arXiv subjects

Arnab Bhadury

Publications and source records attributed to Arnab Bhadury.

5 recordsLinked to original sources

arXiv2026

RecEvolve: A Knowledge-Driven Autonomous Agent System for Recommender Systems

The rise of agentic AI has catalyzed a shift toward self-iterating systems, opening new frontiers for the autonomous optimization of production recommender models. This paper presents the empirical validation of a knowledge-driven autonomous agent system, deployed directly on a production large-scale Two-Tower retrieval model. By delegating the entire research lifecycle, spanning idea generation, code implementation, offline training, and metric evaluation, to a continuous closed-loop autonomous framework, the agent system executed over 40 completed autonomous training runs from scratch. Executing these runs under rigorous production-scale evaluations, the system systematically navigated hidden architectural bottlenecks on the latest production model to achieve a breakthrough ~20% relative improvement in NDCG, a gain that translated directly to a +3.77% increase in user satisfaction in live production traffic. Furthermore, the deployment exposed critical vulnerabilities in standard evaluation protocols, as the agent system autonomously discovered reward-hacking shortcuts. These findings prove that an autonomous pipeline can dramatically accelerate the pace of machine learning research and stress-test the rigorousness of underlying experimental infrastructure, while also exposing novel challenges such as reward hacking and redundant exploration of failed hypotheses.

cs.IR↗

arXiv2026

Efficient Analytic Uncertainty Quantification for Multi-Modal Regression

Efficient uncertainty quantification (UQ) is essential for trustworthy large-scale learning. Existing UQ methods for regression tasks mainly operate under the assumption that the conditional label marginal satisfies single-peak parametric models, e.g., Gaussians, where the negative log-likelihood function simplifies to the mean square error. However, such single-peak assumptions fail in regression tasks featuring multi-modal distributions. On the other hand, semi-parametric methods which achieve strong regression performance for multi-modal distributions often lack efficient quantification on their prediction variances. In this work, we extend UQ techniques based on Variational Bayesian Inference (VBI) to two widely used semi-parametric regression models that yield histogram-like reconstructions of the conditional label densities: Quantile Regression (QR) and Classification Restoration (CR). Our approach introduces a unified, distribution-agnostic framework that simultaneously achieves accurate estimation of complex conditional distributions and highly efficient UQ. Theoretically, our method is grounded in novel formulations of QR and CR within the VBI framework, yielding analytic Evidence Lower Bounds (ELBO) to streamline training and a closed-form or analytically approximated predictive density for efficient inference. Empirically, we evaluate our methods on three large-scale regression benchmarks with multi-modal label distributions. Our framework outperforms state-of-the-art multi-modal regression baselines, and even matches predictive performance of computationally expensive ensemble models. Furthermore, by leveraging epistemic uncertainty estimation, our approach enables highly data-efficient active learning strategies.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2025

Item-centric Exploration for Cold Start Problem

Recommender systems face a critical challenge in the item cold-start problem, which limits content diversity and exacerbates popularity bias by struggling to recommend new items. While existing solutions often rely on auxiliary data, but this paper illuminates a distinct, yet equally pressing, issue stemming from the inherent user-centricity of many recommender systems. We argue that in environments with large and rapidly expanding item inventories, the traditional focus on finding the "best item for a user" can inadvertently obscure the ideal audience for nascent content. To counter this, we introduce the concept of item-centric recommendations, shifting the paradigm to identify the optimal users for new items. Our initial realization of this vision involves an item-centric control integrated into an exploration system. This control employs a Bayesian model with Beta distributions to assess candidate items based on a predicted balance between user satisfaction and the item's inherent quality. Empirical online evaluations reveal that this straightforward control markedly improves cold-start targeting efficacy, enhances user satisfaction with newly explored content, and significantly increases overall exploration efficiency.

cs.IR↗

arXiv2025

Item Level Exploration Traffic Allocation in Large-scale Recommendation Systems

This paper contributes to addressing the item cold start problem in large-scale recommender systems, focusing on how to efficiently gain initial visibility for newly ingested content. We propose an exploration system designed to efficiently allocate impressions to these fresh items. Our approach leverages a learned probabilistic model to predict an item's discoverability, which then informs a scalable and adaptive traffic allocation strategy. This system intelligently distributes exploration budgets, optimizing for the long-term benefit of the recommendation platform. The impact is a demonstrably more efficient cold-start process, leading to a significant increase in the discoverability of new content and ultimately enriching the item corpus available for exploitation, as evidenced by its successful deployment in a large-scale production environment.

cs.IR↗

arXiv2016

Scaling up Dynamic Topic Models

Dynamic topic models (DTMs) are very effective in discovering topics and capturing their evolution trends in time series data. To do posterior inference of DTMs, existing methods are all batch algorithms that scan the full dataset before each update of the model and make inexact variational approximations with mean-field assumptions. Due to a lack of a more scalable inference algorithm, despite the usefulness, DTMs have not captured large topic dynamics. This paper fills this research void, and presents a fast and parallelizable inference algorithm using Gibbs Sampling with Stochastic Gradient Langevin Dynamics that does not make any unwarranted assumptions. We also present a Metropolis-Hastings based $O(1)$ sampler for topic assignments for each word token. In a distributed environment, our algorithm requires very little communication between workers during sampling (almost embarrassingly parallel) and scales up to large-scale applications. We are able to learn the largest Dynamic Topic Model to our knowledge, and learned the dynamics of 1,000 topics from 2.6 million documents in less than half an hour, and our empirical results show that our algorithm is not only orders of magnitude faster than the baselines but also achieves lower perplexity.

stat.ML↗