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Barbara E Engelhardt

Publications and source records attributed to Barbara E Engelhardt.

At least 19 recordsLinked to original sources

Assessing the Distributional Fidelity of Synthetic Chest X-rays using the Embedded Characteristic Score

Chest X-ray (CXR) images are among the most commonly used diagnostic imaging modalities in clinical practice. Stringent privacy constraints often limit the public dissemination of patient CXR images, contributing to the increasing use of synthetic images produced by deep generative models for data sharing and training machine learning models. Given the high-stakes downstream applications of CXR images, it is crucial to evaluate how faithfully synthetic images reflect the underlying target distribution. We propose the embedded characteristic score (ECS), a flexible evaluation procedure that compares synthetic and patient CXR samples through characteristic function transforms of feature embeddings. The choice of embedding can be tailored to the clinical or scientific context of interest. By leveraging the behavior of characteristic functions near the origin, ECS is sensitive to differences in higher moments and distribution tails, aspects that are often overlooked by commonly used evaluation metrics such as the Fréchet Inception Distance (FID). We establish theoretical properties of ECS and describe a calibration strategy based on a simple resampling procedure. We compare the empirical performance of ECS against FID via simulations and standard benchmark imaging datasets. Assessing synthetic CXR images with ECS uncovers clinically relevant distributional discrepancies relative to patient CXR images. These results highlight the importance of reliable evaluation of synthetic data that inform high-stakes decisions.

stat.ML

Preference-Guided Diffusion for Multi-Objective Offline Optimization

Offline multi-objective optimization aims to identify Pareto-optimal solutions given a dataset of designs and their objective values. In this work, we propose a preference-guided diffusion model that generates Pareto-optimal designs by leveraging a classifier-based guidance mechanism. Our guidance classifier is a preference model trained to predict the probability that one design dominates another, directing the diffusion model toward optimal regions of the design space. Crucially, this preference model generalizes beyond the training distribution, enabling the discovery of Pareto-optimal solutions outside the observed dataset. We introduce a novel diversity-aware preference guidance, augmenting Pareto dominance preference with diversity criteria. This ensures that generated solutions are optimal and well-distributed across the objective space, a capability absent in prior generative methods for offline multi-objective optimization. We evaluate our approach on various continuous offline multi-objective optimization tasks and find that it consistently outperforms other inverse/generative approaches while remaining competitive with forward/ surrogate-based optimization methods. Our results highlight the effectiveness of classifier-guided diffusion models in generating diverse and high-quality solutions that approximate the Pareto front well.

cs.LG

Inverse Reinforcement Learning with Multiple Planning Horizons

In this work, we study an inverse reinforcement learning (IRL) problem where the experts are planning under a shared reward function but with different, unknown planning horizons. Without the knowledge of discount factors, the reward function has a larger feasible solution set, which makes it harder for existing IRL approaches to identify a reward function. To overcome this challenge, we develop algorithms that can learn a global multi-agent reward function with agent-specific discount factors that reconstruct the expert policies. We characterize the feasible solution space of the reward function and discount factors for both algorithms and demonstrate the generalizability of the learned reward function across multiple domains.

cs.LG

Answering open questions in biology using spatial genomics and structured methods

Genomics methods have uncovered patterns in a range of biological systems, but obscure important aspects of cell behavior: the shape, relative locations of, movement of, and interactions between cells in space. Spatial technologies that collect genomic or epigenomic data while preserving spatial information have begun to overcome these limitations. These new data promise a deeper understanding of the factors that affect cellular behavior, and in particular the ability to directly test existing theories about cell state and variation in the context of morphology, location, motility, and signaling that could not be tested before. Rapid advancements in resolution, ease-of-use, and scale of spatial genomics technologies to address these questions also require an updated toolkit of statistical methods with which to interrogate these data. We present four open biological questions that can now be answered using spatial genomics data paired with methods for analysis. We outline spatial data modalities for each that may yield specific insight, discuss how conflicting theories may be tested by comparing the data to conceptual models of biological behavior, and highlight statistical and machine learning-based tools that may prove particularly helpful to recover biological insight.

stat.AP

Bayesian Ordinal Quantile Regression with a Partially Collapsed Gibbs Sampler

Unlike standard linear regression, quantile regression captures the relationship between covariates and the conditional response distribution as a whole, rather than only the relationship between covariates and the expected value of the conditional response. However, while there are well-established quantile regression methods for continuous variables and some forms of discrete data, there is no widely accepted method for ordinal variables, despite their importance in many medical contexts. In this work, we describe two existing ordinal quantile regression methods and demonstrate their weaknesses. We then propose a new method, Bayesian ordinal quantile regression with a partially collapsed Gibbs sampler (BORPS). We show superior results using BORPS versus existing methods on an extensive set of simulations. We further illustrate the benefits of our method by applying BORPS to the Fragile Families and Child Wellbeing Study data to tease apart associations with early puberty among both genders. Software is available at: GitHub.com/igrabski/borps.

stat.ME

Defining Admissible Rewards for High Confidence Policy Evaluation

A key impediment to reinforcement learning (RL) in real applications with limited, batch data is defining a reward function that reflects what we implicitly know about reasonable behaviour for a task and allows for robust off-policy evaluation. In this work, we develop a method to identify an admissible set of reward functions for policies that (a) do not diverge too far from past behaviour, and (b) can be evaluated with high confidence, given only a collection of past trajectories. Together, these ensure that we propose policies that we trust to be implemented in high-risk settings. We demonstrate our approach to reward design on synthetic domains as well as in a critical care context, for a reward that consolidates clinical objectives to learn a policy for weaning patients from mechanical ventilation.

cs.LG

An Optimal Policy for Patient Laboratory Tests in Intensive Care Units

Laboratory testing is an integral tool in the management of patient care in hospitals, particularly in intensive care units (ICUs). There exists an inherent trade-off in the selection and timing of lab tests between considerations of the expected utility in clinical decision-making of a given test at a specific time, and the associated cost or risk it poses to the patient. In this work, we introduce a framework that learns policies for ordering lab tests which optimizes for this trade-off. Our approach uses batch off-policy reinforcement learning with a composite reward function based on clinical imperatives, applied to data that include examples of clinicians ordering labs for patients. To this end, we develop and extend principles of Pareto optimality to improve the selection of actions based on multiple reward function components while respecting typical procedural considerations and prioritization of clinical goals in the ICU. Our experiments show that we can estimate a policy that reduces the frequency of lab tests and optimizes timing to minimize information redundancy. We also find that the estimated policies typically suggest ordering lab tests well ahead of critical onsets--such as mechanical ventilation or dialysis--that depend on the lab results. We evaluate our approach by quantifying how these policies may initiate earlier onset of treatment.

cs.AI

Sparse Multi-Output Gaussian Processes for Medical Time Series Prediction

In the scenario of real-time monitoring of hospital patients, high-quality inference of patients' health status using all information available from clinical covariates and lab tests is essential to enable successful medical interventions and improve patient outcomes. Developing a computational framework that can learn from observational large-scale electronic health records (EHRs) and make accurate real-time predictions is a critical step. In this work, we develop and explore a Bayesian nonparametric model based on Gaussian process (GP) regression for hospital patient monitoring. We propose MedGP, a statistical framework that incorporates 24 clinical and lab covariates and supports a rich reference data set from which relationships between observed covariates may be inferred and exploited for high-quality inference of patient state over time. To do this, we develop a highly structured sparse GP kernel to enable tractable computation over tens of thousands of time points while estimating correlations among clinical covariates, patients, and periodicity in patient observations. MedGP has a number of benefits over current methods, including (i) not requiring an alignment of the time series data, (ii) quantifying confidence regions in the predictions, (iii) exploiting a vast and rich database of patients, and (iv) inferring interpretable relationships among clinical covariates. We evaluate and compare results from MedGP on the task of online prediction for three patient subgroups from two medical data sets across 8,043 patients. We found MedGP improves online prediction over baseline methods for nearly all covariates across different disease subgroups and studies. The publicly available code is at https://github.com/bee-hive/MedGP.

stat.ML

PG-TS: Improved Thompson Sampling for Logistic Contextual Bandits

We address the problem of regret minimization in logistic contextual bandits, where a learner decides among sequential actions or arms given their respective contexts to maximize binary rewards. Using a fast inference procedure with Polya-Gamma distributed augmentation variables, we propose an improved version of Thompson Sampling, a Bayesian formulation of contextual bandits with near-optimal performance. Our approach, Polya-Gamma augmented Thompson Sampling (PG-TS), achieves state-of-the-art performance on simulated and real data. PG-TS explores the action space efficiently and exploits high-reward arms, quickly converging to solutions of low regret. Its explicit estimation of the posterior distribution of the context feature covariance leads to substantial empirical gains over approximate approaches. PG-TS is the first approach to demonstrate the benefits of Polya-Gamma augmentation in bandits and to propose an efficient Gibbs sampler for approximating the analytically unsolvable integral of logistic contextual bandits.

stat.ML

Large Linear Multi-output Gaussian Process Learning

Gaussian processes (GPs), or distributions over arbitrary functions in a continuous domain, can be generalized to the multi-output case: a linear model of coregionalization (LMC) is one approach. LMCs estimate and exploit correlations across the multiple outputs. While model estimation can be performed efficiently for single-output GPs, these assume stationarity, but in the multi-output case the cross-covariance interaction is not stationary. We propose Large Linear GP (LLGP), which circumvents the need for stationarity by inducing structure in the LMC kernel through a common grid of inputs shared between outputs, enabling optimization of GP hyperparameters for multi-dimensional outputs and low-dimensional inputs. When applied to synthetic two-dimensional and real time series data, we find our theoretical improvement relative to the current solutions for multi-output GPs is realized with LLGP reducing training time while improving or maintaining predictive mean accuracy. Moreover, by using a direct likelihood approximation rather than a variational one, model confidence estimates are significantly improved.

stat.ML

A Reinforcement Learning Approach to Weaning of Mechanical Ventilation in Intensive Care Units

The management of invasive mechanical ventilation, and the regulation of sedation and analgesia during ventilation, constitutes a major part of the care of patients admitted to intensive care units. Both prolonged dependence on mechanical ventilation and premature extubation are associated with increased risk of complications and higher hospital costs, but clinical opinion on the best protocol for weaning patients off of a ventilator varies. This work aims to develop a decision support tool that uses available patient information to predict time-to-extubation readiness and to recommend a personalized regime of sedation dosage and ventilator support. To this end, we use off-policy reinforcement learning algorithms to determine the best action at a given patient state from sub-optimal historical ICU data. We compare treatment policies from fitted Q-iteration with extremely randomized trees and with feedforward neural networks, and demonstrate that the policies learnt show promise in recommending weaning protocols with improved outcomes, in terms of minimizing rates of reintubation and regulating physiological stability.

cs.AI

BIISQ: Bayesian nonparametric discovery of Isoforms and Individual Specific Quantification

Most human protein-coding genes can be transcribed into multiple possible distinct mRNA isoforms. These alternative splicing patterns encourage molecular diversity and dysregulation of isoform expression plays an important role in disease etiology. However, isoforms are difficult to characterize from short-read RNA-seq data because they share identical subsequences and exist in tissue- and sample-specific frequencies. Here, we develop BIISQ, a Bayesian nonparametric model to discover Isoforms and Individual Specific Quantification from RNA-seq data. BIISQ does not require known isoform reference sequences but instead estimates isoform composition directly with an isoform catalog shared across samples. We develop a stochastic variational inference approach for efficient and robust posterior inference and demonstrate superior precision and recall for short read RNA-seq simulations and simulated short read data from PacBio long read sequencing when compared to state-of-the-art isoform reconstruction methods. BIISQ achieves the most significant gains for longer (in terms of exons) isoforms and isoforms that are lowly expressed (over 500% more transcripts correctly inferred at low coverage in simulations). Finally, we estimate isoforms in the GEUVADIS RNA-seq data, identify genetic variants that regulate transcript ratios, and demonstrate variant enrichment in functional elements related to mRNA splicing regulation.

q-bio.QM

Nonparametric Reduced-Rank Regression for Multi-SNP, Multi-Trait Association Mapping

Genome-wide association studies have proven to be essential for understanding the genetic basis of disease. However, many complex traits---personality traits, facial features, disease subtyping---are inherently high-dimensional, impeding simple approaches to association mapping. We developed a nonparametric Bayesian reduced rank regression model for multi-SNP, multi-trait association mapping that does not require the rank of the linear subspace to be specified. We show in simulations and real data that our model shares strength over SNPs and over correlated traits, improving statistical power to identify genetic associations with an interpretable, SNP-supervised low-dimensional linear projection of the high-dimensional phenotype. On the HapMap phase 3 gene expression QTL study data, we identify pleiotropic expression QTLs that classical univariate tests are underpowered to find and that two step approaches cannot recover. Our Python software, BERRRI, is publicly available at GitHub: https://github.com/ashlee1031/BERRRI.

stat.AP

A Bayesian test to identify variance effects

Identifying genetic variants that regulate quantitative traits, or QTLs, is the primary focus of the field of statistical genetics. Most current methods are limited to identifying mean effects, or associations between genotype and the mean value of a quantitative trait. It is possible, however, that a genetic variant may affect the variance of the quantitative trait in lieu of, or in addition to, affecting the trait mean. Here, we develop a general methodological approach to identifying covariates with variance effects on a quantitative trait using a Bayesian heteroskedastic linear regression model. We show that our Bayesian test for heteroskedasticity (BTH) outperforms classical tests for differences in variation across a large range of simulations drawn from scenarios common to the analysis of quantitative traits. We apply BTH to methylation QTL study data and expression QTL study data to identify variance QTLs. When compared with three tests for heteroskedasticity used in genomics, we illustrate the benefits of using our approach, including avoiding overfitting by incorporating uncertainty and flexibly identifying heteroskedastic effects.

q-bio.QM

Bayesian group latent factor analysis with structured sparsity

Latent factor models are the canonical statistical tool for exploratory analyses of low-dimensional linear structure for an observation matrix with p features across n samples. We develop a structured Bayesian group factor analysis model that extends the factor model to multiple coupled observation matrices; in the case of two observations, this reduces to a Bayesian model of canonical correlation analysis. The main contribution of this work is to carefully define a structured Bayesian prior that encourages both element-wise and column-wise shrinkage and leads to desirable behavior on high-dimensional data. In particular, our model puts a structured prior on the joint factor loading matrix, regularizing at three levels, which enables element-wise sparsity and unsupervised recovery of latent factors corresponding to structured variance across arbitrary subsets of the observations. In addition, our structured prior allows for both dense and sparse latent factors so that covariation among either all features or only a subset of features can both be recovered. We use fast parameter-expanded expectation-maximization for parameter estimation in this model. We validate our method on both simulated data with substantial structure and real data, comparing against a number of state-of-the-art approaches. These results illustrate useful properties of our model, including i) recovering sparse signal in the presence of dense effects; ii) the ability to scale naturally to large numbers of observations; iii) flexible observation- and factor-specific regularization to recover factors with a wide variety of sparsity levels and percentage of variance explained; and iv) tractable inference that scales to modern genomic and document data sizes.

stat.ME

Adaptive Randomized Dimension Reduction on Massive Data

The scalability of statistical estimators is of increasing importance in modern applications. One approach to implementing scalable algorithms is to compress data into a low dimensional latent space using dimension reduction methods. In this paper we develop an approach for dimension reduction that exploits the assumption of low rank structure in high dimensional data to gain both computational and statistical advantages. We adapt recent randomized low-rank approximation algorithms to provide an efficient solution to principal component analysis (PCA), and we use this efficient solver to improve parameter estimation in large-scale linear mixed models (LMM) for association mapping in statistical and quantitative genomics. A key observation in this paper is that randomization serves a dual role, improving both computational and statistical performance by implicitly regularizing the covariance matrix estimate of the random effect in a LMM. These statistical and computational advantages are highlighted in our experiments on simulated data and large-scale genomic studies.

stat.ML

Posterior predictive checks to quantify lack-of-fit in admixture models of latent population structure

Admixture models are a ubiquitous approach to capture latent population structure in genetic samples. Despite the widespread application of admixture models, little thought has been devoted to the quality of the model fit or the accuracy of the estimates of parameters of interest for a particular study. Here we develop methods for validating admixture models based on posterior predictive checks (PPCs), a Bayesian method for assessing the quality of a statistical model. We develop PPCs for five population-level statistics of interest: within-population genetic variation, background linkage disequilibrium, number of ancestral populations, between-population genetic variation, and the downstream use of admixture parameters to correct for population structure in association studies. Using PPCs, we evaluate the quality of the model estimates for four qualitatively different population genetic data sets: the POPRES European individuals, the HapMap phase 3 individuals, continental Indians, and African American individuals. We found that the same model fitted to different genomic studies resulted in highly study-specific results when evaluated using PPCs, illustrating the utility of PPCs for model-based analyses in large genomic studies.

stat.ME

A latent factor model with a mixture of sparse and dense factors to model gene expression data with confounding effects

One important problem in genome science is to determine sets of co-regulated genes based on measurements of gene expression levels across samples, where the quantification of expression levels includes substantial technical and biological noise. To address this problem, we developed a Bayesian sparse latent factor model that uses a three parameter beta prior to flexibly model shrinkage in the loading matrix. By applying three layers of shrinkage to the loading matrix (global, factor-specific, and element-wise), this model has non-parametric properties in that it estimates the appropriate number of factors from the data. We added a two-component mixture to model each factor loading as being generated from either a sparse or a dense mixture component; this allows dense factors that capture confounding noise, and sparse factors that capture local gene interactions. We developed two statistics to quantify the stability of the recovered matrices for both sparse and dense matrices. We tested our model on simulated data and found that we successfully recovered the true latent structure as compared to related models. We applied our model to a large gene expression study and found that we recovered known covariates and small groups of co-regulated genes. We validated these gene subsets by testing for associations between genotype data and these latent factors, and we found a substantial number of biologically important genetic regulators for the recovered gene subsets.

stat.AP