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Ann E. Rundell

Publications and source records attributed to Ann E. Rundell.

3 recordsLinked to original sources

Convergence of Griddy Gibbs Sampling and other perturbed Markov chains

The Griddy Gibbs sampling was proposed by Ritter and Tanner (1992) as a computationally efficient approximation of the well-known Gibbs sampling method. The algorithm is simple and effective and has been used successfully to address problems in various fields of applied science. However, the approximate nature of the algorithm has prevented it from being widely used: the Markov chains generated by the Griddy Gibbs sampling method are not reversible in general, so the existence and uniqueness of its invariant measure is not guaranteed. Even when such an invariant measure uniquely exists, there was no estimate of the distance between it and the probability distribution of interest, hence no means to ensure the validity of the algorithm as a means to sample from the true distribution. In this paper, we show, subject to some fairly natural conditions, that the Griddy Gibbs method has a unique, invariant measure. Moreover, we provide $L^p$ estimates on the distance between this invariant measure and the corresponding measure obtained from Gibbs sampling. These results provide a theoretical foundation for the use of the Griddy Gibbs sampling method. We also address a more general result about the sensitivity of invariant measures under small perturbations on the transition probability. That is, if we replace the transition probability $P$ of any Monte Carlo Markov chain by another transition probability $Q$ where $Q$ is close to $P$, we can still estimate the distance between the two invariant measures. The distinguishing feature between our approach and previous work on convergence of perturbed Markov chain is that by considering the invariant measures as fixed points of linear operators on function spaces, we don't need to impose any further conditions on the rate of convergence of the Markov chain.

math.ST↗

Simultaneous state and exogenous input estimation for nonlinear systems using boundary-layer sliding mode observers

While sliding mode observers (SMOs) using discontinuous relays are widely analyzed, most SMOs are implemented computationally using a continuous approximation of the discontinuous relays. This approximation results in the formation of a boundary layer in a neighborhood of the sliding manifold in the observer error space. Therefore, it becomes necessary to develop methods for attenuating the effect of the boundary layer and guaranteeing performance bounds on the resulting state estimation error. In this paper, a method is proposed for constructing boundary-layer SMOs (BL-SMOs) with prescribed state estimation error bounds. The BL-SMO formulation is then extended to simultaneously estimate exogenous inputs (disturbance signals in the state and output vector fields), along with the system state. Two numerical examples are presented to illustrate the effectiveness of the proposed approach.

eess.SY↗

Experimental Design for Dynamics Identification of Cellular Processes

We address the problem of using nonlinear models to design experiments to characterize the dynamics of cellular processes by using the approach of the Maximally Informative Next Experiment (MINE), which was introduced in [W. Dong, et al. Systems biology of the clock in neurospora crassa. {\em PLoS ONE}, page e3105, 2008] and independently in [M. M. Donahue, et al. Experiment design through dynamical characterization of non-linear systems biology models utilising sparse grids. {\em IET System Biology}, 4:249--262, 2010]. In this approach, existing data is used to define a probability distribution on the parameters; the next measurement point is the one that yields the largest model output variance with this distribution. Building upon this approach, we introduce the Expected Dynamics Estimator (EDE), which is the expected value using this distribution of the output as a function of time. We prove the consistency of this estimator (uniform convergence to true dynamics) even when the chosen experiments cluster in a finite set of points. We extend this proof of consistency to various practical assumptions on noisy data and moderate levels of model mismatch. Through the derivation and proof, we develop a relaxed version of MINE that is more computationally tractable and robust than the original formulation. The results are illustrated with numerical examples on two nonlinear ordinary differential equation models of biomolecular and cellular processes.

q-bio.QM↗