arXiv subjects

Anouar El Ghouch

Publications and source records attributed to Anouar El Ghouch.

4 recordsLinked to original sources

arXiv2026

Copula based dependent censoring in cure models with covariates

In survival analysis, the time-to-event variable T is frequently subject to right censoring. Individuals may withdraw from the study for various reasons, or may not experience the event of interest before the end of follow-up. In this paper, we distinguish between two types of censoring: a potentially dependent censoring time C, which may be stochastically related to T, and an independent administrative censoring time A. In addition, the data may exhibit a cure fraction, meaning that some individuals will never experience the event. We build upon a recent work about a fully parametric mixture cure model, which accounts for dependent censoring through copulas. The proposed extension incorporates administrative censoring and allows covariates to affect all model parameters. This framework enables a more accurate modelling of the dependence between survival and censoring times while providing greater flexibility through covariate effects, leading to more individualised estimation of the cure fraction, the dependence structure, and other clinically relevant quantities. Moreover, the presence of covariates allows for weaker identification conditions.

stat.ME↗

arXiv2018

On an extension of the promotion time cure model

We consider the problem of estimating the distribution of time-to-event data that are subject to censoring and for which the event of interest might never occur, i.e., some subjects are cured. To model this kind of data in the presence of covariates, one of the leading semiparametric models is the promotion time cure model \citep{yakovlev1996}, which adapts the Cox model to the presence of cured subjects. Estimating the conditional distribution results in a complicated constrained optimization problem, and inference is difficult as no closed-formula for the variance is available. We propose a new model, inspired by the Cox model, that leads to a simple estimation procedure and that presents a closed formula for the variance. We derive some asymptotic properties of the estimators and we show the practical behaviour of our procedure by means of simulations. We also apply our model and estimation method to a breast cancer data set.

math.ST↗

arXiv2017

An Adapted Loss Function for Censored Quantile Regression

In this paper, we study a novel approach for the estimation of quantiles when facing potential right censoring of the responses. Contrary to the existing literature on the subject, the adopted strategy of this paper is to tackle censoring at the very level of the loss function usually employed for the computation of quantiles, the so-called "check" function. For interpretation purposes, a simple comparison with the latter reveals how censoring is accounted for in the newly proposed loss function. Subsequently, when considering the inclusion of covariates for conditional quantile estimation, by defining a new general loss function, the proposed methodology opens the gate to numerous parametric, semiparametric and nonparametric modelling techniques. In order to illustrate this statement, we consider the well-studied linear regression under the usual assumption of conditional independence between the true response and the censoring variable. For practical minimization of the studied loss function, we also provide a simple algorithmic procedure shown to yield satisfactory results for the proposed estimator with respect to the existing literature in an extensive simulation study. From a more theoretical prospect, consistency of the estimator for linear regression is obtained using very recent results on non-smooth semiparametric estimation equations with an infinite-dimensional nuisance parameter, while numerical examples illustrate the adequateness of a simple bootstrap procedure for inferential purposes. Lastly, an application to a real dataset is used to further illustrate the validity and finite sample performance of the proposed estimator.

stat.ME↗

arXiv2016

Semiparametric Copula Quantile Regression for Complete or Censored Data

When facing multivariate covariates, general semiparametric regression techniques come at hand to propose flexible models that are unexposed to the curse of dimensionality. In this work a semiparametric copula-based estimator for conditional quantiles is investigated for complete or right-censored data. In spirit, the methodology is extending the recent work of Noh et al. (2013) and Noh et al. (2015), as the main idea consists in appropriately defining the quantile regression in terms of a multivariate copula and marginal distributions. Prior estimation of the latter and simple plug-in lead to an easily implementable estimator expressed, for both contexts with or without censoring, as a weighted quantile of the observed response variable. In addition, and contrary to the initial suggestion in the literature, a semiparametric estimation scheme for the multivariate copula density is studied, motivated by the possible shortcomings of a purely parametric approach and driven by the regression context. The resulting quantile regression estimator has the valuable property of being automatically monotonic across quantile levels, and asymptotic normality for both complete and censored data is obtained under classical regularity conditions. Finally, numerical examples as well as a real data application are used to illustrate the validity and finite sample performance of the proposed procedure.

stat.ME↗