arXiv subjects

Avinava Dubey

Publications and source records attributed to Avinava Dubey.

43 records · Page 3Linked to original sources

arXiv2018

The Intriguing Properties of Model Explanations

Linear approximations to the decision boundary of a complex model have become one of the most popular tools for interpreting predictions. In this paper, we study such linear explanations produced either post-hoc by a few recent methods or generated along with predictions with contextual explanation networks (CENs). We focus on two questions: (i) whether linear explanations are always consistent or can be misleading, and (ii) when integrated into the prediction process, whether and how explanations affect the performance of the model. Our analysis sheds more light on certain properties of explanations produced by different methods and suggests that learning models that explain and predict jointly is often advantageous.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2018

Personalized Survival Prediction with Contextual Explanation Networks

Accurate and transparent prediction of cancer survival times on the level of individual patients can inform and improve patient care and treatment practices. In this paper, we design a model that concurrently learns to accurately predict patient-specific survival distributions and to explain its predictions in terms of patient attributes such as clinical tests or assessments. Our model is flexible and based on a recurrent network, can handle various modalities of data including temporal measurements, and yet constructs and uses simple explanations in the form of patient- and time-specific linear regression. For analysis, we use two publicly available datasets and show that our networks outperform a number of baselines in prediction while providing a way to inspect the reasons behind each prediction.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2017

Parallel Markov Chain Monte Carlo for the Indian Buffet Process

Indian Buffet Process based models are an elegant way for discovering underlying features within a data set, but inference in such models can be slow. Inferring underlying features using Markov chain Monte Carlo either relies on an uncollapsed representation, which leads to poor mixing, or on a collapsed representation, which leads to a quadratic increase in computational complexity. Existing attempts at distributing inference have introduced additional approximation within the inference procedure. In this paper we present a novel algorithm to perform asymptotically exact parallel Markov chain Monte Carlo inference for Indian Buffet Process models. We take advantage of the fact that the features are conditionally independent under the beta-Bernoulli process. Because of this conditional independence, we can partition the features into two parts: one part containing only the finitely many instantiated features and the other part containing the infinite tail of uninstantiated features. For the finite partition, parallel inference is simple given the instantiation of features. But for the infinite tail, performing uncollapsed MCMC leads to poor mixing and hence we collapse out the features. The resulting hybrid sampler, while being parallel, produces samples asymptotically from the true posterior.

stat.ML↗

arXiv2016

Science Question Answering using Instructional Materials

We provide a solution for elementary science test using instructional materials. We posit that there is a hidden structure that explains the correctness of an answer given the question and instructional materials and present a unified max-margin framework that learns to find these hidden structures (given a corpus of question-answer pairs and instructional materials), and uses what it learns to answer novel elementary science questions. Our evaluation shows that our framework outperforms several strong baselines.

cs.CL↗

arXiv2015

Large-scale randomized-coordinate descent methods with non-separable linear constraints

We develop randomized (block) coordinate descent (CD) methods for linearly constrained convex optimization. Unlike most CD methods, we do not assume the constraints to be separable, but let them be coupled linearly. To our knowledge, ours is the first CD method that allows linear coupling constraints, without making the global iteration complexity have an exponential dependence on the number of constraints. We present algorithms and analysis for four key problem scenarios: (i) smooth; (ii) smooth + nonsmooth separable; (iii) asynchronous parallel; and (iv) stochastic. We illustrate empirical behavior of our algorithms by simulation experiments.

math.OC↗

arXiv2012

Exact and Efficient Parallel Inference for Nonparametric Mixture Models

Nonparametric mixture models based on the Dirichlet process are an elegant alternative to finite models when the number of underlying components is unknown, but inference in such models can be slow. Existing attempts to parallelize inference in such models have relied on introducing approximations, which can lead to inaccuracies in the posterior estimate. In this paper, we describe auxiliary variable representations for the Dirichlet process and the hierarchical Dirichlet process that allow us to sample from the true posterior in a distributed manner. We show that our approach allows scalable inference without the deterioration in estimate quality that accompanies existing methods.

stat.ML↗

arXiv2012

A non-parametric mixture model for topic modeling over time

A single, stationary topic model such as latent Dirichlet allocation is inappropriate for modeling corpora that span long time periods, as the popularity of topics is likely to change over time. A number of models that incorporate time have been proposed, but in general they either exhibit limited forms of temporal variation, or require computationally expensive inference methods. In this paper we propose non-parametric Topics over Time (npTOT), a model for time-varying topics that allows an unbounded number of topics and exible distribution over the temporal variations in those topics' popularity. We develop a collapsed Gibbs sampler for the proposed model and compare against existing models on synthetic and real document sets.

stat.ML↗