arXiv subjects

Benedict Bahr-Kalus

Publications and source records attributed to Benedict Bahr-Kalus.

17 recordsLinked to original sources

arXiv2026

Cosmology from Nx2pt Analyses of SKAO Wide-Area Surveys

SKAO surveys will provide an unprecedented window into the large-scale structure of the universe through HI 21cm galaxy and intensity mapping surveys, and radio continuum surveys. We present forecasts for the cosmological constraining power of ``$N\times2\mathrm{pt}$'' analyses -- which combine galaxy clustering, galaxy weak lensing, galaxy-galaxy lensing signals and 21cm Intensity Maps. By assuming cosmology surveys from an SKA-Mid AA4, we show that such an $N\times2\mathrm{pt}$ analysis will be able to deliver measurements of $\sim1\%$ precision on $\Lambda$CDM cosmological parameters. We also explore dynamical dark energy in the $w_0, w_a$ model, the sum of neutrino masses $\rm M_\nu$, and the background curvature $\Omega_{\rm k}$.

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arXiv2026

Beyond {\Lambda}CDM with the SKA Observatory -- II: Unveiling the Secrets of the Early Universe

The origins of the universe remain one of the biggest mysteries in modern cosmology. While the Planck satellite has provided a wealth of information about the early universe, there is still much to be discovered. The Square Kilometre Array Observatory (SKAO) offers a unique opportunity to probe the universe's infancy, going beyond the current limitations of our knowledge. By measuring the power spectrum of biased tracers of the dark matter distribution on the largest cosmological scales and exploring beyond 2-point statistics, SKAO will enable us to refine our understanding of the primordial universe, including the shape of the inflationary power spectrum and the presence of primordial non-Gaussianity. In this chapter we will review recent works looking at the potential of SKAO's surveys, and how synergies with other surveys can revolutionize our understanding of the origins of the cosmos.

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arXiv2026

Cosmology from HI galaxy surveys with the SKA

The 21cm line from neutral hydrogen is expected to be a ubiquitous (albeit faint) tracer of galaxies in the late Universe. With SKAO-MID, large wide-field surveys of several million HI-containing galaxies will become feasible, resulting in catalogues of sufficient size to measure large-scale structure observables such as baryon acoustic oscillations and redshift-space distortions. While optical galaxy surveys over comparable areas are generally deeper, radio surveys of this kind have a number of other advantages, such as broader sampling of the halo mass function and the possibility of measuring luminosity distances via the Tully-Fisher relation. In this chapter, we provide predictions for the galaxy number counts versus redshift that will be achievable with a wide-field HI galaxy survey on SKAO-MID, along with corresponding forecasts for cosmological observables. Given the substantial uncertainty in the HI mass function with redshift, we bracket our predictions using a handful of different modelling methods.

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arXiv2026

Cosmology from Clustering of Continuum Galaxies

The distribution of radio continuum galaxies is a useful, fast, and accessible probe of the matter distribution in the Universe, enlightening us about the Universe's initial conditions, the physics of dark matter, and the nature of the mysterious dark energy. However, radio continuum galaxies alone cannot easily be localised in the radial direction, and cross-identification of host sources from optical catalogues is challenging across wide area surveys. Moreover, there are several redshift-dependent properties of radio galaxy populations that all need accurate modelling to make reliable inferences about fundamental physics. These include accurate measurements of the redshift distribution of radio sources ($dN/dz$), the coupling between radio galaxies and the underlying matter distribution (quantified by the galaxy bias, $b(z)$), and the true flux distribution $N(S,z)$ of the radio sources (magnification bias). The amount of encoded cosmological information depends on the survey properties and the level of homogeneity across its footprint. In this chapter, we demonstrate the cosmological potential of a 20,000 sq. deg survey with the SKAO in AA4 configuration, using 10,000 hours of observations. Such a survey will reach $\mathcal{O}(\mu\mathrm{Jy/beam)}$ sensitivities and detect $\mathcal{O}$(300-400 million) radio sources, the largest sample of radio continuum galaxies to date. This surpasses the number of sources assumed for the previous SKA cosmology Red Book. We predict the angular clustering of such a survey, using mocks accounting for potential telescope systematics, and discuss which data corrections may be needed when these systematics cannot be accurately modelled.}

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arXiv2025

Overdispersed radio source counts and excess radio dipole detection

The source count dipole from wide-area radio continuum surveys allows us to test the cosmological standard model. Many radio sources have multiple components, which can cause an overdispersion of the source counts distribution. We account for this effect via a new Bayesian estimator, based on the negative binomial distribution. Combining the two best understood wide-area surveys, NVSS and RACS-low, and the deepest wide-area survey, LoTSS-DR2, we find that the source count dipole exceeds its expected value as the kinematic dipole amplitude from standard cosmology by a factor of $3.67 \pm 0.49$ -- a $5.4\sigma$ discrepancy.

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arXiv2025

EMU: Cross-correlating EMU Pilot Survey 1 with Dark Energy Survey to validate the radio galaxy bias and redshift distribution

Radio continuum galaxy surveys can provide a relatively fast map of the projected distribution of structure in the Universe, at the cost of lacking information about the radial distribution. We can use these surveys to learn about the growth of structure and the fundamental physics of the Universe, but doing so requires extra information to be provided in the modelling of the redshift distribution, $dN/dz$. In this work, we show how the cross-correlation of the two-dimensional radio continuum map with another galaxy map (in this case a photometric optical extragalactic survey), with a known redshift distribution, can be used to determine the redshift distribution through statistical inference. We use data from the Evolutionary Map of the Universe (EMU) Pilot Survey 1 and cross-correlate it with optical data from the Dark Energy Survey to fit the parameters of our $dN/dz$ model. We show that the recovered distribution has a similar shape to the distribution predicted by the current state-of-the-art simulation, and can fit the angular power spectrum data from cross-correlations very well, validating this model. These results will have significance for future cosmological analyses with large-scale radio continuum surveys such as the full EMU, or with the SKAO.

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arXiv2024

Local primordial non-Gaussianity from the large-scale clustering of photometric DESI luminous red galaxies

We use angular clustering of luminous red galaxies from the Dark Energy Spectroscopic Instrument (DESI) imaging surveys to constrain the local primordial non-Gaussianity parameter $\fnl$. Our sample comprises over 12 million targets, covering 14,000 square degrees of the sky, with redshifts in the range $0.2< z < 1.35$. We identify Galactic extinction, survey depth, and astronomical seeing as the primary sources of systematic error, and employ linear regression and artificial neural networks to alleviate non-cosmological excess clustering on large scales. Our methods are tested against simulations with and without $\fnl$ and systematics, showing superior performance of the neural network treatment. The neural network with a set of nine imaging property maps passes our systematic null test criteria, and is chosen as the fiducial treatment. Assuming the universality relation, we find $\fnl = 34^{+24(+50)}_{-44(-73)}$ at 68\%(95\%) confidence. We apply a series of robustness tests (e.g., cuts on imaging, declination, or scales used) that show consistency in the obtained constraints. We study how the regression method biases the measured angular power-spectrum and degrades the $\fnl$ constraining power. The use of the nine maps more than doubles the uncertainty compared to using only the three primary maps in the regression. Our results thus motivate the development of more efficient methods that avoid over-correction, protect large-scale clustering information, and preserve constraining power. Additionally, our results encourage further studies of $\fnl$ with DESI spectroscopic samples, where the inclusion of 3D clustering modes should help separate imaging systematics and lessen the degradation in the $\fnl$ uncertainty.

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arXiv2023

Measurement of the matter-radiation equality scale using the extended Baryon Oscillation Spectroscopic Survey Quasar Sample

The position of the peak of the matter power spectrum, the so-called turnover scale, is set by the horizon size at the epoch of matter-radiation equality. It can easily be predicted in terms of the physics of the Universe in the relativistic era, and so can be used as a standard ruler, independent of other features present in the matter power spectrum, such as baryon acoustic oscillations (BAO). We use the distribution of quasars measured by the extended Baryon Oscillation Spectroscopic Survey (eBOSS) to determine the turnover scale in a model-independent fashion statistically. We avoid modelling the BAO by down-weighting affected scales in the covariance matrix using the mode deprojection technique. We measure the wavenumber of the peak to be $k_\mathrm{TO} = \left( 17.6^{+1.9}_{-1.8} \right) \times 10^{-3}h/\mathrm{Mpc}$, corresponding to a dilation scale of $ D_\mathrm{V}(z_\mathrm{eff} = 1.48) = \left({36.2^{+4.1}_{-4.4}}\right)r_\mathrm{H}$. This is not competitive with current BAO distance measures in terms of determining the expansion history but does provide a useful cross-check. We combine this measurement with low-redshift distance measurements from type-Ia supernova data from Pantheon and BAO data from eBOSS to make a sound-horizon free estimate of the Hubble-Lemaître parameter and find it to be $H_0=\left({74.7\pm 9.6}\right) \ \mathrm{km/s/Mpc}$ with Pantheon, and $H_0=\left({72.9^{+10.0}_{-8.6}}\right) \ \mathrm{km/s/Mpc}$ with eBOSS BAO. We make predictions for the measurement of the turnover scale by the Dark Energy Spectroscopic Instrument (DESI) survey, the Maunakea Spectroscopic Explorer (MSE) and MegaMapper, which will make more precise and accurate distance determinations.

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arXiv2023

NANCY: Next-generation All-sky Near-infrared Community surveY

The Nancy Grace Roman Space Telescope is capable of delivering an unprecedented all-sky, high-spatial resolution, multi-epoch infrared map to the astronomical community. This opportunity arises in the midst of numerous ground- and space-based surveys that will provide extensive spectroscopy and imaging together covering the entire sky (such as Rubin/LSST, Euclid, UNIONS, SPHEREx, DESI, SDSS-V, GALAH, 4MOST, WEAVE, MOONS, PFS, UVEX, NEO Surveyor, etc.). Roman can uniquely provide uniform high-spatial-resolution (~0.1 arcsec) imaging over the entire sky, vastly expanding the science reach and precision of all of these near-term and future surveys. This imaging will not only enhance other surveys, but also facilitate completely new science. By imaging the full sky over two epochs, Roman can measure the proper motions for stars across the entire Milky Way, probing 100 times fainter than Gaia out to the very edge of the Galaxy. Here, we propose NANCY: a completely public, all-sky survey that will create a high-value legacy dataset benefiting innumerable ongoing and forthcoming studies of the universe. NANCY is a pure expression of Roman's potential: it images the entire sky, at high spatial resolution, in a broad infrared bandpass that collects as many photons as possible. The majority of all ongoing astronomical surveys would benefit from incorporating observations of NANCY into their analyses, whether these surveys focus on nearby stars, the Milky Way, near-field cosmology, or the broader universe.

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arXiv2023

Constraining Cosmic Inflation with Observations: Prospects for 2030

The ability to test and constrain theories of cosmic inflation will advance substantially over the next decade. Key data sources include cosmic microwave background (CMB) measurements and observations of the distribution of matter at low-redshift from optical, near-infrared, and 21cm intensity surveys. A positive detection of a CMB B-mode consistent with a primordial stochastic gravitational wave background (SGWB) is widely viewed as a smoking gun for an inflationary phase. Still, a null result does not exclude inflation. However, in a significant class of inflationary scenarios, a low SGWB amplitude is correlated with a more significant running, $α_s$, in the primordial density perturbations than is seen with the simplest inflationary potentials. With this motivation, we forecast the precision with which the spectral index $n_{\rm{s}}$ and $α_{\rm{s}}$ can be constrained by currently envisaged observations, including CMB (Simons Observatory, CMB-S4 and LiteBIRD), optical/near infra-red (DESI and SPHEREx), and 21cm intensity mapping (Tianlai and CHIME) surveys. We identify optimal combinations of datasets for constraining the running and show that they may yield additional and informative constraints on the overall inflationary parameter space if the SGWB remains undetected.

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arXiv2022

Running primordial perturbations: Inflationary Dynamics and Observational Constraints

Inflationary cosmology proposes that the early Universe undergoes accelerated expansion, driven, in simple scenarios, by a single scalar field, or inflaton. The form of the inflaton potential determines the initial spectra of density perturbations and gravitational waves. We show that constraints on the duration of inflation together with the BICEP3/Keck bounds on the gravitational wave background imply that higher derivatives of the potential are nontrivial with a confidence of 99%. Such terms contribute to the scale-dependence, or running, of the density perturbation spectrum. We clarify the ``universality classes'' of inflation in this limit showing that a very small gravitational wave background can be correlated with a larger running. If pending experiments do not observe a gravitational wave background the running will be at the threshold of detectability if inflation is well-described at third-order in the slow roll expansion.

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arXiv2022

A measurement of the Integrated Sachs-Wolfe Effect with the Rapid ASKAP Continuum Survey

The evolution of the gravitational potentials on large scales due to the accelerated expansion of the Universe is an important and independent probe of dark energy, known as the integrated Sachs-Wolfe (ISW) effect. We measure this ISW effect through cross-correlating the cosmic microwave background maps from the Planck satellite with a radio continuum galaxy distribution map from the recent Rapid ASKAP Continuum Survey (RACS). We detect a positive cross-correlation at $\sim 2.8\,σ$ relative to the null hypothesis of no correlation. We parameterise the strength of the ISW effect through an amplitude parameter and find the constraints to be $A_{\mathrm{ISW}} = 0.94^{+0.42}_{-0.41}$, which is consistent with the prediction of an accelerating universe within the current concordance cosmological model, $Λ$CDM. The credible interval on this parameter is independent of the different bias models and redshift distributions that were considered when marginalising over the nuisance parameters. We also detect a power excess in the galaxy auto-correlation angular power spectrum on large scales ($\ell \leq 40$), and investigate possible systematic causes.

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arXiv2021

The Kaiser-Rocket effect: three decades and counting

The peculiar motion of the observer, if not accurately accounted for, is bound to induce a well-defined clustering signal in the distribution of galaxies. This signal is related to the Kaiser rocket effect. Here we examine the amplitude and form of this effect, both analytically and numerically, and discuss possible implications for the analysis and interpretation of forthcoming cosmological surveys. For an idealistic cosmic variance dominated full-sky survey with a Gaussian selection function peaked at $z\sim 1.5$ it is a $> 5σ$ effect and it can in principle bias very significantly the inference of cosmological parameters, especially for primordial non-Gaussianity. For forthcoming surveys, with realistic masks and selection functions, the Kaiser rocket is not a significant concern for cosmological parameter inference. However, it is a systematic effect whose origin, nature and imprint on galaxy maps are well known and thus should be subtracted or mitigated. We present several approaches to do so.

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arXiv2016

Unbiased contaminant removal for 3D galaxy power spectrum measurements

We assess and develop techniques to remove contaminants when calculating the 3D galaxy power spectrum. We separate the process into three separate stages: (i) removing the contaminant signal, (ii) estimating the uncontaminated cosmological power spectrum, (iii) debiasing the resulting estimates. For (i), we show that removing the best-fit contaminant mode subtraction), and setting the contaminated components of the covariance to be infinite (mode deprojection) are mathematically equivalent. For (ii), performing a Quadratic Maximum Likelihood (QML) estimate after mode deprojection gives an optimal unbiased solution, although it requires the manipulation of large $N_{\rm mode}^2$ matrices ($N_{\rm mode}$ being the total number of modes)}, which is unfeasible for recent 3D galaxy surveys. Measuring a binned average of the modes for (ii) as proposed by \citet*[FKP]{Feldman} is faster and simpler, but is sub-optimal and gives rise to a biased solution. We present a method to debias the resulting FKP measurements that does not require any large matrix calculations. We argue that the sub-optimality of the FKP estimator compared with the QML estimator, caused by contaminants is less severe than that commonly ignored due to the survey window.

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arXiv2015

Cosmological parameter inference from galaxy clustering: The effect of the posterior distribution of the power spectrum

We consider the shape of the posterior distribution to be used when fitting cosmological models to power spectra measured from galaxy surveys. At very large scales, Gaussian posterior distributions in the power do not approximate the posterior distribution $\mathcal{P}_R$ we expect for a Gaussian density field $δ_k$, even if we vary the covariance matrix according to the model to be tested. We compare alternative posterior distributions with $\mathcal{P}_R$, both mode-by-mode and in terms of expected measurements of primordial non-Gaussianity parameterised by $f_\mathrm{NL}$. Marginalising over a Gaussian posterior distribution $\mathcal{P}_f$ with fixed covariance matrix yields a posterior mean value of $f_\mathrm{NL}$ which, for a data set with the characteristics of Euclid, will be underestimated by $\triangle f_\mathrm{NL}=0.4$, while for the data release 9 (DR9) of the Sloan Digital Sky Survey (SDSS)-III Baryon Oscillation Spectroscopic Survey (BOSS) it will be underestimated by $\triangle f_\mathrm{NL}=19.1$. Adopting a different form of the posterior function means that we do not necessarily require a different covariance matrix for each model to be tested: this dependence is absorbed into the functional form of the posterior. Thus, the computational burden of analysis is significantly reduced.

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arXiv2013

Constraints on anisotropic cosmic expansion from supernovae

We test the isotropy of the expansion of the Universe by estimating the hemispherical anisotropy of supernova type Ia (SN Ia) Hubble diagrams at low redshifts (z<0.2). We compare the best fit Hubble diagrams in pairs of hemispheres and search for the maximal asymmetric orientation. For an isotropic Universe, we expect only a small asymmetry due to noise and the presence of nearby structures. This test does not depend on the assumed content of the Universe, the assumed model of gravity, or the spatial curvature of the Universe. The expectation for possible fluctuations due to large scale structure is evaluated for the Λcold dark matter (ΛCDM) model and is compared to the supernova data from the Constitution set for four different light curve fitters, thus allowing a study of the systematic effects. The expected order of magnitude of the hemispherical asymmetry of the Hubble expansion agrees with the observed one. The direction of the Hubble asymmetry is established at 95% confidence level (C.L.) using both, the MLCS2k2 and the SALT II light curve fitter. The highest expansion rate is found towards (l, b) ~ (-35°,-19°), which agrees with directions reported by other studies. Its amplitude is not in contradiction to expectations from the ΛCDM model. The measured Hubble anisotropy is ΔH/H ~ 0.026. With 95% C.L. the expansion asymmetry is ΔH/H<0.038.

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arXiv2010

On the accelerated expansion of the cosmos

We present a short (and necessarily incomplete) review of the evidence for the accelerated expansion of the Universe. The most direct probe of acceleration relies on the detailed study of supernovae (SN) of type Ia. Assuming that these are standardizable candles and that they fairly sample a homogeneous and isotropic Universe, the evidence for acceleration can be tested in a model- and calibration-independent way. Various light-curve fitting procedures have been proposed and tested. While several fitters give consistent results for the so-called Constitution set, they lead to inconsistent results for the recently released SDSS SN. Adopting the SALT fitter and relying on the Union set, cosmic acceleration is detected by a purely kinematic test at 7 sigma when spatial flatness is assumed and at 4 sigma without assumption on the spatial geometry. A weak point of the described method is the local set of SN (at z < 0.2), as these SN are essential to anchor the Hubble diagram. These SN are drawn from a volume much smaller than the Hubble volume and could be affected by local structure. Without the assumption of homogeneity, there is no evidence for acceleration, as the effects of acceleration are degenerate with the effects of inhomogeneities. Unless we sit in the centre of the Universe, such inhomogeneities can be constrained by SN observations by means of tests of the isotropy of the Hubble flow.

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