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Aurelio F. Bariviera

Publications and source records attributed to Aurelio F. Bariviera.

At least 19 recordsLinked to original sources

Automated Regulatory Compliance Question Answering in Financial Services with Domain-Adapted Retrieval-Augmented Generation

Financial institutions operate under dense, frequently amended rulebooks, and answering a compliance question correctly requires not only fluency but verifiable grounding in the authoritative text. Large language models are attractive for this task, yet the models that firms can realistically deploy on-premise are compact ones, and compact models hallucinate obligations. We study whether a carefully domain-adapted retrieval-augmented generation pipeline closes that gap. Our retriever is built in three stages on top of LegalBERT: entailment tuning that recasts question--passage matching as premise--hypothesis reconstruction, contrastive tuning with in-batch negatives, and score-level fusion with BM25. Our generator is a compact model (2B--12B parameters) served under 4-bit quantization, either prompted or adapted with retrieval-aware fine-tuning (RAFT) through LoRA. On ObliQA, a question-answering benchmark built from the Abu Dhabi Global Market rulebooks, the staged retriever raises Recall@10 from 0.256 to 0.774 and outperforms BM25 (0.678) and E5-large-v2 (0.758), the strongest general-purpose dense encoder we tested. RAFT-LoRA then improves the composite RePASs answer-quality score for every model we could adapt, with the largest gain on the weakest one. However, the adapted models do not transfer to Australian case-law questions, and a closed-book model that receives no passages at all scores within 0.011 RePASs of the full pipeline while producing answers that cite nothing and misstate obligations. The retrieval gain is therefore measured directly, the generation gain is a gain in RePASs rather than demonstrated grounding, and grounding itself requires an evaluation protocol that RePASs does not provide.

cs.CL↗

Texture Discrimination via Hilbert Curve Path Based Information Quantifiers

The analysis of the spatial arrangement of colors and roughness/smoothness of figures is relevant due to its wide range of applications. This paper proposes a texture classification method that extracts data from images using the Hilbert curve. Three information theory quantifiers are then computed: permutation entropy, permutation complexity, and Fisher information measure. The proposal exhibits some important properties: (i) it allows to discriminate figures according to varying degrees of correlations (as measured by the Hurst exponent), (ii) it is invariant to rotation and symmetry transformations, (iii) it can be used either in black and white or color images. Validations have been made not only using synthetic images but also using the well-known Brodatz image database.

cs.CV↗

Un análisis bibliométrico de la producción científica acerca del agrupamiento de trayectorias GPS

Clustering algorithms or methods for GPS trajectories are in constant evolution due to the interest aroused in part of the scientific community. With the development of clustering algorithms considered traditional, improvements to these algorithms and even unique methods considered as "novelty" for science have emerged. This work aims to analyze the scientific production that exists around the topic "GPS trajectory clustering" by means of bibliometrics. Therefore, a total of 559 articles from the main collection of Scopus were analyzed, previously filtering the generated sample to discard any article that does not have a direct relationship with the topic to be analyzed. This analysis establishes an ideal environment for other disciplines and researchers, since it provides a current state of the trend of the subject of study in their field of research. -- Los algoritmos o métodos de agrupamiento para trayectorias GPS se encuentran en constante evolución debido al interés que despierta en parte de la comunidad científica. Con el desarrollo de los algoritmos de agrupamiento considerados tradicionales han surgido mejoras a estos algoritmos e incluso métodos únicos considerados como "novedad" para la ciencia. Este trabajo tiene como objetivo analizar la producción científica que existe alrededor del tema "agrupamiento de trayectorias GPS" mediante la bibliometría. Por lo tanto, fueron analizados un total de 559 artículos de la colección principal de Scopus, realizando previamente un filtrado de la muestra generada para descartar todo aquel artículo que no tenga una relación directa con el tema a analizar. Este análisis establece un ambiente ideal para otras disciplinas e investigadores, ya que entrega un estado actual de la tendencia que lleva la temática de estudio en su campo de investigación.

cs.IR↗

Time-frequency co-movements between commodities and economic policy uncertainty across different crises

Commodity futures constitute an attractive asset class for portfolio managers. Propelled by their low correlation with other assets, commodities begin gaining popularity among investors, as they allow to capture diversification benefits. After more than two decades of active investing experience, this paper examines the time and frequency of spillovers between Economic Policy Uncertainty (Davis, 2016) and a broad set of commodities. The period under examination goes from December 1997 until April 2022, covering political, economic, and even health crises. We apply a wavelet coherence analysis between time series, in order to shed light on the time-frequency comovements and lead-lag relationships. This research finds a distinct impact on the commodities, depending on the nature of the crisis. In particular, during the global financial crisis and the Covid-19 crisis, comovements are stronger in most commodities.

q-fin.ST↗

The link between Bitcoin and Google Trends attention

This paper shows that Bitcoin is not correlated to a general uncertainty index as measured by the Google Trends data of Castelnuovo and Tran (2017). Instead, Bitcoin is linked to a Google Trends attention measure specific for the cryptocurrency market. First, we find a bidirectional relationship between Google Trends attention and Bitcoin returns up to six days. Second, information flows from Bitcoin volatility to Google Trends attention seem to be larger than information flows in the other direction. These relations hold across different sub-periods and different compositions of the proposed Google Trends Cryptocurrency index.

q-fin.ST↗

Are cryptocurrencies becoming more interconnected?

This paper studies the dynamic market linkages among cryptocurrencies during August 2015 - July 2020 and finds a substantial increase in market linkages for both returns and volatilities. We use different methodologies to check the different aspects of market linkages. Financial and regulatory implications are discussed.

q-fin.ST↗

Covid-19 impact on cryptocurrencies: evidence from a wavelet-based Hurst exponent

Cryptocurrency history begins in 2008 as a means of payment proposal. However, cryptocurrencies evolved into complex, high yield speculative assets. Contrary to traditional financial instruments, they are not (mostly) traded in organized, law-abiding venues, but on online platforms, where anonymity reigns. This paper examines the long term memory in return and volatility, using high frequency time series of eleven important coins. Our study covers the pre-Covid-19 and the subsequent pandemia period. We use a recently developed method, based on the wavelet transform, which provides more robust estimators of the Hurst exponent. We detect that, during the peak of Covid-19 pandemic (around March 2020), the long memory of returns was only mildly affected. However, volatility suffered a temporary impact in its long range correlation structure. Our results could be of interest for both academics and practitioners.

q-fin.ST↗

One model is not enough: heterogeneity in cryptocurrencies' multifractal profiles

This paper studies of the multifractal dynamics in 84 cryptocurrencies. It fills an important gap in the literature, by studying this market using two alternative multi-scaling methodologies. We find compelling evidence that cryptocurrencies have different degree of long range dependence, and --more importantly -- follow different stochastic processes. Some of them follow models closer to monofractal fractional Gaussian noises, while others exhibit complex multifractal dynamics. Regarding the source of multifractality, our results are mixed. Time series shuffling produces a reduction in the level of multifractality, but not enough to offset it. We find an association of kurtosis with multifractality.

q-fin.ST↗

Where do we stand in cryptocurrencies economic research? A survey based on hybrid analysis

This survey develops a dual analysis, consisting, first, in a bibliometric examination and, second, in a close literature review of all the scientific production around cryptocurrencies conducted in economics so far. The aim of this paper is twofold. On the one hand, proposes a methodological hybrid approach to perform comprehensive literature reviews. On the other hand, we provide an updated state of the art in cryptocurrency economic literature. Our methodology emerges as relevant when the topic comprises a large number of papers, that make unrealistic to perform a detailed reading of all the papers. This dual perspective offers a full landscape of cryptocurrency economic research. Firstly, by means of the distant reading provided by machine learning bibliometric techniques, we are able to identify main topics, journals, key authors, and other macro aggregates. Secondly, based on the information provided by the previous stage, the traditional literature review provides a closer look at methodologies, data sources and other details of the papers. In this way, we offer a classification and analysis of the mounting research produced in a relative short time span.

q-fin.GN↗

User-Oriented Summaries Using a PSO Based Scoring Optimization Method

Automatic text summarization tools have a great impact on many fields, such as medicine, law, and scientific research in general. As information overload increases, automatic summaries allow handling the growing volume of documents, usually by assigning weights to the extracted phrases based on their significance in the expected summary. Obtaining the main contents of any given document in less time than it would take to do that manually is still an issue of interest. In~this~ article, a new method is presented that allows automatically generating extractive summaries from documents by adequately weighting sentence scoring features using \textit{Particle Swarm Optimization}. The key feature of the proposed method is the identification of those features that are closest to the criterion used by the individual when summarizing. The proposed method combines a binary representation and a continuous one, using an original variation of the technique developed by the authors of this paper. Our paper shows that using user labeled information in the training set helps to find better metrics and weights. The empirical results yield an improved accuracy compared to previous methods used in this field

cs.LG↗

A bibliometric analysis of Bitcoin scientific production

Blockchain technology, and more specifically Bitcoin (one of its foremost applications), have been receiving increasing attention in the scientific community. The first publications with Bitcoin as a topic, can be traced back to 2012. In spite of this short time span, the production magnitude (1162 papers) makes it necessary to make a bibliometric study in order to observe research clusters, emerging topics, and leading scholars. Our paper is aimed at studying the scientific production only around bitcoin, excluding other blockchain applications. Thus, we restricted our search to papers indexed in the Web of Science Core Collection, whose topic is "bitcoin". This database is suitable for such diverse disciplines such as economics, engineering, mathematics, and computer science. This bibliometric study draws the landscape of the current state and trends of Bitcoin-related research in different scientific disciplines.

cs.DL↗

An analysis of cryptocurrencies conditional cross correlations

This letter explores the behavior of conditional correlations among main cryptocurrencies, stock and bond indices, and gold, using a generalized DCC class model. From a portfolio management point of view, asset correlation is a key metric in order to construct efficient portfolios. We find that: (i) correlations among cryptocurrencies are positive, albeit varying across time; (ii) correlations with Monero are more stable across time; (iii) correlations between cryptocurrencies and traditional financial assets are negligible.

q-fin.ST↗

An analysis of high-frequency cryptocurrencies prices dynamics using permutation-information-theory quantifiers

This paper discusses the dynamics of intraday prices of twelve cryptocurrencies during last months' boom and bust. The importance of this study lies on the extended coverage of the cryptoworld, accounting for more than 90\% of the total daily turnover. By using the complexity-entropy causality plane, we could discriminate three different dynamics in the data set. Whereas most of the cryptocurrencies follow a similar pattern, there are two currencies (ETC and ETH) that exhibit a more persistent stochastic dynamics, and two other currencies (DASH and XEM) whose behavior is closer to a random walk. Consequently, similar financial assets, using blockchain technology, are differentiated by market participants.

q-fin.ST↗

Stock returns forecast: an examination by means of Artificial Neural Networks

The validity of the Efficient Market Hypothesis has been under severe scrutiny since several decades. However, the evidence against it is not conclusive. Artificial Neural Networks provide a model-free means to analize the prediction power of past returns on current returns. This chapter analizes the predictability in the intraday Brazilian stock market using a backpropagation Artificial Neural Network. We selected 20 stocks from Bovespa index, according to different market capitalization, as a proxy for stock size. We find that predictability is related to capitalization. In particular, larger stocks are less predictable than smaller ones.

q-fin.CP↗

Spurious seasonality detection: a non-parametric test proposal

This paper offers a general and comprehensive definition of the day-of-the-week effect. Using symbolic dynamics, we develop a unique test based on ordinal patterns in order to detect it. This test uncovers the fact that the so-called "day-of-the-week" effect is partly an artifact of the hidden correlation structure of the data. We present simulations based on artificial time series as well. Whereas time series generated with long memory are prone to exhibit daily seasonality, pure white noise signals exhibit no pattern preference. Since ours is a non parametric test, it requires no assumptions about the distribution of returns so that it could be a practical alternative to conventional econometric tests. We made also an exhaustive application of the here proposed technique to 83 stock indices around the world. Finally, the paper highlights the relevance of symbolic analysis in economic time series studies.

q-fin.ST↗

The inefficiency of Bitcoin revisited: a dynamic approach

This letter revisits the informational efficiency of the Bitcoin market. In particular we analyze the time-varying behavior of long memory of returns on Bitcoin and volatility 2011 until 2017, using the Hurst exponent. Our results are twofold. First, R/S method is prone to detect long memory, whereas DFA method can discriminate more precisely variations in informational efficiency across time. Second, daily returns exhibit persistent behavior in the first half of the period under study, whereas its behavior is more informational efficient since 2014. Finally, price volatility, measured as the logarithmic difference between intraday high and low prices exhibits long memory during all the period. This reflects a different underlying dynamic process generating the prices and volatility.

q-fin.ST↗

Some stylized facts of the Bitcoin market

In recent years a new type of tradable assets appeared, generically known as cryptocurrencies. Among them, the most widespread is Bitcoin. Given its novelty, this paper investigates some statistical properties of the Bitcoin market. This study compares Bitcoin and standard currencies dynamics and focuses on the analysis of returns at different time scales. We test the presence of long memory in return time series from 2011 to 2017, using transaction data from one Bitcoin platform. We compute the Hurst exponent by means of the Detrended Fluctuation Analysis method, using a sliding window in order to measure long range dependence. We detect that Hurst exponents changes significantly during the first years of existence of Bitcoin, tending to stabilize in recent times. Additionally, multiscale analysis shows a similar behavior of the Hurst exponent, implying a self-similar process.

q-fin.ST↗

Crude oil market and geopolitical events: an analysis based on information-theory-based quantifiers

This paper analyzes the informational efficiency of oil market during the last three decades, and examines changes in informational efficiency with major geopolitical events, such as terrorist attacks, financial crisis and other important events. The series under study is the daily prices of West Texas Intermediate (WTI) in USD/BBL, commonly used as a benchmark in oil pricing. The analysis is performed using information-theory-derived quantifiers, namely permutation entropy and permutation statistical complexity. These metrics allow capturing the hidden structure in the market dynamics, and allow discriminating different degrees of informational efficiency. We find that some geopolitical events impact on the underlying dynamical structure of the market.

q-fin.ST↗