arXiv subjects

Braghadeesh Lakshminarayanan

Publications and source records attributed to Braghadeesh Lakshminarayanan.

10 recordsLinked to original sources

arXiv2026

Fine Tuning a Simulation-Driven Estimator

Many industries now deploy high-fidelity simulators (digital twins) to represent physical systems, yet their parameters must be calibrated to match the true system. This motivated the construction of simulation-driven parameter estimators, built by generating synthetic observations for sampled parameter values and learning a supervised mapping from observations to parameters. However, when the true parameters lie outside the sampled range, predictions suffer from an out-of-distribution (OOD) error. This paper introduces a fine-tuning approach for the Two-Stage estimator that mitigates OOD effects and improves accuracy. The effectiveness of the proposed method is verified through numerical simulations.

eess.SY↗

arXiv2025

Gain-Scheduled Data-Enabled Predictive Control: A DeePC Approach for Nonlinear Systems

Model predictive control is a well established control technology for trajectory tracking. Its use requires the availability of an accurate model of the plant, but obtaining such a model is often time consuming and costly. Data-Enabled Predictive Control (DeePC) addresses this shortcoming in the linear time-invariant setting, by skipping the model building step and instead relying directly on input-output data. Unfortunately, many real systems are nonlinear and exhibit strong operating-point dependence. Building on classical linear parameter-varying control, we introduce DeePC-GS, a gain-scheduled extension of DeePC for unknown, regime-varying systems. The key idea is to allow DeePC to switch between different local Hankel matrices -- selected online via a measurable scheduling variable -- thereby uniting classical gain scheduling tools with identification-free, data-driven MPC. We test the effectiveness of our DeePC-GS formulation on a nonlinear ship-steering benchmark, demonstrating that it outperforms state-of-the-art data-driven MPC while maintaining tractable computation.

math.OC↗

arXiv2025

Data-Driven Estimation of Structured Singular Values

Estimating the size of the modeling error is crucial for robust control. Over the years, numerous metrics have been developed to quantify the model error in a control relevant manner. One of the most important such metrics is the structured singular value, as it leads to necessary and sufficient conditions for ensuring stability and robustness in feedback control under structured model uncertainty. Although the computation of the structured singular value is often intractable, lower and upper bounds for it can often be obtained if a model of the system is known. In this paper, we introduce a fully data-driven method to estimate a lower bound for the structured singular value, by conducting experiments on the system and applying power iterations to the collected data. Our numerical simulations demonstrate that this method effectively lower bounds the structured singular value, yielding results comparable to the MATLAB$^©$ Robust Control Toolbox.

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arXiv2025

A Metropolis-Adjusted Langevin Algorithm for Sampling Jeffreys Prior

Inference and estimation are fundamental in statistics, system identification, and machine learning. When prior knowledge about the system is available, Bayesian analysis provides a natural framework for encoding it through a prior distribution. In practice, such knowledge is often too vague to specify a full prior distribution, motivating the use of default 'uninformative' priors that minimize subjective bias. Jeffreys prior is an appealing uninformative prior because: (i) it is invariant under any re-parameterization of the model, (ii) it encodes the intrinsic geometric structure of the parameter space through the Fisher information matrix, which in turn enhances the diversity of parameter samples. Despite these benefits, drawing samples from Jeffreys prior is challenging. In this paper, we develop a general sampling scheme using the Metropolis-Adjusted Langevin Algorithm that enables sampling of parameter values from Jeffreys prior; the method extends naturally to nonlinear state-space models. The resulting samples can be directly used in sampling-based system identification methods and Bayesian experiment design, providing an objective, information-geometric description of parameter uncertainty. Several numerical examples demonstrate the efficiency and accuracy of the proposed scheme.

eess.SY↗

arXiv2025

On Asymptotic Analysis of the Two-Stage Approach: Towards Data-Driven Parameter Estimation

In this paper, we analyze the asymptotic properties of the Two-Stage (TS) estimator -- a simulation-based parameter estimation method that constructs estimators offline from synthetic data. While TS offers significant computational advantages compared to standard approaches to estimation, its statistical properties have not been previously analyzed in the literature. Under simple assumptions, we establish that the TS estimator is strongly consistent and asymptotically normal, providing the first theoretical guarantees for this class of estimators.

eess.SY↗

arXiv2023

Unraveling the Control Engineer's Craft with Neural Networks

Many industrial processes require suitable controllers to meet their performance requirements. More often, a sophisticated digital twin is available, which is a highly complex model that is a virtual representation of a given physical process, whose parameters may not be properly tuned to capture the variations in the physical process. In this paper, we present a sim2real, direct data-driven controller tuning approach, where the digital twin is used to generate input-output data and suitable controllers for several perturbations in its parameters. State-of-the art neural-network architectures are then used to learn the controller tuning rule that maps input-output data onto the controller parameters, based on artificially generated data from perturbed versions of the digital twin. In this way, as far as we are aware, we tackle for the first time the problem of re-calibrating the controller by meta-learning the tuning rule directly from data, thus practically replacing the control engineer with a machine learning model. The benefits of this methodology are illustrated via numerical simulations for several choices of neural-network architectures.

eess.SY↗

arXiv2023

Minimax Two-Stage Gradient Boosting for Parameter Estimation

Parameter estimation is an important sub-field in statistics and system identification. Various methods for parameter estimation have been proposed in the literature, among which the Two-Stage (TS) approach is particularly promising, due to its ease of implementation and reliable estimates. Among the different statistical frameworks used to derive TS estimators, the min-max framework is attractive due to its mild dependence on prior knowledge about the parameters to be estimated. However, the existing implementation of the minimax TS approach has currently limited applicability, due to its heavy computational load. In this paper, we overcome this difficulty by using a gradient boosting machine (GBM) in the second stage of TS approach. We call the resulting algorithm the Two-Stage Gradient Boosting Machine (TSGBM) estimator. Finally, we test our proposed TSGBM estimator on several numerical examples including models of dynamical systems.

stat.ME↗

arXiv2023

Bandit Quickest Changepoint Detection

Many industrial and security applications employ a suite of sensors for detecting abrupt changes in temporal behavior patterns. These abrupt changes typically manifest locally, rendering only a small subset of sensors informative. Continuous monitoring of every sensor can be expensive due to resource constraints, and serves as a motivation for the bandit quickest changepoint detection problem, where sensing actions (or sensors) are sequentially chosen, and only measurements corresponding to chosen actions are observed. We derive an information-theoretic lower bound on the detection delay for a general class of finitely parameterized probability distributions. We then propose a computationally efficient online sensing scheme, which seamlessly balances the need for exploration of different sensing options with exploitation of querying informative actions. We derive expected delay bounds for the proposed scheme and show that these bounds match our information-theoretic lower bounds at low false alarm rates, establishing optimality of the proposed method. We then perform a number of experiments on synthetic and real datasets demonstrating the effectiveness of our proposed method.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2022

A Unified Approach to Differentially Private Bayes Point Estimation

Parameter estimation in statistics and system identification relies on data that may contain sensitive information. To protect this sensitive information, the notion of \emph{differential privacy} (DP) has been proposed, which enforces confidentiality by introducing randomization in the estimates. Standard algorithms for differentially private estimation are based on adding an appropriate amount of noise to the output of a traditional point estimation method. This leads to an accuracy-privacy trade off, as adding more noise reduces the accuracy while increasing privacy. In this paper, we propose a new Unified Bayes Private Point (UBaPP) approach to Bayes point estimation of the unknown parameters of a data generating mechanism under a DP constraint, that achieves a better accuracy-privacy trade off than traditional approaches. We verify the performance of our approach on a simple numerical example.

math.OC↗

arXiv2022

A Statistical Decision-Theoretical Perspective on the Two-Stage Approach to Parameter Estimation

One of the most important problems in system identification and statistics is how to estimate the unknown parameters of a given model. Optimization methods and specialized procedures, such as Empirical Minimization (EM) can be used in case the likelihood function can be computed. For situations where one can only simulate from a parametric model, but the likelihood is difficult or impossible to evaluate, a technique known as the Two-Stage (TS) Approach can be applied to obtain reliable parametric estimates. Unfortunately, there is currently a lack of theoretical justification for TS. In this paper, we propose a statistical decision-theoretical derivation of TS, which leads to Bayesian and Minimax estimators. We also show how to apply the TS approach on models for independent and identically distributed samples, by computing quantiles of the data as a first step, and using a linear function as the second stage. The proposed method is illustrated via numerical simulations.

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