arXiv subjects

Annita Vapsi

Publications and source records attributed to Annita Vapsi.

6 recordsLinked to original sources

arXiv2026

Dynamic Linear Coregionalization for Realistic Synthetic Multivariate Time Series

Synthetic data is essential for training foundation models for time series (FMTS), but most generators assume static correlations, and are typically missing realistic inter-channel dependencies. We introduce DynLMC, a Dynamic Linear Model of Coregionalization, that incorporates time-varying, regime-switching correlations and cross-channel lag structures. Our approach produces synthetic multivariate time series with correlation dynamics that closely resemble real data. Fine-tuning three foundational models on DynLMC-generated data yields consistent zero-shot forecasting improvements across nine benchmarks. Our results demonstrate that modeling dynamic inter-channel correlations enhances FMTS transferability, highlighting the importance of data-centric pretraining.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2026

TS-Agent: Understanding and Reasoning Over Raw Time Series via Iterative Insight Gathering

Large language models (LLMs) exhibit strong symbolic and compositional reasoning, yet they struggle with time series question answering as the data is typically transformed into an LLM-compatible modality, e.g., serialized text, plotted images, or compressed time series embeddings. Such conversions impose representation bottlenecks, often require cross-modal alignment or finetuning, and can exacerbate hallucination and knowledge leakage. To address these limitations, we propose TS-Agent, an agentic, tool-grounded framework that uses LLMs strictly for iterative evidence-based reasoning, while delegating statistical and structural extraction to time series analytical tools operating on raw sequences. Our framework solves time series tasks through an evidence-driven agentic process: (1) it alternates between thinking, tool execution, and observation in a ReAct-style loop, (2) records intermediate results in an explicit evidence log and corrects the reasoning trace via a self-refinement critic, and (3) enforces a final answer-verification step to prevent hallucinations and leakage. Across four benchmarks spanning time series understanding and reasoning, TS-Agent matches or exceeds strong text-based, vision-based, and time-series language model baselines, with the largest gains on reasoning tasks where multimodal LLMs are prone to hallucination and knowledge leakage in zero-shot settings.

cs.AI↗

arXiv2025

Enabling Advanced Land Cover Analytics: An Integrated Data Extraction Pipeline for Predictive Modeling with the Dynamic World Dataset

Understanding land cover holds considerable potential for a myriad of practical applications, particularly as data accessibility transitions from being exclusive to governmental and commercial entities to now including the broader research community. Nevertheless, although the data is accessible to any community member interested in exploration, there exists a formidable learning curve and no standardized process for accessing, pre-processing, and leveraging the data for subsequent tasks. In this study, we democratize this data by presenting a flexible and efficient end to end pipeline for working with the Dynamic World dataset, a cutting-edge near-real-time land use/land cover (LULC) dataset. This includes a pre-processing and representation framework which tackles noise removal, efficient extraction of large amounts of data, and re-representation of LULC data in a format well suited for several downstream tasks. To demonstrate the power of our pipeline, we use it to extract data for an urbanization prediction problem and build a suite of machine learning models with excellent performance. This task is easily generalizable to the prediction of any type of land cover and our pipeline is also compatible with a series of other downstream tasks.

cs.CV↗

arXiv2025

Veri-Car: Towards Open-world Vehicle Information Retrieval

Many industrial and service sectors require tools to extract vehicle characteristics from images. This is a complex task not only by the variety of noise, and large number of classes, but also by the constant introduction of new vehicle models to the market. In this paper, we present Veri-Car, an information retrieval integrated approach designed to help on this task. It leverages supervised learning techniques to accurately identify the make, type, model, year, color, and license plate of cars. The approach also addresses the challenge of handling open-world problems, where new car models and variations frequently emerge, by employing a sophisticated combination of pre-trained models, and a hierarchical multi-similarity loss. Veri-Car demonstrates robust performance, achieving high precision and accuracy in classifying both seen and unseen data. Additionally, it integrates an ensemble license plate detection, and an OCR model to extract license plate numbers with impressive accuracy.

cs.CV↗

arXiv2025

Hypercone Assisted Contour Generation for Out-of-Distribution Detection

Recent advances in the field of out-of-distribution (OOD) detection have placed great emphasis on learning better representations suited to this task. While there are distance-based approaches, distributional awareness has seldom been exploited for better performance. We present HAC$_k$-OOD, a novel OOD detection method that makes no distributional assumption about the data, but automatically adapts to its distribution. Specifically, HAC$_k$-OOD constructs a set of hypercones by maximizing the angular distance to neighbors in a given data-point's vicinity to approximate the contour within which in-distribution (ID) data-points lie. Experimental results show state-of-the-art FPR@95 and AUROC performance on Near-OOD detection and on Far-OOD detection on the challenging CIFAR-100 benchmark without explicitly training for OOD performance.

cs.CV↗

arXiv2024

Shining a Light on Hurricane Damage Estimation via Nighttime Light Data: Pre-processing Matters

Amidst escalating climate change, hurricanes are inflicting severe socioeconomic impacts, marked by heightened economic losses and increased displacement. Previous research utilized nighttime light data to predict the impact of hurricanes on economic losses. However, prior work did not provide a thorough analysis of the impact of combining different techniques for pre-processing nighttime light (NTL) data. Addressing this gap, our research explores a variety of NTL pre-processing techniques, including value thresholding, built masking, and quality filtering and imputation, applied to two distinct datasets, VSC-NTL and VNP46A2, at the zip code level. Experiments evaluate the correlation of the denoised NTL data with economic damages of Category 4-5 hurricanes in Florida. They reveal that the quality masking and imputation technique applied to VNP46A2 show a substantial correlation with economic damage data.

cs.CV↗