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Bayram Cakir

Publications and source records attributed to Bayram Cakir.

3 recordsLinked to original sources

Environmental Kuznets Curve & Effectiveness of International Policies: Evidence from Cross Country Carbon Emission Analysis

In this article, we are presenting the relationship between environmental pollution and the income level of the selected twenty-four countries. We implemented a data-based research analysis where, for each country, we analyzed the related data for fifty-six years, from 1960 to 2016, to assess the relationship between the carbon emission and income level. After performing the related data analysis for each country, we concluded whether the results for that country were in line with the Environmental Kuznets Curve (EKC) hypothesis. The EKC hypothesis suggests that the carbon emission per capita starts a declining trend when the country-specific high level of income is reached. The results of our data analyses show that the EKC hypothesis is valid for high-income countries and the declining trends of carbon emission are clearly observed when the income level reaches a specific high enough level. On the other hand, for the non-high income countries, our analysis results show that it is too early to make an assessment at this growth stage of their economies because they have not reached their related high-enough income per capita levels yet. Furthermore, we performed two more additional analyses on high-income countries. First, we analyzed the related starting years of their carbon emission declining trends. The big variance in the starting years of the carbon emission declining trends shows that the international policies are clearly ineffective in initiating the declining trend in carbon emission. In addition, for the high-income countries, we explained the differences in their carbon emission per capita levels in 2014 with their SGI indices and their dependence on high-carbon emission energy production.

econ.GN

Reading Macroeconomics From the Yield Curve: The Turkish Case

This paper aims to analyze the relationship between yield curve -being a line of the interests in various maturities at a given time- and GDP growth in Turkey. The paper focuses on analyzing the yield curve in relation to its predictive power on Turkish macroeconomic dynamics using the linear regression model. To do so, the interest rate spreads of different maturities are used as a proxy of the yield curve. Findings of the OLS regression are similar to that found in the literature and supports the positive relation between slope of yield curve and GDP growth in Turkey. Moreover, the predicted values of the GDP growth from interest rate spread closely follow the actual GDP growth in Turkey, indicating its predictive power on the economic activity.

econ.GN

Inequality in Turkey: Looking Beyond Growth

This paper investigates the relationships between economic growth, investment in human capital and income equality in Turkey. The conclusion drawn based on the data from the OECD and the World Bank suggests that economic growth can improve income equality depending on the expenditures undertaken by the government. As opposed to the standard view that economic growth and income inequality are positively related, the findings of this paper suggest that other factors such as education and healthcare spending are also driving factors of income inequality in Turkey. The proven positive impact of investment in education and health care on income equality could aid policymakers who aim to achieve fairer income equality and economic growth, in investment decisions.

econ.GN