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Carlos Martinez-Rodriguez

Publications and source records attributed to Carlos Martinez-Rodriguez.

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Renewal and Regenerative Processes: short review

This document presents a compilation of results related to the theory of stochastic processes, with a specific focus on Markov processes, regenerative processes, renewal processes, and stationary processes. The relevance of these topics lies in the ability to identify regeneration points and the necessary conditions to ensure the stationarity of the process. The study begins with a review of Markov chains and continues with the analysis of processes that satisfy the strong Markov property. Subsequently, it delves into renewal processes, regenerative processes, and finally, stationary regenerative processes, highlighting the results presented by Thorisson [22]. This work is not intended to be exhaustive but aims to provide a solid foundation for further deepening the knowledge of these processes, given their broad range of applications in cryptography [16], queueing theory [15], and Monte Carlo methods [23]. Additionally, the importance of Poisson-type processes is emphasized due to their numerous applications (see [8]).

math.PR

A Markov Chain Model for COVID19 in Mexico City

This paper presents a model for COVID19 in Mexico City. The data analyzed were considered from the appearance of the first case in Mexico until July 2021. In this first approximation the states considered were Susceptible, Infected, Hospitalized, Intensive Care Unit, Intubated, and Dead. As a consequence of the lack of coronavirus testing, the number of infected and dead people is underestimated, although the results obtained give a good approximation to the evolution of the pandemic in Mexico City. The model is based on a discrete-time Markov chain considering data provided by the Mexican government, the main objective is to estimate the transient probabilities from one state to another for the Mexico City case.

stat.AP