arXiv subjects

Bin Nan

Publications and source records attributed to Bin Nan.

At least 19 recordsLinked to original sources

arXiv2026

Conditional Distribution Estimation Given Functional Covariates Using Deep Operator Networks

Functional linear models are commonly used for analyzing functional data with scalar responses, particularly for modeling the conditional mean of the response given functional covariates. In this work, we extend the traditional scalar-on-function regression in two major aspects: 1. estimating the conditional distribution function instead of a particular characteristic such as the conditional mean; 2. considering an arbitrary operator without imposing functional linearity or any model assumption. We use a likelihood approach for the conditional hazard function and apply convolutional neural networks to approximate the effects of functional inputs and estimate the conditional distribution using deep operator networks. Through simulations and a real world data example, we show the desirable robustness of the proposed method in comparison with the mean regression neural networks, demonstrating that our approach achieves better conditional distribution estimation and interval prediction in complex data settings.

stat.ME↗

arXiv2026

Conformalized Percentile Interval: Finite Sample Validity and Improved Conditional Performance

Conformal prediction provides distribution-free predictive intervals with finite-sample marginal coverage. However, achieving conditional validity and interval efficiency (in terms of short interval length) remains challenging, particularly in complex settings with heteroskedasticity, skewed responses, or estimation errors. We propose a conformal-style calibration method for responses obtained by the probability integral transform (PIT) of the conditional cumulative distribution function (CDF) estimated via neural networks to construct a finite-sample-adjusted percentile interval with the shortest length determined by the estimated conditional CDF. Calibrating in PIT space is effective because PIT values are asymptotically feature-independent when the CDF estimator is accurate, which mitigates feature-dependent miscoverage and improves conditional calibration. On the other hand, our percentile calibration adapts to the empirical PIT distribution, which is robust against a possibly imperfect estimation of the conditional CDF. We prove the finite-sample marginal coverage property of the proposed method and show its asymptotic conditional coverage under mild consistency conditions. Experiments on diverse synthetic and real-world benchmarks demonstrate better conditional calibration and substantially shorter intervals than existing methods.

stat.ML↗

arXiv2025

Nonparametric Estimation of Conditional Survival Function with Time-Varying Covariates Using DeepONet

Traditional survival models often rely on restrictive assumptions such as proportional hazards or instantaneous effects of time-varying covariates on the hazard function, which limit their applicability in real-world settings. We consider the nonparametric estimation of the conditional survival function, which leverages the flexibility of neural networks to capture the complex, potentially long-term non-instantaneous effects of time-varying covariates. In this work, we use Deep Operator Networks (DeepONet), a deep learning architecture designed for operator learning, to model the arbitrary effects of both time-varying and time-invariant covariates. Specifically, our method relaxes commonly used assumptions in hazard regressions by modeling the conditional hazard function as an unknown nonlinear operator of entire histories of time-varying covariates. The estimation is based on a loss function constructed from the nonparametric full likelihood for censored survival data. Simulation studies demonstrate that our method performs well, whereas the Cox model yields biased results when the assumption of instantaneous time-varying covariate effects is violated. We further illustrate its utility with the ADNI data, for which it yields a lower integrated Brier score than the Cox model.

stat.ME↗

arXiv2025

Regression for Left-Truncated and Right-Censored Data: A Semiparametric Sieve Likelihood Approach

Cohort studies of the onset of a disease often encounter left-truncation on the event time of interest in addition to right-censoring due to variable enrollment times of study participants. Analysis of such event time data can be biased if left-truncation is not handled properly. We propose a semiparametric sieve likelihood approach for fitting a linear regression model to data where the response variable is subject to both left-truncation and right-censoring. We show that the estimators of regression coefficients are consistent, asymptotically normal and semiparametrically efficient. Extensive simulation studies show the effectiveness of the method across a wide variety of error distributions. We further illustrate the method by analyzing a dataset from The 90+ Study for aging and dementia.

stat.ME↗

arXiv2024

Region Feature Descriptor Adapted to High Affine Transformations

To address the issue of feature descriptors being ineffective in representing grayscale feature information when images undergo high affine transformations, leading to a rapid decline in feature matching accuracy, this paper proposes a region feature descriptor based on simulating affine transformations using classification. The proposed method initially categorizes images with different affine degrees to simulate affine transformations and generate a new set of images. Subsequently, it calculates neighborhood information for feature points on this new image set. Finally, the descriptor is generated by combining the grayscale histogram of the maximum stable extremal region to which the feature point belongs and the normalized position relative to the grayscale centroid of the feature point's region. Experimental results, comparing feature matching metrics under affine transformation scenarios, demonstrate that the proposed descriptor exhibits higher precision and robustness compared to existing classical descriptors. Additionally, it shows robustness when integrated with other descriptors.

cs.CV↗

arXiv2024

A Robust Error-Resistant View Selection Method for 3D Reconstruction

To address the issue of increased triangulation uncertainty caused by selecting views with small camera baselines in Structure from Motion (SFM) view selection, this paper proposes a robust error-resistant view selection method. The method utilizes a triangulation-based computation to obtain an error-resistant model, which is then used to construct an error-resistant matrix. The sorting results of each row in the error-resistant matrix determine the candidate view set for each view. By traversing the candidate view sets of all views and completing the missing views based on the error-resistant matrix, the integrity of 3D reconstruction is ensured. Experimental comparisons between this method and the exhaustive method with the highest accuracy in the COLMAP program are conducted in terms of average reprojection error and absolute trajectory error in the reconstruction results. The proposed method demonstrates an average reduction of 29.40% in reprojection error accuracy and 5.07% in absolute trajectory error on the TUM dataset and DTU dataset.

cs.CV↗

arXiv2023

Debiased Lasso After Sample Splitting for Estimation and Inference in High Dimensional Generalized Linear Models

We consider random sample splitting for estimation and inference in high dimensional generalized linear models, where we first apply the lasso to select a submodel using one subsample and then apply the debiased lasso to fit the selected model using the remaining subsample. We show that, no matter including a prespecified subset of regression coefficients or not, the debiased lasso estimation of the selected submodel after a single splitting follows a normal distribution asymptotically. Furthermore, for a set of prespecified regression coefficients, we show that a multiple splitting procedure based on the debiased lasso can address the loss of efficiency associated with sample splitting and produce asymptotically normal estimates under mild conditions. Our simulation results indicate that using the debiased lasso instead of the standard maximum likelihood estimator in the estimation stage can vastly reduce the bias and variance of the resulting estimates. We illustrate the proposed multiple splitting debiased lasso method with an analysis of the smoking data of the Mid-South Tobacco Case-Control Study.

stat.ME↗

arXiv2022

De-biased lasso for stratified Cox models with application to the national kidney transplant data

The Scientific Registry of Transplant Recipients (SRTR) system has become a rich resource for understanding the complex mechanisms of graft failure after kidney transplant, a crucial step for allocating organs effectively and implementing appropriate care. As transplant centers that treated patients might strongly confound graft failures, Cox models stratified by centers can eliminate their confounding effects. Also, since recipient age is a proven non-modifiable risk factor, a common practice is to fit models separately by recipient age groups. The moderate sample sizes, relative to the number of covariates, in some age groups may lead to biased maximum stratified partial likelihood estimates and unreliable confidence intervals even when samples still outnumber covariates. To draw reliable inference on a comprehensive list of risk factors measured from both donors and recipients in SRTR, we propose a de-biased lasso approach via quadratic programming for fitting stratified Cox models. We establish asymptotic properties and verify via simulations that our method produces consistent estimates and confidence intervals with nominal coverage probabilities. Accounting for nearly 100 confounders in SRTR, the de-biased method detects that the graft failure hazard nonlinearly increases with donor's age among all recipient age groups, and that organs from older donors more adversely impact the younger recipients. Our method also delineates the associations between graft failure and many risk factors such as recipients' primary diagnoses (e.g. polycystic disease, glomerular disease, and diabetes) and donor-recipient mismatches for human leukocyte antigen loci across recipient age groups. These results may inform the refinement of donor-recipient matching criteria for stakeholders.

stat.ME↗

arXiv2022

Conditional Distribution Function Estimation Using Neural Networks for Censored and Uncensored Data

Most work in neural networks focuses on estimating the conditional mean of a continuous response variable given a set of covariates.In this article, we consider estimating the conditional distribution function using neural networks for both censored and uncensored data. The algorithm is built upon the data structure particularly constructed for the Cox regression with time-dependent covariates. Without imposing any model assumption, we consider a loss function that is based on the full likelihood where the conditional hazard function is the only unknown nonparametric parameter, for which unconstraint optimization methods can be applied. Through simulation studies, we show the proposed method possesses desirable performance, whereas the partial likelihood method and the traditional neural networks with $L_2$ loss yield biased estimates when model assumptions are violated. We further illustrate the proposed method with several real-world data sets. The implementation of the proposed methods is made available at https://github.com/bingqing0729/NNCDE.

stat.ME↗

arXiv2021

De-biased Lasso for Generalized Linear Models with A Diverging Number of Covariates

Modeling and drawing inference on the joint associations between single nucleotide polymorphisms and a disease has sparked interest in genome-wide associations studies. In the motivating Boston Lung Cancer Survival Cohort (BLCSC) data, the presence of a large number of single nucleotide polymorphisms of interest, though smaller than the sample size, challenges inference on their joint associations with the disease outcome. In similar settings, we find that neither the de-biased lasso approach (van de Geer et al. 2014), which assumes sparsity on the inverse information matrix, nor the standard maximum likelihood method can yield confidence intervals with satisfactory coverage probabilities for generalized linear models. Under this "large $n$, diverging $p$" scenario, we propose an alternative de-biased lasso approach by directly inverting the Hessian matrix without imposing the matrix sparsity assumption, which further reduces bias compared to the original de-biased lasso and ensures valid confidence intervals with nominal coverage probabilities. We establish the asymptotic distributions of any linear combinations of the parameter estimates, which lays the theoretical ground for drawing inference. Simulations show that the proposed refined de-biased estimating method performs well in removing bias and yields honest confidence interval coverage. We use the proposed method to analyze the aforementioned BLCSC data, a large scale hospital-based epidemiology cohort study, that investigates the joint effects of genetic variants on lung cancer risks.

stat.ME↗

arXiv2021

Kernel estimation of bivariate time-varying coefficient model for longitudinal data with terminal event

We propose a nonparametric bivariate time-varying coefficient model for longitudinal measurements with the occurrence of a terminal event that is subject to right censoring. The time-varying coefficients capture the longitudinal trajectories of covariate effects along with both the followup time and the residual lifetime. The proposed model extends the parametric conditional approach given terminal event time in recent literature, and thus avoids potential model misspecification. We consider a kernel smoothing method for estimating regression coefficients in our model and use cross-validation for bandwidth selection, applying undersmoothing in the final analysis to eliminate the asymptotic bias of the kernel estimator. We show that the kernel estimates are asymptotically normal under mild regularity conditions, and provide an easily computable sandwich variance estimator. We conduct extensive simulations that show desirable performance of the proposed approach, and apply the method to analyzing the medical cost data for patients with end-stage renal disease.

stat.ME↗

arXiv2021

Statistical Inference for Cox Proportional Hazards Models with a Diverging Number of Covariates

For statistical inference on regression models with a diverging number of covariates, the existing literature typically makes sparsity assumptions on the inverse of the Fisher information matrix. Such assumptions, however, are often violated under Cox proportion hazards models, leading to biased estimates with under-coverage confidence intervals. We propose a modified debiased lasso approach, which solves a series of quadratic programming problems to approximate the inverse information matrix without posing sparse matrix assumptions. We establish asymptotic results for the estimated regression coefficients when the dimension of covariates diverges with the sample size. As demonstrated by extensive simulations, our proposed method provides consistent estimates and confidence intervals with nominal coverage probabilities. The utility of the method is further demonstrated by assessing the effects of genetic markers on patients' overall survival with the Boston Lung Cancer Survival Cohort, a large-scale epidemiology study investigating mechanisms underlying the lung cancer.

stat.ME↗

arXiv2020

A Revisit to De-biased Lasso for Generalized Linear Models

De-biased lasso has emerged as a popular tool to draw statistical inference for high-dimensional regression models. However, simulations indicate that for generalized linear models (GLMs), de-biased lasso inadequately removes biases and yields unreliable confidence intervals. This motivates us to scrutinize the application of de-biased lasso in high-dimensional GLMs. When $p >n$, we detect that a key sparsity condition on the inverse information matrix generally does not hold in a GLM setting, which likely explains the subpar performance of de-biased lasso. Even in a less challenging "large $n$, diverging $p$" scenario, we find that de-biased lasso and the maximum likelihood method often yield confidence intervals with unsatisfactory coverage probabilities. In this scenario, we examine an alternative approach for further bias correction by directly inverting the Hessian matrix without imposing the matrix sparsity assumption. We establish the asymptotic distributions of any linear combinations of the resulting estimates, which lay the theoretical groundwork for drawing inference. Simulations show that this refined de-biased estimator performs well in removing biases and yields an honest confidence interval coverage. We illustrate the method by analyzing a prospective hospital-based Boston Lung Cancer Study, a large scale epidemiology cohort investigating the joint effects of genetic variants on lung cancer risk.

stat.ME↗

arXiv2017

Estimation of Large Covariance and Precision Matrices from Temporally Dependent Observations

We consider the estimation of large covariance and precision matrices from high-dimensional sub-Gaussian or heavier-tailed observations with slowly decaying temporal dependence. The temporal dependence is allowed to be long-range so with longer memory than those considered in the current literature. We show that several commonly used methods for independent observations can be applied to the temporally dependent data. In particular, the rates of convergence are obtained for the generalized thresholding estimation of covariance and correlation matrices, and for the constrained $\ell_1$ minimization and the $\ell_1$ penalized likelihood estimation of precision matrix. Properties of sparsistency and sign-consistency are also established. A gap-block cross-validation method is proposed for the tuning parameter selection, which performs well in simulations. As a motivating example, we study the brain functional connectivity using resting-state fMRI time series data with long-range temporal dependence.

math.ST↗

arXiv2016

Multiple Testing for Neuroimaging via Hidden Markov Random Field

Traditional voxel-level multiple testing procedures in neuroimaging, mostly $p$-value based, often ignore the spatial correlations among neighboring voxels and thus suffer from substantial loss of power. We extend the local-significance-index based procedure originally developed for the hidden Markov chain models, which aims to minimize the false nondiscovery rate subject to a constraint on the false discovery rate, to three-dimensional neuroimaging data using a hidden Markov random field model. A generalized expectation-maximization algorithm for maximizing the penalized likelihood is proposed for estimating the model parameters. Extensive simulations show that the proposed approach is more powerful than conventional false discovery rate procedures. We apply the method to the comparison between mild cognitive impairment, a disease status with increased risk of developing Alzheimer's or another dementia, and normal controls in the FDG-PET imaging study of the Alzheimer's Disease Neuroimaging Initiative.

stat.AP↗

arXiv2014

Semiparametric Approach for Regression with Covariate Subject to Limit of Detection

We consider generalized linear regression analysis with left-censored covariate due to the lower limit of detection. Complete case analysis by eliminating observations with values below limit of detection yields valid estimates for regression coefficients, but loses efficiency; substitution methods are biased; maximum likelihood method relies on parametric models for the unobservable tail probability distribution of such covariate, thus may suffer from model misspecification. To obtain robust and more efficient results, we propose a semiparametric likelihood-based approach for the estimation of regression parameters using an accelerated failure time model for the covariate subject to limit of detection. A two-stage estimation procedure is considered, where the conditional distribution of the covariate with limit of detection given other variables is estimated prior to maximizing the likelihood function. The proposed method outperforms the complete case analysis and the substitution methods as well in simulation studies. Technical conditions for desirable asymptotic properties are provided.

stat.ME↗

arXiv2014

Regularized 3D functional regression for brain image data via Haar wavelets

The primary motivation and application in this article come from brain imaging studies on cognitive impairment in elderly subjects with brain disorders. We propose a regularized Haar wavelet-based approach for the analysis of three-dimensional brain image data in the framework of functional data analysis, which automatically takes into account the spatial information among neighboring voxels. We conduct extensive simulation studies to evaluate the prediction performance of the proposed approach and its ability to identify related regions to the outcome of interest, with the underlying assumption that only few relatively small subregions are truly predictive of the outcome of interest. We then apply the proposed approach to searching for brain subregions that are associated with cognition using PET images of patients with Alzheimer's disease, patients with mild cognitive impairment and normal controls.

stat.AP↗

arXiv2013

Estimating mean survival time: when is it possible?

For right censored survival data, it is well known that the mean survival time can be consistently estimated when the support of the censoring time contains the support of the survival time. In practice, however, this condition can be easily violated because the follow-up of a study is usually within a finite window. In this article we show that the mean survival time is still estimable from a linear model when the support of some covariate(s) with nonzero coefficient(s) is unbounded regardless of the length of follow-up. This implies that the mean survival time can be well estimated when the covariate range is wide in practice. The theoretical finding is further verified for finite samples by simulation studies. Simulations also show that, when both models are correctly specified, the linear model yields reasonable mean square prediction errors and outperforms the Cox model, particularly with heavy censoring and short follow-up time.

math.ST↗