arXiv subjects

C. Bayan Bruss

Publications and source records attributed to C. Bayan Bruss.

At least 19 recordsLinked to original sources

arXiv2026

Recovering Wasted Compute in Autoresearch Agents

A slew of recent works develop agents for solving research problems end-to-end, a paradigm increasingly referred to as autoresearch. Such agents have inspired large industry investment, motivated by their potential to automate time-consuming human labor and customize machine learning solutions for specialized applications. In this paper, we study the modeling pipeline at the core of these autoresearch systems and identify common failure modes when they are applied to tabular datasets: (1) they waste compute resolving the same bugs over and over again; (2) they often fail to tune hyperparameters even when they have a large remaining compute budget; (3) the tree-search algorithms that power them do not explore; and (4) they perform data analysis, mimicking the humans whose data they are trained on, but do not use that analysis to make downstream decisions. We explore targeted interventions and find that a global debug consultant that shares discovered runtime constraints across all branches of the search tree, prompt- and control-level enhancements, and refined tree-search algorithms successfully recover wasted compute. Our results show that large gains in autoresearch agent performance are achievable through agentic design alone, holding the underlying language model fixed.

cs.AI↗

arXiv2026

The Hidden Bias of Process Reward Models:PRISM for Rewarding the Right Reasoning

Process Reward Models (PRMs) improve credit assignment for reasoning by providing step-level feedback. However, we identify a hidden bias in PRMs caused by severe imbalance in step-level training data. Standard cross-entropy training amplifies this bias, causing PRMs to overcredit plausible but incorrect steps and produce high false-positive rates. We show that these false positives have an asymmetric downstream effect: false negatives mainly slow exploration, whereas false positives actively steer Best-of-N selection, guided decoding, and policy optimization toward flawed reasoning. This suggests that PRM training should shift from pointwise label fitting to reliable relative comparisons. To address this, we propose PRISM (Precision Ranking for Improved Step Modeling), a policy-aware PRM training framework that learns from contrastive step-level comparisons and hard negatives generated by a temporal lookahead strategy, requiring no new human labels. We further use a difficulty-aware curriculum to optimize the contrastive step margin. Across PRMBench and ProcessBench, PRISM substantially reduces false positives (22% on PRMBench) and improves macro F1 over strong discriminative PRMs. When applied to policy optimization and search tasks, including guided decoding and Best-of-N selection, it consistently improves accuracy (up to 22% for guided decoding and 33% for Best-of-N) and robustness. More broadly, trustworthy process supervision is not just about assigning high rewards, but about rewarding the right reasoning for the right reasons.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2026

BEDTime: A Unified Benchmark for Automatically Describing Time Series

Recent works propose complex multi-modal models that handle both time series and language, ultimately claiming high performance on complex tasks like time series reasoning and cross-modal question answering. However, they skip foundational evaluations that such complex models should have mastered. So we ask a simple question: \textit{How well can recent models describe structural properties of time series?} To answer this, we propose that successful models should be able to \textit{recognize}, \textit{differentiate}, and \textit{generate} descriptions of univariate time series. We then create \textbf{\benchmark}, a benchmark to assess these novel tasks, that comprises \textbf{five datasets} reformatted across \textbf{three modalities}. In evaluating \textbf{17 state-of-the-art models}, we find that (1) surprisingly, dedicated time series-language models fall short, despite being designed for similar tasks, (2) vision language models are quite capable, (3) language only methods perform worst, despite many lauding their potential, and (4) all approaches are clearly fragile to a range of real world robustness tests, indicating directions for future work. Together, our findings critique prior works' claims and provide avenues for advancing multi-modal time series modeling.

cs.CL↗

arXiv2026

Bridging the Divide: End-to-End Sequence-Graph Learning

Many real-world prediction tasks, particularly those involving entities such as customers or patients, involve both {sequential} and {relational} data. Each entity maintains its own sequence of events while simultaneously engaging in relationships with others. Existing methods in sequence and graph modeling often overlook one modality in favor of the other. We argue that these two facets should instead be integrated and learned jointly. We introduce BRIDGE, a unified end-to-end architecture that couples a sequence model with a graph module under a single objective, allowing gradients to flow across both components to learn task-aligned representations. To enable fine-grained interaction, we propose TOKENXATTN, a token-level cross-attention layer that facilitates message passing between specific events in neighboring sequences. Across two settings, relationship prediction and fraud detection, BRIDGE consistently outperforms static graph models, temporal graph methods, as well as sequence-only baselines on both ranking and classification metrics.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2026

Tuning-Free LLM Can Build A Strong Recommender Under Sparse Connectivity And Knowledge Gap Via Extracting Intent

Recent advances in recommendation with large language models (LLMs) often rely on either commonsense augmentation at the item-category level or implicit intent modeling on existing knowledge graphs. However, such approaches struggle to capture grounded user intents and to handle sparsity and cold-start scenarios. In this work, we present LLM-based Intent Knowledge Graph Recommender (IKGR), a novel framework that constructs an intent-centric knowledge graph where both users and items are explicitly linked to intent nodes extracted by a tuning-free, RAG-guided LLM pipeline. By grounding intents in external knowledge sources and user profiles, IKGR canonically represents what a user seeks and what an item satisfies as first-class entities. To alleviate sparsity, we further introduce a mutual-intent connectivity densification strategy, which shortens semantic paths between users and long-tail items without requiring cross-graph fusion. Finally, a lightweight GNN layer is employed on top of the intent-enhanced graph to produce recommendation signals with low latency. Extensive experiments on public and enterprise datasets demonstrate that IKGR consistently outperforms strong baselines, particularly on cold-start and long-tail slices, while remaining efficient through a fully offline LLM pipeline.

cs.IR↗

arXiv2026

TimeSqueeze: Dynamic Patching for Efficient Time Series Forecasting

Transformer-based time series foundation models face a fundamental trade-off in choice of tokenization: point-wise embeddings preserve temporal fidelity but scale poorly with sequence length, whereas fixed-length patching improves efficiency by imposing uniform boundaries that may disrupt natural transitions and blur informative local dynamics. In order to address these limitations, we introduce TimeSqueeze, a dynamic patching mechanism that adaptively selects patch boundaries within each sequence based on local signal complexity. TimeSqueeze first applies a lightweight state-space encoder to extract full-resolution point-wise features, then performs content-aware segmentation by allocating short patches to information-dense regions and long patches to smooth or redundant segments. This variable-resolution compression preserves critical temporal structure while substantially reducing the token sequence presented to the Transformer backbone. Specifically for large-scale pretraining, TimeSqueeze attains up to 20x faster convergence and 8x higher data efficiency compared to equivalent point-token baselines. Experiments across long-horizon forecasting benchmarks show that TimeSqueeze consistently outperforms comparable architectures that use either point-wise tokenization or fixed-size patching.

cs.AI↗

arXiv2026

Revisiting RAG Retrievers: An Information Theoretic Benchmark

Retrieval-Augmented Generation (RAG) systems rely critically on the retriever module to surface relevant context for large language models. Although numerous retrievers have recently been proposed, each built on different ranking principles such as lexical matching, dense embeddings, or graph citations, there remains a lack of systematic understanding of how these mechanisms differ and overlap. Existing benchmarks primarily compare entire RAG pipelines or introduce new datasets, providing little guidance on selecting or combining retrievers themselves. Those that do compare retrievers directly use a limited set of evaluation tools which fail to capture complementary and overlapping strengths. This work presents MIGRASCOPE, a Mutual Information based RAG Retriever Analysis Scope. We revisit state-of-the-art retrievers and introduce principled metrics grounded in information and statistical estimation theory to quantify retrieval quality, redundancy, synergy, and marginal contribution. We further show that if chosen carefully, an ensemble of retrievers outperforms any single retriever. We leverage the developed tools over major RAG corpora to provide unique insights on contribution levels of the state-of-the-art retrievers. Our findings provide a fresh perspective on the structure of modern retrieval techniques and actionable guidance for designing robust and efficient RAG systems.

cs.IR↗

arXiv2026

PersonaLedger: Generating Realistic Financial Transactions with Persona Conditioned LLMs and Rule Grounded Feedback

Strict privacy regulations limit access to real transaction data, slowing open research in financial AI. Synthetic data can bridge this gap, but existing generators do not jointly achieve behavioral diversity and logical groundedness. Rule-driven simulators rely on hand-crafted workflows and shallow stochasticity, which miss the richness of human behavior. Learning-based generators such as GANs capture correlations yet often violate hard financial constraints and still require training on private data. We introduce PersonaLedger, a generation engine that uses a large language model conditioned on rich user personas to produce diverse transaction streams, coupled with an expert configurable programmatic engine that maintains correctness. The LLM and engine interact in a closed loop: after each event, the engine updates the user state, enforces financial rules, and returns a context aware "nextprompt" that guides the LLM toward feasible next actions. With this engine, we create a public dataset of 30 million transactions from 23,000 users and a benchmark suite with two tasks, illiquidity classification and identity theft segmentation. PersonaLedger offers a realistic, privacy preserving resource that supports rigorous evaluation of forecasting and anomaly detection models. PersonaLedger offers the community a rich, realistic, and privacy preserving resource -- complete with code, rules, and generation logs -- to accelerate innovation in financial AI and enable rigorous, reproducible evaluation.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2025

Integrating Sequential and Relational Modeling for User Events: Datasets and Prediction Tasks

User event modeling plays a central role in many machine learning applications, with use cases spanning e-commerce, social media, finance, cybersecurity, and other domains. User events can be broadly categorized into personal events, which involve individual actions, and relational events, which involve interactions between two users. These two types of events are typically modeled separately, using sequence-based methods for personal events and graph-based methods for relational events. Despite the need to capture both event types in real-world systems, prior work has rarely considered them together. This is often due to the convenient simplification that user behavior can be adequately represented by a single formalization, either as a sequence or a graph. To address this gap, there is a need for public datasets and prediction tasks that explicitly incorporate both personal and relational events. In this work, we introduce a collection of such datasets, propose a unified formalization, and empirically show that models benefit from incorporating both event types. Our results also indicate that current methods leave a notable room for improvements. We release these resources to support further research in unified user event modeling and encourage progress in this direction.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2025

DynaGuard: A Dynamic Guardian Model With User-Defined Policies

Guardian models play a crucial role in ensuring the safety and ethical behavior of user-facing AI applications by enforcing guardrails and detecting harmful content. While standard guardian models are limited to predefined, static harm categories, we introduce DynaGuard, a suite of dynamic guardian models offering novel flexibility by evaluating text based on user-defined policies, and DynaBench, a dataset for training and evaluating dynamic guardian models. Our models provide both rapid detection of policy violations and a chain-of-thought reasoning option that articulate and justify model outputs. Critically, DynaGuard not only surpasses static models in detection accuracy on traditional safety categories, but is competitive with frontier reasoning models on free-form policy violations, all in a fraction of the time. This makes DynaGuard an critical tool for language model guardrails.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2025

Out-of-Distribution Detection Methods Answer the Wrong Questions

To detect distribution shifts and improve model safety, many out-of-distribution (OOD) detection methods rely on the predictive uncertainty or features of supervised models trained on in-distribution data. In this paper, we critically re-examine this popular family of OOD detection procedures, and we argue that these methods are fundamentally answering the wrong questions for OOD detection. There is no simple fix to this misalignment, since a classifier trained only on in-distribution classes cannot be expected to identify OOD points; for instance, a cat-dog classifier may confidently misclassify an airplane if it contains features that distinguish cats from dogs, despite generally appearing nothing alike. We find that uncertainty-based methods incorrectly conflate high uncertainty with being OOD, while feature-based methods incorrectly conflate far feature-space distance with being OOD. We show how these pathologies manifest as irreducible errors in OOD detection and identify common settings where these methods are ineffective. Additionally, interventions to improve OOD detection such as feature-logit hybrid methods, scaling of model and data size, epistemic uncertainty representation, and outlier exposure also fail to address this fundamental misalignment in objectives. We additionally consider unsupervised density estimation and generative models for OOD detection, which we show have their own fundamental limitations.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2024

A Simple Baseline for Predicting Events with Auto-Regressive Tabular Transformers

Many real-world applications of tabular data involve using historic events to predict properties of new ones, for example whether a credit card transaction is fraudulent or what rating a customer will assign a product on a retail platform. Existing approaches to event prediction include costly, brittle, and application-dependent techniques such as time-aware positional embeddings, learned row and field encodings, and oversampling methods for addressing class imbalance. Moreover, these approaches often assume specific use-cases, for example that we know the labels of all historic events or that we only predict a pre-specified label and not the data's features themselves. In this work, we propose a simple but flexible baseline using standard autoregressive LLM-style transformers with elementary positional embeddings and a causal language modeling objective. Our baseline outperforms existing approaches across popular datasets and can be employed for various use-cases. We demonstrate that the same model can predict labels, impute missing values, or model event sequences.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2024

Just How Flexible are Neural Networks in Practice?

It is widely believed that a neural network can fit a training set containing at least as many samples as it has parameters, underpinning notions of overparameterized and underparameterized models. In practice, however, we only find solutions accessible via our training procedure, including the optimizer and regularizers, limiting flexibility. Moreover, the exact parameterization of the function class, built into an architecture, shapes its loss surface and impacts the minima we find. In this work, we examine the ability of neural networks to fit data in practice. Our findings indicate that: (1) standard optimizers find minima where the model can only fit training sets with significantly fewer samples than it has parameters; (2) convolutional networks are more parameter-efficient than MLPs and ViTs, even on randomly labeled data; (3) while stochastic training is thought to have a regularizing effect, SGD actually finds minima that fit more training data than full-batch gradient descent; (4) the difference in capacity to fit correctly labeled and incorrectly labeled samples can be predictive of generalization; (5) ReLU activation functions result in finding minima that fit more data despite being designed to avoid vanishing and exploding gradients in deep architectures.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2023

Simplifying Neural Network Training Under Class Imbalance

Real-world datasets are often highly class-imbalanced, which can adversely impact the performance of deep learning models. The majority of research on training neural networks under class imbalance has focused on specialized loss functions, sampling techniques, or two-stage training procedures. Notably, we demonstrate that simply tuning existing components of standard deep learning pipelines, such as the batch size, data augmentation, optimizer, and label smoothing, can achieve state-of-the-art performance without any such specialized class imbalance methods. We also provide key prescriptions and considerations for training under class imbalance, and an understanding of why imbalance methods succeed or fail.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2023

A Performance-Driven Benchmark for Feature Selection in Tabular Deep Learning

Academic tabular benchmarks often contain small sets of curated features. In contrast, data scientists typically collect as many features as possible into their datasets, and even engineer new features from existing ones. To prevent overfitting in subsequent downstream modeling, practitioners commonly use automated feature selection methods that identify a reduced subset of informative features. Existing benchmarks for tabular feature selection consider classical downstream models, toy synthetic datasets, or do not evaluate feature selectors on the basis of downstream performance. Motivated by the increasing popularity of tabular deep learning, we construct a challenging feature selection benchmark evaluated on downstream neural networks including transformers, using real datasets and multiple methods for generating extraneous features. We also propose an input-gradient-based analogue of Lasso for neural networks that outperforms classical feature selection methods on challenging problems such as selecting from corrupted or second-order features.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2023

Transfer Learning with Deep Tabular Models

Recent work on deep learning for tabular data demonstrates the strong performance of deep tabular models, often bridging the gap between gradient boosted decision trees and neural networks. Accuracy aside, a major advantage of neural models is that they learn reusable features and are easily fine-tuned in new domains. This property is often exploited in computer vision and natural language applications, where transfer learning is indispensable when task-specific training data is scarce. In this work, we demonstrate that upstream data gives tabular neural networks a decisive advantage over widely used GBDT models. We propose a realistic medical diagnosis benchmark for tabular transfer learning, and we present a how-to guide for using upstream data to boost performance with a variety of tabular neural network architectures. Finally, we propose a pseudo-feature method for cases where the upstream and downstream feature sets differ, a tabular-specific problem widespread in real-world applications. Our code is available at https://github.com/LevinRoman/tabular-transfer-learning .

cs.LG↗

arXiv2023

From Explanation to Action: An End-to-End Human-in-the-loop Framework for Anomaly Reasoning and Management

Anomalies are often indicators of malfunction or inefficiency in various systems such as manufacturing, healthcare, finance, surveillance, to name a few. While the literature is abundant in effective detection algorithms due to this practical relevance, autonomous anomaly detection is rarely used in real-world scenarios. Especially in high-stakes applications, a human-in-the-loop is often involved in processes beyond detection such as verification and troubleshooting. In this work, we introduce ALARM (for Analyst-in-the-Loop Anomaly Reasoning and Management); an end-to-end framework that supports the anomaly mining cycle comprehensively, from detection to action. Besides unsupervised detection of emerging anomalies, it offers anomaly explanations and an interactive GUI for human-in-the-loop processes -- visual exploration, sense-making, and ultimately action-taking via designing new detection rules -- that help close ``the loop'' as the new rules complement rule-based supervised detection, typical of many deployed systems in practice. We demonstrate \method's efficacy through a series of case studies with fraud analysts from the financial industry.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2022

BASED-XAI: Breaking Ablation Studies Down for Explainable Artificial Intelligence

Explainable artificial intelligence (XAI) methods lack ground truth. In its place, method developers have relied on axioms to determine desirable properties for their explanations' behavior. For high stakes uses of machine learning that require explainability, it is not sufficient to rely on axioms as the implementation, or its usage, can fail to live up to the ideal. As a result, there exists active research on validating the performance of XAI methods. The need for validation is especially magnified in domains with a reliance on XAI. A procedure frequently used to assess their utility, and to some extent their fidelity, is an ablation study. By perturbing the input variables in rank order of importance, the goal is to assess the sensitivity of the model's performance. Perturbing important variables should correlate with larger decreases in measures of model capability than perturbing less important features. While the intent is clear, the actual implementation details have not been studied rigorously for tabular data. Using five datasets, three XAI methods, four baselines, and three perturbations, we aim to show 1) how varying perturbations and adding simple guardrails can help to avoid potentially flawed conclusions, 2) how treatment of categorical variables is an important consideration in both post-hoc explainability and ablation studies, and 3) how to identify useful baselines for XAI methods and viable perturbations for ablation studies.

cs.LG↗