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Anne E. Jaskot

Publications and source records attributed to Anne E. Jaskot.

At least 19 recordsLinked to original sources

Recovering Ionizing Photon Escape and Galaxy Scaling Relations in the LzLCS via Si II and C II Absorption Lines and Mock Spectra from a Radiation-Hydrodynamic Simulation

In this work, we use a radiation-hydrodynamic simulation of a single $\sim10^9M_{\odot}$ virtual galaxy to study Si II and C II line profiles seen in stacked HST/COS spectra of 58 galaxies from the LzLCS+ sample. We compare stacks across three mass bins ($M_{\star} \leq 10^8M_{\odot}$, $10^8$-$10^9M_{\odot}$, and $M_{\star} \geq 10^9M_{\odot}$) and three stacking methods (mean, median, and weighted average) to a library of 22,500 mock spectra. We investigate whether the simulation can accurately mimic real gas features, reveal clear trends with galaxy properties, and provide indirect estimates of the ionizing escape fraction ($f_{\rm esc}$). We find reasonable agreement between simulated and observed profiles ($χ^2 < 1$) across all mass regimes. Notably, extracting line properties such as EW and $R_f$ from best-fit mock profiles provides a robust alternative to direct empirical trends, particularly in the low-S/N regime where noise frequently biases results. The simulation-based LIS features, although derived from a single virtual object, exhibit clear correlations with $M_{\star}$, SFR, and $f_{\rm esc}$, mirroring established empirical scaling relations. We find that the best-matching mock spectra predominantly originate from simulation time steps corresponding to peak UV luminosity and intense starburst phases, suggesting that these active periods generate the ISM diversity observed in star-forming galaxies. Finally, simulation-based estimates ($f_{\rm esc}^{\rm virtual}$) reproduce the observed mass-dependent trends in $f_{\rm esc}$ and are in close agreement with the average $f_{\rm esc}$ of the generated stacks. This simulation-based framework establishes a relevant methodology for interpreting spectroscopic observations, including inferring $f_{\rm esc}$ and characterizing physical scaling relations, in high-redshift galaxies from the Epoch of Reionization.

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Predicted Capabilities of the SPRITE SmallSat for a Low-Redshift Lyman Continuum Emission Survey

Ionizing Lyman continuum (LyC; $λ< 912~\rm{\mathring{A}}$) radiation from low-redshift ($z \sim 0.3$) galaxies provides crucial insight into the processes that contributed to cosmic reionization. While the \textit{James Webb Space Telescope} has observed galaxies at redshifts as high as $z \sim 14$, detecting LyC beyond $z \sim 3$ is challenging due to absorption by neutral hydrogen in the intergalactic medium (IGM). Low-redshift LyC emitters (LCEs), therefore, act as proxies for their high-redshift counterparts, enabling direct measurements of LyC escape fractions with reduced IGM interference. These observations allow detailed ancillary studies of galaxy properties and the mechanisms driving ionizing photon escape, which cannot be directly observed at the Epoch of Reionization. This paper examines the capabilities of the Supernova remnants and Proxies for Re-Ionization Testbed Experiment (SPRITE) SmallSat, designed to study LyC emission from star-forming galaxies at $0.16 < z < 0.4$. SPRITE uses advanced mirror coatings and a highly sensitive far-ultraviolet imaging spectrograph, enabling it to probe LyC from galaxies that have been difficult to study with prior and existing instruments. To assess SPRITE's predicted performance in LyC studies, we select eight previously confirmed LCEs from the Low-redshift Lyman Continuum Survey as commissioning targets. Observations of these commissioning LCEs will validate SPRITE's LyC sensitivity and characterize its detection limits. This will enable the broader SPRITE low-redshift LCE survey, which will provide new constraints on the physics of LyC escape and help bridge the gap between low- and high-redshift LyC studies. SPRITE will also inform the design and scientific potential of future Lyman-UV missions, including the Habitable Worlds Observatory.

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The short and long of iPhoton science for a boosted Hubble

Boosting the Hubble Space Telescope (HST) will provide unique opportunities to carry out precursor science for the Habitable Worlds Observatory (HWO). Chief among them are science cases for determining the properties of star forming galaxies that contribute to creating and sustaining the universe in a mostly ionized state. The farUV and nearUV spectroscopic capabilities of the Cosmic Origins Spectrograph (COS) and the Space Telescope Imaging Spectrograph (STIS) are unique and unlikely to be replicated in the near future. Here we describe the benefits of a deep panchromatic spectroscopic effort to answer questions concerning the shape of the rest frame ionizing radiation escaping from star forming galaxies at modest redshift, capture crucial missing spectral regions, and explore whether their star formation histories are truly similar to the LyC leakers responsible for initiating and later sustaining the mostly-ionized-state of the universe. An observing program emphasizing multi-orbit observations, unencumbered by HST orbit competition and freely accessible to the wider ionizing photon (iPhoton) community, will catalyze crowd-sourced answers to these questions and offer a lower operating cost price point.

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The First Empirical Calibration of the MIR Abundance Diagnostic Ne$_{23}$ with JWST

Large surveys of galaxies in the local and high-redshift Universe have, traditionally, relied on the intensity of rest-optical emission lines from metal ions in the Interstellar Medium (ISM) to indirectly estimate the O/H abundance in the gas. However, these optical strong line diagnostics are also sensitive to the electron gas temperature ($T_e$), resulting in large systematic uncertainties that inherently limit their utility as metallicity tracers, especially in dust-obscured and metal-rich environments. To this end, we provide the first empirical calibration of Ne$_{23}$, a novel abundance diagnostic using the mid-infrared (MIR) $T_e$-insensitive [Ne II]$λ$12.81$μ$m and [Ne III]$λ$15.56$μ$m fine-structure lines. We present new JWST/MIRI MRS observations of ten H II regions with optical measurements of $T_e$ and O/H from the CHAOS project, and we analyze MIRI observations of eight low-metallicity galaxies with similarly high-fidelity direct O/H. We measure Ne$_{23}$ from 1D MIR spectra extracted from apertures matched to the ground-based spectroscopy used to obtain O/H, a method that is unfeasible from MIR spectra acquired on prior space-based observatories. From these nebulae, Ne$_{23}$ is strongly correlated with O/H over 1.5 dex in 12+log(O/H). We calibrate the O/H-Ne$_{23}$ relation from the empirical data, finding a scatter of just 0.06 dex in O/H at fixed Ne$_{23}$. The O/H-Ne$_{23}$ relation presented here provides a means to reliably estimate 12+log(O/H) from JWST/MIRI MRS observations of ionized nebulae out to z$\approx$0.8, enabling new chemical abundance surveys of highly-attenuated regions and in the metal-rich ISM.

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The Ly$α$ and Continuum Origins Survey. III. Investigating the Link between Galaxy Morphology, Merger Properties and LyC Escape

Characterizing the mechanisms and galaxy properties conducive to the emission and escape of ionizing (LyC) emission is necessary to accurately model the Epoch of Reionization, and identify the sources that powered it. The Ly$α$ and Continuum Origins Survey (LaCOS) is the first program to obtain uniform, multi-wavelength subkiloparsec imaging for a large sample (42) of galaxies observed in LyC and enable statistically robust studies between LyC and resolved galaxy properties. Here, we characterize the morphology and galaxy merger properties of LaCOS galaxies and investigate their connection with the escape fraction of LyC emission $f_{esc}^{LyC}$. We find strong anticorrelations between $f_{esc}^{LyC}$ and size ($r_{20}$, $r_{50}$, and $r_{80}$) measured in filters containing emission from star-forming regions, and with the asymmetry and clumpiness in F150LP, the bluest filter in our dataset, tracing UV continuum and Ly$α$. We find that $\geq48\%$ of LaCOS galaxies, and $\geq41\%$ of LaCOS LyC-emitters are visually classified as galaxy mergers. Galaxies robustly identified as mergers in LaCOS are at advanced stages of interaction, close to coalescence. The $f_{esc}^{LyC}$ properties of robust mergers and low-probability mergers cannot be differentiated statistically, and we only find significant difference between the two populations in terms of their of their sizes and LyC luminosity: robust mergers having larger values. We conclude that (i) $f_{esc}^{LyC}$ tends to be larger in galaxies with a small number of compact, centrally-located, UV-emitting star-forming regions, (ii) at advanced stages of interaction represent a sizable fraction of LyC-emitting samples at $z\sim0.3$, $z\sim0$, and (iii) mergers can facilitate the escape of LyC photons from galaxies.

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Galaxies in the Epoch of Reionization Are All Bark and No Bite -- Plenty of Ionizing Photons, Low Escape Fractions

Early results from JWST suggest that epoch-of-reionization (EoR) galaxies produce copious ionizing photons, which, if they escape efficiently, could cause reionization to occur too early. We study this problem using \jwst\ imaging and prism spectroscopy for 412 galaxies at 4.5 < z < 9.0. We fit these data simultaneously with stellar-population and nebular-emission models that include a parameter for the fraction of ionizing photons that escape the galaxy, $f_\mathrm{esc}$. We find that the ionization production efficiency, $ξ_\mathrm{ion}$ = Q(H) / L(UV), increases with redshift and decreasing UV luminosity, but shows significant scatter, $σ( \log ξ_\mathrm{ion})$ = 0.3 dex. The inferred escape fractions averaged over the population are low, ranging from $\langle f_\mathrm{esc} \rangle$ = $2.6\pm 1.4$\% at 6 < z < 9 to $6.5\pm 2.2$\% at 4.5 < z < 6 with weak or no indication of evolution with redshift. This implies that in our models most of the ionizing photons need to be absorbed to account for the nebular emission. We compute the impact of our results on reionization, including the distributions for $ξ_\mathrm{ion}$ and $f_\mathrm{esc}$, and the evolution and uncertainty of the UV luminosity function. Considering galaxies brighter than M(UV) < -16 mag, we would produce an IGM hydrogen-ionized fraction of $x_e = 0.5$ at 5.3 < z < 5.8, possibly too late compared to constraints from from QSO sightlines. Including fainter galaxies, M(UV) < -14 mag, we obtain $x_e = 0.5$ at 6.0 < z < 8.1, fully consistent with QSO and CMB data. This implies that EoR galaxies produce plenty of ionizing photons, but these do not efficiently escape. This may be a result of high gas column densities combined with burstier star-formation histories, which limit the time massive stars are able to clear channels through the gas for ionizing photons to escape.

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CLASSY XIII. Cutting through the Clouds - Comparing Indirect Tracers of Ionizing Photon Escape

The Epoch of Reionization (EoR) provides critical insights into the role of early galaxies in shaping the ionization state of the universe. However, because of the opacity of the intergalactic medium, it is often not possible to make direct measurements of the ionizing photon escape fraction ($f_{\mathrm{esc}}^{\: \mathrm{LyC}}$) of high-redshift ($z \gtrsim 4$) galaxies. To explore the agreement and systematics of common indirect approaches, we applied six empirically calibrated diagnostics to predict $f_{\mathrm{esc}}^{\: \mathrm{LyC}}$ for the 45 nearby star-forming galaxies from the COS Legacy Spectroscopic SurveY (CLASSY). These methods- based on ultraviolet (UV) absorption lines, the UV continuum slope, Ly$α$ kinematics, a multivariate model, radiation-hydrodynamic simulations, and nebular emission line ratios- enable us to explore systematic differences between predictions and assess how galactic properties influence inferred LyC escape. Despite significant variations in method predictions, there is broad consistency in the resulting weak and strong LyC leaker classifications, with approximately half exhibiting predicted escape fractions $>$1%. We find evidence for two different pathways of LyC escape in nearby star-forming galaxies: (1) an early escape model driven by very young stellar populations, and (2) a delayed escape model that is consistent with supernova-driven outflows and time-dependent ISM clearing. The early escape model is favored among galaxies with a single, intense burst of recent star formation. In contrast, the delayed escape model is common among galaxies with more extended starburst histories. To interpret ionizing photon escape during the EoR, it will be necessary to recognize and understand this diversity in LyC escape mechanisms.

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Power-law Emission-line Wings and Radiation-Driven Superwinds in Local Lyman Continuum Emitters

We investigate broad emission-line wings, reaching $\leq 800\rm~km~s^{-1}$, observed in 26 galaxies with Lyman continuum (LyC) observations, primarily from the Low-redshift Lyman Continuum Survey (LzLCS). Using Magellan/MIKE, VLT/X-shooter, and WHT/ISIS high-resolution spectroscopy, we show that this fast gas appears to probe the dominant feedback mechanisms linked to LyC escape. We find that in 14 galaxies, the wings are best fit with power laws of slope $α\sim -3.5 \text{ to } -1.6$, with four others best fit by Gaussians of width $σ_{\rm BW} \sim 300~\rm km~s^{-1}$; the remaining eight show ambiguous wing morphologies. Gaussian wings are found only at low $O_{32}$ = $[\rm O~III]\lambda5007/[O~II]\lambda3726,3729$ and high metallicity, while power-law wings span the full range of these parameters. The general evidence suggests a dual-mode paradigm for LyC escape: radiation-driven superwinds traced by power-law wings and supernova-driven feedback traced by Gaussian wings. For the former, the $<3$ Myr-old, pre-supernova stellar population correlates with more luminous, faster winds. The data also show that radiation-driven wind parameters like wind luminosity and power-law slope $α$ depend on the UV luminosity more than the optically thick covering fraction, consistent with ``picket-fence" radiative transfer. Observed $α$ values flatten with both escaping LyC luminosity and higher extinction, while still preserving the anticorrelation between these two quantities. Additionally, the differential between red and blue slopes implies that extinction and dense gas are centrally concentrated relative to the wind emission. Overall, our results show that power-law emission-line wings probe LyC-driven winds and LyC escape in metal-poor starbursts.

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The Lyman-alpha and Continuum Origins Survey. I. Survey description and Ly$α$ imaging

Understanding the mechanisms driving the escape of ionizing or Lyman continuum (LyC) emission from the interstellar medium of galaxies is necessary to constrain the evolution of reionization, and the sources responsible for it. While progress has been made into identifying the global galaxy properties linked to the escape fraction of ionizing radiation, $f_{esc}^{LyC}$, little is currently known about how spatially resolved galaxy properties impact this parameter. We present Hubble Space Telescope (HST) imaging data obtained as part of the Lyman $α$ and Continuum Origins Survey (LaCOS). LaCOS consists of HST imaging in 5 filters covering rest-frame optical and UV bands for a subsample of 42 galaxies in the Low redshift Lyman Continuum Survey, 22 being Lyman continuum emitters ($f_{esc}^{LyC}=0.01-0.49$). Here, we describe the sample, observations and data reduction, and investigate connections between global and sub-kpc Lyman $α$ (Ly$α$) emission, and $f_{esc}^{LyC}$. We confirm the correlation between $f_{esc}^{LyC}$ and EW$_{Lyα}$ , and the anticorrelation with $r_{50}$, when using values obtained via global photometry. We also find correlations previously found with spectroscopy with global photometric $L_{Lyα}$, $f_{esc}^{Lyα}$, $Σ_{SFR}$ , and $f_{esc}^{LyC}$, but with a smaller degree of correlation ($\overline{|Δτ|}\sim0.1$). We find correlations are strongest between $Lyα$ observables ($L_{\rm Lyα}$, EW$_{\rm Lyα}$) and $f_{\rm esc}^{\rm LyC}$ when measured in a small aperture around the brightest UV source in each galaxy. We interpret these results as evidence that LyC photons escaping on the line-of-sight are contributed by a small number of UV-bright compact regions in most galaxies in LaCOS.

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Ionizing Radiation Escape from Low-Redshift Galaxies and Its Connection to Cosmic Reionization

The escape of Lyman continuum (LyC) radiation from early galaxies transformed the intergalactic medium (IGM) and is intimately connected to the fueling and feedback processes that regulate galaxy evolution. IGM attenuation interferes with high-redshift LyC observations, but growing samples of LyC observations at z<0.1 are revealing the properties of LyC-emitting galaxies. Along with multi-wavelength observations of nearby LyC-emitting candidates, cosmological simulations, and simulations of LyC escape from star-forming clouds, recent studies are providing insights into the physics of LyC escape and the possible characteristics of the galaxies that reionized the universe. Here, I review progress in LyC detections, the inferred indirect signatures of LyC escape and their application to high redshift, and our current understanding of the physical conditions that lead to high LyC escape. These findings include: LyC-emitting populations are diverse, and multiple factors correlate with LyC escape, particularly neutral gas absorption, dust attenuation, nebular ionization, and concentrated star formation. Radiative feedback plays a critical role in the youngest starbursts with the highest LyC escape fractions, but mechanical feedback may also contribute. Further research is needed to clarify the timing and role of different feedback mechanisms and to connect local LyC-production sites with the broader interstellar medium. Indirect LyC diagnostics show promise, but we need to understand whether and how the properties of LyC-emitting galaxies evolve from low to high redshift.

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NGDEEP: The Star Formation and Ionization Properties of Galaxies at $1.7 < z < 3.4$

We use JWST/NIRISS slitless spectroscopy from the Next Generation Deep Extragalactic Exploratory Public (NGDEEP) Survey to investigate the physical condition of star-forming galaxies at $1.7 < z < 3.4$. At these redshifts, the deep NGDEEP NIRISS slitless spectroscopy covers the [O II]$λλ$3726,3729, [O III]$λλ$4959,5007, H$β$ and H$α$ emission features for galaxies with stellar masses $\log(\mathrm{M_\ast/M_\odot}) \gtrsim 7$, nearly a factor of a hundred lower than previous studies. We focus on the [O III]/[O II] (O$_{32}$) ratio which is primarily sensitive to the ionization state and with a secondary dependence on the gas-phase metallicity of the interstellar medium. We find significant ($\gtrsim5σ$) correlations between the O$_{32}$ ratio and galaxy properties as O$_{32}$ increases with decreasing stellar mass, decreasing star formation rate (SFR), increasing specific SFR (sSFR$\equiv \mathrm{SFR}/M_*$), and increasing equivalent width (EW) of H$β$ and H$α$. These trends suggest a tight connection between the ionization parameter and these galaxy properties. Galaxies at $z\sim2-3$ exhibit a higher O$_{32}$ than local normal galaxies with the same stellar masses and SFRs, indicating that they have a higher ionization parameter and lower metallicity than local normal galaxies. In addition, we observe a mild evolutionary trend in the O$_{32}$ -- EW(H$β$) relation from $z\sim0$ to $z\gtrsim5$, where higher redshift galaxies show increased O$_{32}$ and EW, with possibly higher O$_{32}$ at fixed EW. We argue that both the enhanced recent star formation activity and the higher star formation surface density may contribute to the increase in O$_{32}$ and the ionization parameter.

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The Cosmic Evolution Early Release Science Survey (CEERS)

We present the Cosmic Evolution Early Release Science (CEERS) Survey, a 77.2 hour Director's Discretionary Early Release Science Program. CEERS demonstrates, tests, and validates efficient extragalactic surveys using coordinated, overlapping parallel observations with the JWST instrument suite, including NIRCam and MIRI imaging, NIRSpec low (R~100) and medium (R~1000) resolution spectroscopy, and NIRCam slitless grism (R~1500) spectroscopy. CEERS targets the Hubble Space Telescope-observed region of the Extended Groth Strip (EGS) field, supported by a rich set of multiwavelength data. CEERS facilitated immediate community science in both of the extragalactic core JWST science drivers ``First Light" and ``Galaxy Assembly," including: 1) The discovery and characterization of large samples of galaxies at z >~ 10 from ~90 arcmin^2 of NIRCam imaging, constraining their abundance and physical nature; 2) Deep spectra of >1000 galaxies, including dozens of galaxies at 6 3; and 4) Characterizing galaxy mid-IR emission with MIRI to study dust-obscured star-formation and supermassive black hole growth at z~1-3. As a legacy product for the community, the CEERS team has provided several data releases, accompanied by detailed notes on the data reduction procedures and notebooks to aid in reproducibility. In addition to an overview of the survey and quality of the data, we provide science highlights from the first two years with CEERS data.

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A Simulated Galaxy Laboratory: Exploring the Observational Effects on UV Spectral Absorption Line Measurements

Ultraviolet absorption line spectroscopy is a sensitive diagnostic for the properties of interstellar and circumgalactic gas. Down-the-barrel observations, where the absorption is measured against the galaxy itself, are commonly used to study feedback from galactic outflows and to make predictions about the leakage of HI ionizing photons into the intergalactic medium. Nonetheless, the interpretation of these observations is challenging and observational compromises are often made in terms of signal-to-noise, spectral resolution, or the use of stacking analyses. In this paper, we present a novel quantitative assessment of UV absorption line measurement techniques by using mock observations of a hydrodynamical simulation. We use a simulated galaxy to create 22,500 spectra in the commonly used SiII lines while also modeling the signal-to-noise and spectral resolution of recent rest-frame UV galaxy surveys at both high and low redshifts. We show that the residual flux of absorption features is easily overestimated for single line measurements and for stacked spectra. Additionally, we explore the robustness of the partial covering model for estimating column densities from spectra and find under-predictions on average of 1.25 dex. We show that the under-prediction is likely caused by high-column-density sight-lines that are optically-thick to dust making them invisible in UV spectra.

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The Low-Redshift Lyman Continuum Survey: The Roles of Stellar Feedback and ISM Geometry in LyC Escape

One of the fundamental questions of cosmology is the origin and mechanism(s) responsible for the reionization of the Universe beyond $z\sim6$. To address this question, many studies over the past decade have focused on local ($z\sim0.3$) galaxies which leak ionizing radiation (Lyman continuum or LyC). However, line-of-sight effects and data quality have prohibited deeper insight into the nature of LyC escape. To circumvent these limitations, we analyze stacks of a consolidated sample of {\it HST}/COS observations of the LyC in 89 galaxies at $z\sim0.3$. From fitting of the continuum, we obtain information about the underlying stellar populations and neutral ISM geometry. We find that most LyC non-detections are not leaking appreciable LyC ($f_{esc}^{\rm LyC}<1$\%) but also that exceptional cases point to spatial variations in the LyC escape fraction $f_{esc}^{\rm LyC}$. Stellar populations younger than 3 Myr lead to an increase in ionizing feedback, which in turn increases the isotropy of LyC escape. Moreover, mechanical feedback from supernovae in 8-10 Myr stellar populations is important for anisotropic gas distributions needed for LyC escape. While mechanical feedback is necessary for any LyC escape, high $f_{esc}^{\rm LyC}$ ($>5$\%) also requires a confluence of young stars and ionizing feedback. A two-stage burst of star formation could facilitate this optimal LyC escape scenario.

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Local Analogs of Potential Ionizers of the Intergalactic Medium: Compact Star-Forming Galaxies with Intense CIV $λ$1550 Emission

We performed spectroscopic analyses of five local compact star-forming galaxies (CSFGs) with extremely high [OIII]/[OII] (O$_{32}$) ratios ($>20$). These targets remarkably share similar properties with high-redshift CIV emitters at $z>6$: high H$β$ equivalent widths (EWs $>200$Å), extreme O$_{32}$ ratios, low metallicities (12+log(O/H) $\lesssim7.8$), low C/O abundances (log(C/O) $<-0.6$), and high ionization conditions (log$U>-2$). The UV spectra were acquired using the Hubble Space Telescope's (HST) Cosmic Origins Spectrograph (COS) and Space Telescope Imaging Spectrograph (STIS). We have identified a wealth of rest-frame UV emission lines (CIV, HeII, OIII], CIII]) in the HST spectra. Notably, all our targets show intense CIV emission lines with rest-frame EWs $>10$Å, indicative of hard ionizing radiation. The rest-frame UV emission line diagnostics disfavor an AGN and could be consistent with significant shock contributions to the source of ionizing radiation. Four of our targets show high CIV/CIII] ratios ($\geq1.4$), suggestive of strong Lyman-continuum leakage (LyC escape fraction, $f_{\rm esc,LyC}>10$%) from these sources. This is consistent with their Ly$α$-inferred LyC escape fractions ($f_{\rm esc,LyC}=$ 9 - 31%). We derive relative C/O abundances from our sources, showing log(C/O) values from $-1.12$ to $-0.61$, comparable to those of reionization-era galaxies at $z\gtrsim6$. The properties of the CSFGs, particularly their intense CIV emission and high O$_{32}$ ratios, which suggest significant LyC escape fractions, are similar to those of the reionization-era CIV emitters. These similarities reinforce the hypothesis that these CSFGs are the closest analogs of significant contributors to the reionization of the intergalactic medium.

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Multivariate Predictors of LyC Escape I: A Survival Analysis of the Low-redshift Lyman Continuum Survey

To understand how galaxies reionized the universe, we must determine how the escape fraction of Lyman Continuum (LyC) photons (fesc) depends on galaxy properties. Using the z~0.3 Low-redshift Lyman Continuum Survey (LzLCS), we develop and analyze new multivariate predictors of fesc. These predictions use the Cox proportional hazards model, a survival analysis technique that incorporates both detections and upper limits. Our best model predicts the LzLCS fesc detections with a root-mean-square (RMS) scatter of 0.31 dex, better than single-variable correlations. According to ranking techniques, the most important predictors of fesc are the equivalent width (EW) of Lyman-series absorption lines and the UV dust attenuation, which track line-of-sight absorption due to HI and dust. The HI absorption EW is uniquely crucial for predicting fesc for the strongest LyC emitters, which show properties similar to weaker LyC emitters and whose high fesc may therefore result from favorable orientation. In the absence of HI information, star formation rate surface density ($Σ_{\rm SFR}$) and [O III]/[O II] ratio are the most predictive variables and highlight the connection between feedback and fesc. We generate a model suitable for z>6, which uses only the UV slope, $Σ_{\rm SFR}$, and [O III]/[O II]. We find that $Σ_{\rm SFR}$ is more important in predicting fesc at higher stellar masses, whereas [O III]/[O II] plays a greater role at lower masses. We also analyze predictions for other parameters, such as the ionizing-to-non ionizing flux ratio and Ly=alpha escape fraction. These multivariate models represent a promising tool for predicting fesc at high redshift.

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Multivariate Predictors of LyC Escape II: Predicting LyC Escape Fractions for High-Redshift Galaxies

JWST is uncovering the properties of ever increasing numbers of galaxies at z>6, during the epoch of reionization. Connecting these observed populations to the process of reionization requires understanding how efficiently they produce Lyman continuum (LyC) photons and what fraction (fesc) of these photons escape into the intergalactic medium. By applying the Cox proportional hazards model, a survival analysis technique, to the Low-redshift Lyman Continuum Survey (LzLCS), we develop new, empirical, multivariate predictions for fesc. The models developed from the LzLCS reproduce the observed fesc for z~3 samples, which suggests that LyC emitters may share similar properties at low and high redshift. Our best-performing models for the z~3 galaxies include information about dust attenuation, ionization, and/or morphology. We then apply these models to z$\gtrsim$6 galaxies. For large photometric samples, we find a median predicted fesc=0.047-0.14. For smaller spectroscopic samples, which may include stronger emission line galaxies, we find that $\geq$33% of the galaxies have fesc >0.2, and we identify several candidate extreme leakers with fesc $\geq$0.5. The current samples show no strong trend between predicted fesc and UV magnitude, but limited spectroscopic information makes this result uncertain. Multivariate predictions can give significantly different results from single variable predictions, and the predicted fesc for high-redshift galaxies can differ significantly depending on whether star formation rate surface density or radius is used as a measure of galaxy morphology. We provide all parameters necessary to predict fesc for additional samples of high-redshift galaxies using these models.

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Low-redshift Lyman Continuum Survey: Radio continuum properties of low-$z$ Lyman continuum emitters

Sources that leak Lyman-continuum (LyC) photons and lead to the reionisation of the universe are intensely studied using multiple observing facilities. Recently, the Low-redshift LyC Survey (LzLCS) has found the first large sample of LyC emitting galaxies at low redshift ($z\sim 0.3$) with the Hubble Space Telescope/Cosmic Origins Spectrograph. The LzLCS sample contains a robust estimate of the LyC escape fraction ($f_\mathrm{esc}^\mathrm{LyC}$) for 66 galaxies spanning a wide range of $f_\mathrm{esc}^\mathrm{LyC}$. Here we, for the first time, aim to study the radio continuum (RC) properties of LzLCS sources and their dependence on $f_\mathrm{esc}^\mathrm{LyC}$. We present Karl G. Jansky Very Large Array RC observations at C (4-8 GHz), S (2-4 GHz) and L (1-2 GHz) bands for a sub-sample of the LzLCS sources. The radio spectral index ($α^{\mathrm{3GHz}}_\mathrm{6GHz}$) spans a wide range from being flat ( $\geq -0.1$) to very steep ($\leq -1.0$). The strongest leakers in our sample show flat $α^{\mathrm{3GHz}}_\mathrm{6GHz}$, weak leakers have $α^{\mathrm{3GHz}}_\mathrm{6GHz}$ close to normal star-forming galaxies, and non-leakers are characterized by steep $α^{\mathrm{3GHz}}_\mathrm{6GHz}$. We argue that a combination of young ages, free-free absorption, and a flat cosmic-ray energy spectrum can altogether lead to a flat $α^{\mathrm{3GHz}}_\mathrm{6GHz}$ for strong leakers. Non-leakers are characterized by steep spectra which can arise due to break/cutoff at high frequencies. Such a cutoff in the spectrum can arise in a single injection model of CRs characteristic of galaxies which have recently stopped star formation. Such a relation between $α^{\mathrm{3GHz}}_\mathrm{6GHz}$ and $f_\mathrm{esc}^\mathrm{LyC}$ hints at the interesting role of supernovae, CRs, and magnetic fields in facilitating the escape ( and/or the lack) of LyC photons. (Abridged)

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