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Carl F. Mela

Publications and source records attributed to Carl F. Mela.

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Designing Ad Auctions with Targeting Information

Digital advertising publishers sell ad inventory that conveys targeting information, such as demographic, contextual, or behavioral audience segments, to advertisers. While revealing this information improves ad relevance, it can reduce competition and lower auction revenues. To address this trade-off, we develop the Information-Bundling Position Auction (IBPA), a general auction mechanism for search and display advertising that leverages targeting information while preserving competition. The mechanism treats the realized audience segment as the publisher's private information. For a given advertiser, IBPA implements information bundling through mixed-bundle pricing over segments; across advertisers, it applies the marginal-revenue framework to allocate impressions and determine payments. We show that IBPA is Bayesian incentive compatible and individually rational: truthful bidding forms a Bayes--Nash equilibrium and advertisers receive non-negative expected utility from participation. Moreover, IBPA achieves at least 63% of the revenue of the optimal feasible mechanism and weakly dominates all scalar-bid disclosure mechanisms, including generalized second-price (GSP) auctions. The mechanism also resolves the trade-off between targeting precision and market thickness: publisher revenue is increasing in information granularity and decreasing in disclosure granularity. Using auction-level data from a large retail media platform, we estimate advertiser valuation distributions and simulate counterfactual outcomes. Relative to GSP, IBPA increases publisher revenue by 91%, allocation rate by 26pp, advertiser welfare by 62%, and total welfare by 79%.

econ.GN

Advertiser Learning in Direct Advertising Markets

Direct buy advertisers procure advertising inventory at fixed rates from publishers and ad networks. Such advertisers face the complex task of choosing ads amongst myriad new publisher sites. We offer evidence that advertisers do not excel at making these choices. Instead, they try many sites before settling on a favored set, consistent with advertiser learning. We subsequently model advertiser demand for publisher inventory wherein advertisers learn about advertising efficacy across publishers' sites. Results suggest that advertisers spend considerable resources advertising on sites they eventually abandon -- in part because their prior beliefs about advertising efficacy on those sites are too optimistic. The median advertiser's expected CTR at a new site is 0.177\%, four times higher than the true median CTR of 0.045\%. We consider how an ad network's pooling of advertiser information remediates this problem. As ads with similar visual elements garner similar CTRs, the network's pooling of information enables advertisers to better predict ad performance at new sites. Counterfactual analyses indicate that gains from pooling advertiser information are substantial: over six months, we estimate a median advertiser welfare gain of \$3,621 (an 18.3\% increase) and a median revenue gain of \$13,558 (a 77.7\% increase) among the 20 largest publishers.

econ.GN