arXiv subjects

Casper Hansen

Publications and source records attributed to Casper Hansen.

23 records · Page 2Linked to original sources

arXiv2019

Neural Check-Worthiness Ranking with Weak Supervision: Finding Sentences for Fact-Checking

Automatic fact-checking systems detect misinformation, such as fake news, by (i) selecting check-worthy sentences for fact-checking, (ii) gathering related information to the sentences, and (iii) inferring the factuality of the sentences. Most prior research on (i) uses hand-crafted features to select check-worthy sentences, and does not explicitly account for the recent finding that the top weighted terms in both check-worthy and non-check-worthy sentences are actually overlapping [15]. Motivated by this, we present a neural check-worthiness sentence ranking model that represents each word in a sentence by \textit{both} its embedding (aiming to capture its semantics) and its syntactic dependencies (aiming to capture its role in modifying the semantics of other terms in the sentence). Our model is an end-to-end trainable neural network for check-worthiness ranking, which is trained on large amounts of unlabelled data through weak supervision. Thorough experimental evaluation against state of the art baselines, with and without weak supervision, shows our model to be superior at all times (+13% in MAP and +28% at various Precision cut-offs from the best baseline with statistical significance). Empirical analysis of the use of weak supervision, word embedding pretraining on domain-specific data, and the use of syntactic dependencies of our model reveals that check-worthy sentences contain notably more identical syntactic dependencies than non-check-worthy sentences.

cs.IR↗

arXiv2019

Modelling Sequential Music Track Skips using a Multi-RNN Approach

Modelling sequential music skips provides streaming companies the ability to better understand the needs of the user base, resulting in a better user experience by reducing the need to manually skip certain music tracks. This paper describes the solution of the University of Copenhagen DIKU-IR team in the 'Spotify Sequential Skip Prediction Challenge', where the task was to predict the skip behaviour of the second half in a music listening session conditioned on the first half. We model this task using a Multi-RNN approach consisting of two distinct stacked recurrent neural networks, where one network focuses on encoding the first half of the session and the other network focuses on utilizing the encoding to make sequential skip predictions. The encoder network is initialized by a learned session-wide music encoding, and both of them utilize a learned track embedding. Our final model consists of a majority voted ensemble of individually trained models, and ranked 2nd out of 45 participating teams in the competition with a mean average accuracy of 0.641 and an accuracy on the first skip prediction of 0.807. Our code is released at https://github.com/Varyn/WSDM-challenge-2019-spotify.

cs.IR↗

arXiv2018

Predicting Distresses using Deep Learning of Text Segments in Annual Reports

Corporate distress models typically only employ the numerical financial variables in the firms' annual reports. We develop a model that employs the unstructured textual data in the reports as well, namely the auditors' reports and managements' statements. Our model consists of a convolutional recurrent neural network which, when concatenated with the numerical financial variables, learns a descriptive representation of the text that is suited for corporate distress prediction. We find that the unstructured data provides a statistically significant enhancement of the distress prediction performance, in particular for large firms where accurate predictions are of the utmost importance. Furthermore, we find that auditors' reports are more informative than managements' statements and that a joint model including both managements' statements and auditors' reports displays no enhancement relative to a model including only auditors' reports. Our model demonstrates a direct improvement over existing state-of-the-art models.

cs.CL↗

arXiv2017

Smart City Analytics: Ensemble-Learned Prediction of Citizen Home Care

We present an ensemble learning method that predicts large increases in the hours of home care received by citizens. The method is supervised, and uses different ensembles of either linear (logistic regression) or non-linear (random forests) classifiers. Experiments with data available from 2013 to 2017 for every citizen in Copenhagen receiving home care (27,775 citizens) show that prediction can achieve state of the art performance as reported in similar health related domains (AUC=0.715). We further find that competitive results can be obtained by using limited information for training, which is very useful when full records are not accessible or available. Smart city analytics does not necessarily require full city records. To our knowledge this preliminary study is the first to predict large increases in home care for smart city analytics.

cs.CY↗

arXiv2017

Sequence Modelling For Analysing Student Interaction with Educational Systems

The analysis of log data generated by online educational systems is an important task for improving the systems, and furthering our knowledge of how students learn. This paper uses previously unseen log data from Edulab, the largest provider of digital learning for mathematics in Denmark, to analyse the sessions of its users, where 1.08 million student sessions are extracted from a subset of their data. We propose to model students as a distribution of different underlying student behaviours, where the sequence of actions from each session belongs to an underlying student behaviour. We model student behaviour as Markov chains, such that a student is modelled as a distribution of Markov chains, which are estimated using a modified k-means clustering algorithm. The resulting Markov chains are readily interpretable, and in a qualitative analysis around 125,000 student sessions are identified as exhibiting unproductive student behaviour. Based on our results this student representation is promising, especially for educational systems offering many different learning usages, and offers an alternative to common approaches like modelling student behaviour as a single Markov chain often done in the literature.

cs.CY↗