arXiv subjects

Angelo Mazza

Publications and source records attributed to Angelo Mazza.

4 recordsLinked to original sources

arXiv2021

Evidence of disorientation towards immunization on online social media after contrasting political communication on vaccines. Results from an analysis of Twitter data in Italy

Background. In Italy, in recent years, vaccination coverage for key immunizations as MMR has been declining to worryingly low levels. In 2017, the Italian Gov't expanded the number of mandatory immunizations introducing penalties to unvaccinated children's families. During the 2018 general elections campaign, immunization policy entered the political debate with the Gov't in charge blaming oppositions for fuelling vaccine scepticism. A new Gov't established in 2018 temporarily relaxed penalties. Objectives and Methods. Using a sentiment analysis on tweets posted in Italian during 2018, we aimed to: (i) characterize the temporal flow of vaccines communication on Twitter (ii) evaluate the polarity of vaccination opinions and usefulness of Twitter data to estimate vaccination parameters, and (iii) investigate whether the contrasting announcements at the highest political level might have originated disorientation amongst the Italian public. Results. Vaccine-relevant tweeters interactions peaked in response to main political events. Out of retained tweets, 70.0% resulted favourable to vaccination, 16.5% unfavourable, and 13.6% undecided, respectively. The smoothed time series of polarity proportions exhibit frequent large changes in the favourable proportion, enhanced by an up and down trend synchronized with the switch between gov't suggesting evidence of disorientation among the public. Conclusion. The reported evidence of disorientation documents that critical immunization topics, should never be used for political consensus. This is especially true given the increasing role of online social media as information source, which might yield to social pressures eventually harmful for vaccine uptake, and is worsened by the lack of institutional presence on Twitter, calling for efforts to contrast misinformation and the ensuing spread of hesitancy.

cs.SI↗

arXiv2016

ContaminatedMixt: An R Package for Fitting Parsimonious Mixtures of Multivariate Contaminated Normal Distributions

We introduce the R package ContaminatedMixt, conceived to disseminate the use of mixtures of multivariate contaminated normal distributions as a tool for robust clustering and classification under the common assumption of elliptically contoured groups. Thirteen variants of the model are also implemented to introduce parsimony. The expectation-conditional maximization algorithm is adopted to obtain maximum likelihood parameter estimates, and likelihood-based model selection criteria are used to select the model and the number of groups. Parallel computation can be used on multicore PCs and computer clusters, when several models have to be fitted. Differently from the more popular mixtures of multivariate normal and t distributions, this approach also allows for automatic detection of mild outliers via the maximum a posteriori probabilities procedure. To exemplify the use of the package, applications to artificial and real data are presented.

stat.CO↗

arXiv2014

KernSmoothIRT: An R Package for Kernel Smoothing in Item Response Theory

Item response theory (IRT) models are a class of statistical models used to describe the response behaviors of individuals to a set of items having a certain number of options. They are adopted by researchers in social science, particularly in the analysis of performance or attitudinal data, in psychology, education, medicine, marketing and other fields where the aim is to measure latent constructs. Most IRT analyses use parametric models that rely on assumptions that often are not satisfied. In such cases, a nonparametric approach might be preferable; nevertheless, there are not many software applications allowing to use that. To address this gap, this paper presents the R package KernSmoothIRT. It implements kernel smoothing for the estimation of option characteristic curves, and adds several plotting and analytical tools to evaluate the whole test/questionnaire, the items, and the subjects. In order to show the package's capabilities, two real datasets are used, one employing multiple-choice responses, and the other scaled responses.

stat.CO↗

arXiv2012

DBKGrad: An R Package for Mortality Rates Graduation by Fixed and Adaptive Discrete Beta Kernel Techniques

Kernel smoothing represents a useful approach in the graduation of mortality rates. Though there exist several options for performing kernel smoothing in statistical software packages, there have been very few contributions to date that have focused on applications of these techniques in the graduation context. Also, although it has been shown that the use of a variable or adaptive smoothing parameter, based on the further information provided by the exposed to the risk of death, provides additional benefits, specific computational tools for this approach are essentially absent. Furthermore, little attention has been given to providing methods in available software for any kind of subsequent analysis with respect to the graduated mortality rates. To facilitate analyses in the field, the R package DBKGrad is introduced. Among the available kernel approaches, it considers a recent discrete beta kernel estimator, in both its fixed and adaptive variants. In this approach, boundary bias is automatically reduced and age is pragmatically considered as a discrete variable. The bandwidth, fixed or adaptive, is allowed to be manually given by the user or selected by cross-validation. Pointwise confidence intervals, for each considered age, are also provided. An application to mortality rates from the Sicily Region (Italy) for the year 2008 is also presented to exemplify the use of the package.

stat.CO↗