arXiv subjects

Bradley Eck

Publications and source records attributed to Bradley Eck.

11 recordsLinked to original sources

arXiv2026

Optimal Transport for Efficient, Unsupervised Anomaly Detection on Industrial Data

Effective anomaly detection frameworks are a central pillar of the Industry 4.0 paradigm. In this paper, we introduce an Optimal Transport (OT)-based framework for anomaly detection, designed to detect deviations from normal behaviour in time-series sensor data. The OT-based method requires minimal user input and adapts to real-time data without the need for labelled training data. Our method effectively addresses existing limitations related to data labelling, generalisability, and scalability, demonstrating resilience against short-term fluctuations, noise, and data gaps - common challenges in industrial environments. Additionally, our method provides counterfactual explanations improving the auditability of the approach when deployed in industrial settings. The proposed method learns the mapping between normal and observed operating conditions through a sliding reference window that adapts to the dynamicity of the data. We evaluate our approach on three industrial datasets, from shipping, industrial HVAC systems, and publicly available benchmark data. The method was highly effective in identifying anomalies and reducing false positives, outperforming traditional methods, while maintaining computational efficiency and ease of configuration.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2026

PRIM: Meta-Learned Bayesian Root Cause Analysis

Root cause analysis (RCA) in complex systems is challenging due to error propagation across multiple variables, the need for structural causal knowledge, and the computational cost of inference at test time. We introduce PRIM (Prior-fitted Root cause Identification with Meta-learning), a causal meta-learning approach that frames RCA as a Bayesian inference task over a synthetic prior of causal models. By marginalising out structural uncertainty, PRIM implicitly identifies changes in the data-generating mechanism between baseline and anomalous periods. In doing so, PRIM infers distributional differences without explicit statistical testing, and implicitly learns causal structure without model fitting at test time. Following the simulation-based meta-learning paradigm of prior-fitted networks, PRIM uses a Model-Averaged Causal Estimation (MACE) transformer neural process that jointly attends over observational and anomalous samples and the causal structure of nodes, enabling zero-shot inference in 17,ms for systems with up to 100 variables. Across synthetic benchmarks and two realistic benchmark datasets, PetShop and CausRCA, PRIM is competitive with methods that are aware of the system's causal graphical structure a priori while outperforming graph-unaware methods on several tasks. Lightweight fine-tuning to specific domains and data dynamics improves performance further.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2025

From Documents to Database: Failure Modes for Industrial Assets

We propose an interactive system using foundation models and user-provided technical documents to generate Failure Mode and Effects Analyses (FMEA) for industrial equipment. Our system aggregates unstructured content across documents to generate an FMEA and stores it in a relational database. Leveraging this tool, the time required for creation of this knowledge-intensive content is reduced, outperforming traditional manual approaches. This demonstration showcases the potential of foundation models to facilitate the creation of specialized structured content for enterprise asset management systems.

cs.DB↗

arXiv2024

FMEA Builder: Expert Guided Text Generation for Equipment Maintenance

Foundation models show great promise for generative tasks in many domains. Here we discuss the use of foundation models to generate structured documents related to critical assets. A Failure Mode and Effects Analysis (FMEA) captures the composition of an asset or piece of equipment, the ways it may fail and the consequences thereof. Our system uses large language models to enable fast and expert supervised generation of new FMEA documents. Empirical analysis shows that foundation models can correctly generate over half of an FMEA's key content. Results from polling audiences of reliability professionals show a positive outlook on using generative AI to create these documents for critical assets.

cs.CL↗

arXiv2023

Two-sample KS test with approxQuantile in Apache Spark

The classical two-sample test of Kolmogorov-Smirnov (KS) is widely used to test whether empirical samples come from the same distribution. Even though most statistical packages provide an implementation, carrying out the test in big data settings can be challenging because it requires a full sort of the data. The popular Apache Spark system for big data processing provides a 1-sample KS test, but not the 2-sample version. Moreover, recent Spark versions provide the approxQuantile method for querying $ε$-approximate quantiles. We build on approxQuantile to propose a variation of the classical Kolmogorov-Smirnov two-sample test that constructs approximate cumulative distribution functions (CDF) from $ε$-approximate quantiles. We derive error bounds of the approximate CDF and show how to use this information to carry out KS tests. Psuedocode for the approach requires 15 executable lines. A Python implementation appears in the appendix.

stat.CO↗

arXiv2023

What Makes a Good Dataset for Symbol Description Reading?

The usage of mathematical formulas as concise representations of a document's key ideas is common practice. Correctly interpreting these formulas, by identifying mathematical symbols and extracting their descriptions, is an important task in document understanding. This paper makes the following contributions to the mathematical identifier description reading (MIDR) task: (i) introduces the Math Formula Question Answering Dataset (MFQuAD) with $7508$ annotated identifier occurrences; (ii) describes novel variations of the noun phrase ranking approach for the MIDR task; (iii) reports experimental results for the SOTA noun phrase ranking approach and our novel variations of the approach, providing problem insights and a performance baseline; (iv) provides a position on the features that make an effective dataset for the MIDR task.

cs.CL↗

arXiv2022

A monitoring framework for deployed machine learning models with supply chain examples

Actively monitoring machine learning models during production operations helps ensure prediction quality and detection and remediation of unexpected or undesired conditions. Monitoring models already deployed in big data environments brings the additional challenges of adding monitoring in parallel to the existing modelling workflow and controlling resource requirements. In this paper, we describe (1) a framework for monitoring machine learning models; and, (2) its implementation for a big data supply chain application. We use our implementation to study drift in model features, predictions, and performance on three real data sets. We compare hypothesis test and information theoretic approaches to drift detection in features and predictions using the Kolmogorov-Smirnov distance and Bhattacharyya coefficient. Results showed that model performance was stable over the evaluation period. Features and predictions showed statistically significant drifts; however, these drifts were not linked to changes in model performance during the time of our study.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2021

Knowledge- and Data-driven Services for Energy Systems using Graph Neural Networks

The transition away from carbon-based energy sources poses several challenges for the operation of electricity distribution systems. Increasing shares of distributed energy resources (e.g. renewable energy generators, electric vehicles) and internet-connected sensing and control devices (e.g. smart heating and cooling) require new tools to support accurate, datadriven decision making. Modelling the effect of such growing complexity in the electrical grid is possible in principle using state-of-the-art power-power flow models. In practice, the detailed information needed for these physical simulations may be unknown or prohibitively expensive to obtain. Hence, datadriven approaches to power systems modelling, including feedforward neural networks and auto-encoders, have been studied to leverage the increasing availability of sensor data, but have seen limited practical adoption due to lack of transparency and inefficiencies on large-scale problems. Our work addresses this gap by proposing a data- and knowledge-driven probabilistic graphical model for energy systems based on the framework of graph neural networks (GNNs). The model can explicitly factor in domain knowledge, in the form of grid topology or physics constraints, thus resulting in sparser architectures and much smaller parameters dimensionality when compared with traditional machine-learning models with similar accuracy. Results obtained from a real-world smart-grid demonstration project show how the GNN was used to inform grid congestion predictions and market bidding services for a distribution system operator participating in an energy flexibility market.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2020

Scalable Deployment of AI Time-series Models for IoT

IBM Research Castor, a cloud-native system for managing and deploying large numbers of AI time-series models in IoT applications, is described. Modelling code templates, in Python and R, following a typical machine-learning workflow are supported. A knowledge-based approach to managing model and time-series data allows the use of general semantic concepts for expressing feature engineering tasks. Model templates can be programmatically deployed against specific instances of semantic concepts, thus supporting model reuse and automated replication as the IoT application grows. Deployed models are automatically executed in parallel leveraging a serverless cloud computing framework. The complete history of trained model versions and rolling-horizon predictions is persisted, thus enabling full model lineage and traceability. Results from deployments in real-world smart-grid live forecasting applications are reported. Scalability of executing up to tens of thousands of AI modelling tasks is also evaluated.

cs.DC↗

arXiv2019

AI Modelling and Time-series Forecasting Systems for Trading Energy Flexibility in Distribution Grids

We demonstrate progress on the deployment of two sets of technologies to support distribution grid operators integrating high shares of renewable energy sources, based on a market for trading local energy flexibilities. An artificial-intelligence (AI) grid modelling tool, based on probabilistic graphs, predicts congestions and estimates the amount and location of energy flexibility required to avoid such events. A scalable time-series forecasting system delivers large numbers of short-term predictions of distributed energy demand and generation. We discuss the deployment of the technologies at three trial demonstration sites across Europe, in the context of a research project carried out in a consortium with energy utilities, technology providers and research institutions.

eess.SP↗

arXiv2019

Castor: Contextual IoT Time Series Data and Model Management at Scale

We demonstrate Castor, a cloud-based system for contextual IoT time series data and model management at scale. Castor is designed to assist Data Scientists in (a) exploring and retrieving all relevant time series and contextual information that is required for their predictive modelling tasks; (b) seamlessly storing and deploying their predictive models in a cloud production environment; (c) monitoring the performance of all predictive models in production and (semi-)automatically retraining them in case of performance deterioration. The main features of Castor are: (1) an efficient pipeline for ingesting IoT time series data in real time; (2) a scalable, hybrid data management service for both time series and contextual data; (3) a versatile semantic model for contextual information which can be easily adopted to different application domains; (4) an abstract framework for developing and storing predictive models in R or Python; (5) deployment services which automatically train and/or score predictive models upon user-defined conditions. We demonstrate Castor for a real-world Smart Grid use case and discuss how it can be adopted to other application domains such as Smart Buildings, Telecommunication, Retail or Manufacturing.

stat.CO↗