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Antonio Capella

Publications and source records attributed to Antonio Capella.

11 recordsLinked to original sources

Time-periodic oscillating Néel walls in ferromagnetic thin films

This paper studies the existence, the structure and the spectral stability of time-periodic oscillating 180-degree Néel walls in ferromagnetic thin films. It is proved that time-periodic coherent structures do exist as solutions to the reduced model for the in-plane magnetization proposed by Capella, Melcher, and Otto (Nonlinearity 20 (2007), no. 11, 2519--2537) when a weak and $T$-periodic external magnetic field is applied in the direction of the easy axes of the film, perturbing in this fashion the well-known static 180-degree Néel wall. The linearization around this time-periodic Néel wall is constituted by a family of linear operators, parametrized by the time variable, which generates an evolution system of generators (or propagator) for the linear problem. Profiting from the stability of the static Néel wall, it is shown that the Floquet spectrum of the monodromy map for the propagator is contained in the complex unit circle, proving stability of the oscillating solution at least at a linear level.

math.AP

Stability of moving Néel walls in ferromagnetic thin films

This paper studies moving 180-degree Néel walls in ferromagnetic thin films under the reduced model for the in-plane magnetization proposed by Capella, Melcher and Otto [5], in the case when a sufficiently weak external magnetic field is applied. It is shown that the linearization around the moving Néel wall's phase determines a spectral problem that is a relatively bounded perturbation of the linearization around the static Néel wall, which is the solution when the external magnetic field is set to zero and which is spectrally stable. Uniform resolvent-type estimates for the linearized operator around the static wall are established in order to prove the spectral stability of the moving wall upon application of perturbation theory for linear operators. The spectral analysis is the basis to prove, in turn, both the decaying properties of the generated semigroup and the nonlinear stability of the moving Néel wall under small perturbations, in the case of a sufficiently weak external magnetic field. The stability of the static Néel wall, which was established in a companion paper [4], plays a key role to obtain the main result.

math.AP

On the quasiconvex hull for a three-well problem in two dimensional linear elasticity

We provide quantitative inner and outer bounds for the symmetric quasiconvex hull $Q^e(\mathcal{U})$ on linear strains generated by three-well sets $\mathcal{U}$ in $\mathbb{R}^{2\times 2}_{sym}$. In our study, we consider all possible compatible configurations for three wells and prove that if there exist two matrices in $\mathcal{U}$ that are rank-one compatible then $Q^e(\mathcal{U})$ coincides with its symmetric lamination convex hull $L^e(\mathcal{U})$. We complete this result by providing an explicit characterization of $L^e(\mathcal{U})$ in terms of the wells in $\mathcal{U}$. Finally, we discuss the optimality of our outer bound and its relationship with quadratic polyconvex functions.

math.AP

Uncertainty quantification for fault slip inversion

We propose an efficient Bayesian approach to infer a fault displacement from geodetic data in a slow slip event. Our physical model of the slip process reduces to a multiple linear regression subject to constraints. Assuming a Gaussian model for the geodetic data and considering a multivariate truncated normal prior distribution for the unknown fault slip, the resulting posterior distribution is also multivariate truncated normal. Regarding the posterior, we propose an algorithm based on Optimal Directional Gibbs that allows us to efficiently sample from the resulting high-dimensional posterior distribution of along dip and along strike movements of our fault grid division. A synthetic fault slip example illustrates the flexibility and accuracy of the proposed approach. The methodology is also applied to a real data set, for the 2006 Guerrero, Mexico, Slow Slip Event, where the objective is to recover the fault slip on a known interface that produces displacements observed at ground geodetic stations. As a by-product of our approach, we are able to estimate moment magnitude for the 2006 Guerrero Event with uncertainty quantification.

stat.ME

Bayesian sequential data assimilation for COVID-19 forecasting

We introduce a Bayesian sequential data assimilation method for COVID-19 forecasting. It is assumed that suitable transmission, epidemic and observation models are available and previously validated and the transmission and epidemic models are coded into a dynamical system. The observation model depends on the dynamical system state variables and parameters, and is cast as a likelihood function. We elicit prior distributions of the effective population size, the dynamical system initial conditions and infectious contact rate, and use Markov Chain Monte Carlo sampling to make inference and prediction of quantities of interest (QoI) at the onset of the epidemic outbreak. The forecast is sequentially updated over a sliding window of epidemic records as new data becomes available. Prior distributions for the state variables at the new forecasting time are assembled using the dynamical system, calibrated for the previous forecast. Moreover, changes in the contact rate and effective population size are naturally introduced through auto-regressive models on the corresponding parameters. We show our forecasting method's performance using a SEIR type model and COVID-19 data from several Mexican localities.

stat.AP

On the symmetric lamination convex and quasiconvex hull for the coplanar n-well problem in two dimensions

We study some particular cases of the $n$-well problem in two-dimensional linear elasticity. Assuming that every well in $\mathcal{U}\subset\mathbb{R}^{2\times 2}_\text{sym}$ belong to the same two-dimensional affine subspace, we characterize the symmetric lamination convex hull $L^e(\mathcal{U})$ for any number of wells in terms of the symmetric lamination convex hull of all three-well subsets contained in $\mathcal{U}$. For a family of four-well sets where two pairs of wells are rank-one compatible, we show that the symmetric lamination convex and quasiconvex hulls coincide, but are strictly contained in its convex hull $C(\mathcal{U})$. We extend this result to some particular configurations of $n$ wells. Most of the proofs are constructive, and we also present explicit examples.

math.AP

Filtering and improved Uncertainty Quantification in the dynamic estimation of effective reproduction numbers

The effective reproduction number $R_t$ measures an infectious disease's transmissibility as the number of secondary infections in one reproduction time in a population having both susceptible and non-susceptible hosts. Current approaches do not quantify the uncertainty correctly in estimating $R_t$, as expected by the observed variability in contagion patterns. We elaborate on the Bayesian estimation of $R_t$ by improving on the Poisson sampling model of Cori et al. (2013). By adding an autoregressive latent process, we build a Dynamic Linear Model on the log of observed $R_t$s, resulting in a filtering type Bayesian inference. We use a conjugate analysis, and all calculations are explicit. Results show an improved uncertainty quantification on the estimation of $R_t$'s, with a reliable method that could safely be used by non-experts and within other forecasting systems. We illustrate our approach with recent data from the current COVID19 epidemic in Mexico.

stat.ME

Forecasting hospital demand during COVID-19 pandemic outbreaks

We present a compartmental SEIRD model aimed at forecasting hospital occupancy in metropolitan areas during the current COVID-19 outbreak. The model features asymptomatic and symptomatic infections with detailed hospital dynamics. We model explicitly branching probabilities and non exponential residence times in each latent and infected compartments. Using both hospital admittance confirmed cases and deaths we infer the contact rate and the initial conditions of the dynamical system, considering break points to model lockdown interventions. Our Bayesian approach allows us to produce timely probabilistic forecasts of hospital demand. The model has been used by the federal government of Mexico to assist public policy, and has been applied for the analysis of more than 70 metropolitan areas and the 32 states in the country.

q-bio.PE

Regularity of radial extremal solutions for some non local semilinear equations

We investigate stable solutions of elliptic equations of the type \begin{equation*} \left \{ \begin{aligned} (-Δ)^s u&=λf(u) \qquad {\mbox{ in $B_1 \subset \R^{n}$}} \\ u&= 0 \qquad{\mbox{ on $\partial B_1$,}}\end{aligned}\right . \end{equation*} where $n\ge2$, $s \in (0,1)$, $λ\geq 0$ and $f$ is any smooth positive superlinear function. The operator $(-Δ)^s$ stands for the fractional Laplacian, a pseudo-differential operator of order $2s$. According to the value of $λ$, we study the existence and regularity of weak solutions $u$.

math.AP

Regularity of radial minimizers of reaction equations involving the p-Laplacian

We consider semi-stable, radially symmetric, and decreasing solutions of a reaction equation involving the p-Laplacian, where the reaction term is a locally Lipschitz function, and the domain is the unit ball. For this class of radial solutions, which includes local minimizers, we establish pointwise and Sobolev estimates which are optimal and do not depend on the specific nonlinear reaction term. Under standard assumptions we also prove the regularity of the corresponding extremal solution.

math.AP

Solvability of the G_2 Integrable System

It is shown that the 3-body trigonometric G_2 integrable system is exactly-solvable. If the configuration space is parametrized by certain symmetric functions of the coordinates then, for arbitrary values of the coupling constants, the Hamiltonian can be expressed as a quadratic polynomial in the generators of some Lie algebra of differential operators in a finite-dimensional representation. Four infinite families of eigenstates, represented by polynomials, and the corresponding eigenvalues are described explicitly.

solv-int