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Anwesha Bhattacharyya

Publications and source records attributed to Anwesha Bhattacharyya.

8 recordsLinked to original sources

Model Risk Management for Generative AI In Financial Institutions

The success of OpenAI's ChatGPT in 2023 has spurred financial enterprises into exploring Generative AI applications to reduce costs or drive revenue within different lines of businesses in the Financial Industry. While these applications offer strong potential for efficiencies, they introduce new model risks, primarily hallucinations and toxicity. As highly regulated entities, financial enterprises (primarily large US banks) are obligated to enhance their model risk framework with additional testing and controls to ensure safe deployment of such applications. This paper outlines the key aspects for model risk management of generative AI model with a special emphasis on additional practices required in model validation.

q-fin.RM↗

Using Markov Boundary Approach for Interpretable and Generalizable Feature Selection

The perceived advantage of machine learning (ML) models is that they are flexible and can incorporate a large number of features. However, many of these are typically correlated or dependent, and incorporating all of them can hinder model stability and generalizability. In fact, it is desirable to do some form of feature screening and incorporate only the relevant features. The best approaches should involve subject-matter knowledge and information on causal relationships. This paper deals with an approach called Markov boundary (MB) that is related to causal discovery, using directed acyclic graphs to represent potential relationships and using statistical tests to determine the connections. An MB is the minimum set of features that guarantee that other potential predictors do not affect the target given the boundary while ensuring maximal predictive accuracy. Identifying the Markov boundary is straightforward under assumptions of Gaussianity on the features and linear relationships between them. But these assumptions are not satisfied in practice. This paper outlines common problems associated with identifying the Markov boundary in structured data when relationships are non-linear and the predictors are of mixed data type. We propose a multi-group forward-backward selection strategy that addresses these challenges and demonstrate its capabilities on simulated and real datasets.

stat.AP↗

Towards a framework on tabular synthetic data generation: a minimalist approach: theory, use cases, and limitations

We propose and study a minimalist approach towards synthetic tabular data generation. The model consists of a minimalistic unsupervised SparsePCA encoder (with contingent clustering step or log transformation to handle nonlinearity) and XGboost decoder which is SOTA for structured data regression and classification tasks. We study and contrast the methodologies with (variational) autoencoders in several toy low dimensional scenarios to derive necessary intuitions. The framework is applied to high dimensional simulated credit scoring data which parallels real-life financial applications. We applied the method to robustness testing to demonstrate practical use cases. The case study result suggests that the method provides an alternative to raw and quantile perturbation for model robustness testing. We show that the method is simplistic, guarantees interpretability all the way through, does not require extra tuning and provide unique benefits.

cs.LG↗

Improving the Reconstruction of Disentangled Representation Learners via Multi-Stage Modeling

Current autoencoder-based disentangled representation learning methods achieve disentanglement by penalizing the (aggregate) posterior to encourage statistical independence of the latent factors. This approach introduces a trade-off between disentangled representation learning and reconstruction quality since the model does not have enough capacity to learn correlated latent variables that capture detail information present in most image data. To overcome this trade-off, we present a novel multi-stage modeling approach where the disentangled factors are first learned using a penalty-based disentangled representation learning method; then, the low-quality reconstruction is improved with another deep generative model that is trained to model the missing correlated latent variables, adding detail information while maintaining conditioning on the previously learned disentangled factors. Taken together, our multi-stage modelling approach results in a single, coherent probabilistic model that is theoretically justified by the principal of D-separation and can be realized with a variety of model classes including likelihood-based models such as variational autoencoders, implicit models such as generative adversarial networks, and tractable models like normalizing flows or mixtures of Gaussians. We demonstrate that our multi-stage model has higher reconstruction quality than current state-of-the-art methods with equivalent disentanglement performance across multiple standard benchmarks. In addition, we apply the multi-stage model to generate synthetic tabular datasets, showcasing an enhanced performance over benchmark models across a variety of metrics. The interpretability analysis further indicates that the multi-stage model can effectively uncover distinct and meaningful features of variations from which the original distribution can be recovered.

stat.ML↗

Assessing Robustness of Machine Learning Models using Covariate Perturbations

As machine learning models become increasingly prevalent in critical decision-making models and systems in fields like finance, healthcare, etc., ensuring their robustness against adversarial attacks and changes in the input data is paramount, especially in cases where models potentially overfit. This paper proposes a comprehensive framework for assessing the robustness of machine learning models through covariate perturbation techniques. We explore various perturbation strategies to assess robustness and examine their impact on model predictions, including separate strategies for numeric and non-numeric variables, summaries of perturbations to assess and compare model robustness across different scenarios, and local robustness diagnosis to identify any regions in the data where a model is particularly unstable. Through empirical studies on real world dataset, we demonstrate the effectiveness of our approach in comparing robustness across models, identifying the instabilities in the model, and enhancing model robustness.

stat.ML↗

Behavior of Hyper-Parameters for Selected Machine Learning Algorithms: An Empirical Investigation

Hyper-parameters (HPs) are an important part of machine learning (ML) model development and can greatly influence performance. This paper studies their behavior for three algorithms: Extreme Gradient Boosting (XGB), Random Forest (RF), and Feedforward Neural Network (FFNN) with structured data. Our empirical investigation examines the qualitative behavior of model performance as the HPs vary, quantifies the importance of each HP for different ML algorithms, and stability of the performance near the optimal region. Based on the findings, we propose a set of guidelines for efficient HP tuning by reducing the search space.

cs.LG↗

Bayesian Analysis of High-dimensional Discrete Graphical Models

This work introduces a Bayesian methodology for fitting large discrete graphical models with spike-and-slab priors to encode sparsity. We consider a quasi-likelihood approach that enables node-wise parallel computation resulting in reduced computational complexity. We introduce a scalable Langevin MCMC algorithm for sampling from the quasi-posterior distribution which enables variable selection and estimation simultaneously. We present extensive simulation results to demonstrate scalability and accuracy of the method. We also analyze the 16 Personality Factors (PF) dataset to illustrate performance of the method.

stat.ME↗

An approach to large-scale Quasi-Bayesian inference with spike-and-slab priors

We propose a general framework using spike-and-slab prior distributions to aid with the development of high-dimensional Bayesian inference. Our framework allows inference with a general quasi-likelihood function. We show that highly efficient and scalable Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms can be easily constructed to sample from the resulting quasi-posterior distributions. We study the large scale behavior of the resulting quasi-posterior distributions as the dimension of the parameter space grows, and we establish several convergence results. In large-scale applications where computational speed is important, variational approximation methods are often used to approximate posterior distributions. We show that the contraction behaviors of the quasi-posterior distributions can be exploited to provide theoretical guarantees for their variational approximations. We illustrate the theory with some simulation results from Gaussian graphical models, and sparse principal component analysis.

math.ST↗