arXiv subjects

Benedetta Ciardi

Publications and source records attributed to Benedetta Ciardi.

At least 19 recordsLinked to original sources

arXiv2026

The burgeoning rise of the 21-cm forest I: constraints on the optical depth of the intergalactic medium at $5.38 < z < 5.84$

The redshifted 21-cm line is a promising probe of the Epoch of Reionization, during which the first generation of stars ionized the InterGalactic Medium (IGM). We aimed to constrain the IGM neutral Hydrogen fraction and spin temperature via redshifted 21-cm absorption against high-redshift radio sources. We analysed an 18-hour observation of the radio-loud quasar PSO J352.4034-15.3373 ($z = 5.84$) in the 203-222.5 MHz band. We obtained a continuum image with a $0.66$ mJy/beam rms noise and a spectrum with $3.6$ mJy/beam rms noise per 390 kHz-wide channel. We fit the quasar spectrum with a power-law continuum modified by an intervening 21-cm absorption, testing two scenarios: an island model, a residual cold neutral Hydrogen patch surviving at the end of reionization, and a global model, approximating the overall decline of the IGM HI fraction and spin temperature with redshift. Combining archival data spanning 150 MHz to 3.0 GHz with our measurements, we determined a quasar flux density of $86.8 \pm 1.1$ mJy at 200 MHz and a spectral index of $-0.88 \pm 0.02$ across the full frequency range. We found no evidence for the 21-cm absorption from intervening neutral Hydrogen at $5.38<z<5.84$. Assuming the island model, we set a 95% confidence lower limit on the IGM spin temperature of $1.73$ K in residual HI regions. Assuming the global model, we constrained the 21-cm optical depth to $\tau_{21}< 0.02$ (95% C.L.). These results provide constraints on the 21-cm optical depth near the end of reionization, over the $5.38 < z < 5.84$ range, and confirm that the IGM was heated above the adiabatic cooling limit ($\sim 0.8$ K at $z = 5.68$), consistent with theoretical predictions and with 21-cm power spectrum measurements at higher redshifts. Our results also disfavour the presence of extremely cold HI regions at $z < 5.84$ and open the way to future 21-cm absorption from high-redshift sources.

astro-ph.CO↗

arXiv2026

Forest without Trees is still Fruitful: Constraints on the thermal state of the neutral IGM at $z\approx5.6$ with the 21-cm forest power spectrum

Neutral regions of the intergalactic medium (IGM) during the Epoch of Reionization (EoR) remain largely unexplored due to the limitations of existing probes. Owing to discoveries of numerous high-redshift radio-bright sources, the 21-cm forest, a series of absorption features imprinted by the neutral IGM in the spectra of such sources, now offers an attractive probe of the thermal and ionization state of the predominantly neutral IGM at $z\gtrsim5.5$. We analyse archival upgraded Giant Metrewave Radio Telescope (uGMRT) observations of J352-15, the brightest known radio-loud quasar in the EoR ($z=5.82$), to measure the one-dimensional (1D) power spectrum of the 21-cm forest. By comparing the observed power spectrum with forward-modelled synthetic spectra generated from cosmological simulations spanning a wide range of ionization and X-ray pre-heating scenarios, we perform Bayesian inference even in the absence of a statistical detection. We also present an independent Murchison Widefield Array measurement, although its lower sensitivity prevents competitive constraints. Using uGMRT, we achieve a sensitivity of $3.62\,\rm mJy\,beam^{-1}$ per $6.1\,\rm kHz$ channel. While we do not detect the 21-cm forest statistically, the null detection jointly constrains the mean neutral hydrogen fraction, $\langle x_{\rm HI}\rangle$, and the mean temperature of the neutral IGM, $\langle T_{\rm HI}\rangle$. At the $68\%$ credible level, our analysis disfavours cold and substantially neutral IGM models at $z\approx5.6$, including models with $\langle T_{\rm HI}\rangle \lesssim 27\,\rm K$ for $\langle x_{\rm HI}\rangle=0.1$. These limits probe parameter space allowed by existing Ly$\alpha$ and 21-cm observations, indicating substantial pre-heating of the neutral IGM above the adiabatic cooling floor. This demonstrates that the 21-cm forest has entered the regime of observationally informative statistics.

astro-ph.CO↗

arXiv2026

Overview of 21cm Experiments at high redshift with SKAO

We provide an overview of the eight SKAO Science Book chapters that motivate the Epoch of Reionisation and Cosmic Dawn experiments with SKA-Low. We describe the individual SKA-Low experiments and expected sensitivity - power spectrum, tomography, 21-cm forest, cross-correlations, building on the broad observational plan laid out in the 2015 SKA Science Book. Finally, we outline features of the telescope that will be critical for the success of EoR/CD science, e.g., beam apodization, substations, and multi-beaming.

astro-ph.CO↗

arXiv2026

Exploring the Cosmic Dawn through the 21 cm Forest and High-redshift Radio Sources with the SKA

The 21~cm forest, seen as absorption features in the spectra of distant radio sources, is produced by intervening neutral hydrogen and offers a direct probe of the neutral intergalactic medium during the epoch of reionization (EoR). Because it is sensitive to small-scale structure and gas temperature, it can constrain the thermal history of the early Universe and physics that affects structure formation. Detecting individual absorption lines is challenging, mainly because of their weakness and the scarcity of high-redshift radio-bright sources. Recent progress, however, has made 21~cm forest studies increasingly feasible: new statistical observables can improve sensitivity within realistic observing times, updated radio-source counts have revised expectations for suitable background quasars, and deep-learning methods can extract physical information more efficiently. In addition, new approaches have been developed to separate astrophysical effects from early galaxies from fundamental-physics effects on small-scale structure. With the Square Kilometre Array (SKA), the 21~cm forest will therefore provide a promising route to study early heating, possible exotic energy injection, dark matter properties, neutrino mass, the running spectral index, and baryon--dark-matter relative velocity. This chapter reviews recent developments in 21~cm forest research and discusses observational strategies and prospects for constraining the first galaxies and fundamental physics with SKA-Low.

astro-ph.CO↗

arXiv2026

New constraints on stellar feedback through [O III] emission: interpreting ALMA and JWST observations with SPICE simulations

ALMA and JWST have recently detected emission lines from the interstellar medium of star-forming galaxies during the Epoch of Reionization, reaching redshifts up to z = 14. Among these, [OIII] lines provide a powerful diagnostic of metal enrichment, gas ionization, and the impact of stellar feedback in galaxies at z > 6. Modeling this emission in cosmological simulations is challenging due to the wide range of spatial scales and physical processes involved. To address this, we have developed a post-processing pipeline that implements a sub-grid model for [OIII] line emission within the SPICE radiation-hydrodynamical simulations. These simulations explore three supernova feedback prescriptions: bursty-sn, smooth-sn, and the hypernova-based hyper-sn. We investigate how these feedback models affect metal enrichment, the neutral gas fraction, and the size and morphology of ionized halos traced by [OIII] emission in both the optical and far-infrared. We find that [OIII] emission predominantly originates from gas that is both shock-heated and radiatively ionized. We also examine the mass-metallicity relation and the correlation between neutral gas fraction and [OIII] luminosity. Our results show that the bursty-sn model efficiently ionizes gas but enriches galaxies less effectively by z = 5, leading to fewer bright [OIII] emitters compared to the smooth-sn model. Both bursty-sn and hyper-sn produce suppressed luminosity functions. Spatially resolved [OIII] emission further indicates that smooth-sn tends to generate more compact galaxies and slightly higher V/{\sigma} values, although there is significant overlap between models. Overall, our findings demonstrate that [OIII] emission is a sensitive tracer of stellar feedback at high redshift and highlight the importance of observations probing fainter luminosities, where feedback effects are strongest.

astro-ph.GA↗

arXiv2026

Stellar feedback SPICEs up [C II] emission in the first galaxies

The bright [C II] 158 micron line is widely used to trace star-forming gas and feedback-driven outflows in high-redshift galaxies. Using the SPICE simulations, we investigate how bursty versus smooth stellar feedback shapes galaxy properties at z > 5 as traced by [C II] emission. All models exhibit a tight correlation between [C II] luminosity (L_[CII]) and star formation rate (SFR), though bursty feedback yields systematically lower L_[CII] at fixed SFR and larger intrinsic scatter. [C II] emission is more extended than rest-frame UV light by factors of ~2-4, consistent with ALMA observations. While outflows are ubiquitous and mass outflow rates scale with L_[CII] (reaching ~10 Msun/yr), the net mass flux remains inflow-dominated in [C II]-bright systems. The emission is dominated by low-velocity (|v_rad| < 200 km/s) cold gas, with fast outflows contributing little, causing [C II]-based kinematics to overestimate cold gas velocities and underestimate fast components by factors of ~2-5. Consequently, inferred mass-loading factors and wind energetics are biased low, and large line widths primarily reflect the gravitational potential rather than outflow speeds. Although [C II] spatial and spectral properties alone do not distinguish feedback models, gas kinematics provides a strong diagnostic: smooth feedback promotes earlier disk settling, yielding higher V/sigma and disk fractions (~48% vs. ~28% for bursty feedback at z = 5). Overall, [C II] robustly traces star formation but is a biased tracer of feedback-driven outflows, highlighting the need for multiwavelength constraints on the multiphase ISM.

astro-ph.GA↗

arXiv2026

Pulsar scintillation studies with LOFAR III. Annual variations in PSR~J0814$+$7429

The interstellar scintillation observed in radio pulsars arises from interference between electromagnetic waves scattered by electron density fluctuations in the turbulent interstellar plasma, providing a critical tool for probing the small-scale structure of the ionized interstellar medium and the pulsar system itself. The primary aim of this work is to study long-term scintillation variations for a bright and nearby pulsar, PSR J0814$+$7429, carried out from 2013 September to 2023 September with the LOw-Frequency ARray (LOFAR) High Band Antennae in the frequency range of 120 - 170 MHz. We derive the basic scintillation parameters, scintillation bandwidth ($\Delta\nu_{\rm d}$) and scintillation timescale ($\Delta\tau_{\rm d}$), from the two-dimensional (2D) auto-covariance function of the dynamic spectra that are a 2D matrix of pulse intensity as a function of time and frequency. We present the long-term monitoring of $\Delta\nu_{\rm d}$ and $\Delta\tau_{\rm d}$ for PSR J0814$+7429$, which shows a strong annual variation in the time series of the $\Delta\tau_{\rm d}$. From our modeling of the annual variations of scintillation velocities, the scattering screen is anisotropic and located at $0.23\pm0.02$ kpc from the Earth, likely corresponding to the boundary of the Local Bubble.

astro-ph.HE↗

arXiv2026

Probing the magnetic field of a coronal mass ejection with PSR J1022+1001

We investigate whether low-frequency pulsar observations can provide LoS magnetic field estimates and whether these are consistent with synthetic LoS signatures extracted from a three-dimensional CME reconstruction constrained by Solar Orbiter data. We analyze a CME occultation of the LoS to PSR J1022+1001 on 20 August 2021 at a projected heliocentric distance of 24.6 R_sun, observed simultaneously with LOFAR and NenuFAR. From LOFAR, we derive time-resolved dispersion measure (DM) and rotation measure (RM) and isolate the CME contributions using background estimates for interstellar, solar wind and ionospheric components. We then infer the density-weighted LoS-averaged magnetic field component _PSR from the ratio delta-RM/delta-DM. In parallel, we reconstruct the CME using a semi-empirical 3DCORE model fitted to Solar Orbiter in-situ magnetic field observations at 0.65 au. We sample the modeled magnetic field along the pulsar LoS using fixed spatial sampling points and compute synthetic LoS-averaged signatures _3D for different flux rope configurations. The derived _PSR increases from approximately -9 nT to a peak near 63 nT during the observed interval. Comparison with synthetic signatures shows that the polarity and temporal evolution of the LoS signal are strongly dependent on the flux rope configuration and only a South-West-North (SWN) configuration (confirmed by Solar Orbiter in-situ data) reproduces the observed sign and overall evolution, whereas alternative configurations are incompatible. The modeled amplitudes, however, are systematically larger than the pulsar-derived values by roughly a factor of five. We show that simultaneous low-frequency pulsar DM and RM measurements can provide LoS magnetic field estimates for a CME and can be used to test CME magnetic structure against data-constrained three-dimensional reconstructions.

astro-ph.SR↗

arXiv2026

POLAR-II: modeling star formation history of galaxies on the 21-cm signal from Epoch of Reionization

Galaxies may suffer some starburst and quenched periods in their history due to e.g. galaxy mergers and feedback. However, semi-numerical simulations of the Epoch of Reionization (EoR) typically do not accurately model the effects of the star formation history (SFH) of galaxies. Keeping the same total ionizing photon budget from galaxies, we investigate how the ionization and heating of the Intergalactic Medium (IGM), as well as the associated 21-cm signal during the EoR, depends on the variations in the modeling of the SFH of galaxies. We adopt the Jiutian-300 N-body dark matter simulation and the semi-analytic model L-Galaxies 2020 to model galaxy formation. Using the galaxy catalog from L-Galaxies 2020 as input, we post-process the Jiutian-300 density field with the one-dimensional radiative transfer code Grizzly to model the reionization process and the 21-cm signal. We find that the ionized regions produced by galaxies with a SFH derived from L-Galaxies 2020 are slightly larger and warmer than the ones obtained with a constant SFR. For a fixed stellar mass, galaxies produce smaller ionized regions with increasing stellar mass weighted stellar age $\tau_{\rm age}$. This results in a different topology and timing of the IGM ionization and heating obtained from Grizzly. The SFH of galaxies is highly dependent on $\tau_{\rm age}$ and redshift. Different models of the galactic SFH affect the gas heating and ionizing processes during the EoR, and as a consequence also the 21-cm global signal and power spectrum.

astro-ph.GA↗

arXiv2026

Influence of the Spectral Energy Distribution of Reionization-Era Sources on the Lyman-$α$ Forest

Interpreting Lyman-$α$ forest properties during the epoch of reionization requires assumptions about the spectral energy distribution (SED) of ionizing sources. These are often simplified to blackbody or power-law spectra, potentially overlooking contributions from high-energy processes. In this work, we investigate how different SED models of reionization-era sources shape the thermal and ionization state of the intergalactic medium (IGM) and imprint on the Ly$α$ forest during the late stages of reionization. We perform $3D$ radiative transfer simulations with CRASH, post-processed on Sherwood-type hydrodynamical outputs, exploring both physically motivated SEDs including X-ray binaries, Bremsstrahlung from shock-heated interstellar medium, and binary stars and idealized blackbody and power-law spectra. While the large-scale morphology of ionized regions is broadly similar across all models, harder spectral components extend partially ionized zones, produce larger He III regions, and heat the surrounding IGM. By adopting simplified spectra there is the risk of underestimating the contribution of high-energy sources, which for most models we consider are found to alter the effective optical depth, the flux power, and the local transmissivity within the current $\sim 1 σ$ measurement uncertainties. The differences across models are most pronounced in the behavior of the proximity zone and in the power at intermediate scales, offering the most promising diagnostics to disentangle source populations. With upcoming high precision measurements from ELT and DESI, realistic SED modelling will be essential for robustly connecting Ly$α$ forest observations to the sources driving the end of reionization.

astro-ph.GA↗

arXiv2025

Variability of the UV luminosity function with SPICE

We investigate the variability of the UV luminosity function (UVLF) at $z > 5$ using the SPICE suite of cosmological, radiation-hydrodynamic simulations, which include three distinct supernova (SN) feedback models: bursty-sn, smooth-sn, and hyper-sn. The bursty-sn model, driven by intense and episodic SN explosions, produces the highest fluctuations in the star formation rate (SFR). Conversely, the smooth-sn model, characterized by gentler SN feedback, results in minimal SFR variability. The hyper-sn model, featuring a more realistic prescription that incorporates hypernova (HN) explosions, exhibits intermediate variability, closely aligning with the smooth-sn trend at lower redshifts. These fluctuations in SFR significantly affect the $\rm{M_{UV} - M_{halo}}$ relation, a proxy for UVLF variability. Among the models, bursty-sn produces the highest UVLF variability, with a maximum value of 2.5. In contrast, the smooth-sn and hyper-sn models show substantially lower variability, with maximum values of 1.3 and 1.5, respectively. However, in all cases, UVLF variability strongly correlates with host halo mass, with lower-mass halos showing greater variability due to more effective SN feedback in their shallower gravitational wells. The bursty-sn model, though, results in higher amplitudes. Variability decreases in lower mass haloes with decreasing redshift for all feedback models. This study underscores the critical role of SN feedback in shaping the UVLF, and highlights the mass and redshift dependence of its variability, suggesting that UVLF variability may alleviate the bright galaxy tension observed by JWST at high redshifts.

astro-ph.GA↗

arXiv2025

Metallicity Gradients in Modern Cosmological Simulations II: The Role of Bursty Versus Smooth Feedback at High-Redshift

The distribution of gas-phase metals within galaxies encodes the impact of stellar feedback on galactic evolution. At high-redshift, when galaxies are rapidly assembling, feedback-driven outflows and turbulence can strongly reshape radial metallicity gradients. In this work, we use the FIRE-2, SPICE, Thesan and Thesan Zoom cosmological simulations -- spanning a range of stellar feedback from bursty (time-variable) to smooth (steady) -- to investigate how these feedback modes shape gas-phase metallicity gradients at $3 10^{9}~{\rm M_\odot}$. These results demonstrate that bursty stellar feedback provides sufficient turbulence to prevent strong negative gradients from forming, while smooth stellar feedback does not generically allow for efficient radial redistribution of metals thereby keeping gradients steep. Finally, we compare with recent observations, finding that the majority -- but, notably, not all -- of the observed gradients may favor a bursty stellar feedback scenario. In all, these results highlight the utility of high-resolution observations of gas-phase metallicity at high-redshift as a key discriminator of these qualitatively different feedback types.

astro-ph.GA↗

arXiv2025

Probing Helium Reionization Through the $^{3}\mathrm{He}^{+}$ Hyperfine Transition Line

We investigate the hyperfine transition of $^{3}\mathrm{He}^{+}$ as a promising probe of the IGM during the final stages of helium reionization. Utilising the most recent helium reionization simulation, we generate three-dimensional maps of the 3.5cm ($8.67$ GHz) differential brightness temperature and analyze its evolution. Our results show that the volume-averaged brightness temperature declines rapidly from $\sim 1 \mu$K at $z = 4$ to $\sim 2.5 \times 10^{-3} \mu$K by $z = 2.3$, tracing the HeII to HeIII transition driven by quasars. The power spectrum of the 3.5cm signal exhibits a scale-dependent evolution, peaking on small scales and declining as reionization progresses. We explore the cross-correlation of the 3.5cm transition line with the distribution of AGNs, which shows a transition from positive to negative correlation as ionized regions grow. We also examine the 3.5cm forest and demonstrate that absorption features persist down to $z \sim 2.90$, even when more than $85\%$ of HeII is ionized. Although current observational upper limits lie several orders of magnitude above theoretical predictions, future radio arrays such as $\mathrm{SKA-mid}$ offer promising prospects. Overall, this study highlights the $^{3}\mathrm{He}^{+}$ hyperfine transition as a sensitive tracer of the thermal and ionization history of the IGM during helium reionization.

astro-ph.CO↗

arXiv2025

Exploring the effect of different cosmologies on the Epoch of Reionization 21-cm signal with POLAR

A detection of the 21-cm signal power spectrum from the Epoch of Reionization is imminent, thanks to consistent advancements from telescopes such as LOFAR, MWA, and HERA, along with the development of SKA. In light of this progress, it is crucial to expand the parameter space of simulations used to infer astrophysical properties from this signal. In this work, we explore the role of cosmological parameters such as the Hubble constant $H_0$ and the matter clustering amplitude $σ_8$, whose values as provided by measurements at different redshifts are in tension. We run $N$-body simulations using GADGET-4, and post-process them with the reionization simulation code POLAR, that uses L-GALAXIES to include galaxy formation and evolution properties and GRIZZLY to execute 1-D radiative transfer of ionizing photons in the intergalactic medium (IGM). We compare our results with the latest JWST observations and explore which astrophysical properties for different cosmologies are necessary to match the observed UV luminosity functions at redshifts $z = 10$ and $9$. Additionally, we explore the impact of these parameters on the observed 21-cm signal power spectrum, focusing on the redshifts within the range of LOFAR 21-cm signal observations ($z \approx 8.5-10$). Despite differences in cosmological and astrophysical parameters, our models cannot be ruled out by the current upper limits. This suggests the need for broader physical parameter spaces for inference modeling to account for all models that agree with observations. However, we also propose stronger constraining power by using a combination of galactic and IGM observables.

astro-ph.CO↗

arXiv2025

Inferring IGM parameters from the redshifted 21-cm Power Spectrum using Artificial Neural Networks

The high redshift 21-cm signal promises to be a crucial probe of the state of the intergalactic medium (IGM). Understanding the connection between the observed 21-cm power spectrum and the physical quantities intricately associated with the IGM is crucial to fully understand the evolution of our Universe. In this study, we develop an emulator using artificial neural network (ANN) to predict the 21-cm power spectrum from a given set of IGM properties, namely, the bubble size distribution and the volume averaged ionization fraction. This emulator is implemented within a standard Bayesian framework to constrain the IGM parameters from a given 21-cm power spectrum. We compare the performance of the Bayesian method to an alternate method using ANN to predict the IGM parameters from a given input power spectrum, and find that both methods yield similar levels of accuracy, while the ANN is significantly faster. We also use this ANN method of parameter estimation to predict the IGM parameters from a test set contaminated with noise levels expected from the SKA-LOW instrument after 1000 hours of observation. Finally, we train a separate ANN to predict the source parameters from the IGM parameters directly, at a redshift of $z=9.1$, demonstrating the possibility of a non-analytic inference of the source parameters from the IGM parameters for the first time. We achieve high accuracies, with R2-scores ranging between $0.898-0.978$ for the ANN emulator and between $0.966-0.986$ and $0.817-0.981$ for the predictions of IGM parameters from 21-cm power spectrum and source parameters from IGM parameters, respectively. The predictions of the IGM parameters from the Bayesian method incorporating the ANN emulator leads to tight constraints with error bars around $\pm{0.14}$ on the IGM parameters.

astro-ph.CO↗

arXiv2025

Constraints on the galaxy formation models during epoch of reionization with high redshift observations

We use high resolution N-body dark matter simulations and L-Galaxies semi-analytical galaxy formation models to explore the high-$z$ galaxy properties and estimate the budget of ionizing photons. The parameters within L-Galaxies are obtained using a Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) method with high-$z$ galaxy observations from JWST and other telescopes. We consider two versions of L-Galaxies with and without dust correction on galaxy UV luminosities. With the best-fit parameters, both L-Galaxies 2015 and L-Galaxies 2020 reproduce well observations of UV luminosity functions, stellar mass functions, star formation rate densities and ionizing photon emission efficiency. With the assumption of escape fraction of $20\%$, all models produce more ionizing photons than the number of Hydrogen atoms in the Universe at $z>6$. The inclusion of dust correction within MCMC results in higher star formation efficiency, which predicts $\sim 50\%$ more ionizing photons, with better consistency between the predicted stellar mass functions and observations.

astro-ph.CO↗

arXiv2025

SKA-ESO Synergies for the Epoch of Reionization and Cosmic Dawn

Mapping out the first billion years using the 21-cm line with the Square Kilometer Array (SKA) will revolutionize our understanding of the cosmic dawn, reionization and the galaxies that drove these milestones. However, synergies with other telescopes in the form of cross correlations will be fundamental in making and confirming initial, low signal-to-noise claims of a detection. Participants of the 2023 European Southern Observatory (ESO) - SKA Observatory workshop discussed such synergies for Epoch of Reionization (EoR) and Cosmic Dawn (CD) science. Here we highlight some of the most promising candidates for cross-correlating SKA EoR/CD observations with ESO instruments such as the Multi-Object Optical and Near-infrared Spectrograph (MOONS), the MOSAIC multi-object spectrograph, and the ArmazoNes high Dispersion Echelle Spectrograph (ANDES).

astro-ph.CO↗

arXiv2024

Atomic and molecular gas as traced by [C II] emission

The latest ALMA and JWST observations provide new information on the birth and evolution of galaxies in the early Universe, at the epoch of reionization. Of particular importance are measurements at redshift $ z > 5$ of their cold-gas budget, which is known to be the main fuel for star formation. A powerful tool for probing the physics characterising galaxies at high redshift is the \CII\ $158\,\rm μm$ emission line. Due to its low excitation potential, \CII\ emission can be produced in photodissociation regions, neutral atomic gas and molecular clouds. To properly capture the cold-gas processes taking place in such environments (molecule formation, self-shielding, dust grain catalysis, photoelectric and cosmic-ray heating), we make use of a new set of state-of-the-art hydrodynamic simulations (\coldsim) including time-dependent non-equilibrium chemistry, star formation, stellar evolution, metal spreading and feedback mechanisms. We are able to accurately track the evolution of \HI, \HII\ and H$_2$ in a cosmological context and predict the contribution of each gas phase to \CII\ luminosity. We provide formulas that can be used to estimate the mass of molecular and atomic gas from \CII\ detections. Furthermore, we analyse how conversion factors evolve with galactic properties, such as stellar metallicity, star formation rate and stellar mass. We demonstrate that \CII\ emission is dominated by \HI\ gas and most of the \CII\ luminosity is generated in warm, dense star-forming regions. Importantly, we conclude that, despite \CII\ tracing predominantly atomic rather than molecular gas, the \CII\ luminosity remains a robust indicator of the H$_2$ mass.

astro-ph.GA↗