Real Classical Shadows with Noise
The real classical shadows protocol of West et al. replaces the unitary (Clifford) ensemble of the Huang--Kueng--Preskill scheme by the orthogonal (real Clifford) ensemble, and for symmetric observables achieves strictly smaller estimator variances: a factor approaching two for global evolution and an exponential factor $(3/2)^k$ for $k$-local real Pauli observables. Real hardware, however, never implements the ideal evolution. Building on the noisy classical shadows framework of Koh and Grewal, we give a complete theory of the real classical shadows protocol in the presence of a known completely positive trace-preserving noise channel acting after the orthogonal evolution. We derive the noisy global and local orthogonal shadow channels from first principles using the Weingarten calculus of the orthogonal group, prove that each is a depolarizing channel acting on the symmetric (respectively locally symmetric) component of its input, and derive from it the exact single-shot variance in closed form, together with the associated shadow seminorm, two-sided bounds on it, and the resulting sample-complexity guarantees. We prove that the noiseless sample-complexity advantages survive intact under noise. Because the variances are exact rather than bounded, the ratio is controlled by a single dimensionless parameter, which gives a closed-form criterion for when the factor of two is attainable: both the second-moment and the variance ratio reach it exactly when the observable's norm profile grows, and the noise enters that limit only through a factor lying within $2/(d+2)$ of two, so the advantage is uniform in the noise. For rank-one targets it is provably unattainable, saturating strictly below two. The local real-Pauli advantage remains $(3/2)^k$. We treat complex measurement bases through a reality parameter and a transposed-noise scalar, recovering unitary shadows in the appropriate limit.