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Ben Galili

Publications and source records attributed to Ben Galili.

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lifelines-hc: Higher Criticism testing for sparse non-proportional hazard departures in Python

The log-rank test is the standard tool for two-sample survival comparison and has good power against proportional-hazards alternatives, but it loses power against sparse hazard departures, in which the hazard difference is concentrated in a small number of time intervals whose locations along the follow-up are unknown a priori (Kipnis, Galili and Yakhini, Biometrika 2026). Weighted log-rank tests -- Gehan-Wilcoxon, Tarone-Ware, Peto-Prentice, Fleming-Harrington -- each impose a pre-specified temporal emphasis. Combination procedures such as MaxCombo and the Yang-Prentice short-term/long-term hazard-ratio model relax that choice, but still scan only a small dictionary of global temporal shapes and remain insensitive to sparse departures occurring outside them. We introduce lifelines-hc, a Python package extending the lifelines survival library with the HCHG test: Higher Criticism applied to per-interval hypergeometric p-values. HCHG applies to right-censored two-sample data and detects sparse hazard departures at unknown locations without committing to any temporal pattern. Across four clinical case studies -- CheckMate 057 PFS (n=582), COMET-1 OS (n=1028), AZURE DFS (n=3359), and the Copenhagen Study Group for Liver Diseases cirrhosis trial (n=446, fully public individual patient data) -- HCHG achieves p <= 0.014 in every dataset, while the log-rank test is non-significant throughout (p >= 0.26). MaxCombo and the Yang-Prentice adaptive log-rank test detect the delayed-benefit crossing in CheckMate 057 (p < 0.001) but are non-significant on the remaining three (p >= 0.24), where the departure is sparse or multi-window rather than a smooth short-term/long-term hazard-ratio pattern. lifelines-hc is freely available under the MIT license at https://github.com/alonkipnis/lifelines-hc and via pip install lifelines-hc.

stat.ME↗

Higher criticism for rare and weak non-proportional hazard deviations in survival analysis

We propose a method for comparing survival data based on the higher criticism of p-values obtained from multiple exact hypergeometric tests. The method accommodates non-informative right-censorship and is sensitive to hazard differences in unknown and relatively rare time intervals. It attains much better power against such differences than the log-rank test and its variants. We demonstrate the usefulness of our method in detecting rare and weak non-proportional hazard differences compared to existing tests, using simulations and actual gene expression data. Additionally, we analyze the asymptotic power of our method and other tests under a theoretical framework describing two groups experiencing failure rates that are usually identical over time, except in a few unknown instances where one group's failure rate is higher. Our test's power undergoes a phase transition across the plane of rarity and intensity parameters that mirrors the phase transition of higher criticism in two-sample settings with rare and weak normal and Poisson means. The region of the plane in which our method has asymptotically full power is larger than the corresponding region for the log-rank test.

math.ST↗