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Anthony Z Faranesh

Publications and source records attributed to Anthony Z Faranesh.

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Quantifying Cardiovascular-Kidney-Metabolic(CKM) Health Age Using Wearables and lab Biomarkers

Cardiovascular-Kidney-Metabolic (CKM) syndrome represents a growing public health crisis, yet its subclinical heterogeneity remains underexplored. Early detection of physiological deviation is critical for preventing irreversible organ damage. Here, we characterize the prevalence and interplay of CKM impairment in a US cohort (N=819) by integrating continuous wearable data with clinical biomarkers. We assessed cardiovascular, kidney via clinical biomarkers, namely Chol/HDL, eGFR, as well as metabolic health risk through Homeostatic Model Assessment of Insulin Resistance (HOMA-IR). We show that while metabolic and cardiovascular disruptions are significantly associated (r=0.26, $p<0.001$), early-stage kidney impairment manifests independently. Utilizing a normalized deviance score, we identified significant health impairments in 29.0% of the cohort. Cardiovascular deviation was the most prevalent singular phenotype (13.3%), followed by metabolic (9.1%) and renal (6.25%) deviations, with dual metabolic-cardiovascular impairment occurring in only 2.2% of participants. These findings suggest that high system-specific deviance may serve as an indicator for accelerated physiological aging within the respective organ system. Furthermore, Step count, Active Zone Minutes, and resting heart rate were identified as the key wearable predictors of cardiovascular and metabolic decline. Leveraging these and CKM metrics, we developed a Health Age model that tracks physiological health, aligning with established clinical standards (Metabolic syndrome severity and modified AHA Life's Essential 8) and user-reported overall health. These findings underscore the necessity of a multi-system subtyping approach, demonstrating that wearable-derived phenotypes can facilitate the early, targeted interventions required to manage the complex landscape of CKM syndrome.

q-bio.QM

Insulin Resistance Prediction From Wearables and Routine Blood Biomarkers

Insulin resistance, a precursor to type 2 diabetes, is characterized by impaired insulin action in tissues. Current methods for measuring insulin resistance, while effective, are expensive, inaccessible, not widely available and hinder opportunities for early intervention. In this study, we remotely recruited the largest dataset to date across the US to study insulin resistance (N=1,165 participants, with median BMI=28 kg/m2, age=45 years, HbA1c=5.4%), incorporating wearable device time series data and blood biomarkers, including the ground-truth measure of insulin resistance, homeostatic model assessment for insulin resistance (HOMA-IR). We developed deep neural network models to predict insulin resistance based on readily available digital and blood biomarkers. Our results show that our models can predict insulin resistance by combining both wearable data and readily available blood biomarkers better than either of the two data sources separately (R2=0.5, auROC=0.80, Sensitivity=76%, and specificity 84%). The model showed 93% sensitivity and 95% adjusted specificity in obese and sedentary participants, a subpopulation most vulnerable to developing type 2 diabetes and who could benefit most from early intervention. Rigorous evaluation of model performance, including interpretability, and robustness, facilitates generalizability across larger cohorts, which is demonstrated by reproducing the prediction performance on an independent validation cohort (N=72 participants). Additionally, we demonstrated how the predicted insulin resistance can be integrated into a large language model agent to help understand and contextualize HOMA-IR values, facilitating interpretation and safe personalized recommendations. This work offers the potential for early detection of people at risk of type 2 diabetes and thereby facilitate earlier implementation of preventative strategies.

cs.LG