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Benjamin Costello

Publications and source records attributed to Benjamin Costello.

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Data-Dependent Goal Modeling for ML-Enabled Law Enforcement Systems

Investigating serious crimes is inherently complex and resource-constrained. Law enforcement agencies (LEAs) grapple with overwhelming volumes of offender and incident data, making effective suspect identification difficult. Although machine learning (ML)-enabled systems have been explored to support LEAs, several have failed in practice. This highlights the need to align system behavior with stakeholder goals early in development, motivating the use of Goal-Oriented Requirements Engineering (GORE). This paper reports our experience applying the GORE framework KAOS to designing an ML-enabled system for identifying suspects in online child sexual abuse. We describe how KAOS supported early requirements elaboration, including goal refinement, object modeling, agent assignment, and operationalization. A key finding is the central role of data elicitation: data requirements constrain refinement choices and candidate agents while influencing how goals are linked, operationalized, and satisfied. Conversely, goal elaboration and agent assignment shape data quality expectations and collection needs. Our experience highlights the iterative, bidirectional dependencies between goals, data, and ML performance. We contribute a reference model for integrating GORE with data-driven system development, and identify gaps in KAOS, particularly the need for explicit support for data elicitation and quality management. These insights inform future extensions of KAOS and, more broadly, the application of formal GORE methods to ML-enabled systems for high-stakes societal contexts.

cs.CY

Statistical Crime Linkage: Evaluating approaches within the Covenant for Using AI in Policing

Linking crimes by modus operandi has long been employed as an effective tool for crime investigation. The standard statistical method that underpins statistical crime linkage has been logistic regression. The simplicity and interpretability of this approach has been seen as an advantage for law enforcement agencies using statistical crime linkage. In 2023, the National Police Chiefs' Council published the Covenant for Using Artificial Intelligence in Policing designed to guide the development of novel methods for use within policing. In this article, we investigate more statistical and machine learning methods that could underpin crime linkage models. We investigate a range of methods including regression-, sampling-, and machine learning-based techniques and evaluate them against the principles of Explainability and Transparency from the Covenant. We investigate our methods on a new data set on romance fraud in the UK, where 361 victims of fraud reported the behaviours and characteristics of the suspects involved in their case. We propose a sensitive, Explainable, and Transparent machine learning model for crime linkage and demonstrate how this method could support crime linkage efforts by law enforcement agencies using a dataset of romance fraud with unknown linkage status.

stat.AP