arXiv subjects

Atharva Gupta

Publications and source records attributed to Atharva Gupta.

3 recordsLinked to original sources

arXiv2026

Semantics or Structure? Auditing Text Sensitivity in Multimodal Time-Series Forecasting

Multimodal time-series forecasting has emerged as a promising paradigm in which natural-language context is expected to improve predictive performance. Recent multimodal foundation models, including Aurora, as well as early- and late-fusion approaches such as MM-TSFlib and TaTS, report substantial gains over unimodal baselines on the Time-MMD benchmark, attributing these improvements to textual information. However, whether these models are actually sensitive to the semantic content of the text remains unverified. We address this question through controlled text perturbations, attribution analyses, and probes of Aurora's text pathway. On Time-MMD, swapping each row's text for any other real text (empty, constant, within-domain shuffled, or cross-domain) moves mean MSE by less than $0.5\%$ on all three architectures. The improvement reported in the literature is recovered when a co-shipped numeric column is removed without touching text. We conclude that, on this benchmark and within this family of frozen-encoder architectures, text content is not the operative signal behind the reported gains. To support future work on text integration in multimodal foundation models for structured data, we release our perturbation protocol and evaluation harness as a reusable diagnostic toolkit.

cs.CL↗

arXiv2026

Where Computation Lives Inside TabPFN: Causal Localisation of Attention Head Function

We present the first causal mechanistic analysis of a tabular foundation model, investigating how TabPFN 2.5's feature wise attention heads distribute computation across layers. Using activation patching, ablation, and attention entropy across two synthetic regression datasets, we find clear temporal specialisation: one head's causal necessity dominates that of the others by 2 to 5 times at peak layer, with its dominant layer shifting across tasks of different complexity, while the remaining heads exhibit symmetric late layer profiles. Attention entropy and patching provide convergent evidence for the computationally active layers of the dominant head. We additionally investigate inference time steerability via contrastive activation steering, which fails to transfer across samples. We attribute this result to TabPFN's in context learning mechanism, which encodes task structure through context dependent attention rather than the stable parametric directions that make steering tractable in language models.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2026

BITS Pilani at SemEval-2026 Task 9: Structured Supervised Fine-Tuning with DPO Refinement for Polarization Detection

The POLAR SemEval-2026 Shared Task aims to detect online polarization and focuses on the classification and identification of multilingual, multicultural, and multi-event polarization. Accurate computational detection of online polarization is challenging due to nuanced rhetoric, implicit framing, and the high cost of human-in-the-loop annotation. Building on recent findings that contextual prompting enables large language models to function as strong polarization detectors, we present a two-stage approach for detecting polarization in social media text that combines structured supervised fine tuning with Direct Preference Optimization (DPO) refinement. We fine tune Qwen 2.5-7B-Instruct with LoRA using an interpretable slot-filling template (target, claim type, manifestation checklist, and justification). We then apply DPO with automatically generated preference pairs to reduce costly false negatives. Our submitted system achieves 0.7664 Macro-F1 on the English test set. Post-submission experiments with Mistral-Nemo-Instruct-2407 and LLM-judge-filtered preference pairs further improve to 0.8162 Macro-F1 (not submitted to CodaBench), surpassing the organiser baseline of 0.7802.

cs.CL↗