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Bernardo Pereira

Publications and source records attributed to Bernardo Pereira.

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From streaks to synergies: A multi-scale analysis of performance and scoring in the NBA

Modern play-by-play data make it possible to test long-standing intuitions about basketball with the same statistical rigour now routinely applied to other professional sports. Using play-by-play data from 7,054 regular-season and 504 playoff NBA games spanning the 2020-2025 seasons, we provide quantitative insights into scoring patterns and the performance of individual players and teams through methods from statistics, network science, and complexity science. Our findings offer an evidence-based perspective on in-season and in-game performance that can inform coaching strategies, player evaluation, and tactical decision-making.

physics.soc-ph

Distance Backbones Optimize Spreading Dynamics and Centrality Ranks in the Sparsification of Complex Networks

Detailed network models of social, biological and other complex systems are often dense, which increases their computational complexity in simulations and analysis. To address this challenge, graph sparsification is used to remove edges while preserving desired network properties. Distance backbones of weighted graphs, which remove edges that break a generalized triangle inequality for any given path-length measure, preserve all shortest paths of weighted graphs. They have been shown to typically sparsify graphs more, as well as preserve community structure and spreading dynamics better than alternative state-of-the-art methods. Here, We show that they significantly best preserve node centrality ranks, as well as local and global dynamics in spreading phenomena. This is done by introducing the distance backbone synthesis (DBS) to progressively sparsify weighted graphs according to a general family of nested distance backbones, whereby each edge is associated with the smallest distance backbone in which it appears. DBS provides a principled and natural method to sweep all degrees of sparsification possible while preserving connectivity, allowing us to precisely study (directed and undirected) weighted graph sparsification under multi-objective criteria. It provides an algebraically-principled explanation of edge importance by revealing the precise topological space associated with each edge. The theory is demonstrated with a battery of social contact networks obtained from real-world social activity in different scenarios. Our study also shows that the optimal preservation of node centrality and spreading dynamics happens for the distance backbone obeying the generalized triangle inequality for the path-length measure $g(x, y) = (\sqrt[3]{x}+\sqrt[3]{y})^3$, which removes more than half of the edges from the empirical networks studied.

physics.soc-ph