arXiv subjects

Brian Hanley

Publications and source records attributed to Brian Hanley.

5 recordsLinked to original sources

arXiv2026

A Bridge Between Climate Science and Economics: OPTiMEM and the Heat Conjecture for Estimation of Social Cost of Greenhouse Gases

We present an entirely new physics founded approach to estimating the social cost of carbon (SCC). For this, we developed our Ocean-Heat-Content Physics and Time Macro Economic Model (OPTiMEM) to estimate future heat content. The heat conjecture assumes that weather damages curves are stochastically proportional to ocean heat increase. We model carbon combustion, validate to datasets for greenhouse gas (GHG), temperature, and ocean heat content (OHC). We show that the social cost of 4 GHGs: CO2, CH4, N2O and halogenated hydrocarbons, cannot be single values, but must be represented by a kind of economic phase space. We propose very long-term carbon bonds to implement real discounting. This obviates the Gordian knot of the descriptivist versus prescriptivist discount disagreement that is unsolvable. Implementing these bonds leads to a new monitoring metric: real-dollar spending and bond discount rates compared to SC-GHG cost with variation on the discount scale, where the discount has no relationship to the pure rate of time preference (PRTP). This heat conjecture is based on OPTiMEM. OPTiMEM initiates from a fossil fuel consumption function to produce CO2, with 18 scenarios implemented to provide the uncertainty range. We provide 1:N year loss risk models (1:10, 1:100, 1:1000) that government, engineers, and actuaries should find useful. A scenario implementing DICE family of models carbon and growth assumptions shows +18{\deg} C is breached by 2210 CE, and +110{\deg} C by 2300 CE -- both of which outcomes are obviously not compatible with the fairly rosy conclusions of DICE models. Concerns are raised about having enough low-cost fossil fuel for conversion to minimal CO$_2$ maximal energy return on energy invested (EROEI) power if nations wait too long, and low EROEI power is questioned because monetary value is dependent on energy.

econ.TH↗

arXiv2024

Mixed Species Charge and Baryon Balance Functions Studies with PYTHIA

Mixed species charge and baryon balance functions are computed based on proton--proton (pp) collisions simulated with the PYTHIA8 model. Simulations are performed with selected values of the collision energy $\sqrt{s}$ and the Monash tune and the Ropes and Shoving modes of PYTHIA8 to explore whether such measurements provide useful new information and constraints on mechanisms of particle production in pp collisions. Charge balance functions are studied based on mixed pairs of pions, kaons, and protons, whereas baryon balance functions are computed for mixed low mass strange and non-strange baryons. Both charge and baryon balance functions of mixed particle pairs feature shapes and amplitudes that sensitively depend on the particle considered owing largely to the particle production mechanisms implemented in PYTHIA. The evolution of balance functions integrals with the longitudinal width of the acceptance are presented and one finds that sums of such integrals for a given reference particle obey expected sum rules for both charge and baryon balance functions. Additionally, both types of balance functions are found to evolve in shape and amplitude with increasing collision energy $\sqrt{s}$ and the PYTHIA tunes considered.

hep-ph↗

arXiv2022

Effects of Non-Vanishing Net Charge in Balance Functions

We investigate the impact of non-vanishing net-charge in collision systems on measurements of balance functions and their integrals. We show that the nominal balance function definition yields integrals that deviate from unity because of the non-vanishing net-charge. However, the integral of unified balance functions is shown to appropriately converge to unity when measured in a sufficiently wide experimental acceptance. We furthermore explore the rate of convergence of unified balance functions integrals and study distortions imparted on the shape of balance functions when measurements are carried out in limited transverse momentum ($p_{\rm T}$) and rapidity ($y$) acceptances, such as those featured by experiments at the Large Hadron Collider or the Relativistic Heavy Ion Collider. We show that the shape and integral of unified balance functions may be strongly biased by reductions in the rapidity and transverse momentum acceptances of existing experiments.

hep-ph↗

arXiv2022

Unified Balance Functions

The use of charge balance functions in heavy-ion collision studies was initially proposed as a probe of delayed hadronization and two-stage quark production in these collisions. It later emerged that general balance functions can also serve as a probe of the diffusivity of light quarks as well as the evolution of the systems formed in heavy-ion collisions. In this work, we reexamine the formulation of general balance functions and consider how to best define and measure these correlation functions in terms of differences of conditional densities of unlike-sign and like-sign particle pairs. We define general balance functions in terms of associated particle functions and show these obey a simple sum rule. We additionally proceed to distinguish between balance functions expressed as differences of conditional densities valid irrespective of experimental acceptance boundaries and bound balance functions that explicitly account for the limited acceptance of experiments. General balance functions are additionally extended to accommodate strange, baryon, as well as charm and bottom quantum numbers based on the densities of these quantum numbers.

hep-ph↗

arXiv2021

Surface Processing and Discharge-Conditioning of High Voltage Electrodes for the Ra EDM Experiment

The Ra EDM experiment uses a pair of high voltage electrodes to search for the atomic electric dipole moment of $^{225}$Ra. We use identical, plane-parallel electrodes with a primary high gradient surface of 200 mm$^2$ to generate reversible DC electric fields. Our statistical sensitivity is linearly proportional to the electric field strength in the electrode gap. We adapted surface decontamination and processing techniques from accelerator physics literature to chemical polish and clean a suite of newly fabricated large-grain niobium and grade-2 titanium electrodes. Three pairs of niobium electrodes and one pair of titanium electrodes were discharge-conditioned with a custom high voltage test station at electric field strengths as high as $+52.5$ kV/mm and $-51.5$ kV/mm over electrode gap sizes ranging from 0.4 mm to 2.5 mm. One pair of large-grain niobium electrodes was discharge-conditioned and validated to operate at $\pm 20$ kV/mm with steady-state leakage current $\leq 25$ pA ($1\sigma$) and a polarity-averaged $98 \pm 19$ discharges per hour. These electrodes were installed in the Ra EDM experimental apparatus, replacing a copper electrode pair, and were revalidated to $\pm 20$ kV/mm. The niobium electrodes perform at an electric field strength 3.1 times larger than the legacy copper electrodes and are ultimately limited by the maximum output of our 30 kV bipolar power supply.

physics.ins-det↗