arXiv subjects

Brian Lucey

Publications and source records attributed to Brian Lucey.

3 recordsLinked to original sources

arXiv2007

Study of the Correlations Between Stocks of Different Markets

We study correlations of a set of stocks selected from both the New York and London stock exchanges. Results are displayed using both Random Matrix Theory approach and the graphical visualisation of the Minimal Spanning Tree. For the set of stocks we study, cross correlations between markets do not mix the markets significantly. Geographical differences seem to dominate the output of a Random Matrix analysis. Only at the level of the third highest eigenvector do we see an effect of New York on the London data with the emergence of some common sectors with the larger eigenvectors in London and New York. The Minimal Spanning Trees show the broad separation of the markets as reflected in the second eigenvector of the Random Matrix analysis. However more detail is difficult to discern from the Minimal Spanning Trees analysis.

physics.soc-ph↗

arXiv2006

The Evolution of Interdependence in World Equity Markets - Evidence from Minimum Spanning Trees

The minimum spanning tree is used to study the process of market integration for a large group of national stock market indices. We show how the asset tree evolves over time and describe the dynamics of its normalized length, mean occupation layer, and single- and multiple-step linkage survival rates. Over the period studied, 1997-2006, the tree shows a tendency to become more compact. This implies that global equity markets are increasingly interrelated. The consequence for global investors is a potential reduction of the benefits of international portfolio diversification.

physics.soc-ph↗

arXiv2004

Modelling the term structure of interest rates á la Heath-Jarrow-Morton but with non Gaussian fluctuations

We consider a generalization of the Heath Jarrow Morton model for the term structure of interest rates where the forward rate is driven by Paretian fluctuations. We derive a generalization of Itô's lemma for the calculation of a differential of a Paretian stochastic variable and use it to derive a Stochastic Differential Equation for the discounted bond price. We show that it is not possible to choose the parameters of the model to ensure absence of drift of the discounted bond price. Then we consider a Continuous Time Random Walk with jumps driven by Paretian random variables and we derive the large time scaling limit of the jump probability distribution function (pdf). We show that under certain conditions defined in text the large time scaling limit of the jump pdf in the Fourier domain is \tilde{omega}_t(k,t) \sim \exp{-K/(\ln(k t))^2} and is different from the case of a random walk with Gaussian fluctuations. We also derive the master equation for the jump pdf and discuss the relation of the master equation to Distributed Order Fractional Diffusion Equations.

cond-mat.other↗