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Carlos Baiget Orts

Publications and source records attributed to Carlos Baiget Orts.

4 recordsLinked to original sources

Comet 1P/Halley Completes 15 Orbits in 1,151 Years: Commensurability with the Solar System Quasi-Period and Evidence for Jupiter-Saturn Dynamical Coupling

I investigate whether comet 1P/Halley participates in the 1,151-year planetary quasi-period T* identified in a companion paper (Baiget Orts 2026a, arXiv:2604.03049). Using historical perihelion records spanning 2,225 years (30 apparitions, 239 BCE to 1986 CE), I find that Halley's mean orbital period P_bar = 76.713 yr satisfies T*/P_bar = 15.004, yielding an angular residue of +1.43 degrees -- the smallest of any Solar System body examined, including all seven planets that participate in T* (Mercury, Venus, Earth, Mars, Jupiter, Saturn, and Neptune; p = 0.009). No other Halley-type comet participates: all examined HTCs exhibit residues of 80--130 degrees, comparable to Uranus (108 degrees), the sole planetary non-participant. Four independent statistical tests establish that Jupiter and Saturn couple to Halley's orbital period through distinct mechanisms. Jupiter acts through phase-dependent modulation: its angular position at each perihelion predicts the period deviation (p = 0.027--0.04, three methods). Saturn acts through distance-amplitude modulation: closer approaches produce larger deviations regardless of sign (r = -0.496, p = 0.007), specific to Saturn's actual orbital phase (random-phase control p = 0.133). After 15 orbits, the cumulative period deviation is only 9.4% of the random-walk expectation -- direct evidence of coherent perturbation cancellation over one T* cycle. The orbit-to-orbit chaos (Lyapunov time ~70 yr) and the long-term mean stability are not contradictory: the same Jupiter-Saturn forces that cause individual-orbit variability cancel coherently over the T* baseline, anchoring the mean period at the millennium scale.

astro-ph.EP↗

A 1151-Year Quasi-Commensurability of the Solar System: Empirical Detection, Statistical Characterization, and the Anomalous Exclusion of Uranus

We report the empirical detection of a multi-planet quasi-commensurability in the Solar System and identify an anomalous exclusion that may bear on the dynamical history of Uranus. An exhaustive search identifies T* = 420,403 days (approx. 1,151 years) as the global minimum of a series-comparison similarity metric applied to daily heliocentric ecliptic longitudes of seven planets -- Mercury, Venus, Earth, Mars, Jupiter, Saturn, and Neptune -- computed from the DE441 ephemeris over +/-1,300 years. At this interval, the mean simultaneous angular displacement of all seven planets is 13.4 degrees, with a standard deviation of 0.65 degrees sustained over a century-long window and stable across 1,200 years of reference epochs. T* ranks first among all 2,600 candidates, with a gap of 1.09 degrees to the second best. No sub-multiple produces a comparable result. Seven of the eight planets participate in the synchronism. The sole exception is Uranus, whose sidereal residue at T* is -108.3 degrees -- nearly one-third of a full orbit -- while Neptune's residue is only -5.2 degrees, one of the smallest among all seven planets after Earth's. This sharp asymmetry between the two ice giants constitutes an independent empirical signature consistent with the hypothesis that Uranus's orbital period was substantially modified by a catastrophic early impact. The interval 1,151 years was identified by Babylonian astronomers as the Venus return period (de Jong 2019); the present work shows it is simultaneously optimal for six additional planets. Source code and data are publicly available.

astro-ph.EP↗

Speed-Error Cross-Correlation Dating of Ancient Star Catalogues, with Application to the Almagest

We present SESCC (Speed-Error Signals Cross-Correlation), a method for dating ancient star catalogues from the cross-correlation between stellar proper-motion speeds and positional residuals. At the true epoch, residuals are independent of proper-motion speed; the epoch estimate is the trial date that minimises this cross-correlation. For ecliptic latitudes, SESCC applies the dot product between speeds and residuals across all catalogue stars without subset selection or linear modelling. For ecliptic longitudes, SESCC-pairs uses pairwise longitude differences between neighbouring stars, making the method immune to any global longitude offset by algebraic construction. Validated against Tycho Brahe (1547 CE, true ~1580 CE) and Ulugh Beg (1452 CE, true 1437 CE), and confirmed invariant under offsets of +-6 deg, the method is applied to the Almagest. Both coordinates yield bootstrap distributions with 74% pre-Christian minima, consistent with a Hipparchan origin and inconsistent with a Ptolemaic one. The near-absence of quarter-degree fractions in the Almagest longitudes, explained as the deterministic consequence of Ptolemy's precession correction, provides independent corroboration.

astro-ph.IM↗

Astronomical Refutation of the New Chronology by Fomenko and Nosovsky: The 1151-Year Planetary Cycle and Dating of the Almagest via Speed/Error Correlation

This paper introduces two astronomical methods developed through computational simulation to evaluate the historical dating of ancient astronomical sources. The first identifies a 1151-year planetary cycle based on the recurrence of visible configurations of Mercury to Saturn, including the Sun and Moon, from a geocentric perspective. The second, called SESCC (Speed-Error Signals Cross Correlation), statistically estimates the epoch of star catalogs by analyzing the correlation between positional error and proper motion in ecliptic latitude. Both methods are reproducible, data-driven, and yield results that contradict key tenets of the New Chronology proposed by Fomenko and Nosovsky, most notably the claim that the Anno Domini began in 1152 CE. Open-source code and analysis tools are provided for independent verification.

astro-ph.EP↗