arXiv subjects

C. Mordasini

Publications and source records attributed to C. Mordasini.

At least 19 recordsLinked to original sources

arXiv2026

CHEOPS photometry from 2024 reveals a reversal in the transit-timing variations of AU Mic c

We present new CHEOPS transit observations of AU Mic b and AU Mic c obtained between June and September 2024, extending the baseline of transit-timing measurements of this young planetary system. For AU Mic b, the timing signal is well established, with a semi-amplitude (10 $\pm$ 3 min) and a characteristic modulation timescale (1168 $\pm$ 20 d) consistent with previous determinations. By contrast, the new CHEOPS data show that the large transit-timing deviation of AU Mic c reported previously was not sustained. After the steadily increasing timing trend observed in 2022 and 2023, the 2024 timings returned closer to the zero point of the observed-minus-calculated diagram, indicating a reversal of the previously reported behavior. For AU Mic c, both the transit-timing semi-amplitude (46 $\pm$ 26 min) and the characteristic modulation timescale (2150 $\pm$ 110 d) remain tentative. These results highlight the importance of continued long-term monitoring of the AU Mic system.

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arXiv2026

Resolving protoplanetary H-alpha emission with the high-resolution spectrograph RISTRETTO

Thousands of exoplanets have been discovered to date, but only a handful of them are young planets in the latter stages of their formation. H-alpha emission is a strong tracer of this process, but it is difficult to isolate the planetary H-alpha signal from the stellar signal due to the small angular separation. RISTRETTO is a high-resolution (R~140,000) integral-field unit spectrograph with an attached coronagraph and extreme adaptive system that is currently under construction. Used in tandem with the VLT, its resolving power and seven-spaxel layout is designed to characterise the atmospheres of exoplanets in reflected light. It can also be leveraged to obtain spatially and spectrally resolved observations of planetary H-alpha emission lines. Using a combination of synthetic and real observations, we determined the detection limits for theoretical observations of protoplanets with on-sky separations of 37-600 mas (the equivalent of 4-70 AU at 113 pc). We used theoretical BT-Settl photospheric spectra, observed HARPS spectra of PDS70, and a model for the line emission at the planetary accretion shock to estimate the planetary H-alpha signal. Models with the PyEchelle simulator show that the H-alpha emission from theoretical objects similar to the four known protoplanet candidates (PDS70b, PDS70c, WISPIT2b, and 2MJ1612b) can be spectrally resolved with VLT/RISTRETTO down to a line flux between $F\sim(1.4-2.7)\times10^{-16} erg \;s^{-1} cm^{-2}$ with a 1 hour exposure. We show that the planetary H-alpha line can be spatially resolved from that of its stellar host and that the shape of the line can be used to constrain the pre-shock density (n0) and velocity (v0), thereby enabling new constraints on the accretion rate and flow geometry. This study and the instrument act as a pathfinder for the next generation of high-resolution spectrographs such as ELT/PCS and ELT/ANDES.

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arXiv2026

The SPHERE infrared survey for exoplanets (SHINE) V. Full sample characterization

Unbiased surveys of large stellar samples are the prime means through which the prevalence of exoplanets can be derived, and crucial constraints to planet formation models can be set. Direct imaging (DI) is ideally positioned to probe the outer regions (5-300au) of planetary systems, providing complementary information to techniques such as transits and radial velocities. We present the full sample of the SpHere INfrared survey for Exoplanets (SHINE), the second largest DI campaign to date. SHINE observed 460 stars between 2015 and 2023 thanks to the guaranteed time observations (GTO) allocated by ESO to the SPHERE consortium at VLT. The goal of this paper is to homogeneously derive the stellar properties of the targets and to define a subsample of young single hosts to be used as a starting point for the final statistical analysis of the survey. Stellar ages were determined based on kinematic indicators (such as the membership to young moving groups), age diagnostics (lithium abundance, rotation, activity), and isochrone fitting. A thorough vetting for binarity was undertaken combining astrometric, spectroscopic, and imaging data. A subsample of 333 stars, covering a large extent of stellar ages and masses, was constructed. Selection criteria, global features, as well as the properties of individual stars are reported and discussed.

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arXiv2026

The multi-planet system TOI-5624: Four transiting sub-Neptunes with an outer companion revealed by transit-timing variations

Following the 2022 alert of a TESS object of interest transiting TOI-5624 (a G7 V star $\sim$100 pc away), a CHEOPS campaign in 2023 detected four planetary signals at $P_b\approx3.4$, $P_c\approx7.9$, $P_d\approx13.7$, and $P_e\approx21.5$ days, later confirmed by additional TESS and CHEOPS photometry in 2024-2025. After analysing the TESS & CHEOPS photometric data, we extracted and modelled the HARPS-N & SOPHIE RV time series using two independent methodologies both within an MCMC framework. We further integrated the N-body equations of motion, while simultaneously fitting the transit times and the detrended RVs, to dynamically characterise the system. We present the discovery of four transiting sub-Neptunes with radii of $R_b=2.314\pm0.035 R_{\oplus}$, $R_c=2.474\pm0.042 R_{\oplus}$, $R_d=3.584_{-0.050}^{+0.051} R_{\oplus}$, and $R_e=3.247_{-0.043}^{+0.042} R_{\oplus}$ and masses of $M_b=9.4\pm1.4 M_{\oplus}$, $M_c=4.8\pm1.9 M_{\oplus}$, $M_d=4.9\pm2.2 M_{\oplus}$, and $M_e=8.9_{-3.0}^{+2.9} M_{\oplus}$. Our photometric analysis reveals that the outermost transiting planet TOI-5624 e shows significant TTVs. We find a robust Keplerian signal in the RV time series close to the 2:1 period commensurability with TOI-5624 e, which explains the TTV pattern exhibited by TOI-5624 e according to our dynamical analysis. We label this non-transiting planet as TOI-5624 f and find its minimum mass to be $M_f\sin{i_f}=13.0\pm3.7 M_{\oplus}$. Among the known systems hosting more than four planets, the remarkable precision with which the radii have been measured (<1.7%) and the firm assessment (>3$\sigma$) of the mass for at least three planets has been previously reached only for TRAPPIST-1. Additional photometric observations will enable a better sample of the TTV modulation and a more robust dynamical determination of the masses.

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arXiv2026

Discovery and characterisation of two exoplanets orbiting the metal-poor, solar-type star TOI-5788 with TESS, CHEOPS, and HARPS-N

We present the discovery and characterisation of two transiting exoplanets orbiting the metal-poor, solar-type star TOI-5788. From our analysis of six \textit{TESS} sectors and a dedicated \textit{CHEOPS} programme, we identify an inner planet (TOI-5788~b; $P = 6.340758\pm0.000030\,\si{\day}$) with radius $1.528\pm0.075\,\mathrm{R_\oplus}$ and an outer planet (TOI-5788~c; $P = 16.213362\pm0.000026\,\si{\day}$) with radius $2.272\pm0.039\,\mathrm{R_\oplus}$. We obtained 125 radial-velocity spectra from HARPS-N and constrain the masses of TOI-5788~b and~c as $3.72\pm0.94\,\mathrm{M_\oplus}$ and $6.4\pm1.2\,\mathrm{M_\oplus}$, respectively. Although dynamical analyses indicate that a third planet could exist in a stable orbit between 8 and 14 days, we find no evidence of additional planets. Since the TOI-5788 system is one of the few systems with planets straddling the radius gap, and noting that there are even fewer such systems around metal poor stars, it is a promising system to constrain planet formation theories. We therefore model the interior structures of both planets. We find that TOI-5788~b is consistent with being a rocky planet with almost no envelope, or having an atmosphere of a high mean molecular weight. We find that TOI-5788~c is consistent with both gas-dwarf and water-world hypotheses of mini-Neptune formation. We model the atmospheric evolution history of both planets. Whilst both scenarios are consistent with the atmospheric evolution of TOI-5788~c, the gas-dwarf model is marginally preferred. The results of the atmospheric evolution analysis are not strongly dependent on stellar evolution. This makes the system a promising target to test internal structure and atmospheric evolution models.

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arXiv2025

Giant Outer Transiting Exoplanet Mass (GOTEM) Survey.VII. TOI-6041: a multi-planet system including a warm Neptune exhibiting strong TTVs

We present the characterization of the TOI-6041 system, a bright ($V = 9.84 \pm 0.03$) G7-type star hosting at least two planets. The inner planet, TOI-6041b, is a warm Neptune with a radius of $4.55^{+0.18}_{-0.17}\,R_\oplus$, initially identified as a single-transit event in \textit{TESS} photometry. Subsequent observations with \textit{TESS} and \textit{CHEOPS} revealed additional transits, enabling the determination of its $26.04945^{+0.00033}_{-0.00034}$~d orbital period and the detection of significant transit timing variations (TTVs), exhibiting a peak-to-peak amplitude of about 1~hour. Radial velocity (RV) measurements obtained with the APF spectrographs allow us to place a $3\sigma$ upper mass limit of $28.9\,M_\oplus$ on TOI-6041b. In addition, the RV data reveal a second companion, TOI-6041c, on an 88~d orbit, with a minimum mass of $0.25\,M_{\mathrm{Jup}}$. A preliminary TTV analysis suggests that the observed variations could be caused by gravitational perturbations from planet c; however, reproducing the observed amplitudes requires a relatively high eccentricity of about 0.3 for planet c. Our dynamical stability analysis indicates that such a configuration is dynamically viable and places a $1\sigma$ upper limit on the mass of TOI-6041c at $0.8\,M_{\mathrm{Jup}}$. An alternative is the presence of a third, low-mass planet located between planets b and c, or on an inner orbit relative to planet b -- particularly near a mean-motion resonance with planet b -- which could account for the observed variations. These findings remain tentative, and further RV and photometric observations are essential to better constrain the mass of planet b and to refine the TTV modeling, thereby improving our understanding of the system's dynamical architecture.

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arXiv2025

Exomoon search with VLTI/GRAVITY around the substellar companion HD 206893 B

Direct astrometric detection of exomoons remains unexplored. This study presents the first application of high-precision astrometry to search for exomoons around substellar companions. We investigate whether the orbital motion of the companion HD 206893 B exhibits astrometric residuals consistent with the gravitational influence of an exomoon or binary planet. Using the VLTI/GRAVITY instrument, we monitored the astrometric positions of HD 206893 B and c across both short (days to months) and long (yearly) timescales. This enabled us to isolate potential residual wobbles in the motion of component B attributable to an orbiting moon. Our analysis reveals tentative astrometric residuals in the HD 206893 B orbit. If interpreted as an exomoon signature, these residuals correspond to a candidate (HD 206893 B I) with an orbital period of approximately 0.76 years and a mass of $\sim$0.4 Jupiter masses. However, the origin of these residuals remains ambiguous and could be due to systematics. Complementing the astrometry, our analysis of GRAVITY $R=4000$ spectroscopy for HD 206893 B confirms a clear detection of water, but no CO is found using cross-correlation. We also find that AF Lep b, and $\beta$ Pic b are the best short-term candidates to look for moons with GRAVITY+. Our observations demonstrate the transformative potential of high-precision astrometry in the search for exomoons, and proves the feasibility of the technique to detect moons with masses lower than Jupiter and potentially down to less than Neptune in optimistic cases. Crucially, further high-precision astrometric observations with VLTI/GRAVITY are essential to verify the reality and nature of this signal and attempt this technique on a variety of planetary systems.

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arXiv2025

HARPS-N, TESS, and CHEOPS discover a transiting sub-Neptune and two outer companions around the bright solar analogue HD 85426

We provide a detailed characterisation of the planetary system orbiting HD 85426 (TOI-1774). This bright G-type star ($M_{\ast}$: 0.99 $\text{M}_{\odot}$; $R_{\ast}$: 1.13 $\text{R}_{\odot}$; age: 7.4 Gyr; V mag: 8.25) hosts a transiting sub-Neptune, HD 85426 b, with an orbital period of 16.71 days and a blackbody equilibrium temperature of $824^{+11}_{-11}$ K. By jointly analysing HARPS-N RVs, TESS, and CHEOPS photometric data and using two different stellar activity mitigation techniques, we constrain planet b's mass to $6.0^{+1.5}_{-1.6}$ $\text{M}_{\oplus}$ and $8.5^{+1.3}_{-1.4} $ $\text{M}_{\oplus}$, depending on the mitigation technique. We investigate the dependence of these results on the priors, data selection, and inclusion of other Keplerians in the modelling. Using this approach, we identify the presence of two non-transiting planetary companions with minimum masses near 10 $\text{M}_{\oplus}$ and orbital periods of 35.7 and 89 days. Additionally, we reject the initial hypothesis that the 35.7-day periodic signal was due to stellar activity. We also determine HD 85426 b's radius to be $2.78^{+0.05}_{-0.04}$ $\text{R}_{\oplus}$ and compute a transmission spectroscopy metric in the range of 82 to 115, making this planet a highly valuable target for atmospheric characterisation.

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arXiv2025

The ExoGRAVITY survey: A K-band spectral library of giant exoplanet and brown dwarf companions

Direct observations of exoplanet and brown dwarf companions with near-infrared interferometry, first enabled by the dual-field mode of VLTI/GRAVITY, provide unique measurements of the objects' orbital motions and atmospheric compositions. Here, we compile a homogeneous library of all exoplanet and brown dwarf K-band spectra observed by GRAVITY thus far. We re-reduced all the available GRAVITY dual-field high-contrast data and, where companions are detected, extract their ~2.0-2.4 $\mu$m K-band contrast spectra. We then derived stellar model atmospheres for all employed flux references, which we used to convert the companion contrast into companion flux spectra. Solely from the resulting GRAVITY spectra, we extracted spectral types, spectral indices, and bulk physical properties for all companions. Finally, and with the help of age constraints from the literature, we also derived isochronal masses for most companions using evolutionary models. The resulting library contains R ~ 500 GRAVITY spectra of 39 substellar companions from late M to late T spectral types, including the entire L-T transition. Throughout this transition, a shift from CO-dominated late M- and L-type dwarfs to CH4-dominated T-type dwarfs can be observed in the K-band. The GRAVITY spectra alone constrain the objects' bolometric luminosity to typically within $\pm$0.15 dex. The derived isochronal masses agree with dynamical masses from the literature where available, except for HD 4113 c for which we confirm its previously reported potential underluminosity. Medium-resolution spectroscopy of substellar companions with GRAVITY provides insight into the carbon chemistry and the cloudiness of these objects' atmospheres. It also constrains these objects' bolometric luminosities which can yield measurements of their formation entropy if combined with dynamical masses, for instance from Gaia and GRAVITY astrometry.

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arXiv2025

DIPSY: A new Disc Instability Population SYnthesis, II. The Populations of Companions Formed Through Disc Instability

We applied the global end-to-end model described in Paper~I of this series to perform a population synthesis of companions formed via disc instability (DI). By using initial conditions compatible with both observations and hydrodynamical simulations, and by studying a large range of primary masses (0.05-5 Msol), we can provide quantitative predictions of the outcome of DI. In the baseline population, we find that ~10 % of the discs fragment, and about half of these end up with a surviving companion after 100 Myr. 75\% of the companions are in the brown dwarf regime, 15 % are low-mass stars, and 10 % planets. At distances larger than ~100 au, DI produces planetary-mass companions on a low percent level. Inside of 100 AU, however, planetary-mass companions are very rare (low per mill level). The average companion mass is ~30 Mj scaling weakly with stellar mass. Most of the initial fragments do not survive on a Myr timescale; they either collide with other fragments or are ejected, resulting in a population of free-floating objects (about 1-2 per star). We also quantify several variant populations to critically assess some of our assumptions used in the baseline population. DI appears to be a key mechanism in the formation of distant companions with masses ranging from low-mass stars down to the planetary regime, contributing, however, only marginally to planetary mass objects inside of 100 AU. Our results are sensitive to a number of physical processes, which are not completely understood. Two of them, gas accretion and clump-clump collisions, are particularly important and need to be investigated further. Magnetic fields and heavy-element accretion have not been considered in our study, although they are also expected to affect the inferred population. We suggest acknowledging the importance of the gravito-turbulent phase, which most protoplanetary discs experience.

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arXiv2025

DIPSY: A new Disc Instability Population SYnthesis, I. Modeling, evolution of individual systems, and tests

Disc instability (DI) is a model aimed at explaining the formation of companions through the fragmentation of the circumstellar gas disc. Furthermore, DI could explain the formation of part of the observed exoplanetary population. We aim to provide a new comprehensive global model for the formation of companions via DI. The latter leads for the companions to orbital migration and damping of the eccentricities and inclinations. As it evolves, the disc is continuously monitored for self-gravity and fragmentation. When the conditions are satisfied, one (or several) clumps are inserted. The evolution of the clumps is then followed in detail. We showcased the model by performing a number of simulations for various initial conditions, from simple non-fragmenting systems to complex systems with many fragments. We confirm that the DIPSY model is a comprehensive and versatile global model of companion formation via DI. It enables studies of the formation of companions with planetary to low stellar masses around primaries with final masses that range from the brown dwarf to the B-star regime. We conclude that it is necessary to consider the many interconnected processes such as gas accretion, orbital migration, and N-body interactions, as they strongly influence the inferred population of forming objects. It is also clear that model assumptions play a key role in the determination of the systems undergoing formation.

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arXiv2025

Architecture of planetary systems with and without outer giant planets I. Inner planet detections around HD 23079, HD 196067, and HD 86226

Understanding the link between outer giant planets (OGPs) and inner light planets (ILPs) is key to understanding planetary system formation and architecture. The correlation between these two populations of planets is debated both theoretically -- different formation models predict either a correlation or an anticorrelation -- and observationally. Several recent attempts to constrain this correlation have yielded contradictory results, due to small-number statistics and heterogeneous samples. We present an ongoing long-term observational effort with CORALIE, HARPS, and ESPRESSO to probe the ILP occurrence in systems with and without OGP. In this first article of a series, we discuss how, from the design to the observations, we ensured the homogeneity of the samples, both in terms of stellar properties and observing strategy. We also present the first three detections of ILPs in our OGP host sample. We find a 8.3 mE planet at 5.75 d around HD 23079, a 10.4 mE planet at 4.6 d around HD 196067, and we confirm the 7.5 mE planet at 3.98 d around HD 86226. While a rigorous statistical analysis of our samples will be performed in subsequent studies, the relatively low number of detections in our sample seems to contradict previous studies that found a strong OGP-ILP correlation.

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arXiv2025

Constraints on the Orbit of the Young Substellar Companion GQ Lup B from High-Resolution Spectroscopy and VLTI/GRAVITY Astrometry

Understanding the orbits of giant planets is critical for testing planet formation models, particularly at wide separations greater than 10 au where traditional core accretion becomes inefficient. However, constraining orbits at these separations has been challenging because of sparse orbital coverage and degeneracies in the orbital parameters. We use existing high-resolution spectroscopic measurements from CRIRES+ (R ~ 100000), astrometric data from SPHERE, NACO, and ALMA, and new high-precision GRAVITY astrometry to refine the orbit of GQ Lup B, a ~30 M_J companion at ~100 au, in a system that also hosts a circumstellar disk and a wide companion, GQ Lup C. Including radial velocity data significantly improves orbital constraints by breaking the degeneracy between inclination and eccentricity that affects astrometry-only fits for long-period companions. This work is among the first to combine high-precision astrometry with the companion's relative radial velocity to achieve improved orbital constraints. The eccentricity is refined from e = 0.47 (+0.14, -0.16) with GRAVITY alone to e = 0.35 (+0.10, -0.09) when RVs and GRAVITY data are combined. The orbit is misaligned by 63 (+6, -14) deg relative to the circumstellar disk and 52 (+19, -24) deg relative to the host star spin axis, and is more consistent (34 (+6, -13) deg) with the inclination of the wide tertiary companion GQ Lup C disk. These results support a formation scenario for GQ Lup B consistent with cloud fragmentation and highlight the power of combining companion RV constraints with interferometric astrometry to probe the dynamics and formation of wide-orbit substellar companions.

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arXiv2025

ATREIDES I. Embarking on a trek across the exo-Neptunian landscape with the TOI-421 system

The distribution of close-in exoplanets is shaped by the interplay between atmospheric and dynamical processes. The Neptunian Desert, Ridge, and Savanna illustrate the sensitivity of these worlds to such processes, making them ideal to disentangle their roles. Determining how many Neptunes were brought close-in by early disk-driven migration (DDM; maintaining primordial spin-orbit alignment) or late high-eccentricity migration (HEM; generating large misalignments) is essential to understand how much atmosphere they lost. We propose a unified view of the Neptunian landscape to guide its exploration, speculating that the Ridge is a hot spot for evolutionary processes. Low-density Neptunes would mainly undergo DDM, getting fully eroded at shorter periods than the Ridge, while denser Neptunes would be brought to the Ridge and Desert by HEM. We embark on this exploration via ATREIDES, which relies on spectroscopy and photometry of 60 close-in Neptunes, their reduction with robust pipelines, and their interpretation through internal structure, atmospheric, and evolutionary models. We carried out a systematic RM census with VLT/ESPRESSO to measure the distribution of 3D spin-orbit angles, correlate its shape with system properties and thus relate the fraction of aligned-misaligned systems to DDM, HEM, and atmospheric erosion. Our first target, TOI-421c, lies in the Savanna with a neighboring sub-Neptune TOI-421b. We measured their 3D spin-orbit angles (Psib = 57+11-15 deg; Psic = 44.9+4.4-4.1 deg). Together with the eccentricity and possibly large mutual inclination of their orbits, this hints at a chaotic dynamical origin that could result from DDM followed by HEM. ATREIDES will provide the community with a wealth of constraints for formation and evolution models. We welcome collaborations that will contribute to pushing our understanding of the Neptunian landscape forward.

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arXiv2025

Detection and characterisation of a 106-day transiting Jupiter : TOI-2449 b / NGTS-36 b

Only a handful of transiting giant exoplanets with orbital periods longer than 100 days are known. These warm exoplanets are valuable objects as their radius and mass can be measured leading to an in-depth characterisation of the planet's properties. Thanks to low levels of stellar irradiation and large orbital distances, the atmospheric properties and orbital parameters of warm exoplanets remain relatively unaltered by their host star, giving new insights into planetary formation and evolution. We aim at extending the sample of warm giant exoplanets with precise radii and masses. Our goal is to identify suitable candidates in the Transiting Exoplanet Survey Satellite (TESS) data and perform follow-up observations with ground-based instruments. We use the Next Generation Transit Survey (NGTS) to detect additional transits of planetary candidates in order to pinpoint their orbital period. We also monitored the target with several high-resolution spectrographs to measure the planetary mass and eccentricity. We report the discovery of a 106-day period Jupiter-sized planet around the G-type star TOI-2449 / NGTS-36. We jointly modelled the photometric and radial velocity data and find that the planet has a mass of 0.70 Mj and a radius of 1.002 Rj. The planetary orbit has a semi-major axis of 0.449 au and is slightly eccentric. We detect an additional 3-year signal in the radial velocity data likely due to the stellar magnetic cycle. Based on the planetary evolution models considered here, we find that TOI-2449 b / NGTS-36 b contains 11 Me of heavy elements and has a marginal planet-to-star metal enrichment of 3.3. Assuming a Jupiter-like Bond albedo, TOI-2449 b / NGTS-36 b has an equilibrium temperature of 400 K and is a good target for understanding nitrogen chemistry in cooler atmospheres.

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arXiv2025

Transit Timing Variations in HIP 41378: CHEOPS and TESS confirm a non-transiting sixth planet in the system

In multiple-planet systems, gravitational interactions of exoplanets could lead to transit timing variations (TTVs), whose amplitude becomes significantly enhanced when planets are in or near mean-motion resonances (MMRs). In cases where both TTVs and radial velocity (RV) measurements are available, combined analysis can break degeneracies and provide robust planetary and system characterization, even detecting non-transiting planets. In this context, HIP 41378 hosts five confirmed transiting planets with periods ranging from 15 to over 542 days, providing a unique dynamical laboratory for investigating wide multi-planet systems analogous to the Solar System. In this study, we present an intensive space-based photometric follow-up of HIP 41378, combining 15 new CHEOPS observations with eight TESS sectors, alongside data from K2, Spitzer, HST, and HARPS. We dynamically modeled the TTVs and RV signals of the two inner sub-Neptunes via N-body integration. These planets, HIP 41378 b ($P_{b}$ = 15.57 days) and HIP 41378 c ($P_{c}$ = 31.71 days), are close to ($\Delta\sim1.8$ %) a 2:1 period commensurability. We report a clear detection of TTVs with amplitudes of 20 mins for planet b and greater than 3 hrs for planet c. We dynamically confirm the planetary nature of HIP 41378 g, a non-transiting planet with a period of about 64 days and a mass of about 7 $M_{\oplus}$, close to a 2:1 commensurability with planet c, suggesting a possible MMR chain in the inner system. Our precise determination of the masses, eccentricities, and radii of HIP 41378 b and c enabled us to investigate their possible volatile-rich compositions. Finally, by leveraging on the last TESS sectors we constrained the period of HIP 41378 d to three possible aliases ($P_{d} =$ 278, 371, and 1113 days) suggesting that the system could be placed in a double quasi resonant chain, highlighting its complex dynamical architecture.

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arXiv2025

A four-planet system orbiting the old thick disk star TOI-1203

TOI-1203 is a bright (V=8.6) G3 V star known to host a transiting warm sub-Neptune on a 25.5 d orbit. Here we report on an intensive high-precision radial velocity and photometric follow-up campaign carried out with the HARPS spectrograph and the CHEOPS space telescope. We found that TOI-1203 has an enhancement of $α$ elements relative to iron of [$α$/Fe]=$0.21\pm0.04$. With an age of $\sim$12.5 Gyr, TOI-1203 belongs to the old, $α$-element enhanced stellar population of the galactic thick disk. We spectroscopically confirmed the planetary nature of the 25.5 d sub-Neptune TOI-1203 d, measured its mass ($M_{d}=7.39\pm0.62~M_{\oplus}$) and refined its radius ($R_{d}=2.918_{-0.045}^{+0.046}~R_{\oplus}$). We discovered the presence of an additional transiting super-Earth on a 4.2 d orbit (TOI-1203 b) with a mass of $M_{b}=3.51_{-0.32}^{+0.33}~M_{\oplus}$ and a radius of $R_{b}=1.520_{-0.046}^{+0.045}~R_{\oplus}$. We also revealed the presence of two additional low-mass planets at 13.1 d and 204.6 d (TOI-1203 c and e), with minimum masses of $5.46_{-0.50}^{+0.51}~M_{\oplus}$ and $42.10_{-1.78}^{+1.83}~M_{\oplus}$. We found that the outer planet TOI-1203 e lies on an eccentric orbit with $e_{e}=0.152\pm0.029$. We performed a stability analysis of the system confirming that there are configurations consistent with the observed parameters that are dynamically stable over billion-year timescales. While analyzing the HARPS time series, we discovered that the FWHM of the HARPS cross-correlation function shows a significant long-period signal ($\sim$615 d) that has no counterpart in the radial velocity data or in the remaining HARPS ancillary time series. We significantly detected the same signal in the FWHM of the Th-Ar calibration lines used to compute the nightly wavelength solution, and attributed this systematic effect to a long-term variation of the HARPS instrumental profile.

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arXiv2025

The JADE code. II. Modeling the coupled orbital and atmospheric evolution of GJ 436 b to constrain its migration and companion

The observed architecture and modeled evolution of close-in exoplanets provide crucial insights into their formation pathways and survival mechanisms. To investigate these fundamental questions, we employed JADE, a comprehensive numerical code that models the coupled evolution of atmospheres and dynamics over secular timescales, rooted in present-day observations. JADE integrates photoevaporation with migration driven by von Zeipel-Lidov-Kozai (ZLK) cycles from an external perturber, allowing us to explore evolutionary scenarios where dynamical and atmospheric processes influence each other. Here, we specifically considered GJ 436 b, a warm Neptune with an eccentric orbit and polar spin-orbit angle that has survived within the "hot Neptune desert" despite ongoing atmospheric escape. Our extensive exploration included over 500 000 simulations in a framework that combines precomputed grids with Bayesian inference. This allowed us to constrain GJ 436 b's initial conditions and the properties of its putative companion within a ZLK hypothesis. Our results suggest that GJ 436 b formed at ~ 0.3 AU and, despite its current substantial atmospheric erosion, has experienced minimal cumulative mass loss throughout its history, thanks to a late inward migration triggered by a distant companion inducing ZLK oscillations. We find that initial mutual inclinations of 80{\deg} - 100{\deg} with this companion best reproduce the observed polar orbit. By combining our explored constraints with radial velocity detection limits, we identified the viable parameter space for the hypothetical GJ 436 c. We found that it strongly disfavors stellar and brown dwarf masses, which offers a useful guide for future observational searches. This work demonstrates how coupled modeling can shed light on the interplay shaping close-in exoplanets and explain the survival of volatile-rich worlds near the edges of the desert.

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