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Caroline Wormell

Publications and source records attributed to Caroline Wormell.

3 recordsLinked to original sources

Sampling pseudospectrum for data-driven matrices

Many complex systems can be reduced to their key components through spectrally decomposing matrices that capture their dynamics. These matrices can in turn be constructed from data, often by least-squares fitting: examples of algorithms to do this include Dynamical Mode Decomposition and variants, subspace identification and eigenvalue realisation algorithms. Typical outputs of these algorithms include a range of isolated, peripheral eigenvalues capturing persistent emergent patterns in the system. However, there is no objective way to assess which of these discrete eigenvalues are artefacts of finite data error, and which are reflections of a fully sampled operator. n this paper, we present a sampling pseudospectrum $P(\lambda)$, that provides probabilistic information on the behaviour of finite-data eigenvalues in the complex plane, and an estimator $\hat P(\lambda)$, which can be obtained by reprocessing our finite data sample. The estimator, which is computationally efficient to implement, allows us to test statistically for the location of the true eigenvalues. This gives us a rigorous and very general way to assess whether the patterns we extract from finite data are likely to be signal or noise.

math.NA

Hausdorff dimension of the Apollonian gasket

The Apollonian gasket is a well-studied circle packing. Important properties of the packing, including the distribution of the circle radii, are governed by its Hausdorff dimension. No closed form is currently known for the Hausdorff dimension, and its computation is a special case of a more general and hard problem: effective, rigorous estimates of dimension of a parabolic limit set. In this paper we develop an efficient method for solving this problem which allows us to compute the dimension of the gasket to 128 decimal places and rigorously justify the error bounds. We expect our approach to generalise easily to other parabolic fractals.

math.DS

A statistical physics and dynamical systems perspective on geophysical extreme events

Statistical physics and dynamical systems theory are key tools to study high-impact geophysical events such as temperature extremes, cyclones, thunderstorms, geomagnetic storms and many more. Despite the intrinsic differences between these events, they all originate as temporary deviations from the typical trajectories of a geophysical system, resulting in well-organised, coherent structures at characteristic spatial and temporal scales. While statistical extreme value analysis techniques are capable to provide return times and probabilities of occurrence of certain geophysical events, they are not apt to account for their underlying physics. Their focus is to compute the probability of occurrence of events that are large or small with respect to some specific observable (e.g. temperature, precipitation, solar wind), rather than to relate rare or extreme phenomena to the underlying anomalous geophysical regimes. This paper outlines this knowledge gap, presenting some related challenges, new formalisms and briefly commenting on how stochastic approaches tailored to the study of extreme geophysical events can help to advance their understanding.

physics.ao-ph