arXiv subjects

Carlo Tasillo

Publications and source records attributed to Carlo Tasillo.

8 recordsLinked to original sources

arXiv2026

When the HL-LHC is blind, LISA is deaf (but not vice versa): 2HDM collider-cosmology synergies

Extensions of the Standard Model scalar sector can render the electroweak phase transition first-order and thereby provide the departure from thermal equilibrium required for electroweak baryogenesis, while at the same time sourcing a stochastic gravitational wave (GW) background in the milli-Hertz range. In this work, we investigate electroweak phase transitions in the CP-conserving type-I two-Higgs-doublet model (2HDM), focusing on the interplay between collider constraints at the HL-LHC and the projected sensitivity of LISA. We compute the expected GW background due to strong first-order electroweak phase transitions and perform extensive Monte Carlo scans over the collider-viable model parameter space. We find that GW signals within reach of LISA arise almost exclusively in regions of parameter space that necessarily predict observable deviations at the HL-LHC, in particular through the $H \to ZZ$ decay channel of the heavy CP-even and neutral Higgs state with $m_H \simeq 180\text{--}250 \, \text{GeV}$. Our results highlight the decisive complementarity between collider and GW probes and show that the largest parts of the 2HDM parameter space relevant for phase transition signals at LISA can already be tested by HL-LHC. A possible future discovery of 2HDM states at the HL-LHC, however, would not allow conclusive statements about LISA being able to find a GW background due to the amount of parameter tuning required for an observable GW signal. In order to evaluate possible caveats of this statement we study the theoretical uncertainties related to the GW predictions in a two-fold approach using both state-of-the-art tools, BSMPT and TransitionListener, and also allow for model realizations in which the electroweak symmetry is not restored in the high-temperature limit, which are the ones combining the loudest GW signals with the weakest collider coverage.

hep-ph↗

arXiv2026

TransitionListener v2.0 -- Robust gravitational wave predictions for cosmological phase transitions

Gravitational wave backgrounds from strong first-order cosmological phase transitions are key observational targets predicted by many SM extensions and might be observed by current and future observatories like LISA, the Einstein Telescope or pulsar timing arrays (PTAs). Still, their precise forecast given a specific model remains a challenge. In this article, we present TransitionListener v2.0, a Python framework for precision studies of cosmological phase transitions and their associated gravitational wave (GW) signals. The code provides an end-to-end pipeline from a user-defined scalar potential to GW spectra and signal-to-noise ratios, enabling both benchmark studies and large-scale parameter scans. Version 2 introduces a self-consistent treatment of the transition dynamics, including the evolution of the true-vacuum fraction and its backreaction on the Hubble expansion, as well as a consistent description of reheating during percolation. A direct computation of the mean bubble separation allows to faithfully map to the GW spectral templates from bubble collisions, sound waves, and turbulence stemming from state-of-the-art simulations. TransitionListener includes built-in sensitivity curves for space- and ground-based detectors and PTAs, interfaces to PTA likelihoods, and wrappers for Bayesian model inference and high-dimensional parameter scans. Compared to existing public tools, TransitionListener v2.0 improves the physical consistency and numerical stability of GW predictions across a wide range of models, with particular emphasis on the strongly supercooled and ultraslow transition regime where conventional approximations break down and the most promising GW signals are expected.

hep-ph↗

arXiv2026

Tuning the violins: dark sector phase transition models for the PTA signal

First-order phase transitions in a dark sector have been invoked as an intriguing possibility to explain the observed stochastic gravitational wave background at nanohertz frequencies. Here we perform a comprehensive study of the generic requirements for such a phase transition to explain the observed signal while being consistent with all relevant constraints. We consider three broad model classes for strong first-order transitions, realised by an Abelian dark Higgs boson, a two-step phase transition involving two scalar singlets, and a conformal scalar field with loop-induced symmetry breaking, respectively. We discuss the tuning that is required to successfully explain the Pulsar Timing Array (PTA) signal in each of these cases, and highlight the underlying physical mechanisms. We conclude that all three scenarios can in principle describe the data, but that conformal models stand out as the most generic, and least tuned, explanation. Future observations by the PTA collaborations and collider experiments will be crucial to test the viability of this hypothesis, and to further narrow in on the model parameters, if the PTA signal is indeed due to a strong first-order phase transition.

hep-ph↗

arXiv2025

Sub-GeV dark matter and nano-Hertz gravitational waves from a classically conformal dark sector

Strong first-order phase transitions in a dark sector offer a compelling explanation for the stochastic gravitational wave background in the nano-Hertz range recently detected by pulsar timing arrays (PTAs). We explore the possibility that such a phase transition at the same time gives mass to a stable fermion that accounts for the observed dark matter abundance and leads to testable effects in laboratory experiments. Concretely, we consider a classically conformal dark sector with a hidden $U(1)^\prime$ gauge symmetry that couples to the Standard Model via kinetic mixing. Since the PTA signal requires a phase transition in the MeV temperature range, spontaneous symmetry breaking gives rise to a sub-GeV dark matter candidate that couples to the Standard Model via a dark photon mediator and obtains its relic abundance via annihilations into electrons and dark Higgs bosons. Such a scenario is tightly constrained by laboratory searches for dark photons and cosmological constraints on the decays of dark Higgs bosons after the phase transition. We show that viable parameter regions can be found both for the case that the dark Higgs bosons remain in equilibrium with the Standard Model and that they decouple and only decay much later. In the latter case, the parameter regions preferred by the PTA signal and the dark matter relic abundance can be fully explored by future beam-dump experiments searching for missing energy.

hep-ph↗

arXiv2024

Hunting WIMPs with LISA: Correlating dark matter and gravitational wave signals

The thermal freeze-out mechanism in its classical form is tightly connected to physics beyond the Standard Model around the electroweak scale, which has been the target of enormous experimental efforts. In this work we study a dark matter model in which freeze-out is triggered by a strong first-order phase transition in a dark sector, and show that this phase transition must also happen close to the electroweak scale, i.e. in the temperature range relevant for gravitational wave searches with the LISA mission. Specifically, we consider the spontaneous breaking of a $U(1)^\prime$ gauge symmetry through the vacuum expectation value of a scalar field, which generates the mass of a fermionic dark matter candidate that subsequently annihilates into dark Higgs and gauge bosons. In this set-up the peak frequency of the gravitational wave background is tightly correlated with the dark matter relic abundance, and imposing the observed value for the latter implies that the former must lie in the milli-Hertz range. A peculiar feature of our set-up is that the dark sector is not necessarily in thermal equilibrium with the Standard Model during the phase transition, and hence the temperatures of the two sectors evolve independently. Nevertheless, the requirement that the universe does not enter an extended period of matter domination after the phase transition, which would strongly dilute any gravitational wave signal, places a lower bound on the portal coupling that governs the entropy transfer between the two sectors. As a result, the predictions for the peak frequency of gravitational waves in the LISA band are robust, while the amplitude can change depending on the initial dark sector temperature.

astro-ph.CO↗

arXiv2023

Signals of merging supermassive primordial black holes in pulsar timing arrays

In this work we evaluate whether the gravitational wave background recently observed by a number of different pulsar timing arrays could be due to merging primordial supermassive black hole binaries. We find that for homogeneously distributed primordial black holes this possibility is inconsistent with strong cosmological and astrophysical constraints on their total abundance. If the distribution exhibits some clustering, however, the merger rate will, in general, be enhanced, opening the window for a consistent interpretation of the pulsar timing array data in terms of merging primordial black holes, if $\mu$-distortion constraints associated with the formation mechanism can be evaded.

astro-ph.CO↗

arXiv2023

Does NANOGrav observe a dark sector phase transition?

Gravitational waves from a first-order cosmological phase transition, at temperatures at the MeV-scale, would arguably be the most exciting explanation of the common red spectrum reported by the NANOGrav collaboration, not the least because this would be direct evidence of physics beyond the standard model. Here we perform a detailed analysis of whether such an interpretation is consistent with constraints on the released energy deriving from big bang nucleosynthesis and the cosmic microwave background. We find that a phase transition in a completely secluded dark sector is strongly disfavoured with respect to the more conventional astrophysical explanation of the putative gravitational wave signal in terms of supermassive black hole binaries. On the other hand, a phase transition in a dark sector that subsequently decays, before the time of neutrino decoupling, remains an intriguing possibility to explain the data. From the model-building perspective, such an option is easily satisfied for couplings with the visible sector that are small enough to evade current collider and astrophysical constraints. The first indication that could eventually corroborate such an interpretation, once the observed common red spectrum is confirmed as a nHz gravitational wave background, could be the spectral tilt of the signal. In fact, the current data already show a very slight preference for a spectrum that is softer than what is expected from the leading astrophysical explanation.

astro-ph.CO↗

arXiv2022

Turn up the volume: Listening to phase transitions in hot dark sectors

Stochastic gravitational wave (GW) backgrounds from first-order phase transitions are an exciting target for future GW observatories and may enable us to study dark sectors with very weak couplings to the Standard Model. In this work we show that such signals may be significantly enhanced for hot dark sectors with a temperature larger than the one of the SM thermal bath. The need to transfer the entropy from the dark sector to the SM after the phase transition can however lead to a substantial dilution of the GW signal. We study this dilution in detail, including the effect of number-changing processes in the dark sector (so-called cannibalism), and show that in large regions of parameter space a net enhancement remains. We apply our findings to a specific example of a dark sector containing a dark Higgs boson and a dark photon and find excellent detection prospects for LISA and the Einstein telescope.

astro-ph.CO↗