arXiv subjects

Carlo Ciliberto

Publications and source records attributed to Carlo Ciliberto.

At least 19 recordsLinked to original sources

arXiv2026

Distributionally Faithful Imputation via Positive Semi-Definite Kernel Density Estimation

Missing values undermine statistical inference and machine learning pipelines, yet most imputation methods rely on heuristics or restrictive parametric assumptions that ignore the joint data distribution. We recast imputation under missing completely at random (MCAR) as density estimation from masked observations: estimate a distribution whose observed marginals exactly match those in the data. Leveraging positive semi definite (PSD) kernel densities we obtain a convex empirical risk problem with closed form marginals, solvable by a Newton interior point method. The resulting PSD Impute model yields both single and multiple imputations from the same fitted density, enjoys statistical consistency with fast adaptive excess risk beating the curse of dimensionality for very regular probabilities. Preliminary experiments on one synthetic and eleven real world datasets already indicate competitive distributional accuracy compared with popular imputation baselines, suggesting strong practical promise.

stat.ML↗

arXiv2026

Reward-free Pretraining for Reinforcement Learning via Occupancy Coverage Maximization

Sparse rewards pose a central challenge in reinforcement learning, since agents receive no informative signal until they reach their goal. Intrinsic-reward methods address this issue by optimizing non-stationary objectives such as novelty, prediction error, or skill diversity, thereby injecting a supervision signal into the problem. While effective, these methods often require that the extrinsic (sparse) reward can be evaluated -- either online or during offline relabeling of the stored transitions. This limitation is particularly vexing for multi-task, meta-, and continual reinforcement learning, where agents' interactions with the environment are usually reward-free. In this work, we present a method to pre-train transferable exploration policies that rapidly adapt to sparse rewards at downstream task time. Our objective maximizes state-space covering for the occupancy measure, and can be framed in terms of entropy maximization. Its algorithmic implementation, ROVER, leverages recent advances on the operatorial formulation of RL to estimate occupancy with a learned resolvent world model, bypassing common hurdles associated with density and entropy estimation. ROVER further introduces a virtual "sink" state for unexplored regions, balancing coverage of known states with expansion into unseen ones and preventing cyclic expansion-collapse behavior during learning. In tabular and pixel-based sparse navigation tasks, ROVER produces more uniform aggregate coverage and stronger initializations for downstream tasks than standard reward-free baselines.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2026

Lookahead identification in adversarial bandits: accuracy and memory bounds

We study an identification problem in multi-armed bandits. In each round a learner selects one of $K$ arms and observes its reward, with the goal of eventually identifying an arm that will perform best at a {\it future} time. In adversarial environments, however, past performance may offer little information about the future, raising the question of whether meaningful identification is possible at all. In this work, we introduce \emph{lookahead identification}, a task in which the goal of the learner is to select a future prediction window and commit in advance to an arm whose average reward over that window is within $\varepsilon$ of optimal. Our analysis characterizes both the achievable accuracy of lookahead identification and the memory resources required to obtain it. From an accuracy standpoint, for any horizon $T$ we give an algorithm achieving $\varepsilon = O\bigl(1/\sqrt{\log T}\bigr)$ over $\Omega(\sqrt{T})$ prediction windows. This demonstrates that, perhaps surprisingly, identification is possible in adversarial settings, despite significant lack of information. We also prove a near-matching lower bound showing that $\varepsilon = \Omega\bigl(1/\log T\bigr)$ is unavoidable. We then turn to investigate the role of memory in our problem, first proving that any algorithm achieving nontrivial accuracy requires $\Omega(K)$ bits of memory. Under a natural \emph{local sparsity} condition, we show that the same accuracy guarantees can be achieved using only poly-logarithmic memory.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2024

Operator World Models for Reinforcement Learning

Policy Mirror Descent (PMD) is a powerful and theoretically sound methodology for sequential decision-making. However, it is not directly applicable to Reinforcement Learning (RL) due to the inaccessibility of explicit action-value functions. We address this challenge by introducing a novel approach based on learning a world model of the environment using conditional mean embeddings. Leveraging tools from operator theory we derive a closed-form expression of the action-value function in terms of the world model via simple matrix operations. Combining these estimators with PMD leads to POWR, a new RL algorithm for which we prove convergence rates to the global optimum. Preliminary experiments in finite and infinite state settings support the effectiveness of our method

cs.LG↗

arXiv2024

Hybrid-Segmentor: A Hybrid Approach to Automated Fine-Grained Crack Segmentation in Civil Infrastructure

Detecting and segmenting cracks in infrastructure, such as roads and buildings, is crucial for safety and cost-effective maintenance. In spite of the potential of deep learning, there are challenges in achieving precise results and handling diverse crack types. With the proposed dataset and model, we aim to enhance crack detection and infrastructure maintenance. We introduce Hybrid-Segmentor, an encoder-decoder based approach that is capable of extracting both fine-grained local and global crack features. This allows the model to improve its generalization capabilities in distinguish various type of shapes, surfaces and sizes of cracks. To keep the computational performances low for practical purposes, while maintaining the high the generalization capabilities of the model, we incorporate a self-attention model at the encoder level, while reducing the complexity of the decoder component. The proposed model outperforms existing benchmark models across 5 quantitative metrics (accuracy 0.971, precision 0.804, recall 0.744, F1-score 0.770, and IoU score 0.630), achieving state-of-the-art status.

cs.CV↗

arXiv2024

Closed-form Filtering for Non-linear Systems

Sequential Bayesian Filtering aims to estimate the current state distribution of a Hidden Markov Model, given the past observations. The problem is well-known to be intractable for most application domains, except in notable cases such as the tabular setting or for linear dynamical systems with gaussian noise. In this work, we propose a new class of filters based on Gaussian PSD Models, which offer several advantages in terms of density approximation and computational efficiency. We show that filtering can be efficiently performed in closed form when transitions and observations are Gaussian PSD Models. When the transition and observations are approximated by Gaussian PSD Models, we show that our proposed estimator enjoys strong theoretical guarantees, with estimation error that depends on the quality of the approximation and is adaptive to the regularity of the transition probabilities. In particular, we identify regimes in which our proposed filter attains a TV $ε$-error with memory and computational complexity of $O(ε^{-1})$ and $O(ε^{-3/2})$ respectively, including the offline learning step, in contrast to the $O(ε^{-2})$ complexity of sampling methods such as particle filtering.

stat.ML↗

arXiv2023

Robust Meta-Representation Learning via Global Label Inference and Classification

Few-shot learning (FSL) is a central problem in meta-learning, where learners must efficiently learn from few labeled examples. Within FSL, feature pre-training has recently become an increasingly popular strategy to significantly improve generalization performance. However, the contribution of pre-training is often overlooked and understudied, with limited theoretical understanding of its impact on meta-learning performance. Further, pre-training requires a consistent set of global labels shared across training tasks, which may be unavailable in practice. In this work, we address the above issues by first showing the connection between pre-training and meta-learning. We discuss why pre-training yields more robust meta-representation and connect the theoretical analysis to existing works and empirical results. Secondly, we introduce Meta Label Learning (MeLa), a novel meta-learning algorithm that learns task relations by inferring global labels across tasks. This allows us to exploit pre-training for FSL even when global labels are unavailable or ill-defined. Lastly, we introduce an augmented pre-training procedure that further improves the learned meta-representation. Empirically, MeLa outperforms existing methods across a diverse range of benchmarks, in particular under a more challenging setting where the number of training tasks is limited and labels are task-specific. We also provide extensive ablation study to highlight its key properties.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2022

Learning Dynamical Systems via Koopman Operator Regression in Reproducing Kernel Hilbert Spaces

We study a class of dynamical systems modelled as Markov chains that admit an invariant distribution via the corresponding transfer, or Koopman, operator. While data-driven algorithms to reconstruct such operators are well known, their relationship with statistical learning is largely unexplored. We formalize a framework to learn the Koopman operator from finite data trajectories of the dynamical system. We consider the restriction of this operator to a reproducing kernel Hilbert space and introduce a notion of risk, from which different estimators naturally arise. We link the risk with the estimation of the spectral decomposition of the Koopman operator. These observations motivate a reduced-rank operator regression (RRR) estimator. We derive learning bounds for the proposed estimator, holding both in i.i.d. and non i.i.d. settings, the latter in terms of mixing coefficients. Our results suggest RRR might be beneficial over other widely used estimators as confirmed in numerical experiments both for forecasting and mode decomposition.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2022

Schedule-Robust Online Continual Learning

A continual learning (CL) algorithm learns from a non-stationary data stream. The non-stationarity is modeled by some schedule that determines how data is presented over time. Most current methods make strong assumptions on the schedule and have unpredictable performance when such requirements are not met. A key challenge in CL is thus to design methods robust against arbitrary schedules over the same underlying data, since in real-world scenarios schedules are often unknown and dynamic. In this work, we introduce the notion of schedule-robustness for CL and a novel approach satisfying this desirable property in the challenging online class-incremental setting. We also present a new perspective on CL, as the process of learning a schedule-robust predictor, followed by adapting the predictor using only replay data. Empirically, we demonstrate that our approach outperforms existing methods on CL benchmarks for image classification by a large margin.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2022

Distribution Regression with Sliced Wasserstein Kernels

The problem of learning functions over spaces of probabilities - or distribution regression - is gaining significant interest in the machine learning community. A key challenge behind this problem is to identify a suitable representation capturing all relevant properties of the underlying functional mapping. A principled approach to distribution regression is provided by kernel mean embeddings, which lifts kernel-induced similarity on the input domain at the probability level. This strategy effectively tackles the two-stage sampling nature of the problem, enabling one to derive estimators with strong statistical guarantees, such as universal consistency and excess risk bounds. However, kernel mean embeddings implicitly hinge on the maximum mean discrepancy (MMD), a metric on probabilities, which may fail to capture key geometrical relations between distributions. In contrast, optimal transport (OT) metrics, are potentially more appealing. In this work, we propose an OT-based estimator for distribution regression. We build on the Sliced Wasserstein distance to obtain an OT-based representation. We study the theoretical properties of a kernel ridge regression estimator based on such representation, for which we prove universal consistency and excess risk bounds. Preliminary experiments complement our theoretical findings by showing the effectiveness of the proposed approach and compare it with MMD-based estimators.

stat.ML↗

arXiv2022

Modular Adaptive Policy Selection for Multi-Task Imitation Learning through Task Division

Deep imitation learning requires many expert demonstrations, which can be hard to obtain, especially when many tasks are involved. However, different tasks often share similarities, so learning them jointly can greatly benefit them and alleviate the need for many demonstrations. But, joint multi-task learning often suffers from negative transfer, sharing information that should be task-specific. In this work, we introduce a method to perform multi-task imitation while allowing for task-specific features. This is done by using proto-policies as modules to divide the tasks into simple sub-behaviours that can be shared. The proto-policies operate in parallel and are adaptively chosen by a selector mechanism that is jointly trained with the modules. Experiments on different sets of tasks show that our method improves upon the accuracy of single agents, task-conditioned and multi-headed multi-task agents, as well as state-of-the-art meta learning agents. We also demonstrate its ability to autonomously divide the tasks into both shared and task-specific sub-behaviours.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2022

Measuring dissimilarity with diffeomorphism invariance

Measures of similarity (or dissimilarity) are a key ingredient to many machine learning algorithms. We introduce DID, a pairwise dissimilarity measure applicable to a wide range of data spaces, which leverages the data's internal structure to be invariant to diffeomorphisms. We prove that DID enjoys properties which make it relevant for theoretical study and practical use. By representing each datum as a function, DID is defined as the solution to an optimization problem in a Reproducing Kernel Hilbert Space and can be expressed in closed-form. In practice, it can be efficiently approximated via Nyström sampling. Empirical experiments support the merits of DID.

stat.ML↗

arXiv2021

PSD Representations for Effective Probability Models

Finding a good way to model probability densities is key to probabilistic inference. An ideal model should be able to concisely approximate any probability while being also compatible with two main operations: multiplications of two models (product rule) and marginalization with respect to a subset of the random variables (sum rule). In this work, we show that a recently proposed class of positive semi-definite (PSD) models for non-negative functions is particularly suited to this end. In particular, we characterize both approximation and generalization capabilities of PSD models, showing that they enjoy strong theoretical guarantees. Moreover, we show that we can perform efficiently both sum and product rule in closed form via matrix operations, enjoying the same versatility of mixture models. Our results open the way to applications of PSD models to density estimation, decision theory and inference.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2021

The Role of Global Labels in Few-Shot Classification and How to Infer Them

Few-shot learning is a central problem in meta-learning, where learners must quickly adapt to new tasks given limited training data. Recently, feature pre-training has become a ubiquitous component in state-of-the-art meta-learning methods and is shown to provide significant performance improvement. However, there is limited theoretical understanding of the connection between pre-training and meta-learning. Further, pre-training requires global labels shared across tasks, which may be unavailable in practice. In this paper, we show why exploiting pre-training is theoretically advantageous for meta-learning, and in particular the critical role of global labels. This motivates us to propose Meta Label Learning (MeLa), a novel meta-learning framework that automatically infers global labels to obtains robust few-shot models. Empirically, we demonstrate that MeLa is competitive with existing methods and provide extensive ablation experiments to highlight its key properties.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2021

Conditional Meta-Learning of Linear Representations

Standard meta-learning for representation learning aims to find a common representation to be shared across multiple tasks. The effectiveness of these methods is often limited when the nuances of the tasks' distribution cannot be captured by a single representation. In this work we overcome this issue by inferring a conditioning function, mapping the tasks' side information (such as the tasks' training dataset itself) into a representation tailored to the task at hand. We study environments in which our conditional strategy outperforms standard meta-learning, such as those in which tasks can be organized in separate clusters according to the representation they share. We then propose a meta-algorithm capable of leveraging this advantage in practice. In the unconditional setting, our method yields a new estimator enjoying faster learning rates and requiring less hyper-parameters to tune than current state-of-the-art methods. Our results are supported by preliminary experiments.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2021

Structured Prediction for CRiSP Inverse Kinematics Learning with Misspecified Robot Models

With the recent advances in machine learning, problems that traditionally would require accurate modeling to be solved analytically can now be successfully approached with data-driven strategies. Among these, computing the inverse kinematics of a redundant robot arm poses a significant challenge due to the non-linear structure of the robot, the hard joint constraints and the non-invertible kinematics map. Moreover, most learning algorithms consider a completely data-driven approach, while often useful information on the structure of the robot is available and should be positively exploited. In this work, we present a simple, yet effective, approach for learning the inverse kinematics. We introduce a structured prediction algorithm that combines a data-driven strategy with the model provided by a forward kinematics function -- even when this function is misspecified -- to accurately solve the problem. The proposed approach ensures that predicted joint configurations are well within the robot's constraints. We also provide statistical guarantees on the generalization properties of our estimator as well as an empirical evaluation of its performance on trajectory reconstruction tasks.

cs.RO↗

arXiv2021

Adversarial Imitation Learning with Trajectorial Augmentation and Correction

Deep Imitation Learning requires a large number of expert demonstrations, which are not always easy to obtain, especially for complex tasks. A way to overcome this shortage of labels is through data augmentation. However, this cannot be easily applied to control tasks due to the sequential nature of the problem. In this work, we introduce a novel augmentation method which preserves the success of the augmented trajectories. To achieve this, we introduce a semi-supervised correction network that aims to correct distorted expert actions. To adequately test the abilities of the correction network, we develop an adversarial data augmented imitation architecture to train an imitation agent using synthetic experts. Additionally, we introduce a metric to measure diversity in trajectory datasets. Experiments show that our data augmentation strategy can improve accuracy and convergence time of adversarial imitation while preserving the diversity between the generated and real trajectories.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2020

Statistical Limits of Supervised Quantum Learning

Within the framework of statistical learning theory it is possible to bound the minimum number of samples required by a learner to reach a target accuracy. We show that if the bound on the accuracy is taken into account, quantum machine learning algorithms for supervised learning---for which statistical guarantees are available---cannot achieve polylogarithmic runtimes in the input dimension. We conclude that, when no further assumptions on the problem are made, quantum machine learning algorithms for supervised learning can have at most polynomial speedups over efficient classical algorithms, even in cases where quantum access to the data is naturally available.

quant-ph↗