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Bahaeddine Abdessalem

Publications and source records attributed to Bahaeddine Abdessalem.

2 recordsLinked to original sources

Tabby: An Open Pretraining Recipe for Time Series Foundation Models

In this report, we release Tabby, a long context probabilistic time series foundation model, together with a complete and open recipe of how it was built. Tabby adopts an encoder-only patch Transformer architecture and concentrates the contributions on the data and the training procedure. The pretraining corpus combines an extended real-world collection, GIFT-Eval-Pretrain+ and BLAST, with synthetic data from KernelSynth and CauKerV2, an online generator that composes temporal dynamics through randomly sampled structural causal models. Training couples a progressive convergence schedule, which yields reusable intermediate checkpoints, with a deep quantile supervision objective for intermediate layers. The resulting 145M parameter backbone supports contexts of up to 8,192 observations and serves forecasting, classification, and anomaly detection, while a prompt-tuning module further improves in-distribution forecasting performance with the pretrained weights frozen. Tabby achieves competitive zero-shot forecasting performance on GIFT-Eval and the out-of-distribution TIME benchmark, while the same pretrained backbone also supports classification on the UCR Archive and zero-shot anomaly detection on TSB-AD-U. We release training pipeline and model as open source at huawei-noah/trustworthyAI.

cs.LG↗

FlowTSFM: Turning Encoder Depth into Quantile Transport

Encoder-based time series foundation models (TSFMs) typically rely on deep stacks of independently parameterized Transformer layers, where only the final forecast is supervised and intermediate representations have no explicit predictive role. We introduce FlowTSFM, an encoder architecture that interprets depth as a recurrent transport process: a single Transformer block is iteratively applied with shared parameters, while a quantile-flow objective supervises intermediate states along a prescribed trajectory from a prior distribution toward the final forecast. The objective combines pinball forecasting loss with path-level position matching. With only 38.8M parameters, FlowTSFM achieves competitive performance on GIFT-Eval and TIME, remaining within 1.8-4.6% MASE of stronger baselines while using approximately $3\times$ fewer parameters than a 12-layer Chronos-2 model (119.5M). Beyond accuracy, we introduce CosMean, a scale-free diagnostic measuring whether recurrent updates consistently align toward the final prediction. Under a matched intermediate-state probing protocol, FlowTSFM achieves a CosMean score of 0.919 compared with 0.350 for Chronos-2, suggesting that recurrent parameter sharing combined with path supervision is associated with substantially more structured predictive trajectories at a favorable accuracy-efficiency trade-off.

cs.LG↗