arXiv subjects

Anna Puecher

Publications and source records attributed to Anna Puecher.

At least 19 recordsLinked to original sources

arXiv2026

A story about a tipsy kangaroo: Reversible jump MCMC for model selection in the analysis of gravitational-wave signals from the coalescence of compact objects

Bayesian inference is commonly employed in the analysis of gravitational-wave signals not only to estimate the source parameters, but also for model selection. The latter provides insight into the physics of the source and has the potential to inform the direction for future model development. Although model comparison is usually performed by analyzing the data separately with different models and comparing the obtained Bayesian evidences, an alternative approach consists in sampling directly over the model itself. Here, we present t-roo, a reversible jump Markov chain Monte Carlo sampler capable of performing transdimensional inference on gravitational-wave signals from compact binary coalescences. Employing t-roo, a single analysis provides simultaneously the model odds ratio and the parameter posteriors for the favored models, hence yielding a potentially substantial computational advantage, particularly when comparing many models or analyzing highly informative data. t-roo is built on the sampler eryn and is specifically designed to compare models describing different kinds of sources, i.e., binary black hole, binary neutron star, or neutron star-black hole systems, as well as multiple models for the same source class. We validate the sampler on a set of injections, finding agreement with the results obtained with the nested sampler dynesty. We then use t-roo to analyze the real events GW190425 and GW230529, for which the system's parameters alone do not provide conclusive evidence of the presence of a neutron star component. t-roo can be adapted to any model-comparison scenario, thus providing a valuable tool in particular for next-generation detectors, where analyzing data separately with competing models becomes computationally even more demanding.

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arXiv2026

Fast gravitational waveform models for quasi-circular coalescences of neutron star--black hole binaries

We present IMRPhenomXHM_NSBH and SEOBNRv5HM_ROM_NRTidalv3_NSBH, the first two frequency-domain models for gravitational-wave signals from quasi-circular, aligned-spin neutron star--black hole (NSBH) binaries including higher-order modes beyond the dominant quadrupole. We also present IMRPhenomXPHM_NSBH, an extension of the former model to the spin-precessing case. These models incorporate tidal effects in the gravitational-wave phasing and amplitude using a higher-mode extension of the NRTidalv3 model, as well as dedicated amplitude models calibrated to numerical relativity (NR) simulations of NSBH mergers. We test the performance and validity of the new models by comparing them to NR simulations and other existing models for these systems. Finally, we perform parameter estimation studies. The new models show clear improvements over their predecessors in analyses of simulated signals, while yielding results consistent with the literature when applied to real events from the GWTC-3 and GWTC-4 catalogs.

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arXiv2026

A unified study of nuclear physics and dark matter constraints through gravitational-wave observations of binary neutron star mergers

Understanding the properties of strongly interacting matter at extreme densities is a central problem in fundamental physics, but neutron star mergers provide a natural laboratory for probing this regime. However, the complexity of the merger process complicates the interpretation of the associated gravitational-wave and electromagnetic signals. This picture becomes even more complex in the potential scenario in which dark matter accumulates around and in neutron stars, altering their structure and the associated observables. In this work, we study synthetic gravitational-wave observations of binary neutron star mergers with next-generation detectors, investigating their potential to extract both nuclear physics and dark-matter constraints. We also examine how the potential presence of fermionic, non-interacting dark matter inside neutron stars affects the inference of nuclear empirical parameters. We find that combining observations can tighten constraints on nuclear empirical parameters. However, the inferred values remain sensitive to systematic modeling biases and intrinsic degeneracies among the parameters. Conversely, our analysis reveals that even in the presence of dark matter, it will be unlikely to find decisive evidence for dark matter when analyzing gravitational-wave signals. Consequently, systematic biases in nuclear empirical parameter inference potentially resulting from the presence of dark matter are expected to be negligible even for observations with next-generation gravitational-wave detectors.

astro-ph.HE↗

arXiv2026

Investigating the impact of quasi-universal relations on neutron star constraints in third-generation detectors

Gravitational-wave observations of binary neutron star systems can shed light on the currently unknown dense matter equation of state. The equation of state determines a large number of neutron star properties, such as tidal deformability, radius, and quadrupole moment, several of which directly affect the emitted gravitational-wave signals. To reduce the dimensionality when computing gravitational-waves and when interpreting observational data, quasi-universal relations are commonly employed to connect different neutron star properties. However, quasi-universal relations are not exact and their use may introduce uncertainty and bias. We explore the potential biases arising from different quasi-universal relations in the third generation era: (i) the Love-Q relation connecting the spin-induced quadrupole moment and the tidal deformability, (ii) the relation between the fundamental mode frequency and the tidal deformability, and (iii) the binary Love relation. We find that for the quadrupole relation biases are only present for rapidly rotating systems, for the binary-Love relation induces moderate biases only in the next-to-leading-order tidal parameters, which can however propagate into the inferred equation of state at low masses. Regarding fundamental mode frequencies, we find that the employed relation introduces only negligible biases, while waveform systematic effects can become comparatively large. Our results highlight that while quasi-universal relations remain a useful tool within gravitational-wave analyses, careful treatment is needed to avoid biases in equation of state measurements with next-generation detectors.

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arXiv2025

ESO Expanding Horizon White Paper: Revealing the properties of matter at supranuclear densities with gravitational waves

Understanding dense matter under extreme conditions is one of the most fundamental puzzles in modern physics. Complex interactions give rise to emergent, collective phenomena. While nuclear experiments and Earth - based colliders provide valuable insights, much of the quantum chromodynamics phase diagram at high density and low temperature remains accessible only through astrophysical observations of neutron stars, neutron star mergers, and stellar collapse. Astronomical observations thus offer a direct window to the physics on subatomic scales with gravitational waves presenting an especially clean channel. Next-generation gravitational - wave observatories, such as the Einstein Telescope, would serve as unparalleled instruments to transform our understanding of neutron star matter. They will enable the detection of up to tens of thousands of binary neutron star and neutron star - black hole mergers per year, a dramatic increase over the few events accessible with current detectors. They will provide an unprecedented precision in probing cold, dense matter during the binary inspiral, exceeding by at least an order of magnitude what current facilities can achieve. Moreover, these observatories will allow us to explore uncharted regimes of dense matter at finite temperatures produced in a subset of neutron star mergers, areas that remain entirely inaccessible to current instruments. Together with multimessenger observations, these measurements will significantly deepen our knowledge of dense nuclear matter.

astro-ph.IM↗

arXiv2025

Analyzing GW231109_235456 and understanding its potential implications for population studies, nuclear physics, and multi-messenger astronomy

We study the gravitational-wave trigger GW231109_235456, a sub-threshold binary neutron star merger candidate observed in the first part of the fourth observing run of the LIGO-Virgo-KAGRA collaboration. Assuming the trigger is of astrophysical origin, we analyze it using state-of-the-art waveform models and investigate the robustness of the inferred source parameters under different prior choices in Bayesian inference. We assess the implications for population studies, nuclear physics, and multi-messenger astronomy. Analysing the component masses, we find that GW231109_235456 supports the proposed double Gaussian mass distribution of neutron star masses. Moreover, we find that the remnant most likely collapsed promptly to a black hole and that, because of the large distance, a possible kilonova connected to the merger was noticeably dimmer than AT2017gfo. In addition, we provide constraints on the equation of state from GW231109_235456 alone, as well as combined with GW170817 and GW190425. In our projections for the future, we simulate a similar event using the upcoming generation of gravitational-wave detectors. Our findings indicate that we can constrain the neutron star radius with an accuracy of 400 meters using the Einstein Telescope alone, or 300 meters when combined with the Cosmic Explorer, both at 90% credibility.

astro-ph.HE↗

arXiv2025

Challenging a binary neutron star merger interpretation of GW230529

GW230529_181500 represented the first gravitational-wave detection with one of the component objects' mass inferred to lie in the previously hypothesized mass gap between the heaviest neutron stars and the lightest observed black holes. Given the expected maximum mass values for neutron stars, this object was identified as a black hole, and, with the secondary component being a neutron star, the detection was classified as a neutron star-black hole merger. However, due to the low signal-to-noise ratio and the known waveform degeneracy between the spin and mass ratio in the employed gravitational-wave models, GW230529_181500 could also be interpreted as a merger of two heavy ($\gtrsim 2 \mathrm{M}_\odot$) neutron stars with high spins. We investigate the distinguishability of these scenarios by performing parameter estimation on simulated signals obtained from numerical-relativity waveforms for both neutron star-black hole and binary neutron star systems, with parameters consistent with GW230529_181500, and comparing them to the analysis of the real event data. We find that GW230529_181500 is more likely to have originated from a neutron star-black hole merger, though the possibility of a binary neutron star origin can not be ruled out. Moreover, we use the simulation data to estimate the signatures of potential electromagnetic counterparts emitted by the systems. We find them to be too dim to be located by current wide-field surveys if only the dynamical ejecta is considered, and detectable by the Vera C. Rubin Observatory during the first two days after merger if one accounts for additional disk wind ejecta.

gr-qc↗

arXiv2025

Leveraging NRTidalv3 to develop gravitational waveform models with higher-order modes for binary neutron star systems

Accurate and reliable gravitational waveform models are crucial in determining the properties of compact binary mergers. In particular, next-generation gravitational-wave detectors will require more accurate waveforms to avoid biases in the analysis. In this work, we extend the recent NRTidalv3 model to account for higher-mode corrections in the tidal phase contributions for binary neutron star systems. The higher-mode, multipolar NRTidalv3 model is then attached to several binary-black-hole baselines, such as the phenomenological IMRPhenomXHM and IMRPhenomXPHM models, and the effective-one-body-based model SEOBNRv5HM_ROM. We test the performance and validity of the newly developed models by comparing them with numerical-relativity simulations and other tidal models. Finally, we employ them in parameter estimation analyses on simulated signals from both comparable-mass and high-mass-ratio systems, as well as on the gravitational-wave event GW170817, for which we find consistent results with respect to previous analyses.

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arXiv2025

Data-driven approach for extracting tidal information from neutron star binary mergers observed with the Einstein Telescope

The recent breakthroughs regarding the detection of compact binary mergers via gravitational waves opened up a new window to the Universe. Gravitational-wave models have been essential to this success since they are necessary to infer the properties of the compact binary system from the observational data. Next-generation detectors, such as the Einstein Telescope, will allow for more observations of binary neutron star mergers with higher precision, making accurate waveform models crucial in describing these systems. In this article, we propose a novel approach for constructing phenomenological waveform models informed by observational data. Using mock data representing a one-year operation of the Einstein Telescope as our baseline, we demonstrate how the results improve as more events are included in the calibration. This method offers a new and complementary approach for developing sophisticated gravitational-wave models compared to classical techniques that employ analytical computations and numerical-relativity simulations. Improved waveform models will then yield more accurate parameter estimation.

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arXiv2024

A machine-learning classifier for the postmerger remnant of binary neutron stars

Knowing the kind of remnant produced after the merger of a binary neutron star system, e.g., if a black hole forms or not, would not only shed light on the equation of state describing the extremely dense matter inside neutron stars, but also help understand the physical processes involved in the postmerger phase. Moreover, in the event of a gravitational-wave detection, predicting the presence of a neutron star remnant is crucial in order to advise potential electromagnetic follow-up campaigns. In this work, we use Gradient Boosted Decision Trees and publicly available data from numerical-relativity simulations to construct a classifier that predicts the outcome of binary neutron star mergers, based on the binary's parameters inferred from gravitational-wave inspiral signals: total mass, mass-weighted tidal deformability, mass ratio, and effective inspiral spin. Employing parameters that can be estimated from the inspiral part of the signal only allows us to predict the remnant independently on the detection of a postmerger gravitational-wave signal. We build three different classifiers to distinguish between various potential scenarios, we estimate their accuracy and the confidence of their predictions. Finally, we apply the developed classifiers to real events data, finding that GW170817 most likely led to the formation of a hypermassive neutron star, while GW190425 to a prompt collapse to a black hole.

astro-ph.HE↗

arXiv2023

Updated observing scenarios and multi-messenger implications for the International Gravitational-wave Network's O4 and O5

An advanced LIGO and Virgo's third observing run brought another binary neutron star merger (BNS) and the first neutron-star black hole mergers. While no confirmed kilonovae were identified in conjunction with any of these events, continued improvements of analyses surrounding GW170817 allow us to project constraints on the Hubble Constant ($H_0$), the Galactic enrichment from $r$-process nucleosynthesis, and ultra-dense matter possible from forthcoming events. Here, we describe the expected constraints based on the latest expected event rates from the international gravitational-wave network (IGWN) and analyses of GW170817. We show the expected detection rate of gravitational waves and their counterparts, as well as how sensitive potential constraints are to the observed numbers of counterparts. We intend this analysis as support for the community when creating scientifically driven electromagnetic follow-up proposals. During the next observing run O4, we predict an annual detection rate of electromagnetic counterparts from BNS of $0.43^{+0.58}_{-0.26}$ ($1.97^{+2.68}_{-1.2}$) for the Zwicky Transient Facility (Rubin Observatory).

astro-ph.HE↗

arXiv2023

Nuclear physics constraints from binary neutron star mergers in the Einstein Telescope era

The next generation of ground-based gravitational-wave detectors, Einstein Telescope (ET) and Cosmic Explorer (CE), present a unique opportunity to put constraints on dense matter, among many other groundbreaking scientific goals. In a recent study the science case of ET was further strengthened, studying in particular the performances of different detector designs. In this paper we present a more detailed study of the nuclear physics section of that work. In particular, focusing on two different detector configurations (the single-site triangular-shaped design and a design consisting of two widely separated "L-shaped" interferometers), we study the detection prospects of binary neutron star (BNS) mergers, and how they can reshape our understanding of the underlying equation of state (EoS) of dense matter. We employ several state-of-the-art EoS models and state-of-the-art synthetic BNS merger catalogs, and we make use of the Fisher information formalism (FIM) to quantify statistical errors on the astrophysical parameters describing individual BNS events. To check the reliability of the FIM method, we further perform a full parameter estimation for a few simulated events. Based on the uncertainties on the tidal deformabilities associated to these events, we outline a mechanism to extract the underlying injected EoS using a recently developed meta-modelling approach within a Bayesian framework. Our results suggest that with $\gtrsim 500$ events with signal-to-noise ratio greater than $12$, we will be able to pin down very precisely the underlying EoS governing the neutron star matter.

gr-qc↗

arXiv2023

Comparing gravitational waveform models for binary black hole mergers through a hypermodels approach

The inference of source parameters from gravitational-wave signals relies on theoretical models that describe the emitted waveform. Different model assumptions on which the computation of these models is based could lead to biases in the analysis of gravitational-wave data. In this work, we sample directly on four state-of-the-art binary black hole waveform models from different families, in order to investigate these systematic biases from the 13 heaviest gravitational-wave sources with moderate to high signal-to-noise ratios in the third Gravitational-Wave Transient Catalog (GWTC- 3). All models include spin-precession as well as higher-order modes. Using the "hypermodels" technique, we treat the waveform models as one of the sampled parameters, therefore directly getting the odds ratio of one waveform model over another from a single parameter estimation run. From the joint odds ratio over all 13 sources, we find the model NRSur7dq4 to be favoured over SEOBNRv4PHM, with an odds ratio of 29.43; IMRPhenomXPHM and IMRPhenomTPHM have an odds ratio, respectively, of 4.70 and 5.09 over SEOBNRv4PHM. However, this result is mainly determined by three events that show a strong preference for some of the models and that are all affected by possible data quality issues. If we do not consider these potentially problematic events, the odds ratio do not exhibit a significant preference for any of the models. Although further work studying a larger set of signals will be needed for robust quantitative results, the presented method highlights one possible avenue for future waveform model development.

gr-qc↗

arXiv2023

Unraveling information about supranuclear-dense matter from the complete binary neutron star coalescence process using future gravitational-wave detector networks

Gravitational waves provide us with an extraordinary tool to study the matter inside neutron stars. In particular, the postmerger signal probes an extreme temperature and density regime and will help reveal information about the equation of state of supranuclear-dense matter. Although current detectors are most sensitive to the signal emitted by binary neutron stars before the merger, the upgrades of existing detectors and the construction of the next generation of detectors will make postmerger detections feasible. For this purpose, we present a new analytical, frequency-domain model for the inspiral-merger-postmerger signal emitted by binary neutron stars systems. The inspiral and merger part of the signals are modeled with IMRPhenomD_NRTidalv2, and we describe the main emission peak of postmerger with a three-parameter Lorentzian, using two different approaches: one in which the Lorentzian parameters are kept free, and one in which we model them via quasi-universal relations. We test the performance of our new complete waveform model in parameter estimation analyses, studying simulated signals obtained from both our developed model and by injecting numerical relativity waveforms. We investigate the performance of different detector networks to determine the improvement that future detectors will bring to our analysis. We consider Advanced LIGO+ and Advanced Virgo+, KAGRA, and LIGO-India. We also study the possible impact of a detector with high sensitivity in the kilohertz band like NEMO, and finally we compare these results to the ones we obtain with third-generation detectors, the Einstein Telescope and the Cosmic Explorer.

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arXiv2023

Science with the Einstein Telescope: a comparison of different designs

The Einstein Telescope (ET), the European project for a third-generation gravitational-wave detector, has a reference configuration based on a triangular shape consisting of three nested detectors with 10 km arms, where in each arm there is a `xylophone' configuration made of an interferometer tuned toward high frequencies, and an interferometer tuned toward low frequencies and working at cryogenic temperature. Here, we examine the scientific perspectives under possible variations of this reference design. We perform a detailed evaluation of the science case for a single triangular geometry observatory, and we compare it with the results obtained for a network of two L-shaped detectors (either parallel or misaligned) located in Europe, considering different choices of arm-length for both the triangle and the 2L geometries. We also study how the science output changes in the absence of the low-frequency instrument, both for the triangle and the 2L configurations. We examine a broad class of simple `metrics' that quantify the science output, related to compact binary coalescences, multi-messenger astronomy and stochastic backgrounds, and we then examine the impact of different detector designs on a more specific set of scientific objectives.

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arXiv2023

Minimally modeled characterization method of postmerger gravitational wave emission from binary neutron star coalescences

Gravitational waves emitted during the coalescence of binary neutron star systems carry information about the equation of state describing the extremely dense matter inside neutron stars. In particular, the equation of state determines the fate of the binary after the merger: a prompt collapse to black hole, or the formation of a neutron star remnant that is either stable or survives up to a few seconds before collapsing to a black hole. Determining the evolution of a binary neutron star system will therefore place strong constraints on the equation of state. We present a morphology-independent method, developed in the framework of the coherentWaveBurst analysis of signals from ground-based interferometric detectors of gravitational waves. The method characterizes the time-frequency postmerger gravitational-wave emission from a binary neutron star system, and determines whether, after the merger, it formed a remnant neutron star or promptly collapsed to a black hole. We measure the following quantities to characterize the postmerger emission: ratio of signal energies and match of luminosity profile in different frequency bands, weighted central frequency and bandwidth. From these quantities, based on the study of signals simulated through injections of numerical relativity waveforms, we build a statistics to discriminate between the different scenarios after the merger. Finally, we test our method on a set of signals simulated with new models, to estimate its efficiency as a function of the source distance.

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arXiv2023

Measuring tidal effects with the Einstein Telescope: A design study

Over the last few years, there has been a large momentum to ensure that the third-generation era of gravitational wave detectors will find its realisation in the next decades, and numerous design studies have been ongoing for some time. Some of the main factors determining the cost of the Einstein Telescope lie in the length of the interferometer arms and its shape: L-shaped detectors versus a single triangular configuration. Both designs are further expected to include a xylophone configuration for improvement on both ends of the frequency bandwidth of the detector. We consider binary neutron star sources in our study, as examples of sources already observed with the current generation detectors and ones which hold most promise given the broader frequency band and higher sensitivity of the third-generation detectors. We estimate parameters of the sources, with different kinds of configurations of the Einstein Telescope detector, varying arm-lengths as well as shapes and alignments. Overall, we find little improvement with respect to changing the shape, or alignment. However, there are noticeable differences in the estimates of some parameters, including tidal deformability, when varying the arm-length of the detectors. In addition, we also study the effect of changing the laser power, and the lower limit of the frequency band in which we perform the analysis.

astro-ph.IM↗

arXiv2022

Testing general relativity using higher-order modes of gravitational waves from binary black holes

Recently, strong evidence was found for the presence of higher-order modes in the gravitational wave signals GW190412 and GW190814, which originated from compact binary coalescences with significantly asymmetric component masses. This has opened up the possibility of new tests of general relativity by looking at the way in which the higher-order modes are related to the basic signal. Here we further develop a test which assesses whether the amplitudes of sub-dominant harmonics are consistent with what is predicted by general relativity. To this end we incorporate a state-of-the-art waveform model with higher-order modes and precessing spins into a Bayesian parameter estimation and model selection framework. The analysis methodology is tested extensively through simulations. We investigate to what extent deviations in the relative amplitudes of the harmonics will be measurable depending on the properties of the source, and we map out correlations between our testing parameters and the inclination of the source with respect to the observer. Finally, we apply the test to GW190412 and GW190814, finding no evidence for violations of general relativity.

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