arXiv subjects

Anna Monreale

Publications and source records attributed to Anna Monreale.

At least 19 recordsLinked to original sources

arXiv2026

Bounded-Abstention Multi-horizon Time-series Forecasting

Multi-horizon time-series forecasting involves simultaneously making predictions for a consecutive sequence of subsequent time steps. This task arises in many application domains, such as healthcare and finance, where mispredictions can have a high cost and reduce trust. The learning with abstention framework tackles these problems by allowing a model to abstain from offering a prediction when it is at an elevated risk of making a misprediction. Unfortunately, existing abstention strategies are ill-suited for the multi-horizon setting: they target problems where a model offers a single prediction for each instance. Hence, they ignore the structured and correlated nature of the predictions offered by a multi-horizon forecaster. We formalize the problem of learning with abstention for multi-horizon forecasting setting and show that its structured nature admits a richer set of abstention problems. Concretely, we propose three natural notions of how a model could abstain for multi-horizon forecasting. We theoretically analyze each problem to derive the optimal abstention strategy and propose an algorithm that implements it. Extensive evaluation on 24 datasets shows that our proposed algorithms significantly outperforms existing baselines.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2025

Causal Synthetic Data Generation in Recruitment

The importance of Synthetic Data Generation (SDG) has increased significantly in domains where data quality is poor or access is limited due to privacy and regulatory constraints. One such domain is recruitment, where publicly available datasets are scarce due to the sensitive nature of information typically found in curricula vitae, such as gender, disability status, or age. This lack of accessible, representative data presents a significant obstacle to the development of fair and transparent machine learning models, particularly ranking algorithms that require large volumes of data to effectively learn how to recommend candidates. In the absence of such data, these models are prone to poor generalisation and may fail to perform reliably in real-world scenarios. Recent advances in Causal Generative Models (CGMs) offer a promising solution. CGMs enable the generation of synthetic datasets that preserve the underlying causal relationships within the data, providing greater control over fairness and interpretability in the data generation process. In this study, we present a specialised SDG method involving two CGMs: one modelling job offers and the other modelling curricula. Each model is structured according to a causal graph informed by domain expertise. We use these models to generate synthetic datasets and evaluate the fairness of candidate rankings under controlled scenarios that introduce specific biases.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2025

An Interpretable Data-Driven Unsupervised Approach for the Prevention of Forgotten Items

Accurately identifying items forgotten during a supermarket visit and providing clear, interpretable explanations for recommending them remains an underexplored problem within the Next Basket Prediction (NBP) domain. Existing NBP approaches typically only focus on forecasting future purchases, without explicitly addressing the detection of unintentionally omitted items. This gap is partly due to the scarcity of real-world datasets that allow for the reliable estimation of forgotten items. Furthermore, most current NBP methods rely on black-box models, which lack transparency and limit the ability to justify recommendations to end users. In this paper, we formally introduce the forgotten item prediction task and propose two novel interpretable-by-design algorithms. These methods are tailored to identify forgotten items while offering intuitive, human-understandable explanations. Experiments on a real-world retail dataset show our algorithms outperform state-of-the-art NBP baselines by 10-15% across multiple evaluation metrics.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2025

Multimodal Coordinated Online Behavior: Trade-offs and Strategies

Coordinated online behavior, which spans from beneficial collective actions to harmful manipulation such as disinformation campaigns, has become a key focus in digital ecosystem analysis. Traditional methods often rely on monomodal approaches, focusing on single types of interactions like co-retweets or co-hashtags, or consider multiple modalities independently of each other. However, these approaches may overlook the complex dynamics inherent in multimodal coordination. This study compares different ways of operationalizing multimodal coordinated behavior, examining the trade-off between weakly and strongly integrated models and their ability to capture broad versus tightly aligned coordination patterns. By contrasting monomodal, flattened, and multimodal methods, we evaluate the distinct contributions of each modality and the impact of different integration strategies. Our findings show that while not all modalities provide unique insights, multimodal analysis consistently offers a more informative representation of coordinated behavior, preserving structures that monomodal and flattened approaches often lose. This work enhances the ability to detect and analyze coordinated online behavior, offering new perspectives for safeguarding the integrity of digital platforms.

cs.SI↗

arXiv2025

FeDa4Fair: Client-Level Federated Datasets for Fairness Evaluation

Federated Learning (FL) enables collaborative training while preserving privacy, yet it introduces a critical challenge: the "illusion of fairness''. A global model, usually evaluated on the server, appears fair on average while keeping persistent discrimination at the client level. Current fairness-enhancing FL solutions often fall short, as they typically mitigate biases for a single, usually binary, sensitive attribute, while ignoring two realistic and conflicting scenarios: attribute-bias (where clients are unfair toward different sensitive attributes) and value-bias (where clients exhibit conflicting biases toward different values of the same attribute). To support more robust and reproducible fairness research in FL, we introduce FeDa4Fair, the first benchmarking framework designed to stress-test fairness methods under these heterogeneous conditions. Our contributions are three-fold: (1) We introduce FeDa4Fair, a library designed to create datasets tailored to evaluating fair FL methods under heterogeneous client bias; (2) we release a benchmark suite generated by the FeDa4Fair library to standardize the evaluation of fair FL methods; (3) we provide ready-to-use functions for evaluating fairness outcomes for these datasets.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2025

Improving Regulatory Oversight in Online Content Moderation

The European Union introduced the Digital Services Act (DSA) to address the risks associated with digital platforms and promote a safer online environment. However, despite the potential of components such as the Transparency Database, Transparency Reports, and Article 40 of the DSA to improve platform transparency, significant challenges remain. These include data inconsistencies and a lack of detailed information, which hinder transparency in content moderation practices. Additionally, the absence of standardized reporting structures makes cross-platform comparisons and broader analyses difficult. To address these issues, we propose two complementary processes: a Transparency Report Cross-Checking Process and a Verification Process. Their goal is to provide both internal and external validation by detecting possible inconsistencies between self-reported and actual platform data, assessing compliance levels, and ultimately enhancing transparency while improving the overall effectiveness of the DSA in ensuring accountability in content moderation. Additionally, these processes can benefit policymakers by providing more accurate data for decision-making, independent researchers with trustworthy analysis, and platforms by offering a method for self-assessment and improving compliance and reporting practices.

cs.CY↗

arXiv2025

Workshop Scientific HPC in the pre-Exascale era (part of ITADATA 2024) Proceedings

The proceedings of Workshop Scientific HPC in the pre-Exascale era (SHPC), held in Pisa, Italy, September 18, 2024, are part of 3rd Italian Conference on Big Data and Data Science (ITADATA2024) proceedings (arXiv: 2503.14937). The main objective of SHPC workshop was to discuss how the current most critical questions in HPC emerge in astrophysics, cosmology, and other scientific contexts and experiments. In particular, SHPC workshop focused on: $\bullet$ Scientific (mainly in astrophysical and medical fields) applications toward (pre-)Exascale computing $\bullet$ Performance portability $\bullet$ Green computing $\bullet$ Machine learning $\bullet$ Big Data management $\bullet$ Programming on heterogeneous architectures $\bullet$ Programming on accelerators $\bullet$ I/O techniques

cs.DB↗

arXiv2025

Proceedings of the 3rd Italian Conference on Big Data and Data Science (ITADATA2024)

Proceedings of the 3rd Italian Conference on Big Data and Data Science (ITADATA2024), held in Pisa, Italy, September 17-19, 2024. The Italian Conference on Big Data and Data Science (ITADATA2024) is the annual event supported by the CINI Big Data National Laboratory and ISTI CNR that aims to put together Italian researchers and professionals from academia, industry, government, and public administration working in the field of big data and data science, as well as related fields (e.g., security and privacy, HPC, Cloud). ITADATA2024 covered research on all theoretical and practical aspects of Big Data and data science including data governance, data processing, data analysis, data reporting, data protection, as well as experimental studies and lessons learned. In particular, ITADATA2024 focused on - Data spaces - Data processing life cycle - Machine learning and Large Language Models - Applications of big data and data science in healthcare, finance, industry 5.0, and beyond - Data science for social network analysis

cs.DB↗

arXiv2025

Talking Back -- human input and explanations to interactive AI systems

While XAI focuses on providing AI explanations to humans, can the reverse - humans explaining their judgments to AI - foster richer, synergistic human-AI systems? This paper explores various forms of human inputs to AI and examines how human explanations can guide machine learning models toward automated judgments and explanations that align more closely with human concepts.

cs.CY↗

arXiv2025

Explainable AI in Time-Sensitive Scenarios: Prefetched Offline Explanation Model

As predictive machine learning models become increasingly adopted and advanced, their role has evolved from merely predicting outcomes to actively shaping them. This evolution has underscored the importance of Trustworthy AI, highlighting the necessity to extend our focus beyond mere accuracy and toward a comprehensive understanding of these models' behaviors within the specific contexts of their applications. To further progress in explainability, we introduce Poem, Prefetched Offline Explanation Model, a model-agnostic, local explainability algorithm for image data. The algorithm generates exemplars, counterexemplars and saliency maps to provide quick and effective explanations suitable for time-sensitive scenarios. Leveraging an existing local algorithm, \poem{} infers factual and counterfactual rules from data to create illustrative examples and opposite scenarios with an enhanced stability by design. A novel mechanism then matches incoming test points with an explanation base and produces diverse exemplars, informative saliency maps and believable counterexemplars. Experimental results indicate that Poem outperforms its predecessor Abele in speed and ability to generate more nuanced and varied exemplars alongside more insightful saliency maps and valuable counterexemplars.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2024

Detection and Characterization of Coordinated Online Behavior: A Survey

Coordination is a fundamental aspect of life. The advent of social media has made it integral also to online human interactions, such as those that characterize thriving online communities and social movements. At the same time, coordination is also core to effective disinformation, manipulation, and hate campaigns. This survey collects, categorizes, and critically discusses the body of work produced as a result of the growing interest on coordinated online behavior. We reconcile industry and academic definitions, propose a comprehensive framework to study coordinated online behavior, and review and critically discuss the existing detection and characterization methods. Our analysis identifies open challenges and promising directions of research, serving as a guide for scholars, practitioners, and policymakers in understanding and addressing the complexities inherent to online coordination.

cs.SI↗

arXiv2024

PUFFLE: Balancing Privacy, Utility, and Fairness in Federated Learning

Training and deploying Machine Learning models that simultaneously adhere to principles of fairness and privacy while ensuring good utility poses a significant challenge. The interplay between these three factors of trustworthiness is frequently underestimated and remains insufficiently explored. Consequently, many efforts focus on ensuring only two of these factors, neglecting one in the process. The decentralization of the datasets and the variations in distributions among the clients exacerbate the complexity of achieving this ethical trade-off in the context of Federated Learning (FL). For the first time in FL literature, we address these three factors of trustworthiness. We introduce PUFFLE, a high-level parameterised approach that can help in the exploration of the balance between utility, privacy, and fairness in FL scenarios. We prove that PUFFLE can be effective across diverse datasets, models, and data distributions, reducing the model unfairness up to 75%, with a maximum reduction in the utility of 17% in the worst-case scenario, while maintaining strict privacy guarantees during the FL training.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2023

A Bag of Receptive Fields for Time Series Extrinsic Predictions

High-dimensional time series data poses challenges due to its dynamic nature, varying lengths, and presence of missing values. This kind of data requires extensive preprocessing, limiting the applicability of existing Time Series Classification and Time Series Extrinsic Regression techniques. For this reason, we propose BORF, a Bag-Of-Receptive-Fields model, which incorporates notions from time series convolution and 1D-SAX to handle univariate and multivariate time series with varying lengths and missing values. We evaluate BORF on Time Series Classification and Time Series Extrinsic Regression tasks using the full UEA and UCR repositories, demonstrating its competitive performance against state-of-the-art methods. Finally, we outline how this representation can naturally provide saliency and feature-based explanations.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2023

Explainable Authorship Identification in Cultural Heritage Applications: Analysis of a New Perspective

While a substantial amount of work has recently been devoted to enhance the performance of computational Authorship Identification (AId) systems, little to no attention has been paid to endowing AId systems with the ability to explain the reasons behind their predictions. This lacking substantially hinders the practical employment of AId methodologies, since the predictions returned by such systems are hardly useful unless they are supported with suitable explanations. In this paper, we explore the applicability of existing general-purpose eXplainable Artificial Intelligence (XAI) techniques to AId, with a special focus on explanations addressed to scholars working in cultural heritage. In particular, we assess the relative merits of three different types of XAI techniques (feature ranking, probing, factuals and counterfactual selection) on three different AId tasks (authorship attribution, authorship verification, same-authorship verification) by running experiments on real AId data. Our analysis shows that, while these techniques make important first steps towards explainable Authorship Identification, more work remains to be done in order to provide tools that can be profitably integrated in the workflows of scholars.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2022

MulBot: Unsupervised Bot Detection Based on Multivariate Time Series

Online social networks are actively involved in the removal of malicious social bots due to their role in the spread of low quality information. However, most of the existing bot detectors are supervised classifiers incapable of capturing the evolving behavior of sophisticated bots. Here we propose MulBot, an unsupervised bot detector based on multivariate time series (MTS). For the first time, we exploit multidimensional temporal features extracted from user timelines. We manage the multidimensionality with an LSTM autoencoder, which projects the MTS in a suitable latent space. Then, we perform a clustering step on this encoded representation to identify dense groups of very similar users -- a known sign of automation. Finally, we perform a binary classification task achieving f1-score $= 0.99$, outperforming state-of-the-art methods (f1-score $\le 0.97$). Not only does MulBot achieve excellent results in the binary classification task, but we also demonstrate its strengths in a novel and practically-relevant task: detecting and separating different botnets. In this multi-class classification task we achieve f1-score $= 0.96$. We conclude by estimating the importance of the different features used in our model and by evaluating MulBot's capability to generalize to new unseen bots, thus proposing a solution to the generalization deficiencies of supervised bot detectors.

cs.SI↗

arXiv2022

Making Sense of Moodle Log Data

Research is constantly engaged in finding more productive and powerful ways to support quality learning and teaching. However, although researchers and data scientists try to analyse educational data most transparently and responsibly, the risk of training machine learning algorithms on biased datasets is always around the corner and may lead to misinterpretations of student behaviour. This may happen in case of partial understanding of how learning log data is generated. Moreover, the pursuit of an ever friendlier user experience moves more and more Learning Management Systems functionality from the server to the client, but it tends to reduce significant logs as a side effect. This paper tries to focus on these issues showing some examples of learning log data extracted from Moodle and some possible misinterpretations that they hide with the aim to open the debate on data understanding and data knowledge loss.

cs.CY↗

arXiv2022

Human Response to an AI-Based Decision Support System: A User Study on the Effects of Accuracy and Bias

Artificial Intelligence (AI) is increasingly used to build Decision Support Systems (DSS) across many domains. This paper describes a series of experiments designed to observe human response to different characteristics of a DSS such as accuracy and bias, particularly the extent to which participants rely on the DSS, and the performance they achieve. In our experiments, participants play a simple online game inspired by so-called "wildcat" (i.e., exploratory) drilling for oil. The landscape has two layers: a visible layer describing the costs (terrain), and a hidden layer describing the reward (oil yield). Participants in the control group play the game without receiving any assistance, while in treatment groups they are assisted by a DSS suggesting places to drill. For certain treatments, the DSS does not consider costs, but only rewards, which introduces a bias that is observable by users. Between subjects, we vary the accuracy and bias of the DSS, and observe the participants' total score, time to completion, the extent to which they follow or ignore suggestions. We also measure the acceptability of the DSS in an exit survey. Our results show that participants tend to score better with the DSS, that the score increase is due to users following the DSS advice, and related to the difficulty of the game and the accuracy of the DSS. We observe that this setting elicits mostly rational behavior from participants, who place a moderate amount of trust in the DSS and show neither algorithmic aversion (under-reliance) nor automation bias (over-reliance).However, their stated willingness to accept the DSS in the exit survey seems less sensitive to the accuracy of the DSS than their behavior, suggesting that users are only partially aware of the (lack of) accuracy of the DSS.

cs.AI↗

arXiv2021

GLocalX -- From Local to Global Explanations of Black Box AI Models

Artificial Intelligence (AI) has come to prominence as one of the major components of our society, with applications in most aspects of our lives. In this field, complex and highly nonlinear machine learning models such as ensemble models, deep neural networks, and Support Vector Machines have consistently shown remarkable accuracy in solving complex tasks. Although accurate, AI models often are "black boxes" which we are not able to understand. Relying on these models has a multifaceted impact and raises significant concerns about their transparency. Applications in sensitive and critical domains are a strong motivational factor in trying to understand the behavior of black boxes. We propose to address this issue by providing an interpretable layer on top of black box models by aggregating "local" explanations. We present GLocalX, a "local-first" model agnostic explanation method. Starting from local explanations expressed in form of local decision rules, GLocalX iteratively generalizes them into global explanations by hierarchically aggregating them. Our goal is to learn accurate yet simple interpretable models to emulate the given black box, and, if possible, replace it entirely. We validate GLocalX in a set of experiments in standard and constrained settings with limited or no access to either data or local explanations. Experiments show that GLocalX is able to accurately emulate several models with simple and small models, reaching state-of-the-art performance against natively global solutions. Our findings show how it is often possible to achieve a high level of both accuracy and comprehensibility of classification models, even in complex domains with high-dimensional data, without necessarily trading one property for the other. This is a key requirement for a trustworthy AI, necessary for adoption in high-stakes decision making applications.

cs.LG↗