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Anton Kolonin

Publications and source records attributed to Anton Kolonin.

At least 19 recordsLinked to original sources

Extending Liquid Rank Toward Multi-Source Reputation Aggregation

In this paper, we present an extension of liquid rank reputation systems that enables the aggregation and blending of multiple heterogeneous reputation sources into a unified reputation score. The proposed framework supports the incorporation of external reputational signals alongside internally generated reputation, allowing influence to reflect participation and contribution across multiple contexts and subsystems. By introducing explicit weighting and blending mechanisms, the model provides fine-grained control over the relative impact of individual reputation sources, making it adaptable to diverse governance and coordination scenarios involving both human and machine agents. The resulting approach extends existing liquid rank systems and offers a flexible foundation for designing reputation-based governance mechanisms in complex socio-technical environments.

cs.MA

Interpretable experiential learning based on state history and global feedback

A new interpretable experiential learning model based on state history and global feedback is presented. It is capable of learning a behavioral model represented by a transition graph between sets of states, with transitions attributed with utility and evidence count. This model is expected to be suitable for solving reinforcement learning problem in resource-constrained environments. The model was thoroughly evaluated on the OpenAI Gym Atari Breakout benchmark, demonstrating performance comparable to some known neural network-based solutions.

cs.LG

Time Series Augmented Generation for Financial Applications

Evaluating the reasoning capabilities of Large Language Models (LLMs) for complex, quantitative financial tasks is a critical and unsolved challenge. Standard benchmarks often fail to isolate an agent's core ability to parse queries and orchestrate computations. To address this, we introduce a novel evaluation methodology and benchmark designed to rigorously measure an LLM agent's reasoning for financial time-series analysis. We apply this methodology in a large-scale empirical study using our framework, Time Series Augmented Generation (TSAG), where an LLM agent delegates quantitative tasks to verifiable, external tools. Our benchmark, consisting of 100 financial questions, is used to compare multiple SOTA agents (e.g., GPT-4o, Llama 3, Qwen2) on metrics assessing tool selection accuracy, faithfulness, and hallucination. The results demonstrate that capable agents can achieve near-perfect tool-use accuracy with minimal hallucination, validating the tool-augmented paradigm. Our primary contribution is this evaluation framework and the corresponding empirical insights into agent performance, which we release publicly to foster standardized research on reliable financial AI.

cs.AI

Computational Concept of the Psyche

This article presents an overview of approaches to modeling the human psyche in the context of constructing an artificial one. Based on this overview, a concept of cognitive architecture is proposed, in which the psyche is viewed as the operating system of a living or artificial subject, comprising a space of states, including the state of needs that determine the meaning of a subject's being in relation to stimuli from the external world, and intelligence as a decision-making system regarding actions in this world to satisfy these needs. Based on this concept, a computational formalization is proposed for creating artificial general intelligence systems for an agent through experiential learning in a state space that includes agent's needs, taking into account their biological or existential significance for the intelligent agent, along with agent's sensations and actions. Thus, the problem of constructing artificial general intelligence is formalized as a system for making optimal decisions in the space of specific agent needs under conditions of uncertainty, maximizing success in achieving goals, minimizing existential risks, and maximizing energy efficiency. A minimal experimental implementation of the model is presented.

cs.AI

Human-aligned Quantification of Numerical Data

Quantifying numerical data involves addressing two key challenges: first, determining whether the data can be naturally quantified, and second, identifying the numerical intervals or ranges of values that correspond to specific value classes, referred to as "quantums," which represent statistically meaningful states. If such quantification is feasible, continuous streams of numerical data can be transformed into sequences of "symbols" that reflect the states of the system described by the measured parameter. People often perform this task intuitively, relying on common sense or practical experience, while information theory and computer science offer computable metrics for this purpose. In this study, we assess the applicability of metrics based on information compression and the Silhouette coefficient for quantifying numerical data. We also investigate the extent to which these metrics correlate with one another and with what is commonly referred to as "human intuition." Our findings suggest that the ability to classify numeric data values into distinct categories is associated with a Silhouette coefficient above 0.65 and a Dip Test below 0.5; otherwise, the data can be treated as following a unimodal normal distribution. Furthermore, when quantification is possible, the Silhouette coefficient appears to align more closely with human intuition than the "normalized centroid distance" method derived from information compression perspective.

physics.data-an

Interpretable Recognition of Cognitive Distortions in Natural Language Texts

We propose a new approach to multi-factor classification of natural language texts based on weighted structured patterns such as N-grams, taking into account the heterarchical relationships between them, applied to solve such a socially impactful problem as the automation of detection of specific cognitive distortions in psychological care, relying on an interpretable, robust and transparent artificial intelligence model. The proposed recognition and learning algorithms improve the current state of the art in this field. The improvement is tested on two publicly available datasets, with significant improvements over literature-known F1 scores for the task, with optimal hyper-parameters determined, having code and models available for future use by the community.

cs.CL

Computational Concept of the Psyche (in Russian)

The article provides an overview of approaches to modeling the human psyche in the perspective of building an artificial one. Based on the review, a concept of cognitive architecture is proposed, where the psyche is considered as an operating system of a living or artificial subject, including a space of needs that determines its life meanings in connection with stimuli from the external world, and intelligence as a decision-making system for actions in relation to this world in order to satisfy these needs. Based on the concept, a computational formalization is proposed for creating artificial intelligence systems through learning from experience in the space of a space of needs, taking into account their biological or existential significance for an intelligent agent. Thus, the problem of building general artificial intelligence as a system for making optimal decisions in the space of agent-specific needs under conditions of uncertainty is formalized, with maximization of success in achieving goals, minimization of existential risks and maximization of energy efficiency. A minimal experimental implementation of the model is also provided.

q-bio.NC

Generalized Reputation Computation Ontology and Temporal Graph Architecture

The problem of reliable democratic governance is important for survival of any community, and it will be more critical over time communities with levels of social connectivity in society rapidly increasing with speeds and scales of electronic communication. In order to face such challenge, different sorts of rating and reputation systems are being developed, however reputation gaming and manipulation in such systems appears to be serious problem. We are considering use of advanced reputation system supporting "liquid democracy" principle with generalized design and underlying ontology fitting different sorts of environments such as social networks, financial ecosystems and marketplaces. The suggested system is based on "temporal weighted liquid rank" algorithm employing different sorts of explicit and implicit ratings being exchanged by members of the society. For the purpose, we suggest "incremental reputation" design and graph database used for implementation of the system. Finally, we present evaluation of the system against real social network and financial blockchain data. The entire framework is expected to be the foundation of any multi-agent AI framework, so the evolution of distributed multi-agent AI architecture and dynamics will be based on the organic reputation scores earned by the agents that are part of it.

cs.SI

Application of Liquid Rank Reputation System for Twitter Trend Analysis on Bitcoin

Analyzing social media trends can create a win-win situation for both creators and consumers. Creators can receive fair compensation, while consumers gain access to engaging, relevant, and personalized content. This paper proposes a new model for analyzing Bitcoin trends on Twitter by incorporating a 'liquid democracy' approach based on user reputation. This system aims to identify the most impactful trends and their influence on Bitcoin prices and trading volume. It uses a Twitter sentiment analysis model based on a reputation rating system to determine the impact on Bitcoin price change and traded volume. In addition, the reputation model considers the users' higher-order friends on the social network (the initial Twitter input channels in our case study) to improve the accuracy and diversity of the reputation results. We analyze Bitcoin-related news on Twitter to understand how trends and user sentiment, measured through our Liquid Rank Reputation System, affect Bitcoin price fluctuations and trading activity within the studied time frame. This reputation model can also be used as an additional layer in other trend and sentiment analysis models. The paper proposes the implementation, challenges, and future scope of the liquid rank reputation model.

cs.SI

Evolution of Efficient Symbolic Communication Codes

The paper explores how the human natural language structure can be seen as a product of evolution of inter-personal communication code, targeting maximisation of such culture-agnostic and cross-lingual metrics such as anti-entropy, compression factor and cross-split F1 score. The exploration is done as part of a larger unsupervised language learning effort, the attempt is made to perform meta-learning in a space of hyper-parameters maximising F1 score based on the "ground truth" language structure, by means of maximising the metrics mentioned above. The paper presents preliminary results of cross-lingual word-level segmentation tokenisation study for Russian, Chinese and English as well as subword segmentation or morphological parsing study for English. It is found that language structure form the word-level segmentation or tokenisation can be found as driven by all of these metrics, anti-entropy being more relevant to English and Russian while compression factor more specific for Chinese. The study for subword segmentation or morphological parsing on English lexicon has revealed straight connection between the compression been found to be associated with compression factor, while, surprising, the same connection with anti-entropy has turned to be the inverse.

cs.CL

Self-tuning hyper-parameters for unsupervised cross-lingual tokenization

We explore the possibility of meta-learning for the language-independent unsupervised tokenization problem for English, Russian, and Chinese. We implement the meta-learning approach for automatic determination of hyper-parameters of the unsupervised tokenization model proposed in earlier works, relying on various human-independent fitness functions such as normalised anti-entropy, compression factor and cross-split F1 score, as well as additive and multiplicative composite combinations of the three metrics, testing them against the conventional F1 tokenization score. We find a fairly good correlation between the latter and the additive combination of the former three metrics for English and Russian. In case of Chinese, we find a significant correlation between the F 1 score and the compression factor. Our results suggest the possibility of robust unsupervised tokenization of low-resource and dead languages and allow us to think about human languages in terms of the evolution of efficient symbolic communication codes with different structural optimisation schemes that have evolved in different human cultures.

cs.CL

Adaptive Predictive Portfolio Management Agent

The paper presents an advanced version of an adaptive market-making agent capable of performing experiential learning, exploiting a "try and fail" approach relying on a swarm of subordinate agents executed in a virtual environment to determine optimal strategies. The problem is treated as a "Narrow AGI" problem with the scope of goals and environments bound to financial markets, specifically crypto-markets. Such an agent is called an "adaptive multi-strategy agent" as it executes multiple strategies virtually and selects only a few for real execution. The presented version of the agent is extended to solve portfolio optimization and re-balancing across multiple assets so the problem of active portfolio management is being addressed. Also, an attempt is made to apply an experiential learning approach executed in the virtual environment of multi-agent simulation and backtesting based on historical market data, so the agent can learn mappings between specific market conditions and optimal strategies corresponding to these conditions. Additionally, the agent is equipped with the capacity to predict price movements based on social media data, which increases its financial performance.

cs.CE

Cognitive Architecture for Decision-Making Based on Brain Principles Programming (in Russian)

We describe a cognitive architecture intended to solve a wide range of problems based on the five identified principles of brain activity, with their implementation in three subsystems: logical-probabilistic inference, probabilistic formal concepts, and functional systems theory. Building an architecture involves the implementation of a task-driven approach that allows defining the target functions of applied applications as tasks formulated in terms of the operating environment corresponding to the task, expressed in the applied ontology. We provide a basic ontology for a number of practical applications as well as for the subject domain ontologies based upon it, describe the proposed architecture, and give possible examples of the execution of these applications in this architecture.

cs.AI

Unsupervised Tokenization Learning

In the presented study, we discover that the so-called "transition freedom" metric appears superior for unsupervised tokenization purposes in comparison to statistical metrics such as mutual information and conditional probability, providing F-measure scores in range from 0.71 to 1.0 across explored multilingual corpora. We find that different languages require different offshoots of that metric (such as derivative, variance, and "peak values") for successful tokenization. Larger training corpora do not necessarily result in better tokenization quality, while compressing the models by eliminating statistically weak evidence tends to improve performance. The proposed unsupervised tokenization technique provides quality better than or comparable to lexicon-based ones, depending on the language.

cs.CL

A Liquid Democracy System for Human-Computer Societies

Problem of reliable democratic governance is critical for survival of any community, and it will be critical for communities powered with Artificial Intelligence (AI) systems upon developments of the latter. Apparently, it will be getting more and more critical because of increasing speeds and scales of electronic communications and decreasing latencies in system responses. In order to address this need, we present design and implementation of a reputation system supporting "liquid democracy" principle. The system is based on "weighted liquid rank" algorithm employing different sorts of explicit and implicit ratings being exchanged by members of the society as well as implicit assessments of of the members based on measures of their activity in the society. The system is evaluated against live social network data with help of simulation modelling for an online marketplace case.

cs.MA

A Reputation System for Market Security and Equity

We simulate a reputation system in a market to optimise the balance between market security and market equity. We introduce a method of using a reputation system that will stabilise the distribution of wealth in a market in a fair manner. We also introduce metrics of a modified Gini that takes production quality into account, a way to use a weighted Pearson as a tool to optimise balance.

cs.MA

Application of Liquid Rank Reputation System for Content Recommendation

An effective content recommendation on social media platforms should be able to benefit both creators to earn fair compensation and consumers to enjoy really relevant, interesting, and personalized content. In this paper, we propose a model to implement the liquid democracy principle for the content recommendation system. It uses a personalized recommendation model based on reputation ranking system to encourage personal interests driven recommendation. Moreover, the personalization factors to an end users' higher-order friends on the social network (initial input Twitter channels in our case study) to improve the accuracy and diversity of recommendation results. This paper analyzes the dataset based on cryptocurrency news on Twitter to find the opinion leader using the liquid rank reputation system. This paper deals with the tier-2 implementation of a liquid rank in a content recommendation model. This model can be also used as an additional layer in the other recommendation systems. The paper proposes the implementation, challenges, and future scope of the liquid rank reputation model.

cs.IR

Cognitive Architecture for Decision-Making Based on Brain Principles Programming

We describe a cognitive architecture intended to solve a wide range of problems based on the five identified principles of brain activity, with their implementation in three subsystems: logical-probabilistic inference, probabilistic formal concepts, and functional systems theory. Building an architecture involves the implementation of a task-driven approach that allows defining the target functions of applied applications as tasks formulated in terms of the operating environment corresponding to the task, expressed in the applied ontology. We provide a basic ontology for a number of practical applications as well as for the subject domain ontologies based upon it, describe the proposed architecture, and give possible examples of the execution of these applications in this architecture.

cs.AI