arXiv subjects

Ankush Bhaskar

Publications and source records attributed to Ankush Bhaskar.

At least 19 recordsLinked to original sources

arXiv2026

Unprecedented Multipoint Observation of Spatially Varying ICME Turbulence of Different Ages during October 2024 Extreme Solar Storm at 1 AU

Understanding turbulence in interplanetary coronal mass ejections (ICMEs) is fundamental to space plasma research and critical for assessing the impact of space weather on geospace. Turbulence governs energy cascade, plasma heating, magnetic reconnection, and solar wind magnetosphere coupling, thereby influencing both ICME evolution and geoeffectiveness. While previous event based and statistical studies have examined ICME turbulence and its radial evolution in great detail, no significant measurements of ICME magnetic turbulence at a single vantage point have been obtained from multiple observatories separated azimuthally. Here, we present the first multipoint analysis of magnetohydrodynamic (MHD) turbulence across ICME plasma regions, using four spacecraft at the Sun-Earth L1 point, separated by 80 RE (mesoscale) along the dawn-dusk direction. Using high-resolution magnetic field observations from ISRO's Aditya L1, NASA's Wind and ACE, and NOAA's DSCOVR, we analyze turbulence associated with the October 10, 2024, solar storm, which triggered the second strongest geomagnetic storm of solar cycle 25. Our results reveal significant variability and differing turbulence maturity across small separations, supported by analysis of field-aligned and perpendicular magnetic-field cascades, indicating strong anisotropies. Sheath turbulence is substantially modified by shock induced energy injection. Evidence of compressible turbulence and plasma energization at the flux rope interaction region indicates that internal processes, such as magnetic reconnection, strongly influence ICME plasma evolution, highlighting pronounced spatial variability in turbulence and plasma states observed by multiple L1 monitors near Earth and underscoring their potential role in space weather impacts.

astro-ph.SR↗

arXiv2025

Pinching of ICME Flux Rope: Unprecedented Multipoint Observations of Internal Magnetic Reconnection during Gannon's Superstorm

The extreme solar storm of May 10, 2024, during the 25th solar cycle, which recorded a symmetric H component index (Sym-H) reaching -500 nT, was the strongest since the 2003 Halloween storm. This event offered a unique opportunity for unprecedented multipoint observation of the complex interaction of Interplanetary Coronal Mass Ejections (ICME) from different vantage points. Utilizing NASA's Wind, ACE, DSCOVR, THEMIS-C, STEREO-A, MMS, and ISRO's recently launched Aditya-L1 spacecraft, we comprehensively investigated the spatio-temporal variations in interplanetary plasma and magnetic field parameters. Our study reveals large-scale quasi-steady magnetic reconnection within the interior of the ICME flux rope, possibly triggered by interactions between multiple ICMEs. A current sheet (CS) forms within the flux rope, enabling internal magnetic reconnection between concentric magnetic surfaces, which leads to a sharp reversal of the IMF By component, as observed at the L1 point. Concurrently, reconnection exhaust and enhanced electron and ion fluxes were detected with the CS, extending over 200 RE (1.3 million km) along the GSE-y direction. This finding sheds new light on the role of internal reconnection in ICME evolution, highlighting its pivotal role in modifying the morphology of the ICME magnetic structure and exerting severe space weather effects on Earth.

astro-ph.SR↗

arXiv2025

How the Shortest and Longest HILDCAAs Shaped Earth Outer Radiation Belt During the Van Allen Probes Era?

High-intensity long-duration continuous auroral electrojet (AE) activity (HILDCAA) events are associated with the enhancement of relativistic electron fluxes in the inner magnetosphere. The physical mechanisms underlying this enhancement are not well established yet. In this study, we analyze two contrasting HILDCAA events, one representing the shortest and the other the longest duration, using NASA Van Allen Probes observations, which have provided unprecedented, unique in-situ observations of the harsh radiation environment around the Earth. Detailed spectral and temporal analyses reveal that while both events trigger enhancements in electron flux across multiple energy channels, the shortest event is characterized by rapid, transient increases in energy levels. In contrast, the longest event produced sudden and markedly higher flux variation. The long duration event showed an acceleration of electrons to higher energy as compared to the shorter one. Moreover, a clear correlation between elevated ULF wave power for the longest event compared to the shortest is observed, apart from chorus waves responsible for relativistic electron acceleration. These findings underscore the importance of considering the duration of events in space weather models and assessment and provide valuable insights into the magnetospheric processes that modulate the variability of the radiation belt during HILDCAA conditions.

physics.space-ph↗

arXiv2024

Simulating the Arrival of Multiple Coronal Mass Ejections that Triggered the Gannon Superstorm on May 10, 2024

The May 10, 2024 space weather event stands out as the most powerful storm recorded during the current solar cycle. This study employs a numerical framework utilizing a semi-empirical coronal model, along with HUXt (Heliospheric Upwind eXtrapolation with time-dependence) and cone-CME models for the inner heliosphere, to forecast solar wind velocity and the arrival of CMEs associated with this event. The simulations were also carried out using Space Weather Adaptive SimulaTion (SWASTi) and a drag-based model (DBM) for this complex event of multiple CMEs. Predicted arrival times and velocities from these models are compared with actual observations at the Sun-Earth L1 point. These simulations reveal that three coronal mass ejections (CMEs) reached Earth nearly simultaneously, resulting in the extreme space weather event, followed by the arrival of a few more eruptions. The simulations accurately predicted arrival times with a discrepancy of approximately 5 hours or less for these CMEs. Further, the ensemble study of DBM shows the sensitivity of the CME arrival time to the background solar wind speed and drag parameters. All three models have done fairly well in reproducing the arrival time closely to the actual observation of the CMEs responsible for the extreme geomagnetic storm of May 10, 2024. These rare solar storms offered a unique opportunity to thoroughly evaluate and validate our advanced models for predicting their arrival on the Earth.

physics.space-ph↗

arXiv2024

Impact of High Intensity Long-Duration Continuous Auroral Electrojet Activity (HILDCAAs) on relativistic electrons of the radiation belt of Earth during Van Allen probe era

This study investigates the impact of High-intensity Long-Duration Continuous Auroral Electrojet Activity (HILDCAA) on the relativistic electrons in radiation belt of Earth. Utilizing data from Van Allen Probe mission of NASA, we conducted a comprehensive statistical analysis to understand the impact of HILDCAA events on the radiation belt fluxes. The super epoch analysis was carried out to determine the general response of L-shell, pitch angle, and energy-dependency of relativistic electrons to HILDCAAs. The analysis reveals a significant flux enhancement in the relativistic electron fluxes, predominantly occurring with a delay of 0 to 2 days following the onset of HILDCAA events. The general response indicates that the maximum energy of accelerated electrons reaches up to 6 MeV. Additionally, electrons with perpendicular pitch angles exhibit a significantly greater enhancement in flux and achieve higher maximum acceleration energies compared to those with parallel pitch angles. The observed time-delayed and pitch angle-dependent response related to the onset of HILDCAAs highlights the significant influence of wave-particle interactions, particularly in relation to ultra-low frequency (ULF) waves in this context. This is further supported by ground-based magnetometers and in-situ magnetic field observations from the RBSP probe, which demonstrated enhanced power of ULF waves during HILDCAA events. The study strengthens our current understanding of radiation belt particle acceleration processes and has potential implications for satellite operations and other space-based technologies, both on Earth and in the magnetospheres of other planets.

physics.space-ph↗

arXiv2024

Loss of 12 Starlink Satellites Due to Pre-conditioning of Intense Space Weather Activity Surrounding the Extreme Geomagnetic Storm of 10 May 2024

This study investigates the orbital decay and subsequent reentries of 12 Starlink satellites from 16 April to 15 May 2024. By examining Two-Line Element data, we observed a significant increase in orbital decay following the geomagnetic storm on 10 May 2024, consistent with expectations of increased thermospheric density. An unexpected increase in decay rates for 10 satellites was identified around 25 April 2024, while two lower-altitude satellites remained unaffected. Detailed analysis revealed that this enhanced decay rate prior to the storm was influenced by a spike in the O/N2 ratio and an increase in Extreme Ultra Violet (EUV) flux. Moreover, most of the satellites exhibited sharp decay during the early recovery phase of the geomagnetic storm. Based on the positions and local times of changes in decay rates, it is likely that the satellites were affected by various processes during elevated space weather activity, such as enhanced EUV flux, Joule heating, particle precipitation, and the equatorial neutral anomaly. This study highlights the complex role of preconditioning due to enhanced EUV flux and extreme space weather activity in the orbital dynamics of Low-Earth Orbit (LEO) satellites.

physics.space-ph↗

arXiv2024

Deciphering Solar Cycle Influence on Long-Term Orbital Deterioration of Low-Earth Orbiting Space Debris

The rapid increase in the number of space debris represents a substantial threat to the sustained viability of space operations and underscores the importance of understanding long-term drivers of orbital decay. This first of its kind study examines the long-term impact of solar activity on the orbital decay of 17 LEO debris objects across Solar Cycles 22, 23, and 24 using Two-Line Element (TLE) data spanning these three cycles. Analysis of TLE-derived decay profiles, in conjunction with sunspot numbers (SSN) and F10.7 index, reveals a threshold: orbital decay rates increase sharply when SSN exceeds approximately 67-75% of its cycle peak. This threshold corresponds to enhanced thermospheric density driven by elevated solar input, resulting in increased atmospheric drag. The orbital decay rates at the peak of each solar cycle show a progressive decline from Cycle 22 to Cycle 24, mirroring the corresponding decrease in solar activity. Decay profiles for Solar Cycle 24, predicted using ballistic coefficients derived from TLE data during Cycles 22 and 23 and atmospheric densities from the MSIS 2.0 model, show strong agreement with observations after applying a scaling factor. However, two high-inclination objects exhibited significant deviations, highlighting limitations in the MSIS model's ability to represent atmospheric conditions at high latitudes. In contrast, lower-inclination objects showed excellent correspondence. Overall, the findings confirm solar-driven thermospheric variability as the dominant factor influencing long-term orbital decay and emphasize the need to refine atmospheric models-particularly for polar regions-to improve re-entry predictions and satellite mission planning.

physics.space-ph↗

arXiv2024

Low-Latitude Auroras: Insights from 23 April 2023 Solar Storm

In April 2023, low-latitude aurora observation by the all-sky camera at Hanle, Ladakh, India ($33^{\circ} {} N $ geographic latitude (GGLat)) was reported, which stimulated a lot of discussion among scientists as well as masses across the globe. The reported observation was intriguing as the solar storm that triggered this aurora was moderate and the first such observation from Indian region in the space-era. In this communication, we investigate such a unique modern-day observation of low-latitude auroral sighting occurring during the passage of sheath-region of Interplanetary-Coronal-Mass-Ejection, utilizing in situ multi-spacecraft particle measurements along with geomagnetic-field observations by ground and satellite-based magnetometers. Auroral observations at Hanle coincided with the intense substorm occurrences. It is unequivocally found that the aurora didnt reach India, rather the equatorward boundary of the aurora was beyond $ 50^{\circ} {}N $ GGLat. The multi-instrumental observations enabled us to estimate the altitude of the red auroral emissions accurately. The increased flux of low-energy electrons ($<$100 eV) precipitating at $\sim 54^{\circ}N$ GGLat causing red-light emissions at higher altitudes ($\sim$700-950 km) can be visible from Hanle. The observed low-latitude red aurora from India resulted from two factors: emissions at higher altitudes in the auroral oval and a slight expansion of the auroral oval towards the equator. The precipitating low-energy particles responsible for red auroral emissions mostly originate from the plasma sheet. These particles precipitate due to wave-particle interactions enhanced by strong compression of the magnetosphere during high solar wind pressure. This study using multi-point observations holds immense importance in providing a better understanding of low-latitude auroras.

physics.space-ph↗

arXiv2024

AuroraMag: Twin Explorer of Asymmetry in Aurora and Solar Wind-Magnetosphere Coupling

In the present-day context, small satellites and their constellations consisting of varying sizes (nano, micro, pico satellites) are being favored for remote sensing and in situ probing of the heliosphere and terrestrial magnetosphere-ionosphere system. We introduce a mission concept aimed at concurrently observing Earth's northern and southern auroral ovals while conducting in situ measurements of particles, fields, and temperature. The mission concept consists of two small satellites, each having an identical auroral X-ray imager, an in situ particle detector, a magnetometer pair, and an electron temperature analyzer onboard in an elliptical polar orbit (400X1000 km ). This mission would assist the space weather community in primarily answering important questions about the formation, morphology, and hemispherical asymmetries that we observe in the X-ray aurora, the fluxes of precipitating particles, Solar Energetic Particles, currents, and cusp dynamics. Once realized, this would be the first dedicated twin spacecraft mission of such kind to simultaneously study hemispheric asymmetries of solar-wind magnetosphere coupling. This study reveals the intricacies of the mission concept, encompassing orbital details, potential payloads, and its underlying scientific objectives. By leveraging the capabilities of small satellites, this mission concept is poised to make significant contributions to space weather monitoring and research.

physics.space-ph↗

arXiv2024

Science with the Daksha High Energy Transients Mission

We present the science case for the proposed Daksha high energy transients mission. Daksha will comprise of two satellites covering the entire sky from 1~keV to $>1$~MeV. The primary objectives of the mission are to discover and characterize electromagnetic counterparts to gravitational wave source; and to study Gamma Ray Bursts (GRBs). Daksha is a versatile all-sky monitor that can address a wide variety of science cases. With its broadband spectral response, high sensitivity, and continuous all-sky coverage, it will discover fainter and rarer sources than any other existing or proposed mission. Daksha can make key strides in GRB research with polarization studies, prompt soft spectroscopy, and fine time-resolved spectral studies. Daksha will provide continuous monitoring of X-ray pulsars. It will detect magnetar outbursts and high energy counterparts to Fast Radio Bursts. Using Earth occultation to measure source fluxes, the two satellites together will obtain daily flux measurements of bright hard X-ray sources including active galactic nuclei, X-ray binaries, and slow transients like Novae. Correlation studies between the two satellites can be used to probe primordial black holes through lensing. Daksha will have a set of detectors continuously pointing towards the Sun, providing excellent hard X-ray monitoring data. Closer to home, the high sensitivity and time resolution of Daksha can be leveraged for the characterization of Terrestrial Gamma-ray Flashes.

astro-ph.HE↗

arXiv2024

Quasi-planar ICME sheath: a cause of first two-step extreme geomagnetic storm of 25th solar cycle observed on 23 April 2023

Interplanetary Coronal Mass Ejections (ICMEs) are prominent drivers of space weather disturbances and mainly lead to intense or extreme geomagnetic storms. The reported studies suggested that the planar ICME sheath and planar magnetic clouds (MCs) cause extreme storms. Here, we investigated the severe two-step geomagnetic storm ($Dst \sim -187$ nT) of 25$^{th}$ solar cycle. Our analysis demonstrates flattened (pancaked) ICME structures, i.e., quasi-planar magnetic structures (PMS). The study corroborates our earlier reported finding that the less adiabatic expansion in quasi-PMS transformed ICME enhanced the strength of the southward magnetic field component. It contributes to the efficient transfer of plasma and energy in the Earth's magnetosphere to cause the observed severe storm.

physics.space-ph↗

arXiv2023

Observational Validation of Cosmic Ray Acceleration Hypothesis

Despite centuries of rigorous theoretical and observational research, the origin and acceleration mechanism of Galactic Cosmic Rays (GCRs) remain a mystery. In 1949, Fermi proposed a diffusive shock acceleration model that includes a prominent mechanism for GCR acceleration. However, observational evidence, on the other hand, remains elusive. Here, we provided the first apparent verification of GCR acceleration at 1 AU using measurements from the CRIS instrument onboard the ACE spacecraft.

astro-ph.HE↗

arXiv2023

Observation of Alfven wave in ICME-HSS interaction region

The Alfvén wave (AW) is the most common fluctuation present within the emitted solar wind from the Sun. Moreover, the interaction between interplanetary coronal mass ejection (ICME) and high-speed stream (HSS) has been observed on several occasions. However, can such interaction generate an AW? What will be the nature of AW in such a scenario remains an open question. To answer it, we have investigated an ICME-HSS interaction event observed on 21st October 1999 at 1 AU by Wind spacecraft. We have used the Walén test to identify AW and estimated Elsasser variables to find the characteristics of the AWs. We explicitly find that ICME were dominant with Sunward AWs, whereas the trailing HSS has strong anti-Sunward AW. We suggest that the ICME-HSS interaction deforms the MC of the ICME, resulting in the AWs inside the MC. In addition, the existence of reconnection within the ICME early stage can also be the leading cause of the origin of AW within it.

astro-ph.SR↗

arXiv2020

Radiation Belt Response to Fast Reverse Shock at Geosynchronous Orbit

Fast reverse shocks (FRSs) cause the magnetosphere to expand, by contrast to the well-known compressions caused by the impact of fast forward shocks (FFS). Usually, FFSs are more geoeffective than FRSs, and consequently, the inner magnetosphere dynamic responses to both shock types can be quite different. In this study, we investigate for the first time the radiation belt response to an FRS impact using multi-satellite observations and numerical simulations. Spacecraft on the dayside observed decreases in magnetic field strength and energetic (~ 40-475 keV) particle fluxes. Timing analysis shows that the magnetic field signature propagated from the dayside to the nightside magnetosphere. Particles with different energies vary simultaneously at each spacecraft, implying a non-dispersive particle response to the shock. Spacecraft located at lower L-shells did not record any significant signatures. The observations indicate a local time dependence of the response associated with the shock inclination, with the clearest signatures being observed in the dusk-midnight sector. Simulations underestimate the amplitude of the magnetic field variations observed on the nightside. The observed decreases in the electron intensities result from a combination of radial gradient and adiabatic effects. The radial gradients in the spectral index appear to be the dominant contributor to the observed variations of electrons seen on the dayside (near noon and dusk) and on the nightside (near midnight). This study shows that even an FRS can affect the radiation belts significantly and provides an opportunity to understand their dynamic response to a sudden expansion of the magnetosphere.

physics.space-ph↗

arXiv2020

The intensity and evolution of the extreme storms in January 1938

Major solar eruptions occasionally direct interplanetary coronal mass ejections (ICMEs) to Earth and cause significant geomagnetic storms and low-latitude aurorae. While single extreme storms are of significant threats to the modern civilization, storms occasionally appear in sequence and, acting synergistically, cause 'perfect storms' at Earth. The stormy interval in January 1938 was one of such cases. Here, we analyze the contemporary records to reveal its time series on their source active regions, solar eruptions, ICMEs, geomagnetic storms, low-latitude aurorae, and cosmic-ray (CR) variations. Geomagnetic records show that three storms occurred successively on 17/18 January (Dcx ~ -171 nT) on 21/22 January (Dcx ~ -328 nT) and on 25/26 January (Dcx ~ -336 nT). The amplitudes of the cosmic-ray variations and sudden storm commencements show the impact of the first ICME as the largest (~ 6% decrease in CR and 72 nT in SSC) and the ICME associated with the storms that followed as more moderate (~ 3% decrease in CR and 63 nT in SSC; ~ 2% decrease in CR and 63 nT in SSC). Interestingly, a significant solar proton event occurred on 16/17 January and the Cheltenham ionization chamber showed a possible ground level enhancement. During the first storm, aurorae were less visible at mid-latitudes, whereas during the second and third storms, the equatorward boundaries of the auroral oval were extended down to 40.3° and 40.0° in invariant latitude. This contrast shows that the initial ICME was probably faster, with a higher total magnitude but a smaller southward component.

astro-ph.SR↗

arXiv2020

The Extreme Space Weather Event in February/March 1941

Given the infrequency of extreme geomagnetic storms, it is significant to note the concentration of three extreme geomagnetic storms in 1941, whose intensities ranked fourth, twelfth, and fifth within the aa index between 1868-2010. Among them, the geomagnetic storm on 1 March 1941 was so intense that three of the four Dst station magnetograms went off scale. Herein, we reconstruct its time series and measure the storm intensity with an alternative Dst estimate (Dst*). The source solar eruption at 09:29 - 09:38 GMT on 28 February was located at RGO AR 13814 and its significant intensity is confirmed by large magnetic crochets of 35 nT measured at Abinger. This solar eruption most likely released a fast interplanetary coronal mass ejection with estimated speed 2260 km/s. After its impact at 03:57 - 03:59 GMT on 1 March, an extreme magnetic storm was recorded worldwide. Comparative analyses on the contemporary magnetograms show the storm peak intensity of minimum Dst* < -464 nT at 16 GMT, comparable to the most and the second most extreme magnetic storms within the standard Dst index since 1957. This storm triggered significant low-latitude aurorae in the East Asian sector and their equatorward boundary has been reconstructed as 38.5° in invariant latitude. This result agrees with British magnetograms which indicate auroral oval moving above Abinger at 53.0° in magnetic latitude. The storm amplitude was even more enhanced in equatorial stations and consequently casts caveats on their usage for measurements of the storm intensity in Dst estimates.

physics.space-ph↗

arXiv2020

Estimating Satellite Orbital Drag During Historical Magnetic Superstorms

Understanding extreme space weather events is of paramount importance in efforts to protect technological systems in space and on the ground. Particularly in the thermosphere, the subsequent extreme magnetic storms can pose serious threats to low-Earth orbit (LEO) spacecraft by intensifying errors in orbit predictions. Extreme magnetic storms (minimum Dst $\leq$ --250 nT) are extremely rare: only 7 events occurred during the era of spacecraft with high-level accelerometers such as CHAMP (CHAllenge Mini-satellite Payload) and GRACE (Gravity Recovery And Climate experiment), and none with minimum Dst $\leq$ --500 nT, here termed magnetic superstorms. Therefore, current knowledge of thermospheric mass density response to superstorms is very limited. Thus, in order to advance this knowledge, four known magnetic superstorms in history, i.e., events occurring before CHAMP's and GRACE's commission times, with complete datasets, are used to empirically estimate density enhancements and subsequent orbital drag. The November 2003 magnetic storm (minimum Dst = --422 nT), the most extreme event observed by both satellites, is used as the benchmark event. Results show that, as expected, orbital degradation is more severe for the most intense storms. Additionally, results clearly point out that the time duration of the storm is strongly associated with storm-time orbital drag effects, being as important as or even more important than storm intensity itself. The most extreme storm-time decays during CHAMP/GRACE-like sample satellite orbits estimated for the March 1989 magnetic superstorm show that long-lasting superstorms can have highly detrimental consequences for the orbital dynamics of satellites in LEO.

physics.space-ph↗

arXiv2020

A possible case of sporadic aurora observed at Rio de Janeiro

Being footprints of major magnetic storms and hence major solar eruptions, mid- to low-latitude aurorae have been one of the pathways to understand solar-terrestrial environments. However, it has been reported that aurorae are also occasionally observed at low latitudes under low or even quiet magnetic conditions. Such phenomena are known as "sporadic aurorae". We report on a historical event observed by a scientist of the Brazilian Empire in Rio de Janeiro on 15 February 1875. We analyze this event on the basis of its spectroscopic observations, along with its visual structure and coloration, to suggest this event was a possible case of sporadic aurorae. Given the absence of worldwide aurora observations on that day as a consequence of low magnetic activity recorded on the days preceding the observation, in addition to a detailed description, the event observed can most likely be classified as a sporadic aurora. We discuss the geographic and magnetic conditions of that event. Thus, we add a possible case of sporadic aurora in the South American sector.

physics.space-ph↗