those expected at specific chronological age ranges may serve as early indicators of neurological disorders and increased mortality risk. Estimation of chronological age, and deviations from expected results, from structural MRI data has become an important task for developing biomarkers that are sensitive to such deviations. Complementary to structural analysis, diffusion tensor imaging (DTI) has proven effective in identifying age-related microstructural changes within the brain white matter, thereby presenting itself as a promising additional modality for brain age prediction. Although early studies have sought to harness DTI's advantages for age estimation, there is no evidence that the success of this prediction is owed to the unique microstructural and diffusivity features that DTI provides, rather than the macrostructural features that are also available in DTI data. Therefore, we seek to develop white-matter-specific age estimation to capture deviations from normal white matter aging. Specifically, we deliberately disregard the macrostructural information when predicting age from DTI scalar images, using two distinct methods. The first method relies on extracting only microstructural features from regions of interest. The second applies 3D residual neural networks (ResNets) to learn features directly from the images, which are non-linearly registered and warped to a template to minimize macrostructural variations. When tested on unseen data, the first method yields mean absolute error (MAE) of 6.11 years for cognitively normal participants and MAE of 6.62 years for cognitively impaired participants, while the second method achieves MAE of 4.69 years for cognitively normal participants and MAE of 4.96 years for cognitively impaired participants. We find that the ResNet model captures subtler, non-macrostructural features for brain age prediction.

eess.IV