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Audrey Blizard

Publications and source records attributed to Audrey Blizard.

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Sensitivity Analysis of Performance-Based Partitioning in District Heating Networks

The paper presents a sensitivity analysis of the factors affecting the optimal partitioning of a district heating network for distributed control. Leveraging a physics-based, distributed model predictive control framework and a performance-based partitioning method, this work studies the relationship between variations in system parameters and the resulting optimal partition, providing insight into the robustness of a nominally designed partition to perturbed operating conditions. The enabling methodology is a learning-enhanced branch and bound method that culls the search space, reducing the number of partitions evaluated for each case. The sensitivity of the nominally optimal partition is characterized across twelve parameter variations, including supply temperature, operating season, building flexibility, pipe characteristics, and building type. This simulation study shows that a well-designed nominal partition exhibits an average cost increase of only 2.8% relative to centralized control across eleven of the twelve cases, with three cases identifying the nominal partition as globally optimal under the perturbed conditions. The robustness study is followed by an analysis of the sensitivity of the optimality loss metric (OLM), revealing that, in five of twelve cases, the case-specific OLM-minimizing partitions underperform the nominally optimal one due to shifts in the relative magnitude of heat loss versus flexibility costs. This indicates that proper tuning of cost function weights and initial conditions for the performance optimization problem is essential for reliable partition selection, and that seasonal repartitioning is warranted when demand profiles deviate substantially from the nominal, as observed in the November operating case.

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Optimality Loss Minimization in Distributed Control with Application to District Heating

This paper presents a novel partitioning method designed to minimize control performance degradation resulting from partitioning a system for distributed control while maintaining the computational benefits of these methods. A game-theoretic performance metric, the modified Price of Anarchy, is introduced and is used in a generalizable partitioning metric to quantify optimality losses in a distributed controller. By finding the partition that minimizes the partitioning metric, the best-performing distributed control design is chosen. The presented partitioning metric is control-design agnostic, making it broadly applicable to many control design problems. In this paper, the developed metric is used to minimize the performance losses in the distributed control of a demand-flexible District Heating Network. The final distributed controller is provably feasible and stable. In simulation, this novel partitioning performed similarly to the centralized controller, increasing overall heat losses by only 1.9%, as compared to a similarly-sized baseline partition, which resulted in a 22% increase in losses.

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Communication-Based Distributed Control of Large-Scale District Heating Networks

This paper presents a non-cooperative distributed model predictive controller for the control of large-scale District Heating Networks. To enable the design of this controller a novel information passing scheme and feasibility restoration method are created, allowing the local controllers to achieve a global consensus while minimizing a local cost function. The effectiveness of this controller is demonstrated on an 18-user District Heating Network decomposed into six subsystems. The results show that the developed control scheme effectively uses flexibility to manage the buildings' heat demands reducing the total losses by 14% and the return temperature by 37%.

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Using Flexibility Envelopes for the Demand-Side Hierarchical Optimization of District Heating Networks

The demand-side control of district heating networks is notoriously challenging due to the large number of connected users and the high number of states to be considered. To overcome these challenges, this paper presents a hierarchical optimization scheme using the flexibility in heating demand provided by the users to improve the performance of the network. This hierarchical scheme relies on a low level controller to calculate the costs for a subsystem over a given set of potential pressure drops for that subsystem. The high level controller then uses these calculated costs to determine the optimal set of pressure drops for every subgraph of the partitioned network. The proposed hierarchical optimization scheme is demonstrated on a representative 20 user district heating network, resulting in a 67\% reduction in bypass mass flow while ensuring all network users stay within 2 \degree C of their desired nominal temperatures.

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A Graph-Based Technique for the Automated Control-Oriented Modeling of District Heating Networks

Advanced control strategies for delivering heat to users in a district heating network have the potential to improve performance and reduce wasted energy. To enable the design of such controllers, this paper proposes an automated plant modeling framework that captures the relevant system dynamics, while being adaptable to any network configuration. Starting from the network topology and system parameters, the developed algorithm generates a state-space model of the system, relying on a graph-based technique to facilitate the combination of component models into a full network model. The accuracy of the approach is validated against experimental data collected from a laboratory-scale district heating network. The verification shows an average normalized root mean square error of 0.39 in the mass flow rates delivered to the buildings, and 0.15 in the network return temperature. Furthermore, the ability of the proposed modeling technique to rapidly generate models characterizing different network configurations is demonstrated through its application to topology optimization. The optimal design, obtained via a branch and bound algorithm, reduces network heat losses by 15% as compared to the conventional length-minimized topology.

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A Dynamically Similar Lab-Scale District Heating Network via Dimensional Analysis

Strict user demands and large variability in external disturbances, along with limited richness in the data collected on the daily operating conditions of district heating networks makes the design and testing of novel energy-reducing control algorithms for district heating networks challenging. This paper presents the development of a dynamically similar lab-scale district heating network that can be used as a test bench for such control algorithms. This test bench is developed using the Buckingham pi theorem to the match the lab-scale components to the full-scale. By retaining the relative thermodynamics and fluid dynamics of a full-scale network in the lab-scale system, the experimental setup allows for repeatability of the experiments being performed and flexibility in the testing conditions. Moreover, the down-scaling of the experiment is leveraged to accelerate testing, allowing for the recreation of operating periods of weeks and months in hours and days. A PID controller is implemented on the lab-scale test bench to validate its response against literature data. Results show 63% efficiency during heating operations compared to 70% efficiency for a similar full-scale system, with comparable pressure losses across the system.

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