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Bonny Y. Wang

Publications and source records attributed to Bonny Y. Wang.

11 recordsLinked to original sources

Cluster Mass Inference from Galaxy Kinematics

The masses of galaxy clusters carry cosmological and astrophysical information. We develop a simulation-based inference pipeline to infer cluster masses from full projected phase-space information of member and interloper galaxies. Our method combines a permutation-invariant Deep Sets architecture with neural posterior estimation using normalizing flows, enabling the recovery of expressive posterior distributions. We train the model to predict residual corrections to the classical $M$--$σ$ relation, thus explicitly isolating information beyond velocity dispersion. Using the Uchuu-UniverseMachine simulation, we evaluate the method under both idealized (interloper-free) and realistic (cylindrical) observational setups. In the idealized case, our model reduces the scatter in mass estimates to as low as $\sim 0.1$ dex, representing a twofold improvement over the traditional $M$--$σ$ relation. In the cylindrical setup, we achieve comparable performance at the high-mass end ($> 10^{14.5}\,M_\odot/h$), demonstrating robustness against interloper contamination. We demonstrate that set-based simulation-driven inference provides a powerful and flexible framework for galaxy cluster mass estimation, enabling improved accuracy and reliable uncertainty characterization for upcoming large-scale surveys. Our model saturates the kinematic information content and thus suggests a baseline for future studies.

astro-ph.CO↗

The DREAMS Project: Disentangling the Impact of Halo-to-Halo Variance and Baryonic Feedback on Milky Way Dark Matter Speed Distributions

Direct detection experiments require information about the local dark matter speed distribution to produce constraints on dark matter candidates, or infer their properties in the event of a discovery. In this paper, we analyze how the uncertainty in the dark matter speed distribution near the Sun is affected by baryonic feedback, halo-to-halo variance, and halo mass. To do so, we harness the statistical power of the new DREAMS Cold Dark Matter simulation suite, which is comprised of 1024 zoom-in Milky Way-mass halos with varied initial conditions as well as cosmological and astrophysical parameters. Applying a normalizing flows emulator to these simulations, we find that the uncertainty in the local DM speed distribution is dominated by halo-to-halo variance and, to a lesser extent, uncertainty in host halo mass. Uncertainties in supernova and black hole feedback (from the IllustrisTNG model in this case) are negligible in comparison. Using the DREAMS suite, we present a state-of-the-art prediction for the DM speed distribution in the Milky Way. Although the Standard Halo Model is contained within the uncertainty of this prediction, individual galaxies may have distributions that differ from it. Lastly, we apply our DREAMS results to the XENON1T experiment and demonstrate that the astrophysical uncertainties are comparable to the experimental ones, solidifying previous results in the literature obtained with a smaller sample of simulated Milky Way-mass halos.

astro-ph.GA↗

The DREAMS Project: A New Suite of 1,024 Simulations to Contextualize the Milky Way and Assess Physics Uncertainties

We introduce a new suite of 1,024 cosmological and hydrodynamical zoom-in simulations of Milky Way-mass halos, run with Cold Dark Matter, as part of the DREAMS Project. Each simulation in the suite has a unique set of initial conditions and combination of cosmological and astrophysical parameters. The suite is designed to quantify theoretical uncertainties from halo-to-halo variance, as well as stellar and black hole feedback. We develop a novel weighting scheme that prioritizes regions of the input parameter space, yielding galaxies consistent with the observed present-day stellar mass--halo mass relation. The resulting galaxy population exhibits a wide diversity in structural properties that encompasses those of the actual Milky Way, providing a powerful statistical sample for galactic archaeology. To demonstrate the suite's scientific utility, we investigate the connection between a galaxy's merger history, focusing on Gaia-Sausage-Enceladus~(GSE) analogs, and its present-day properties. We find that galaxies with a GSE analog have lower star formation rates, more compact disks, and more spherical stellar halos. Crucially, significant halo-to-halo scatter remains, demonstrating that matching more than the most significant events in the Milky Way's past is necessary to recover its present-day properties. Our results highlight the necessity for large statistical samples to disentangle the stochastic nature of galaxy formation and robustly model the Milky Way's unique history.

astro-ph.GA↗

Gravitational Waves from Massive Black Hole Mergers in ASTRID: Predictions for LISA

We use the ASTRID cosmological simulation to forecast massive black hole (MBH) mergers detectable by Laser Interferometer Space Antenna (LISA) down to $z=0$. ASTRID directly models MBH dynamical friction, allowing a realistic tracking of their trajectory. It also incorporates relatively low-mass MBH seeds down to $5\times10^{4} M_{\odot}$, providing a more complete picture of LISA MBH mergers. We find that LISA MBH mergers initially have high eccentricities, peaking around $e_0 = 0.8$ across all redshifts. Accounting for this boosts the event rate from 5.6 yr$^{-1}$ (if circular orbits are assumed) to 10.5 yr$^{-1}$. This enhancement is largely due to additional inspiral sources that will coalesce after LISA's observation, which constitute $46\%$ of detected events.This underscores the importance of LISA's sensitivity to the early inspiral phase, especially for eccentric binaries that emit gravitational waves across a wider frequency band. Most LISA events in ASTRID arise from $M_{\mathrm{BH}}\sim10^{5-6}\ M_\odot$, low-redshift ($z<2$) and low mass-ratio ($q\sim0.01$-$0.1$) mergers. Accounting for eccentricity broadens the detectable MBH mass range up to $10^{9} M_\odot$ and shifts the peak of detectable mergers to a lower redshift $z_{\rm peak}=0.8$. This implies that the most massive LISA events may also be PTA sources. We predict LISA events to be in various galaxy environments, including many low-mass satellite galaxies. The electromagnetic (EM) counterparts of most LISA sources have active galactic nuclei (AGN) luminosities $L_{\rm bol}>10^{42}$ erg s$^{-1}$, albeit only $1\%$ with $>10^{44}$ erg s$^{-1}$. The brightest AGN are those associated with the rare LISA/PTA events with $M_{\rm BH}>10^{8} M_\odot$.

astro-ph.GA↗

The Denario project: Deep knowledge AI agents for scientific discovery

We present Denario, an AI multi-agent system designed to serve as a scientific research assistant. Denario can perform many different tasks, such as generating ideas, checking the literature, developing research plans, writing and executing code, making plots, and drafting and reviewing a scientific paper. The system has a modular architecture, allowing it to handle specific tasks, such as generating an idea, or carrying out end-to-end scientific analysis using Cmbagent as a deep-research backend. In this work, we describe in detail Denario and its modules, and illustrate its capabilities by presenting multiple AI-generated papers generated by it in many different scientific disciplines such as astrophysics, biology, biophysics, biomedical informatics, chemistry, material science, mathematical physics, medicine, neuroscience and planetary science. Denario also excels at combining ideas from different disciplines, and we illustrate this by showing a paper that applies methods from quantum physics and machine learning to astrophysical data. We report the evaluations performed on these papers by domain experts, who provided both numerical scores and review-like feedback. We then highlight the strengths, weaknesses, and limitations of the current system. Finally, we discuss the ethical implications of AI-driven research and reflect on how such technology relates to the philosophy of science. We publicly release the code at https://github.com/AstroPilot-AI/Denario. A Denario demo can also be run directly on the web at https://huggingface.co/spaces/astropilot-ai/Denario, and the full app will be deployed on the cloud.

cs.AI↗

On the sensitivity of different galaxy properties to warm dark matter

We study the impact of warm dark matter (WDM) particle mass on galaxy properties using 1,024 state-of-the-art cosmological hydrodynamical simulations from the DREAMS project. We begin by using a Multilayer Perceptron (MLP) coupled with a normalizing flow to explore global statistical descriptors of galaxy populations, such as the mean, standard deviation, and histograms of 14 galaxy properties. We find that subhalo gas mass is the most informative feature for constraining the WDM mass, achieving a determination coefficient of R^2 = 0.9. We employ symbolic regression to extract simple, interpretable relations with the WDM particle mass. Finally, we adopt a more localized approach by selecting individual dark matter halos and using a Graph Neural Network (GNN) with a normalizing flow to infer the WDM mass, incorporating subhalo properties as node features and global simulation statistics as graph-level features. The GNN approach yields only a residual improvement over MLP models based solely on global features, indicating that most of the predictive power resides in the global descriptors, with only marginal gains from halo-level information.

astro-ph.CO↗

Set-based Implicit Likelihood Inference of Galaxy Cluster Mass

We present a set-based machine learning framework that infers posterior distributions of galaxy cluster masses from projected galaxy dynamics. Our model combines Deep Sets and conditional normalizing flows to incorporate both positional and velocity information of member galaxies to predict residual corrections to the $M$-$σ$ relation for improved interpretability. Trained on the Uchuu-UniverseMachine simulation, our approach significantly reduces scatter and provides well-calibrated uncertainties across the full mass range compared to traditional dynamical estimates.

cs.LG↗

Confined tumbling state as the origin of the excess of slowly rotating asteroids

The rotational distribution of asteroids as a function of their size is used {as a diagnostic of} their physical properties and evolution. Recent photometric surveys from the Gaia mission, allowing observation of asteroids with long spin periods (for example $\geq 24$h), found an excessive group of slow rotators and a gap separating them from faster rotators, which is unexplained by current theories. Here we developed an asteroid rotational evolution model capable of reproducing the observed distribution. {We suggest that this distribution is regulated by the competition between collisions and internal friction dampening of "tumblers" -asteroids with unstable rotation vectors, and that the slow rotator group is mainly populated by tumblers.} {We constrain the product of the rigidity and quality factor, which relates to the body's viscosity, to $μQ \sim 4 \times 10^9~$Pa. This number, two orders of magnitude smaller than the one assumed for monolithic boulders,} implies that {rubble pile} asteroids could have a porous structure or a thick regolith layer, and undergo stronger tidal effects.

astro-ph.EP↗

Cosmology from one galaxy in a void?

Understanding galaxy properties may be the key to unlocking some of the most intriguing mysteries of modern cosmology. Recent work relied on machine learning to extract cosmological constraints on $Ω_\mathrm{m}$ using only one galaxy. But if this is true, how should we select the galaxy to use for cosmology inference? In this paper, we consider selecting a galaxy that lies in cosmic voids, the underdense regions of the cosmic web, and compare the constraints obtained with the ones obtained when randomly selecting a galaxy in the whole sample. We use the IllustrisTNG galaxy catalog from the CAMELS project and the VIDE void finder to identify galaxies inside voids. We show that void galaxies provide stronger constraints on $Ω_\mathrm{m}$ compared to randomly selected galaxies. This result suggests that the distinctive characteristics of void galaxies may provide a cleaner and more effective environment for extracting cosmological information.

astro-ph.CO↗

Introducing the DREAMS Project: DaRk mattEr and Astrophysics with Machine learning and Simulations

We introduce the DREAMS project, an innovative approach to understanding the astrophysical implications of alternative dark matter models and their effects on galaxy formation and evolution. The DREAMS project will ultimately comprise thousands of cosmological hydrodynamic simulations that simultaneously vary over dark matter physics, astrophysics, and cosmology in modeling a range of systems -- from galaxy clusters to ultra-faint satellites. Such extensive simulation suites can provide adequate training sets for machine-learning-based analyses. This paper introduces two new cosmological hydrodynamical suites of Warm Dark Matter, each comprised of 1024 simulations generated using the Arepo code. One suite consists of uniform-box simulations covering a $(25~h^{-1}~{\rm M}_\odot)^3$ volume, while the other consists of Milky Way zoom-ins with sufficient resolution to capture the properties of classical satellites. For each simulation, the Warm Dark Matter particle mass is varied along with the initial density field and several parameters controlling the strength of baryonic feedback within the IllustrisTNG model. We provide two examples, separately utilizing emulators and Convolutional Neural Networks, to demonstrate how such simulation suites can be used to disentangle the effects of dark matter and baryonic physics on galactic properties. The DREAMS project can be extended further to include different dark matter models, galaxy formation physics, and astrophysical targets. In this way, it will provide an unparalleled opportunity to characterize uncertainties on predictions for small-scale observables, leading to robust predictions for testing the particle physics nature of dark matter on these scales.

astro-ph.GA↗

Machine-learning cosmology from void properties

Cosmic voids are the largest and most underdense structures in the Universe. Their properties have been shown to encode precious information about the laws and constituents of the Universe. We show that machine learning techniques can unlock the information in void features for cosmological parameter inference. We rely on thousands of void catalogs from the GIGANTES dataset, where every catalog contains an average of 11,000 voids from a volume of $1~(h^{-1}{\rm Gpc})^3$. We focus on three properties of cosmic voids: ellipticity, density contrast, and radius. We train 1) fully connected neural networks on histograms from individual void properties and 2) deep sets from void catalogs, to perform likelihood-free inference on the value of cosmological parameters. We find that our best models are able to constrain the value of $Ω_{\rm m}$, $σ_8$, and $n_s$ with mean relative errors of $10\%$, $4\%$, and $3\%$, respectively, without using any spatial information from the void catalogs. Our results provide an illustration for the use of machine learning to constrain cosmology with voids.

astro-ph.CO↗