arXiv subjects

Anthony Mallama

Publications and source records attributed to Anthony Mallama.

At least 19 recordsLinked to original sources

arXiv2026

The Impact of Artificial Space Objects on Optical Astronomy as Determined from 32 Million Photometric Observations

Photometric observations of satellites, rockets and space debris brighter than magnitudes 6.0, 7.0 and 8.0 are characterized. Those magnitudes pertain to different levels of interference with astronomy as defined by the International Astronomical Union. The densities of objects per square degree of sky and brighter than the magnitudes listed above are 0.38 e-3, 0.76 e-3 and 1.10 e-3, respectively. Probabilities of objects appearing on astronomical images depend on the field of view and the exposure duration. For objects brighter than magnitude 7.0 the probability that one will appear on a 10 second exposure of a 10 degree square field of view is 15%. The probability that an object is visible to the unaided eye under dark sky conditions is 59%. These percentages represent all nighttime hours. We discuss how they change with the Sun's distance below the horizon. Examination of data for objects launched since the start of the spacecraft constellation era shows that satellites account for most of the bright observations. If the plans of satellite operators to launch a million spacecraft are realized, nearly every astronomical image of a few seconds duration and several degrees in size may be contaminated during several hours of each night. Finally, people viewing the night sky may perceive satellites more strongly than stars.

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arXiv2026

BlueBird 6 is Fainter than Block 1 Satellites

The mean apparent magnitude for BlueBird 6, the first Block 2 satellite of the BlueBird constellation, is 3.85 +/- 0.10 while that for Block 1 spacecraft is 3.30 +/- 0.07. So, BlueBird 6 is 0.55 magnitudes fainter. Likewise, the means of apparent magnitudes adjusted to a uniform distance of 1,000 km are 4.32 +/- 0.08 and 3.77 +/- 0.06, respectively. This difference is also 0.55 magnitude. The dimming is unexpected because the Block 2 satellites are ~3.5 times as large as Block 1. BlueBird 6 is only 17% as bright as Block 1 spacecraft per unit surface area. Possible explanations are discussed. All BlueBird satellites exceed the brightness limits recommended by the International Astronomical Union. However, they will be fewer in number than other satellite constellations.

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arXiv2026

The Impact of Space Debris on Optical Astronomy

Photometric observations of space debris objects brighter than magnitudes 6.0, 7.0 and 8.0 are characterized. Those magnitudes pertain to different levels of interference with astronomy as defined by the International Astronomical Union. The densities of debris objects per square degree of sky and brighter than the magnitudes listed above are only 6, 13 and 24 parts per million, respectively. Furthermore, only about 1.4%, 2.5% and 3.8% of the 12,173 debris objects cataloged by NORAD exceed those magnitudes for even a small fraction of the time. So, debris trails have a minor impact on astronomical images and visual sightings are few. Characteristics of debris resulting from selected spacecraft collisions and rocket explosions are also quantified. This study is based on 13 million observations recorded by the MMT9 observatory.

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arXiv2026

Secular Brightness Trends of Starlink and OneWeb Satellites

Magnitudes recorded from 2021 through 2026 for Starlink VisorSats reveal brightening of 0.6 magnitudes, while those of OneWeb show dimming of 0.4. Both trends are significant at 3 sigma. This study is based on 1.6 million magnitudes recorded by the MMT9 robotic observatory.

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arXiv2026

Brightness Characterization and Modeling for Amazon Leo Satellites

The mean apparent magnitude of Amazon Leo satellites is 6.28 based on 1,938 observations. For spacecraft in their operational mode, 92% exceeded the brightness limit recommended by the IAU for interference with research, while 25% distract from aesthetic appreciation of the night sky. The reflective characteristics are similar to Version 1 Starlink spacecraft.

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arXiv2025

Satellite Constellations Exceed the Limits of Acceptable Brightness Established by the IAU

Brightness statistics for satellites of the Starlink, BlueBird, Qianfan, Guowang and OneWeb constellations are reported. The means and standard deviations are compared to acceptable limits set by the International Astronomical Union's Centre for the Protection of the Dark and Quiet Sky From Satellite Constellations Interference. Nearly all these spacecraft exceed the magnitude 7+ brightness limit pertaining to interference with professional research. Most also exceed the magnitude 6 reference where they distract from aesthetic appreciation of the night sky.

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arXiv2025

Brightness Characteristics of the Qianfan Satellites and Evidence That Some Are Tumbling

The mean apparent magnitude of the Qianfan satellites is 5.76 +/- 0.04, while the mean of magnitudes adjusted to a distance of 1,000 km is 5.24 +/- 0.04, based on 1,161 observations. Light curves of several spacecraft display rapid periodic fluctuations which indicate that they are tumbling. Nearly all of the non-tumbling satellite observations can be modeled with diffusely reflecting, Earth-facing surfaces. The Qianfan constellation will impact astronomical research and aesthetic appreciation of the night sky unless their brightness is mitigated.

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arXiv2025

Initial Observations of the First BlueBird Spacecraft and a Model of Their Brightness

Based on a large set of visual observations, the mean apparent magnitude of BlueBird satellites is 3.44, while the mean of magnitudes adjusted to a uniform distance of 1000 km is 3.84. Near zenith the spacecraft can be as bright as magnitude 0.5. While these spacecraft are bright enough to impact astronomical observations, they can for periods be fainter than the BlueWalker 3 prototype satellite. A model for their brightness shows that design changes since the BlueWalker 3 mission can explain the behavior of BlueBird.

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arXiv2025

Characterization of Starlink Direct-to-Cell Satellites In Brightness Mitigation Mode

The mean apparent magnitude of Starlink Mini Direct-To-Cell (DTC) satellites observed in brightness mitigation mode is 5.16, while the mean of magnitudes adjusted to a uniform distance of 1,000 km is 6.47. The DTCs have faded since early in 2024 because SpaceX subsequently adjusted the spacecraft attitudes to dim them. A physical model for satellite brightness that fits the observations is described.

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arXiv2024

Brightness of the Qianfan Satellites

Observed magnitudes of Qianfan spacecraft range from 4 when they are near zenith to 8 when low in the sky. Nearly all of the observations can be modeled with a nadir-facing flat antenna panel and the underside of a zenith-facing solar array, both with Lambertian reflectance properties. These satellites will impact astronomical research unless their brightness is reduced.

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arXiv2024

BlueWalker 3 Redux

The BlueWalker 3 satellite is now fainter than during the first months after deployment. The greatest improvement is that the average maximum luminosity near zenith has been reduced from magnitude 1.0 to 2.2. However, the spacecraft is still usually bright enough to interfere with astronomical research.

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arXiv2024

Brightness Characterization for Starlink Direct-to-Cell Satellites

The mean apparent magnitude of Starlink Mini Direct-To-Cell (DTC) satellites is 4.62 while the mean of magnitudes adjusted to a uniform distance of 1000 km is 5.50. DTCs average 4.9 times brighter than other Starlink Mini spacecraft at a common distance. We cannot currently separate the effects of the DTC antenna itself, the different attitude modes that may be required for DTC operations and to what extent brightness mitigation procedures were in place at the times of our observations. In a best case scenario, where DTC brightness mitigation is as successful as that for other Minis and the DTC antenna does not add significantly to brightness, we estimate that DTCs will be about 2.6 times as bright as the others based upon their lower altitudes. The DTCs spend a greater fraction of their time in the Earth's shadow than satellites at higher altitudes. That will offset some of their impact on astronomical observing.

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arXiv2024

Predicted Brightness of Starlink Internet Satellites at 350 km

SpaceX recently proposed to orbit 19,440 Starlink internet satellites at a low altitude of 350 km instead of the current 550 km. The distribution in the sky and the apparent magnitudes of these spacecraft are simulated in this paper. During astronomical twilight the impact of spacecraft at 350 km on astronomical observations would be more severe than those at 550 km. However, during the hours of darkness those at 350 km would have a less severe impact. The qualitative statement made by SpaceX to the US Federal Communications Commision is consistent with the quantitative results reported here.

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arXiv2024

Extreme Flaring of Starlink Satellites

Starlink satellites can become extremely bright when sunlight reflects specularly to an observer on the ground. The observed brightness of such flares is consistent with a bidirectional reflectance function of the Starlink satellite chassis. These findings are applied to the case of an extreme flare that was reported as an Unidentified Aerial Phenomena by the pilots of two commercial aircraft.

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arXiv2024

The Brightness of Starlink Mini Satellites During Orbit-Raising

Observations of Starlink V2 Mini satellites during orbit-raising suggest that SpaceX applies brightness mitigation when they reach a height of 357 km. The mean apparent magnitudes for objects below that height threshold is 2.68 while the mean for those above is 6.46. When magnitudes are adjusted to a uniform distance of 1000 km the means are 4.58 and 7.52, respectively. The difference of 2.94 between distance-adjusted magnitudes above and below threshold implies that mitigation is 93% effective in reducing the brightness of orbit-raising spacecraft. Orbit-raising Mini spacecraft have a smaller impact on astronomical observations than higher altitude on-station spacecraft because they are relatively few in number. They also spend less time traversing the sky and spend longer in the Earth's shadow. These low-altitude objects will be more out-of-focus in large telescopes such as the LSST which reduces their impact, too. However, they attract considerable public attention and airline pilots have reported them as Unidentified Aerial Phenomena.

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arXiv2024

Starlink Mini Satellite Brightness Distributions Across the Sky

The illumination phase functions for Starlink Mini satellites are determined for times of twilight and darkness. Those functions are then evaluated to give apparent magnitudes over a grid of points across the sky and over a range of solar angles below the horizon. Sky maps and a table of satellite magnitude distributions are presented. The largest areas of sky with satellites brighter than magnitudes 6 and 7 both occur during twilight. Brightness surges, known as flares, are also characterized.

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arXiv2023

Assessment of Brightness Mitigation Practices for Starlink Satellites

Photometric characteristics for all models of Starlink satellites launched to date are reviewed. The Original design that lacked brightness mitigation is the most luminous. SpaceX installed a sunshade on the VisorSat model which reduced its luminosity by a factor of 3. The visor was omitted on Post-VisorSat spacecraft with laser communication which followed, but the company added a reflective layer which resulted in an intermediate brightness between Original and VisorSat. SpaceX is applying advanced brightness mitigation techniques to their Generation 2 Starlink satellites which are larger. The first of these, called Minis, are dimmer than Gen 1 Starlinks despite their greater size. Photometric observations verify that brightness mitigation efforts employed by SpaceX reduce spacecraft luminosity substantially. However, the satellites still have some negative impact on astronomical observations and the very large satellites planned for later in Gen 2 may interfere more seriously.

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arXiv2023

Starlink Generation 2 Mini Satellites: Photometric Characterization

Starlink Generation 2 Mini satellites are fainter than Gen 1 spacecraft despite their larger size. The mean of apparent magnitudes for satellites in brightness mitigation mode is 7.06 +/- 0.10. When these magnitudes are adjusted to a uniform distance of 1,000 km that mean is 7.87 +/- 0.09. The brightness mitigation mode reduces distance-adjusted satellite luminosity by a factor of 12 relative to spacecraft that are not mitigated.

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